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Introduction
Binomial Probability Distributions
Definition
A table of all the possible numbers
of successes for n number of trials
paired with the probability of that
number of success.
Example
Number of
successes, x
Probability
of each x
StudyTip
The sum of the
probabilities must
equal 1
Graph
The number of successes is
the independent variable, and
graphed on the horizontal axis
The probability is the dependent variable,
and graphed on the vertical axis
Graph The graphs
always make
this “bell” like
shape
Formula Mean of the distribution:
 = np
Variance of the distribution:
2 = npq
Standard deviation of the distribution:
 = npq
Example
Notice that the
mean lies within
the most likely
outcomes. It is the
expected value
Notice that the
mean lies at the
peak of the graph
Example
The standard deviation tells us what is
normal. Any event more than 2 standard
deviations from the mean is considered
highly unlikely. 2 standard deviations
from the mean covers the bell part of
the graph
ProblemSolving
Use the distribution table to answer
questions like:
What is the probability of exactly 3
successes?
What is the probability of at least 3
successes?
What is the probability of more than 3
successes?
What is the probability 1 to 4
successes inclusive?
Example
What is the probability
of exactly 3 successes?
The answer is the
probability associated
with x = 3
P(x =3) = .298571
Example
What is the probability
of at least 3
successes?
The answer is the sum of
the probabilities for x=3
to x=12
P(x  3) = .298571
Example
What is the probability of
more than 3 successes?
The answer is the sum of
the probabilities for x=4
to x=12
P(x > 3) = .111126
Example
What is the probability 1
to 4 successes inclusive?
The answer is the sum of
the probabilities from x=1
to x=4
P(1  x  4) = .845512

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Binomial distribution

  • 2. Definition A table of all the possible numbers of successes for n number of trials paired with the probability of that number of success.
  • 4. StudyTip The sum of the probabilities must equal 1
  • 5. Graph The number of successes is the independent variable, and graphed on the horizontal axis The probability is the dependent variable, and graphed on the vertical axis
  • 6. Graph The graphs always make this “bell” like shape
  • 7. Formula Mean of the distribution:  = np Variance of the distribution: 2 = npq Standard deviation of the distribution:  = npq
  • 8. Example Notice that the mean lies within the most likely outcomes. It is the expected value Notice that the mean lies at the peak of the graph
  • 9. Example The standard deviation tells us what is normal. Any event more than 2 standard deviations from the mean is considered highly unlikely. 2 standard deviations from the mean covers the bell part of the graph
  • 10. ProblemSolving Use the distribution table to answer questions like: What is the probability of exactly 3 successes? What is the probability of at least 3 successes? What is the probability of more than 3 successes? What is the probability 1 to 4 successes inclusive?
  • 11. Example What is the probability of exactly 3 successes? The answer is the probability associated with x = 3 P(x =3) = .298571
  • 12. Example What is the probability of at least 3 successes? The answer is the sum of the probabilities for x=3 to x=12 P(x  3) = .298571
  • 13. Example What is the probability of more than 3 successes? The answer is the sum of the probabilities for x=4 to x=12 P(x > 3) = .111126
  • 14. Example What is the probability 1 to 4 successes inclusive? The answer is the sum of the probabilities from x=1 to x=4 P(1  x  4) = .845512