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Regional & Metropolitan Planning
Dr. Mohammed Firoz . C
Architect and Urbanist
Department of Architecture and Planning
National Institute of Technology Calicut, India
Theories and Techniques of Regional Development and Planning
2. Theory of Cumulative causation
• Theory of Cumulative causation, proposed by Professor Gunnar Myrdal who has
received more than thirty awards in his lifetime including the Nobel Prize in
1974 for his ‘pioneering work in the ‘theory of money and economic fluctuations
and penetrating analysis’ of the interdependence of economic, social and
institutional phenomena.
• Prof. Gunnar Myrdal maintains that economic development results in a circular
causation process leading to rapid development of developed countries while
the weaker countries tend to remain behind and poor
• The concept of Core and Periphery- Development and underdevelopment
Cumulative causation
Region A
Adv:
Region B
Dis Adv:
Give and Take
Cumulative causation
• Developed Countries /Region are known as the core, and Low Developed
Countries/Region are referred to as the periphery
Core countries/Regions
Periphery
countries/Regions
Cumulative causation
• Developed Countries /Region develop at the cost of Low Developed
Countries/Region–Case example of Angola and Portugal- In return Angola also
benefits- Concept of Colonialisation in India before 1947 ( A simplistic example)
Cumulative causation
Un even development-Concept of Backwash effect and Spread effect
What is the backwash effect?
• Pulling off all dynamic elements to
the growth center from the
surrounding location is called the
backwash effect.
• Core grows –Attracts
labour and brain drain
from the periphery
• Profit controlled by core-
very little reaches the
Periphery
• Flow of raw materials and
labour leaves the
periphery at
disadvantages
What is the spread effect?
During the time, the growth center or the big
cities/core regions began to decrease due to
pollution and congestion or other reasons. It
leads to pulling out the resources from big
cities/core and there is a spread of
development of the periphery region around
this growth center. This effect is called the
spread effect.
Cumulative causation
• Spread of wealth and
Knowledge from core
to periphery
• Benefits of core starts
to redistribute amongst
the periphery
• Narrows disparities.
• Called as Centrifugal
growth
Case study of Spread effect- Thailand –Japan Car industry
Cumulative causation
• In 1990’s due to
extreme cost of car
manufacture in
Japan, many
industries started to
look for cheap labor
and cost effective
destinations
• Factories started to
relocate to Thailand
• Jobs and investment
flow for Thailand
• Transfer of
technologies to
Thailand Illustration of Spread effect-Centrifugal Growth
• Concept of Make in India
• Industrial locations of IT/ITES/ Manufacturing hubs of Automobiles / smartphone in India
and China –Gujarat-TN-Hariyana egs of such regions
• Many US/Japan/EU companies started functioning their industries in India and China
Detailed demonstration :
• On a regional scale, the introduction of a new industry/economic activity or the
expansion of an existing industry /economic activity in an area also encourages
growth in other industrial/economic sectors also.
• This is known as the multiplier effect which in its simplest form is how many times
money spent circulates through a country's economy.
• Money invested in an industry helps to create jobs directly in the industry and
locality , but it also creates jobs indirectly elsewhere in the economy.
• New industrial development, for example, requires construction workers who
themselves require housing, and services such as schools and shops. An increased
demand for food will benefit local farmers who may increase their spending on
fertiliser.
• Workers employed directly in the new industry increase the local supply of skilled
labour, attracting other companies who benefit from sharing this labour pool. Other
companies who supply components or use the new industry's products are attracted
to the area to benefit from reduced transport costs.
• Spin-off effects include new inventions or innovations that may lead to further
industrial development and new linkages.
• Through this multiplier effect, an area can develop as a growth pole
Cumulative causation
Cumulative causation
Growth pole further leads to development of Economic linkages and economic
influence zone
Cumulative causation
Cumulative causation
• The cumulative causation effect is mostly circular in nature. Hence it is also
called as the circular cumulative causation effect.
• Back wash effect and spread effect has far reaching application in international
trade, regional development and much more
• The main cause of Underdevelopment and backward effect is backwash effect
and poor spread effect
• Developed countries/Regions Vs Underdeveloped regions
Cumulative causation
Balancing the SPE & BWE is the challange
• Cumulative causation theory proves that ???
• Market mechanism will not provide equality, but will increase inequality
• Government intervention and polices should address the same
• Spread effect to be promoted by providing import surplus industries there by
making the spread effect
• Institutional reforms are mandatory for such changes.
• Proper regional planning can increase the spread effect and reduce the Back
wash effect.
Cumulative causation
Cumulative causation
THANK YOU
https://www.onlyiasexam.com/2019/09/theory-
of-cumulative-causation-by-Myrdal.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1kakK34TN
Pg
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=upbqsdHq
DBM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pRnJoO-
nes4
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AZCMTOef
aw8
Economic Base analysis
https://www.onlyiasexam.com/2019/09/theory-
of-cumulative-causation-by-Myrdal.html
Economic Base analysis

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Regional Planning Theories

  • 1. Regional & Metropolitan Planning Dr. Mohammed Firoz . C Architect and Urbanist Department of Architecture and Planning National Institute of Technology Calicut, India
  • 2. Theories and Techniques of Regional Development and Planning
  • 3. 2. Theory of Cumulative causation
  • 4. • Theory of Cumulative causation, proposed by Professor Gunnar Myrdal who has received more than thirty awards in his lifetime including the Nobel Prize in 1974 for his ‘pioneering work in the ‘theory of money and economic fluctuations and penetrating analysis’ of the interdependence of economic, social and institutional phenomena. • Prof. Gunnar Myrdal maintains that economic development results in a circular causation process leading to rapid development of developed countries while the weaker countries tend to remain behind and poor • The concept of Core and Periphery- Development and underdevelopment Cumulative causation Region A Adv: Region B Dis Adv: Give and Take
  • 5. Cumulative causation • Developed Countries /Region are known as the core, and Low Developed Countries/Region are referred to as the periphery Core countries/Regions Periphery countries/Regions
  • 6. Cumulative causation • Developed Countries /Region develop at the cost of Low Developed Countries/Region–Case example of Angola and Portugal- In return Angola also benefits- Concept of Colonialisation in India before 1947 ( A simplistic example)
  • 7. Cumulative causation Un even development-Concept of Backwash effect and Spread effect What is the backwash effect? • Pulling off all dynamic elements to the growth center from the surrounding location is called the backwash effect. • Core grows –Attracts labour and brain drain from the periphery • Profit controlled by core- very little reaches the Periphery • Flow of raw materials and labour leaves the periphery at disadvantages
  • 8. What is the spread effect? During the time, the growth center or the big cities/core regions began to decrease due to pollution and congestion or other reasons. It leads to pulling out the resources from big cities/core and there is a spread of development of the periphery region around this growth center. This effect is called the spread effect. Cumulative causation • Spread of wealth and Knowledge from core to periphery • Benefits of core starts to redistribute amongst the periphery • Narrows disparities. • Called as Centrifugal growth
  • 9. Case study of Spread effect- Thailand –Japan Car industry Cumulative causation • In 1990’s due to extreme cost of car manufacture in Japan, many industries started to look for cheap labor and cost effective destinations • Factories started to relocate to Thailand • Jobs and investment flow for Thailand • Transfer of technologies to Thailand Illustration of Spread effect-Centrifugal Growth • Concept of Make in India • Industrial locations of IT/ITES/ Manufacturing hubs of Automobiles / smartphone in India and China –Gujarat-TN-Hariyana egs of such regions • Many US/Japan/EU companies started functioning their industries in India and China
  • 10. Detailed demonstration : • On a regional scale, the introduction of a new industry/economic activity or the expansion of an existing industry /economic activity in an area also encourages growth in other industrial/economic sectors also. • This is known as the multiplier effect which in its simplest form is how many times money spent circulates through a country's economy. • Money invested in an industry helps to create jobs directly in the industry and locality , but it also creates jobs indirectly elsewhere in the economy. • New industrial development, for example, requires construction workers who themselves require housing, and services such as schools and shops. An increased demand for food will benefit local farmers who may increase their spending on fertiliser. • Workers employed directly in the new industry increase the local supply of skilled labour, attracting other companies who benefit from sharing this labour pool. Other companies who supply components or use the new industry's products are attracted to the area to benefit from reduced transport costs. • Spin-off effects include new inventions or innovations that may lead to further industrial development and new linkages. • Through this multiplier effect, an area can develop as a growth pole Cumulative causation
  • 12. Growth pole further leads to development of Economic linkages and economic influence zone Cumulative causation
  • 14. • The cumulative causation effect is mostly circular in nature. Hence it is also called as the circular cumulative causation effect. • Back wash effect and spread effect has far reaching application in international trade, regional development and much more • The main cause of Underdevelopment and backward effect is backwash effect and poor spread effect • Developed countries/Regions Vs Underdeveloped regions Cumulative causation Balancing the SPE & BWE is the challange
  • 15. • Cumulative causation theory proves that ??? • Market mechanism will not provide equality, but will increase inequality • Government intervention and polices should address the same • Spread effect to be promoted by providing import surplus industries there by making the spread effect • Institutional reforms are mandatory for such changes. • Proper regional planning can increase the spread effect and reduce the Back wash effect. Cumulative causation