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Are you ready for anything?
The Schumacher Institute – a think & do tank
http://bristolgreencapital.org
So far:
To come:
The Monitoring
Unit
• Indicators
• Business Resilience Circles
• Scenario games
• Alternate reality games
Workshops
Prepare for Change
service
Resilience Action
Group
• Look Out
• Special reports
• Workshop reports
• News
• Network
• Community engagement
Prepare for Change
Wiki
1950 2000 2050 2100
Niger
Pop(millions) 3 11 53 99
GDP($bncurrent2013) 2 74 2,958
GDPpercapita 187 1,394 30,000
Japan
Pop(millions) 84 127 110 90
GDP($bncurrent2013) 4,731 4,500 3,500
GDPpercapita 37,252 41,021 38,976
World Population to 2300 UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs
Courtesy: Stockholm Resilience Centre
Dominant worldviews
Health and well-being
Food and agriculture
Markets and trade
Energy and raw materials
Climate change impact
Planetary limits
Water dependency
Habitat and infrastructure
Wealth and power
Governance and law
Community systems
A selection of early / weak signals
Land loss in southeast Asia from subsidence of peatlands
Response of financial markets to unburnable carbon
Retail Banking – changes (fewer employees)
Mesh of braids to extract uranium from the seas
High-density, light-weight batteries
Brain-to-brain interfaces have arrived
3D printers for drugs on demand
Launch of Circular Economy 100
Soya beans
CO2 emissions
Greece and diseases
Energy Bill
Cyber attack - Middle East
Preppers
Fracking
The ‘cloud’ and data security
Wheat rust and world farming
Robotic surgery
What is the future of biofuel?
Social Unrest – OECD project on Future Global Shocks
Resource Futures Report – Chatham House
Solar storms
OnLine Electric Vehicles (OLEV)
3D printing and remote manufacturing
Self-healing materials
Energy efficient water purification
Carbon dioxide (CO2) conversion and use
Remote sensing
Drug delivery through nanoscale engineering
Organic electronics and photovoltaics
Fourth-generation reactors and nuclear-waste recycling
Solar Cooling: The Next Frontier for Distributed
Generation?
West of England
Are you ready for anything?
Think about the next few decades
What concerns you most?
Are you optimistic or pessimistic about the future?
Do you consider that you are well prepared for the future?
Discussion

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Are you ready for anything? The Schumacher Institute – a think & do tank

  • 1. Are you ready for anything?
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  • 3. The Schumacher Institute – a think & do tank
  • 7. The Monitoring Unit • Indicators • Business Resilience Circles • Scenario games • Alternate reality games Workshops Prepare for Change service Resilience Action Group • Look Out • Special reports • Workshop reports • News • Network • Community engagement
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  • 21. 1950 2000 2050 2100 Niger Pop(millions) 3 11 53 99 GDP($bncurrent2013) 2 74 2,958 GDPpercapita 187 1,394 30,000 Japan Pop(millions) 84 127 110 90 GDP($bncurrent2013) 4,731 4,500 3,500 GDPpercapita 37,252 41,021 38,976 World Population to 2300 UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs
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  • 26. Dominant worldviews Health and well-being Food and agriculture Markets and trade Energy and raw materials Climate change impact Planetary limits Water dependency Habitat and infrastructure Wealth and power Governance and law Community systems
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  • 28. A selection of early / weak signals Land loss in southeast Asia from subsidence of peatlands Response of financial markets to unburnable carbon Retail Banking – changes (fewer employees) Mesh of braids to extract uranium from the seas High-density, light-weight batteries Brain-to-brain interfaces have arrived 3D printers for drugs on demand Launch of Circular Economy 100 Soya beans CO2 emissions Greece and diseases Energy Bill Cyber attack - Middle East Preppers Fracking The ‘cloud’ and data security Wheat rust and world farming Robotic surgery What is the future of biofuel? Social Unrest – OECD project on Future Global Shocks Resource Futures Report – Chatham House Solar storms OnLine Electric Vehicles (OLEV) 3D printing and remote manufacturing Self-healing materials Energy efficient water purification Carbon dioxide (CO2) conversion and use Remote sensing Drug delivery through nanoscale engineering Organic electronics and photovoltaics Fourth-generation reactors and nuclear-waste recycling Solar Cooling: The Next Frontier for Distributed Generation?
  • 30. Are you ready for anything?
  • 31. Think about the next few decades What concerns you most? Are you optimistic or pessimistic about the future? Do you consider that you are well prepared for the future?

Editor's Notes

  1. Aiming for a workshop every two months plus specials – e.g. voluntary sector. Workshop I, What does ‘Prepare for Change’ mean Workshop II, Measurement and evaluation Workshop III, Sept – Global Food Systems Workshop IV, Dec – Technology changes for a green world Workshop V, Mar – Automation and Employment Workshop VI, May – Climate Change Workshop VII, July – Social Order Workshop VIII, Oct – Global Energy Workshop IX, Dec – Supply Chains & Consumption