Webinar: The postcode lottery of welfare reforms
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The transition to Universal Credit and the introduction of a lower benefit cap will become a reality for thousands of people this Autumn. For the first time, Policy in Practice has modelled how welfare reform is affecting cities, towns and London Boroughs differently to create a national picture. Using household-level data from different local authorities we’ve modelled the likely impact of continued deployment of welfare reforms on towns and cities that aren’t yet significantly affected. By analysing the impact of Universal Credit on different types of councils we can predict how similar local authorities are likely to be hit. Some areas in the UK will see a major impact almost overnight as a result of welfare reforms. Listen to this webinar to learn: 1. How your local authority peers are impacted by welfare reforms (by council type) 2. What impact the lower benefit cap, Universal Credit and housing reforms will have (by council type) 3. How households in your local area are likely to be affected
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Webinar: The postcode lottery of welfare reforms
- 1. Policy in Practice Webinar: The postcode lottery of welfare reform: are you hit hardest? Thursday 26 May 2016
- 2. Housekeeping • Audio check • Please ask questions • Polls and a survey • Finish by 11:30
- 3. Speakers Joel Reland Policy in Practice Deven Ghelani Policy in Practice
- 4. Agenda • Introduction to Policy in Practice • An overview of our approach • The findings of our benchmarking analysis • The importance of a household level view • The future: Understanding the changing shape of income, employment and poverty • How we can help
- 5. We make the welfare system simple to understand, so that people can make the decisions that are right for them
- 6. www.policyinpractice.co.uk SOFTWARE individual impact CONSULTANC local impact POLICY national impact
- 8. Policy in Practice’s approach Your Housing Benefit / Council Tax data Our Universal Benefit Calculator Rich, detailed impact assessment: who is impacted and what are the Council-wide effects? 1. Use local data and insights to inform better decision making 2. See the impact of different models together with ongoing welfare reforms 3. Better strategic and operational decisions
- 9. A word about permissions • We sign a secure data sharing agreement with every client • All personally identifiable information is redacted • A unique reference is kept to enable the client to map our analysis back to individual households • For our national benchmarking analysis permission was sought and received from each client, allowing us to use their data in aggregate • We aggregated SHBE and CTRS data from 13 local authority clients
- 10. What is our dataset? • Total sample of 473,562 low-income households • Outlines demographic characteristics of each LA, and measures the impact of various reforms • Universal Credit • Lower Benefit Cap • LHA Cap & Under-occupation charge • Grouped into three demographic groups • London Boroughs • Big Cities • Small Cities and Towns
- 12. Why does it matter? One of the questions we are asked most often is to know what their peers are doing, and how they are doing relative to others. • Through this, we are developing national benchmarks to enhance our analysis • Look at welfare reform bottom-up, in order to map broad national trends • Understand how different reforms tend to impact different types of local authority • Use this to predict the likely impact of welfare reform on a local authority
- 13. Over to Deven
- 14. Every household matters • We are about to present aggregate analysis of the impact on a local area • This is helpful, in understanding how different areas are impacted, and the drivers of these impacts, but we have to be careful • Average scores can mask extremes within boroughs, or wards • You aren’t able target individual households – Mrs Biggins
- 15. What if data could tell you that: “Mrs Biggins at 73 Acacia Terrace will be affected by all welfare changes by £15.62 per week and she has high barriers to work” www.policyinpractice.co.uk
- 18. Benchmarking for you • By combining national benchmarks and your local, household-level data, we can tell you where you stand against your peers • What would you most like to learn if you were able to be benchmarked against your peers? • Would understanding the impact on individual households be important to you? • Let us look at the impact two different reforms.
- 22. 222222 Let’s look at a data set now
- 23. A rich data set, in MS Excel
- 24. Who is affected?
- 25. 25 Questions?
- 26. We are scratching the surface Working with you, we want to • Track the impact of reforms on households over time • Combine with other datasets • Develop a real time online dashboard on income, employment and poverty
- 27. Tracking and monitoring • One off snapshots are interesting • But tracking and monitoring over time is much more powerful • Ongoing analysis keeps the information up to date, and take into account recent policy changes. It can also give you: • A richer picture about each household, including work history, the impact of past interventions on e.g. arrears • The ability to track the effectiveness of interventions, to help you to commission the right support to the right people • So that you can: • make better informed strategic and operational decisions • apply analysis across other service areas (e.g. employment and skills, adult and children’s services)
- 28. 28 Online dashboard What could that look like?
- 30. Join our rally cry • Be at the heart of a data revolution in your local authority • Partner with us so we can learn from you, and we can help you to learn from each other • Call with one voice for data sharing from DWP • Make the case for your role in local welfare delivery, using clear headed analysis
- 31. Next steps Complete the automated survey immediately after this webinar to: 1. Request a summary client report 2. Request dataset demo 3. Request pricing details We have permission from existing clients to share their reports with other local authorities who may be similar in structure, demographics or strategic vision to your council.
- 32. www.policyinpractice.co.uk Thank you Deven Ghelani deven@policyinpractice.co.uk 07863 560677 hello@policyinpractice.co.uk
Editor's Notes
- Policy in Practice is a social policy software and consulting business. We were founded by Deven Ghelani who was part of the team that developed Universal Credit at the Centre for Social Justice. When the policy was adopted by government, he left there to set up Policy in Practice. He was keen to ensure that the policy intent was actually put into practice. Since then, and together with the team he's built at Policy in Practice, he's facilitated conversations between leading local authorities and the Prime Minister's office to ensure frontline feedback about welfare reform policy has been heard. In addition, Deven and the team have helped local organisations to understand the aggregate and cumulative impact of welfare reform changes on their customers so that they can accurately target support programmes. And finally, to close the loop, the software that Policy in Practice has developed simplifies the conversations that frontline advisors can have with customers by clearly showing what benefits they can get under the current system and when they move to Universal Credit, comparing the two side-by-side using data visualisation.
- Hands up if you are quite data savvy?
- Thank you.