In 1965, Gordon Moore’s forecast that the number of components (transistors) on an integrated circuit would double every year until it reached an astonishing 65,000 by 1975 [1].
Moore’s statement was an economic one .
The cost per component is nearly inversely proportional to the number of components.
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Moore’s Law
In 1965, Gordon Moore’s forecast that
the number of components (transistors)
on an integrated circuit would double
every year until it reached an
astonishing 65,000 by 1975 [1].
Moore’s statement was an economic
one .
The cost per component is nearly
inversely proportional to the number of
components.
IMAGE GOES HERE
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S L I D E T I T L E H E R E O R S E C T I O N T I T L E
Moore’s Law
Moore’s Law defines a half-century of
progress and that because the
semiconductor industry decided it would.
His roadmap was like a promise land for
governments, academic and industrial
researchers to pour money and time into
upholding Moore’s Law
This effort had created a self-fulfilling
prophecy that kept progress on track with
uncanny accuracy [1].
IMAGE GOES HERE
Electronics Magazine in which
Moore’s posted his article in April
1965 .
Wikimedia
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The Economics value of Moore’s Law
• Relationships between Moore’s Law and fabrication cost trends for integrated
circuits can be described by the following identity [3].
• As number of elements(transistors) increases in silicon wafer area, the
transistor fabrication cost decrease (higher performance lower cost), while
wafer-processing cost per area of silicon roughly constant [3].
• Semiconductor Manufacturing is a general-purpose technology, so huge efforts
has been done to wafer processing techniques which leads to roughly constant
cost of wafer processing
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Moore’s Law slow down
• The number of transistors per unit area doubling about every 24 months, a rate
now at the limits of physics.
• TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) can already scale its
process to seven nanometers (= 0.000007 millimeters).
• Less than five nanometers (~2 atomic layers), the process becomes technically
critical, as physical tunnel effects would undermine the switching effect of
semiconductors, and extremely expensive [4].
• With less 5 nm will lead to increase the number of physics-related problems, such
as multiple types of noise, thermal effects and electromigration, so we need
alternative to trade-off cost-performance [4]
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More than Moore
• More than Moore (MtM) refers to the
technologies and products that are
based upon or derived from silicon
technologies but is not scaled by
Moore’s law [5].
• Moore’s law concentrate essentially
on digital function While MtM focusing
mainly on non-digital function and
heterogeneous integration[5].
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S L I D E T I T L E H E R E O R S E C T I O N T I T L E
More than Moore
• Three major methods are underway in “More Than Moore”
model [4]:
I. Heterogeneous Integration (System-in-Package, SiP)
II. Improvements in multi-chip performance such as fan-out wafer-level
packaging.
III. Huge advanced packaging
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S L I D E T I T L E H E R E O R S E C T I O N T I T L E
Chips (Chiplets) in More Than
Moore
• Packing more transistors on a monolithic IC is
becoming harder and more expensive.
• New method (Heterogeneous Integration ) to improve
cost-performance by adding more functionality
through integration.
• This enables the packaged-chip to perform a specific
and advanced function in a small form factor [8]
Integration
Intel Agilex FPGA Chiplet application. Source: Intel
Heterogeneous
Integration (HI)
Source ASE
Group [8]
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Chiplets
• Pros
This technology enables the continued increase in functional density and
decrease in cost per function required to maintain the progress in cost and
performance for electronics
Higher performance, lower latency, smaller size, lighter weight, lower power
requirement per function, Lowe cost due to [9].
• Cons
• Increased thermal density, hot spots and circuit density and many technical
problems due to different material, shape size on the substrate [9]
• Changing the whole chip if any component fails.
10. References
• [2] https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/02/24/905789/were-not-prepared-for-the-end-of-moores-law/
• [3] Flamm, Kenneth. "Moore's law and the economics of semiconductor price trends." International Journal of Technology, Policy and Management 3.2 (2003): 127-141.
• [4] Flamm, Kenneth. "Measuring Moore’s law: evidence from price, cost, and quality indexes." Measuring and Accounting for Innovation in the 21st Century. University of Chicago Press,
2019.
• [5] Zhang, G. Q., Mart Graef, and Fred van Roosmalen. "The rationale and paradigm of" more than Moore"." 56th Electronic Components and Technology Conference 2006. IEEE, 2006.
• [6] https://semiengineering.com/more-than-moore-reality-check/
• [7] Arden, Wolfgang, et al. "More-than-Moore white paper." Version 2 (2010): 14.
• [8]https://ase.aseglobal.com/en/heterogeneous_integration#:~:text=Heterogeneous%20Integration%20refers%20to%20the,functionality%20and%20improved%20operating%20charact
eristics.
• [9] https://www.semiconductors.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/2_2015-ITRS-2.0-Herogeneous-Integration.pdf