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ANCOVA
(Analysis of
Covariance)
Group 26
GOMEZ, ROMIELYN
EdD 603 – Statistics
Today's
Discussion
Outline of Topics
ANCOVA (Analysis of Covariance)
01
Formula
03
ANCOVA in SPSS
04
02 Assumptions
Analysis of covariance is used to test the main and
interaction effects of categorical variables on a
continuous dependent variable, controlling for the
effects of selected other continuous variables,
which co-vary with the dependent. The control
variables are called the "covariates."
Overview
ANCOVA
(Analysis of
Covariance)
ANCOVA is used for several
purposes:
In experimental designs, to
control for factors which
cannot be randomized but
which can be measured on
an interval scale.
In observational designs, to
remove the effects of
variables which modify the
relationship of the
categorical independents to
the interval dependent.
In regression models, to fit
regressions where there are
both categorical and interval
independents. (This third
purpose has become displaced
by logistic regression and other
methods.
ANCOVA is a blend of analysis of
variance (ANOVA) and regression. It is
similar to factorial ANOVA, in that it
can tell you what additional
information you can get by
considering one independent variable
(factor) at a time, without the influence
of the others. It can be used as:
·An extension of multiple
regression to compare
multiple regression lines,
·An extension of analysis of
variance.
Although ANCOVA is usually used when there are
differences between your baseline groups (Senn,
1994; Overall, 1993), it can also be used in
pretest/posttest analysis when regression to the
mean affects your posttest measurement (Bonate,
2000). The technique is also common in non-
experimental research (e.g. surveys) and for quasi-
experiments (when study participants can’t be
assigned randomly). However, this particular
application of ANCOVA is not always
recommended (Vogt, 1999).
Key Concepts and
Terms
Covariate
An interval-level (i.e.
continuous) independent
variable. If there are no
covariates, ANOVA must be
used instead of ANCOVA, and
if there are covariates,
ANCOVA is used instead of
ANOVA. Covariates are
commonly used as control
variables.
For instance, use of a baseline
pre-test score can be used as a
covariate to control for initial
group differences on math
ability or whatever is being
assessed in the ANCOVA
study.
That is, in ANCOVA we look at
the effects of the categorical
independents on an interval
dependent (i.e. response)
variable, after effects of interval
covariates are controlled. (This
is similar to regression, where
the beta weights of categorical
independents represented as
dummy variables entered after
interval independents reflect
the control effect of these
independents).
Key Concepts and
Terms
F-test
The F-test of significance is
used to test each main and
interaction effect, for the case
of a single interval dependent
and multiple (>2) groups
formed by a categorical
independent. F is between-
groups variance divided by
within-groups variance. If the
computed p-value is small, then
significant relationships exist.
Adjusted means are usually
part of ANCOVA output and
are examined if the F-test
demonstrates significant
relationships exist. Comparison
of the original and adjusted
group means can provide
insight into the role of the
covariates. For k groups formed
by categories of the categorical
independents and measured on
the dependent variable, the
adjustment shows how these k
means were altered to control
for the covariates.
Key Concepts and
Terms
t-test
: A test of significance of the
difference in the means of a
single interval dependent, for
the case of two groups formed
by a categorical independent.
Can ANCOVA be
modeled using
regression?
Yes, if dummy variables are used for the categorical
independents. When creating dummy variables, one must use one
less category than there are values of each independent. For full
ANCOVA one would also add the interaction cross-product terms
for each pair of independents included in the
equation, including the dummies. Then one computes multiple
regression. The resulting F tests will be the same as in classical
ANCOVA. F ratio can also be computed through the extra sum of
squares using Full-Reduced Model approach.
Assumptions
(At least one categorical and at
least one interval independent) The
independent variable(s) may be
categorical, except at least one must
be a covariate (interval level).
Likewise, at least one independent
must be categorical.
Assumptions
(Interval dependent) The
dependent variable is continuous
and interval level.
Assumptions
(Low measurement error of the
covariate) The covariate variables
are continuous and interval level,
and are assumed to be measured
without error.
(Covariate linearly or in known
relationship to the dependent) The
form of the relationship between the
covariate and the dependent must
be known and most computer
programs assume this relationship is
linear, adjusting the dependent mean
based on linear regression.
Scatterplots of the covariate and the
dependent for each of the k groups
formed by the independents is one
way to assess violations of this
assumption.
Assumptions
(Homogeneity of covariate regression
coefficients; i.e. “parallel lines model”)
The covariate coefficients (the slopes of
the regression lines) are the same for
each group formed by the categorical
variables and measured on the
dependent. The more this assumption is
violated, the more conservative
ANCOVA becomes (the more likely it is
to make Type I errors - accepting a false
null hypothesis). There is a statistical
test of the assumption of homogeneity
of regression coefficients.
Assumptions
(Additivity) The values of the dependent
are an additive combination of its overall
mean, the effect of the categorical
independents, the covariate effect, and an
error term. ANCOVA is robust against
violations of additivity but in severe
violations the researcher may transform the
data, as by using a logarithmic
transformation to change a multiplicative
model into an additive model. Note,
however, that ANCOVA automatically
handles interaction effects and thus is not
an additive procedure in the sense of
regression models without interaction terms.
Assumptions
(Independence of the error term) The
error term is independent of the
covariates and the categorical
independents. Randomization in
experimental designs assures this
assumption will be met.
Assumptions
(Independent variables orthogonal to
covariates) The independents are
orthogonal. If the covariate is influenced
by the categorical independents, then
the control adjustment ANCOVA makes
on the dependent variable prior to
assessing the effects of the categorical
independents will be biased since some
indirect effects of the independents will
be removed from the dependent.
Assumptions
(Homogeneity of variances) There is
homogeneity of variances in the cells
formed by the independent categorical
variable Heteroscedasticity is lack of
homogeneity of variances, in violation of
this assumption.
Assumptions
(Multivariate normality) For purposes
of significance testing, variables follow
multivariate normal distributions.
Assumptions
(Compound sphericity) The groups
display sphericity (the variance of the
difference between the estimated
means for any two different groups is
the same) A more restrictive
assumption, called compound
symmetry, is that the correlations
between any two different groups are
the same value. If compound symmetry
exists, sphericity exists. Tests or
adjustments for lack of sphericity are
usually actually based on possible lack
of compound symmetry.
Assumptions
References
BOOKS AND ARTICLES
Bonate, P. (2000). Analysis of Pretest-Posttest Designs.
CRC Press.
Horn, R. (n.d.). Understanding Analysis of Covariance.
Retrieved October 26, 2017 from:
http://oak.ucc.nau.edu/rh232/courses/eps625/
Leech, N. et. al (2005). SPSS for Intermediate Statistics:
Use and Interpretation. Psychology Press.
Overall, J. (1993). Letter to the editor: The use of
inadequate correlations for baseline imbalance remains
a serious problem. J.Biopharm. Stat. 3, 271.
Senn, S. (1994). Testing for baseline balance in clinical
trials. Statistics in Medicine. Volume 13, Issue 17.
Vogt, W. P. (1999). Dictionary of Statistics and
Methodology: A Nontechnical Guide for the Social
Sciences (2nd ed.). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage
Publications.
https://statistics.laerd.com/spss-tutorials/ancova-using-
spss-statistics.php
THANK
YOU!

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ANCOVA-Analysis-of-Covariance.pptx

  • 1. ANCOVA (Analysis of Covariance) Group 26 GOMEZ, ROMIELYN EdD 603 – Statistics
  • 2. Today's Discussion Outline of Topics ANCOVA (Analysis of Covariance) 01 Formula 03 ANCOVA in SPSS 04 02 Assumptions
  • 3. Analysis of covariance is used to test the main and interaction effects of categorical variables on a continuous dependent variable, controlling for the effects of selected other continuous variables, which co-vary with the dependent. The control variables are called the "covariates." Overview
  • 4. ANCOVA (Analysis of Covariance) ANCOVA is used for several purposes:
  • 5. In experimental designs, to control for factors which cannot be randomized but which can be measured on an interval scale. In observational designs, to remove the effects of variables which modify the relationship of the categorical independents to the interval dependent.
  • 6. In regression models, to fit regressions where there are both categorical and interval independents. (This third purpose has become displaced by logistic regression and other methods.
  • 7. ANCOVA is a blend of analysis of variance (ANOVA) and regression. It is similar to factorial ANOVA, in that it can tell you what additional information you can get by considering one independent variable (factor) at a time, without the influence of the others. It can be used as:
  • 8. ·An extension of multiple regression to compare multiple regression lines, ·An extension of analysis of variance.
  • 9. Although ANCOVA is usually used when there are differences between your baseline groups (Senn, 1994; Overall, 1993), it can also be used in pretest/posttest analysis when regression to the mean affects your posttest measurement (Bonate, 2000). The technique is also common in non- experimental research (e.g. surveys) and for quasi- experiments (when study participants can’t be assigned randomly). However, this particular application of ANCOVA is not always recommended (Vogt, 1999).
  • 10. Key Concepts and Terms Covariate An interval-level (i.e. continuous) independent variable. If there are no covariates, ANOVA must be used instead of ANCOVA, and if there are covariates, ANCOVA is used instead of ANOVA. Covariates are commonly used as control variables. For instance, use of a baseline pre-test score can be used as a covariate to control for initial group differences on math ability or whatever is being assessed in the ANCOVA study. That is, in ANCOVA we look at the effects of the categorical independents on an interval dependent (i.e. response) variable, after effects of interval covariates are controlled. (This is similar to regression, where the beta weights of categorical independents represented as dummy variables entered after interval independents reflect the control effect of these independents).
  • 11. Key Concepts and Terms F-test The F-test of significance is used to test each main and interaction effect, for the case of a single interval dependent and multiple (>2) groups formed by a categorical independent. F is between- groups variance divided by within-groups variance. If the computed p-value is small, then significant relationships exist. Adjusted means are usually part of ANCOVA output and are examined if the F-test demonstrates significant relationships exist. Comparison of the original and adjusted group means can provide insight into the role of the covariates. For k groups formed by categories of the categorical independents and measured on the dependent variable, the adjustment shows how these k means were altered to control for the covariates.
  • 12. Key Concepts and Terms t-test : A test of significance of the difference in the means of a single interval dependent, for the case of two groups formed by a categorical independent.
  • 13. Can ANCOVA be modeled using regression? Yes, if dummy variables are used for the categorical independents. When creating dummy variables, one must use one less category than there are values of each independent. For full ANCOVA one would also add the interaction cross-product terms for each pair of independents included in the equation, including the dummies. Then one computes multiple regression. The resulting F tests will be the same as in classical ANCOVA. F ratio can also be computed through the extra sum of squares using Full-Reduced Model approach.
  • 14. Assumptions (At least one categorical and at least one interval independent) The independent variable(s) may be categorical, except at least one must be a covariate (interval level). Likewise, at least one independent must be categorical.
  • 15. Assumptions (Interval dependent) The dependent variable is continuous and interval level.
  • 16. Assumptions (Low measurement error of the covariate) The covariate variables are continuous and interval level, and are assumed to be measured without error.
  • 17. (Covariate linearly or in known relationship to the dependent) The form of the relationship between the covariate and the dependent must be known and most computer programs assume this relationship is linear, adjusting the dependent mean based on linear regression. Scatterplots of the covariate and the dependent for each of the k groups formed by the independents is one way to assess violations of this assumption. Assumptions
  • 18. (Homogeneity of covariate regression coefficients; i.e. “parallel lines model”) The covariate coefficients (the slopes of the regression lines) are the same for each group formed by the categorical variables and measured on the dependent. The more this assumption is violated, the more conservative ANCOVA becomes (the more likely it is to make Type I errors - accepting a false null hypothesis). There is a statistical test of the assumption of homogeneity of regression coefficients. Assumptions
  • 19. (Additivity) The values of the dependent are an additive combination of its overall mean, the effect of the categorical independents, the covariate effect, and an error term. ANCOVA is robust against violations of additivity but in severe violations the researcher may transform the data, as by using a logarithmic transformation to change a multiplicative model into an additive model. Note, however, that ANCOVA automatically handles interaction effects and thus is not an additive procedure in the sense of regression models without interaction terms. Assumptions
  • 20. (Independence of the error term) The error term is independent of the covariates and the categorical independents. Randomization in experimental designs assures this assumption will be met. Assumptions
  • 21. (Independent variables orthogonal to covariates) The independents are orthogonal. If the covariate is influenced by the categorical independents, then the control adjustment ANCOVA makes on the dependent variable prior to assessing the effects of the categorical independents will be biased since some indirect effects of the independents will be removed from the dependent. Assumptions
  • 22. (Homogeneity of variances) There is homogeneity of variances in the cells formed by the independent categorical variable Heteroscedasticity is lack of homogeneity of variances, in violation of this assumption. Assumptions
  • 23. (Multivariate normality) For purposes of significance testing, variables follow multivariate normal distributions. Assumptions
  • 24. (Compound sphericity) The groups display sphericity (the variance of the difference between the estimated means for any two different groups is the same) A more restrictive assumption, called compound symmetry, is that the correlations between any two different groups are the same value. If compound symmetry exists, sphericity exists. Tests or adjustments for lack of sphericity are usually actually based on possible lack of compound symmetry. Assumptions
  • 25. References BOOKS AND ARTICLES Bonate, P. (2000). Analysis of Pretest-Posttest Designs. CRC Press. Horn, R. (n.d.). Understanding Analysis of Covariance. Retrieved October 26, 2017 from: http://oak.ucc.nau.edu/rh232/courses/eps625/ Leech, N. et. al (2005). SPSS for Intermediate Statistics: Use and Interpretation. Psychology Press. Overall, J. (1993). Letter to the editor: The use of inadequate correlations for baseline imbalance remains a serious problem. J.Biopharm. Stat. 3, 271. Senn, S. (1994). Testing for baseline balance in clinical trials. Statistics in Medicine. Volume 13, Issue 17. Vogt, W. P. (1999). Dictionary of Statistics and Methodology: A Nontechnical Guide for the Social Sciences (2nd ed.). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications. https://statistics.laerd.com/spss-tutorials/ancova-using- spss-statistics.php