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Us economic growth remains above trend

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STANLIB

Recently released US economic indicators remain encouraging, and suggest that US economic growth remains above trend in 2017.

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RecentlyreleasedUSeconomicindicatorsremainencouraging,andsuggestthatUS economicgrowthremainsabovetrendin2017. STANLIBisanauthorisedfinancialservicesprovider USeconomicgrowthremainsabovetrend. ThetheUSleadingeconomicindicatorrosebyafurther0.3%m/m,inlinewithmarket expectations.Overthepastyeartheleadingindex,ascompiledbytheConferenceBoard,is up3.5%y/y.Thismomentumofthelastsixmonthssignalsapick-upineconomicgrowthin theUSoverthenext6-12months. TheConferenceBoardeconomistindicatesthatthisdatatranslatesintothelikelihoodofthe USeconomyremainingonoraboveitslong-termtrendof2%growthfortheyear.Thisis corroboratedbythehighly-respectedFederalReserveBankofChicago’sNationalActivityIndex. Thisisdue,inpart,totheelectioncampaignpromisesmadebyDonaldTrump,andthose madeinthedaysfollowinghiselection(taxcuts,extensivederegulation,effectivetrade protectionandinfrastructuralspending).TherecenttrendindicatesthattheUSeconomy shouldcontinuetoshowsolidgrowthinthesecondhalfof2017andintoearly2018ifthe Trumpadministrationisabletoimplementpolicymeasuresaimedatstimulatingprivate sectorfixedinvestmentspending.

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Us economic growth remains above trend