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Competition and Innovation
through the lens of
Schumpeterian Growth Theory
Philippe Aghion
PETER HOWITT
BASIC “SCHUMPETERIAN GROWTH” PARADIGM
• Long-run growth driven by cumulative process
of innovation
• Innovations result from entrepreneurial
activities motivated by prospect of innovation
rents
• Creative destruction: new innovations displace
old technologies
AT THE HEART OF THE PARADIGM
• Contradiction :
• The innovator is motivated by prospect of monopoly
rents
• But those rents can be used ex post to prevent future
innovations and to block new entry
• Regulating capitalism is largely about how to manage this
contradiction
WHY THIS PARADIGM CHANGES THE LANDSCAPE
• It gives centerstage to cross-firm heterogeneity
• Between incumbents and entrants
• Between leaders and followers
• Between small and large firms
WHY THIS PARADIGM CHANGES THE LANDSCAPE
• It gives centerstage to firm dynamics
TWO DISTINCTIVE PREDICTIONS ON
COMPETITION AND GROWTH
TWO DISTINCTIVE PREDICTIONS
• Growth is positively correlated with firm turnover
• More intense competition enhances innovation in
« frontier » firms but discourages it in « non-frontier »
firms
GROWTH AND TURNOVER
• Firm and job turnover
Positive correlation between GDP per capita growth and the rate of creative destruction.
Source: Eurostat.
POLICY IMPLICATION
Subsidizing incumbent firms may discourage
innovation by increasing entry costs
Acemoglu-Akcigit-Bloom-Kerr
Aghion-Bergeaud-Cette-Lecat-Maghin
TWO DISTINCTIVE PREDICTIONS
• Growth is positively correlated with firm turnover
• More intense competition enhances innovation in
« frontier » firms but discourages it in « non-frontier »
firms
THEORETICAL PREDICTION OF BASIC MODEL
BASIC EMPIRICAL RESULTS
COMPETITION, GROWTH AND DISTANCE TO FRONTIER
COMPETITION AND GROWTH: THE INVERTED-U RELATIONSHIP
POLICY IMPLICATION
Complementarity betwen competition policy and
patent policy
Aghion, Howitt, and Prantl
EXPLAINING THE GROWTH DECLINE IN THE US
POLICY IMPLICATION
Rethink competition policy to be it more
innovation compatible
Gilbert (2020)
THE DEBATE ON INDUSTRIAL
POLICY
26
Over time, and particularly since the 1980s,
economists have come to dislike industrial
policy on two grounds: (i) it focuses on big
incumbents (‘national champions); and (ii)
governments are not great in ‘picking winners’.
WHY IS THE WIND CHANGING?
Vaccins: Coordination problems
• S-curve
Climate: Need to redirect innovation
• Clean versus dirty innovation
*DARPABLE* PROJECTS
• Research can be organized around a mission
• Mid-way between lab and application (nascent
S-curve)
• Frictions prevent financing and large-scale
experimentation of the technology
POLICY IMPLICATION
Reform industrial policy to make it competition
friendly
CONCLUSION
What do we learn from creative destruction paradigm?
1) Subsidizing incumbent firms may become detrimental to
innovation
2) Competition enhances innovation in frontiere firms and
frontier economies
3) Complementarity between competition policy and
patent policy
4) Innovation benefits from pro-competition industrial
policy

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The Relationship between Competition and Innovation – Philippe Aghion – June 2023 OECD discussion

  • 1. Competition and Innovation through the lens of Schumpeterian Growth Theory Philippe Aghion
  • 3. BASIC “SCHUMPETERIAN GROWTH” PARADIGM • Long-run growth driven by cumulative process of innovation • Innovations result from entrepreneurial activities motivated by prospect of innovation rents • Creative destruction: new innovations displace old technologies
  • 4. AT THE HEART OF THE PARADIGM • Contradiction : • The innovator is motivated by prospect of monopoly rents • But those rents can be used ex post to prevent future innovations and to block new entry • Regulating capitalism is largely about how to manage this contradiction
  • 5. WHY THIS PARADIGM CHANGES THE LANDSCAPE • It gives centerstage to cross-firm heterogeneity • Between incumbents and entrants • Between leaders and followers • Between small and large firms
  • 6. WHY THIS PARADIGM CHANGES THE LANDSCAPE • It gives centerstage to firm dynamics
  • 7.
  • 8. TWO DISTINCTIVE PREDICTIONS ON COMPETITION AND GROWTH
  • 9. TWO DISTINCTIVE PREDICTIONS • Growth is positively correlated with firm turnover • More intense competition enhances innovation in « frontier » firms but discourages it in « non-frontier » firms
  • 10. GROWTH AND TURNOVER • Firm and job turnover Positive correlation between GDP per capita growth and the rate of creative destruction. Source: Eurostat.
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  • 12. POLICY IMPLICATION Subsidizing incumbent firms may discourage innovation by increasing entry costs Acemoglu-Akcigit-Bloom-Kerr Aghion-Bergeaud-Cette-Lecat-Maghin
  • 13. TWO DISTINCTIVE PREDICTIONS • Growth is positively correlated with firm turnover • More intense competition enhances innovation in « frontier » firms but discourages it in « non-frontier » firms
  • 16. COMPETITION, GROWTH AND DISTANCE TO FRONTIER
  • 17. COMPETITION AND GROWTH: THE INVERTED-U RELATIONSHIP
  • 18. POLICY IMPLICATION Complementarity betwen competition policy and patent policy Aghion, Howitt, and Prantl
  • 19. EXPLAINING THE GROWTH DECLINE IN THE US
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  • 24. POLICY IMPLICATION Rethink competition policy to be it more innovation compatible Gilbert (2020)
  • 25. THE DEBATE ON INDUSTRIAL POLICY
  • 26. 26 Over time, and particularly since the 1980s, economists have come to dislike industrial policy on two grounds: (i) it focuses on big incumbents (‘national champions); and (ii) governments are not great in ‘picking winners’.
  • 27. WHY IS THE WIND CHANGING? Vaccins: Coordination problems • S-curve Climate: Need to redirect innovation • Clean versus dirty innovation
  • 28. *DARPABLE* PROJECTS • Research can be organized around a mission • Mid-way between lab and application (nascent S-curve) • Frictions prevent financing and large-scale experimentation of the technology
  • 29. POLICY IMPLICATION Reform industrial policy to make it competition friendly
  • 30. CONCLUSION What do we learn from creative destruction paradigm? 1) Subsidizing incumbent firms may become detrimental to innovation 2) Competition enhances innovation in frontiere firms and frontier economies 3) Complementarity between competition policy and patent policy 4) Innovation benefits from pro-competition industrial policy