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Adrian Ramsay (Centre for Alternative Technology) - Thinking Globally, Acting Locally
- 1. Thinking Globally, Acting Locally Adrian Ramsay Centre for Alternative Technology
- 5. Original CAT Vision: Gerard Morgan-Grenville (founder) “In the early 1970s I took a sabbatical and went to America. I talked to senior business and professional people and came to the conclusion that a lot of people realised there was a major problem, but were locked into what they were doing. I came back thinking what was needed was a project to show the nature of the problem and to indicate ways of going forward”.
- 8. Initial trials: The Dunlite Aerogenerator
- 10. • Externally - reshaping our homes, what we eat, our clothes, places of work & how we move around to use MORE. • Breaking relationships with natural systems • Designing things to break Manufacturing landscapes to increase consumption:
- 14. Internally - reshaping how we see ourselves and how we relate to those around us • Keying into basic instincts • Compelling us to spend and up-date and up-grade • Changing how we think of ourselves and the natural environment Manufacturing landscapes to increase consumption:
- 16. We now think of it as ‘normal’
- 17. p “the market is the institutionalization of individualism and non- responsibility” Schumacher
- 18. We now think of it as ‘normal’
- 20. Showing solutions are possible now 2013 2010 In collaboration with: 2007 1977
- 21. • It is the first IPCC report since 2007 to bring together all aspects of tackling climate change and for the first time states: that carbon emissions will ultimately have to fall to ‘net zero’ • Research which CAT has been exploring since 2007 “Science has spoken. There is no ambiguity in the message - Leaders must act. Time is not on our side.” UN Secretary General, Ban Ki-Moon, attending launch of the 2014 IPCC report.
- 22. Powerdown from our extreme energy normality
- 23. Power up ©JoannaWright We can use 100% renewable energy sources (no nuclear).
- 24. The ZCB Energy Model: Based on ten years of real-world hourly data 2002 - 2011 87,648 hours
- 28. Net zero is achievable
- 29. - but there’s a Catch-22
- 30. “The study of economics is too narrow and too fragmentary to lead to valid insights, unless complemented and completed by a study of meta-economics.” Schumacher
- 31. Understanding how & why change happens (or not!)
- 32. • The challenges we face are not really technological, but cultural & political. • We must change how we think about human beings, energy & the future • Catalyse a cultural shift How can we make change happen fast enough?
- 34. “The substance of man cannot be measured by Gross National Product.” Schumacher
- 36. International rapid emissions reduction scenarios “The Solutions Project”
- 39. Small Is Festival at CAT 4th -6th September 2015 Small is Beautiful is a festival that explores positive responses to our future through low carbon technology, social justice and the arts. Zero Carbon Britain Short Course at CAT 2nd -4th September 2015 Discounted tickets when attending both events
- 40. Conclusion • Schumacher’s analysis of environmental and social problems was far-sighted • We need a meta economic analysis and plan to address today’s global problems • That includes global and national strategies for rapid decarbonisation and a large-scale shift to renewables • But we also need a society that moves beyond materialism to focus on well-being
- 41. Any Questions? Full reports available from www.cat.org.uk
Editor's Notes
- The sun drives the wind & water cycles - both of which can be be used to provide power to grind the corn We also found ways to harness the wind to transport, goods around the world but still dependent on annual, and often unpredictable, allocation of energy
- But then we discovered how to access coal, Chinese knew of it in C14, but only when the resources, skills and technologies can together that the biggest shift in human evolution began to roll
- Been through lots of old images, film, diaries and media coverage to digitise and capture the story of the pioneers - looking back over 40 years can help us look forwards
- The words of the founder GMG
- A space to develop a living laboratory - to test out emerging technologies
- Water power
- To more familiar designs
- Early royal Visits raised the profile locally and nationally
- An initial analysis shows that, in this future, our actions have also helped us adapt to expected changes in climate while increasing our resilience to unexpected changes; improved upon a number of other significant environmental problems aside from climate change; created over a million jobs; and have had a positive impact on our economy and on the health and wellbeing of individuals and society.
- THE EXTERNAL WORLD WAS RESHAPED TOO - Towns and cities grew up around horse drawn omnibus & light urban tram ways - THE EXTERNAL WORLD WAS RESHAPED - Towns and cities grew up around horse drawn omnibus & light urban tram ways - these were often bought up and scrapped by the tyre, car and oil companies purchase of National City Lines To make sure everyone bought a car!
- One of the starkest manifestations of the ‘deliberate design of the fossil fuelled UK’ was the beaching Axe Many lines were still viable at the time, most would be massively viable today!At the very least the land could have been held ‘in trust’
- We reshaped the areas where we live, not to all point south to maximise solar gain as the ancient aztecs would have, not next the shops and near the schools as the victorians would have, but
- An initial analysis shows that, in this future, our actions have also helped us adapt to expected changes in climate while increasing our resilience to unexpected changes; improved upon a number of other significant environmental problems aside from climate change; created over a million jobs; and have had a positive impact on our economy and on the health and wellbeing of individuals and society.
- Fossil fuels = muscles = male energy
- We have just had 25 years of continuity, a whole generation has grown up where the lights come on, there’s food waiting on the shelves, fuel waiting in the pumps - even planes waiting on the runway!
- We have just had 25 years of continuity, a whole generation has grown up where the lights come on, there’s food waiting on the shelves, fuel waiting in the pumps - even planes waiting on the runway!
- But if we only talk in terms of fear, chaos, collapse and devestation, we aren’t going to equip people to build a positive future
- Refs from the guardian coverage
- And we say, using currently available technology, we can reduce how much energy we consume by a massive 60%.
- So, that’s half the story – or about 60% of it, I guess, with respect to energy. The complimentary part is what we call ‘power up’ – producing the energy we still need (which is still a fair amount!).
- This isn’t totally new, different researchers have come to very similar conclusions. But the big question always is: Can we keep the lights on? With so much energy in the form of electricity from fluctuating, variable sources like wind and sun, how do we make sure that supply always meets demand? What do we do on a day when the wind doesn’t blow and the sun doesn’t shine? Can we depend on British weather?
- And that allowed us to see how supply and demand would match, and when there is a shortfall, and when there is a surplus. And one very important finding is that if you want to go 100% renewable energy then you will have times of shortfall, and you will have times of surplus. In our scenario we use a wide range of different energy sources, we have our wind farms and solar panels spread across the width and breadth of the UK – and we still have some fairly dramatic fluctuations in the supply/demand balance. But the good news is, we have worked out how to deal with them!
- So, that’s the energy story. But it links us through to the way we use our land. Not only do we need to look at our land use because agriculture in the UK is responsible for about 10% of emissions in the UK, but we also need some biomass – trees, grasses etc – for our energy system. But first, food. We need to eat.
- 1/3 dedicated to food 1/3 dedicated to carbon capture 17% dedicated to energy/fuel
- Once energy has been reduced, and non energy and land greatly reduced it becomes possible to balance out the residual emissions with natural net negative processes - and so reaching zero emissions
- There is a clear gap between what the physics demands and what is ‘politically acceptable’ to consider. ZCB aims to build conversations which cross this chasm
- This human response to climate change is unfolding as a political tragedy because scientific knowledge and economic power are pointing in different directions.
- Today’s news - John Humphries
- As we make our changes, in culture, technology and lifestyle & explore the changes others have made, we begin to glimpse a truly sustainable future, dappled here in the present
- The most recent climate science now demands a much greater sense of urgency than the current mainstream view. Current UK ghg ‘emissions pledges’ do not offer rapid enough reductions to provide a good chance of avoiding 2deg - extremely dangerous climate change. Neither do they offer the UK’s ‘fair share’ needed to broker global agreement. We know this but we ‘normalise it’ and carry on with day to day matters.
- 6 weeks after we launched the first ZCB report, the LibDems launched this, inspired by our MP Lembit Opik who took our report to them
- Oberlin arranged a mini conference around my visit. Project Zero is a public-ｭ‐private partnership, which includes the innovative technical company Danfoss. It aims for net zero by 2029 in their region of Sonderborg
- INDC’s which will be released in the first quarter of 2015, everyone will be reviewing their pledges and integrating them to give the global picture, and how far it is from what the science demands - We are planning to book a side event stall at the inter-sessional climate negotiations in Bonn in June to reach delegates. Official INDC summation published Q3 We see the main part of the work being to have an influence before the climate talks in Paris rather than at them, as decisions will already have been taken. But expectations are being lowered