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TECHNICAL SEMINAR ON
ASTEROID MINING: FUTURE OF SPACE SCIENCE
P R E S E N T E D B Y
S A C H I N L A H A N U
B H U S A L
4 K M 1 4 A E 0 0 4
8 T H S E M
A E R O N A U T I C A L
E N G I N E E R I N G K I T,
M A N G A L O R E
U N D E R G U I D A N C E O F
R A M E S H N A I K
M . T E C H ( P H D )
H E A D O F T H E D E P T.
D E P T. O F
A E R O N A U T I C A L
E N G I N E E R I N G K I T,
M A N G A L O R E
OUTLINE
• Introduction
• Factor: Economic Demand
• Factor: Supply (Asteroid
Composition)
• Factor: Accessibility
(Astrodynamics)
• Factor: Mining Technology
• Net Present Value
• Example Case
GROWING INTEREST IN SPACE
MINING
NEAR-EARTH ASTEROIDS
• Near-Earth Asteroids (NEAs) are of
interest due to the relative ease of
reaching them.
• All NEAs have perihelion of less than
1.3 AUs.
Image Credit: William K Hartmann
KNOWN NEAS
Image Credit: NASA JPL
IMPORTANT QUESTIONS
Astrodynamics
and Propulsion
Asteroid
Composition
Mining
Technologies
Economic
Demand
ECONOMIC DEMAND
Image Credit: http://www.lubpedia.com/wp-
content/uploads/2013/03/HD-Pictures-of-Earth-from-Space-
4.jpg
Space market:
Life support Construction
Propellant Refrigerant
Agriculture
Earth market:
Construction Electronics
Jewelry Fuel cells
Industrial
TYPES OF NEAS
S-type
Stony
(silicates,
sulfides, metals)
C-type
Carbonaceous
(water, volatiles)
M-type
Metallic
(metals)
MATERIALS FROM NEAS
Material Product
Raw silicate Ballast or shielding in space
Water and other volatiles Propellant in space
Nickel-Iron (Ni-Fe) metal Space structures
Construction on earth
Platinum Group Metals (PGMs) Catalyst for fuel cells and auto
catalyzers on earth
Jewelry on earth
Semiconductor metals Space solar arrays
Electronics on earth
NEA ORBIT TYPES
Image Credit: http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/neo/groups.html
ACCESSIBILITY EXAMPLE
“Apollo-Type” Mission
Image Credit: Sonter’s Thesis
MINING TECHNOLOGY:
WATER EXTRACTION
Image Credits: Zacny et al. “Mobile In-situ Water Extractor
(MISWE) for Mars, Moon, and Asteroids In Situ Resource
Utilization.”
Water ice extraction from soils
currently being developed by
Honeybee called the Mars In-situ
Water Extractor (MISWE).
NET PRESENT VALUE
• The economic justification for an
asteroid mining operation is only the
case if the net present value (NPV) is
above zero.
SONTER’S NPV EQUATION
Corbit is the per kilogram Earth-to-orbit launch cost [$/kg]
Mmpe is mass of mining and processing equipment [kg]
f is the specific mass throughput ratio for the miner [kg mined / kg
equipment / day]
t is the mining period [days]
r is the percentage recovery of the valuable material from the ore
∆v is the velocity increment needed for the return trajectory [km/s]
ve is the propulsion system exhaust velocity [km/s]
i is the market interest rate
a is semi-major axis of transfer orbit [AU]
Mps is mass of power supply [kg]
Mic is mass of instrumentation and control [kg]
Cmanuf is the specific cost of manufacture of the miner etc. [$/kg]
GE AND SATAK NPV
𝑁𝑃𝑉 = 𝑃 − 𝐶 𝑀 − 𝐶𝐿 − 𝐶 𝑅 − 𝐶 𝐸, where
P = returned profit ($)
CM= Manufacturing cost ($)
CL= Launch cost ($) is equal to ms/c (mass of spacecraft) *
uLV (unit mass cost)
CR= Recurring cost ($) is equal to B (annual operational
expense) * T (total time)
CE= Reentry cost ($) is equal to Mreturned (mass returned) * fe
(fraction of material sold on Earth) * uRV (unit mass cost)
𝐶 𝑀 = 𝐶 𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑒𝑟 + 𝐶𝑠𝑝𝑎𝑐𝑒𝑐𝑟𝑎𝑓𝑡
𝐶 𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑒𝑟 = 𝑀 𝑚𝑝𝑒 𝑢
𝑃 =
𝑉𝑠 1 − 𝑓𝑒 + 𝑉𝑒 𝑓𝑒 𝑀𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑒𝑑
(1 + 𝑖) 𝑇
where,
Vs= Value in space ($)
Ve= Value on Earth ($)
fe= Fraction of material sold on Earth
𝐶𝑠/𝑐 = 106(225 +
𝑀 𝑚𝑝𝑒 𝑝 𝑓
8
)
𝑝 𝑓 =
𝑒−∆𝑣 𝑡/𝑣 𝑒 − 𝑠𝑓
1 − 𝑠𝑓
where,
u = unit cost of miner ($/kg)
pf = payload fraction
sf = structural fraction
∆𝑣 𝑡 = delta-v to asteroid
ve = exhaust velocity
EXAMPLE CASE:
1996 FG3
Preliminary baseline of MarcoPolo-R Mission
Element Value
Uncertainty
(1-sigma)
Units
e
.34983406668
87911
1.5696e-08
a
1.0541679265
97945
7.8388e-10 AU
q
.68538407386
32947
1.6408e-08 AU
i
1.9917406207
71903
1.4433e-06 deg
node
299.73096661
80939
4.8879e-05 deg
peri
23.981176173
36174
4.8216e-05 deg
M
167.67133206
88418
1.4068e-06 deg
tp
2456216.3721
68471335
(2012-Oct-
15.87216847)
1.4204e-06 JED
period
395.33305146
70441
1.08
4.4095e-07
1.207e-09
d
yr
n
.91062459529
7746
1.0157e-09 deg/d
Q
1.4229517793
32595
1.0581e-09 AU
Source: NASA JPL
TRAJECTORY TO 1996 FG3
NPV COMPARISONS
• Both mining time and total time for
is optimized for maximum returns.
• Selling water at $200.00
per liter (kg) yields a NPV
of $763,370,000.
CONCLUSION
THE NEXT STEPS
1. Asteroid Composition. Create database of NEAs
of interest for resource extraction with their
orbits and compositions.
2. Space Mining. Develop potential mining
technologies for modified use in space for
resources other than water.
3. Astrodynamics. Design optimal trajectories and
an in-depth study of various propulsion methods.
4. Space Economics. Identify supply and demand
curve and formulate a more rigorous discount
rate.
REFERENCE
1. www.Planetoryresourses.com
2. www.Deepspaceindustry.com
3. Strangway D W (1979), “Moon and Asteroid mines will supply raw material for space
exploration”, Canadian Mining Journal May 1979 p44-47, 52.
4. O’Leary, Brian et al. (1979) Space Resources and Space Settlements, NASA SP-428,
173-189.
5. Gertsch, R.E. et al. (1997) Near Earth Objects, Annals NY Acad Sci, 822, 468-
510. Gertsch, R.E. et al. (1997) Near Earth Objects, Annals NY Acad Sci, 822,
511537.
6. Internat’l Space Univ (1990) International Asteroid Mission Final Report, Toronto.
7. Thomson, W T, (1986), Introduction to Space Dynamics, Dover, NY, 1986.
8. Economics Of Asteroid Mining by GE and SATAK
9. Reichhardt I (1994), “Congress directs NASA to plan an Asteroid hunt”, Nature 370 11
August 1994 p 136-139.
10. Ostro S B et al. (1991), “Asteroid 1986 DA: Radar Evidence for a Metallic
Composition”, Science 252 June 7 1991.
11. The Technical and Economic Feasibility of Mining the Near-Earth Asteroids by Mark
J Sonter, B.Sc., M.App.Sc.
12. Weidenschilling S J (1994), “Origin of Cometary Nuclei as ‘Rubble Piles”, Nature 368
21 April 1994 pp721-728.
13. Vilas, F (1994), A Cheaper, Better, Faster Way to Detect Water of Hydration on Solar
System Bodies, Icarus 111, pp456-467, 1994.

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Asteroid mining

  • 1. TECHNICAL SEMINAR ON ASTEROID MINING: FUTURE OF SPACE SCIENCE P R E S E N T E D B Y S A C H I N L A H A N U B H U S A L 4 K M 1 4 A E 0 0 4 8 T H S E M A E R O N A U T I C A L E N G I N E E R I N G K I T, M A N G A L O R E U N D E R G U I D A N C E O F R A M E S H N A I K M . T E C H ( P H D ) H E A D O F T H E D E P T. D E P T. O F A E R O N A U T I C A L E N G I N E E R I N G K I T, M A N G A L O R E
  • 2. OUTLINE • Introduction • Factor: Economic Demand • Factor: Supply (Asteroid Composition) • Factor: Accessibility (Astrodynamics) • Factor: Mining Technology • Net Present Value • Example Case
  • 3. GROWING INTEREST IN SPACE MINING
  • 4. NEAR-EARTH ASTEROIDS • Near-Earth Asteroids (NEAs) are of interest due to the relative ease of reaching them. • All NEAs have perihelion of less than 1.3 AUs. Image Credit: William K Hartmann
  • 7. ECONOMIC DEMAND Image Credit: http://www.lubpedia.com/wp- content/uploads/2013/03/HD-Pictures-of-Earth-from-Space- 4.jpg Space market: Life support Construction Propellant Refrigerant Agriculture Earth market: Construction Electronics Jewelry Fuel cells Industrial
  • 8. TYPES OF NEAS S-type Stony (silicates, sulfides, metals) C-type Carbonaceous (water, volatiles) M-type Metallic (metals)
  • 9.
  • 10. MATERIALS FROM NEAS Material Product Raw silicate Ballast or shielding in space Water and other volatiles Propellant in space Nickel-Iron (Ni-Fe) metal Space structures Construction on earth Platinum Group Metals (PGMs) Catalyst for fuel cells and auto catalyzers on earth Jewelry on earth Semiconductor metals Space solar arrays Electronics on earth
  • 11. NEA ORBIT TYPES Image Credit: http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/neo/groups.html
  • 13. MINING TECHNOLOGY: WATER EXTRACTION Image Credits: Zacny et al. “Mobile In-situ Water Extractor (MISWE) for Mars, Moon, and Asteroids In Situ Resource Utilization.” Water ice extraction from soils currently being developed by Honeybee called the Mars In-situ Water Extractor (MISWE).
  • 14. NET PRESENT VALUE • The economic justification for an asteroid mining operation is only the case if the net present value (NPV) is above zero.
  • 15. SONTER’S NPV EQUATION Corbit is the per kilogram Earth-to-orbit launch cost [$/kg] Mmpe is mass of mining and processing equipment [kg] f is the specific mass throughput ratio for the miner [kg mined / kg equipment / day] t is the mining period [days] r is the percentage recovery of the valuable material from the ore ∆v is the velocity increment needed for the return trajectory [km/s] ve is the propulsion system exhaust velocity [km/s] i is the market interest rate a is semi-major axis of transfer orbit [AU] Mps is mass of power supply [kg] Mic is mass of instrumentation and control [kg] Cmanuf is the specific cost of manufacture of the miner etc. [$/kg]
  • 16. GE AND SATAK NPV 𝑁𝑃𝑉 = 𝑃 − 𝐶 𝑀 − 𝐶𝐿 − 𝐶 𝑅 − 𝐶 𝐸, where P = returned profit ($) CM= Manufacturing cost ($) CL= Launch cost ($) is equal to ms/c (mass of spacecraft) * uLV (unit mass cost) CR= Recurring cost ($) is equal to B (annual operational expense) * T (total time) CE= Reentry cost ($) is equal to Mreturned (mass returned) * fe (fraction of material sold on Earth) * uRV (unit mass cost) 𝐶 𝑀 = 𝐶 𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑒𝑟 + 𝐶𝑠𝑝𝑎𝑐𝑒𝑐𝑟𝑎𝑓𝑡 𝐶 𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑒𝑟 = 𝑀 𝑚𝑝𝑒 𝑢 𝑃 = 𝑉𝑠 1 − 𝑓𝑒 + 𝑉𝑒 𝑓𝑒 𝑀𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑒𝑑 (1 + 𝑖) 𝑇 where, Vs= Value in space ($) Ve= Value on Earth ($) fe= Fraction of material sold on Earth 𝐶𝑠/𝑐 = 106(225 + 𝑀 𝑚𝑝𝑒 𝑝 𝑓 8 ) 𝑝 𝑓 = 𝑒−∆𝑣 𝑡/𝑣 𝑒 − 𝑠𝑓 1 − 𝑠𝑓 where, u = unit cost of miner ($/kg) pf = payload fraction sf = structural fraction ∆𝑣 𝑡 = delta-v to asteroid ve = exhaust velocity
  • 17. EXAMPLE CASE: 1996 FG3 Preliminary baseline of MarcoPolo-R Mission Element Value Uncertainty (1-sigma) Units e .34983406668 87911 1.5696e-08 a 1.0541679265 97945 7.8388e-10 AU q .68538407386 32947 1.6408e-08 AU i 1.9917406207 71903 1.4433e-06 deg node 299.73096661 80939 4.8879e-05 deg peri 23.981176173 36174 4.8216e-05 deg M 167.67133206 88418 1.4068e-06 deg tp 2456216.3721 68471335 (2012-Oct- 15.87216847) 1.4204e-06 JED period 395.33305146 70441 1.08 4.4095e-07 1.207e-09 d yr n .91062459529 7746 1.0157e-09 deg/d Q 1.4229517793 32595 1.0581e-09 AU Source: NASA JPL
  • 19. NPV COMPARISONS • Both mining time and total time for is optimized for maximum returns. • Selling water at $200.00 per liter (kg) yields a NPV of $763,370,000.
  • 20. CONCLUSION THE NEXT STEPS 1. Asteroid Composition. Create database of NEAs of interest for resource extraction with their orbits and compositions. 2. Space Mining. Develop potential mining technologies for modified use in space for resources other than water. 3. Astrodynamics. Design optimal trajectories and an in-depth study of various propulsion methods. 4. Space Economics. Identify supply and demand curve and formulate a more rigorous discount rate.
  • 21. REFERENCE 1. www.Planetoryresourses.com 2. www.Deepspaceindustry.com 3. Strangway D W (1979), “Moon and Asteroid mines will supply raw material for space exploration”, Canadian Mining Journal May 1979 p44-47, 52. 4. O’Leary, Brian et al. (1979) Space Resources and Space Settlements, NASA SP-428, 173-189. 5. Gertsch, R.E. et al. (1997) Near Earth Objects, Annals NY Acad Sci, 822, 468- 510. Gertsch, R.E. et al. (1997) Near Earth Objects, Annals NY Acad Sci, 822, 511537. 6. Internat’l Space Univ (1990) International Asteroid Mission Final Report, Toronto. 7. Thomson, W T, (1986), Introduction to Space Dynamics, Dover, NY, 1986. 8. Economics Of Asteroid Mining by GE and SATAK 9. Reichhardt I (1994), “Congress directs NASA to plan an Asteroid hunt”, Nature 370 11 August 1994 p 136-139. 10. Ostro S B et al. (1991), “Asteroid 1986 DA: Radar Evidence for a Metallic Composition”, Science 252 June 7 1991. 11. The Technical and Economic Feasibility of Mining the Near-Earth Asteroids by Mark J Sonter, B.Sc., M.App.Sc. 12. Weidenschilling S J (1994), “Origin of Cometary Nuclei as ‘Rubble Piles”, Nature 368 21 April 1994 pp721-728. 13. Vilas, F (1994), A Cheaper, Better, Faster Way to Detect Water of Hydration on Solar System Bodies, Icarus 111, pp456-467, 1994.

Editor's Notes

  1. 1AU = 92955000
  2. MISWE is designed to be deployed from a mid-size rover or a lander. The ISADS auger is 10 cm in diameter and drills up to 50 cm deep. The volume of sample per single operation is ~3500 cc with a mass of ~5 kg at 1.5 g/cc material density, a representative sample of ice and soil. The proof of concept’s drilling power was ~100 watts and the penetration rate was 1 m/hr. Preliminary tests recovered more than 50% of water in the soil. The sequence of operations is as follows (Zacny and Chu et al., 2012), The MISWE lowers and preloads the VECS sleeve onto the rock-free surface. ISADS auger starts drilling and acquires icy-soil. Upon reaching the target depth, ISADS auger retracts from the hole back into the VECS sleeve. MISWE moves into a new location and preloads the VECS sleeve against a fresh surface creating a seal. ISADS starts heating up the icy-soil. Pump liquid water into a storage tank within the Warm Electronics Box. VECS moves up exposing the ISADS auger. ISADS auger spins ejecting dry soil. ISADS auger moves into the stowed position. Rover moves onto next location.