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Serial Acquisitions
Challenges and Possible Solutions
Professor Ioannis Kokkoris
Chair in Competition Law and Economics
Director, Centre for Commercial Law Studies
• US
• Revival of incipiency standard (Clayton Act)?
• Draft merger guidelines
• § 8: ‘mergers should not further a trend toward concentration’
• § 9: in case ‘of multiple acquisitions, the agencies may examine the whole series’
• HSR form must report ‘any related transactions and all acquisitions over the prior
10 years’
• Safe harbour for small hospital merger rescinded
• EU
• Art 14 DMA: designated gatekeepers to inform EC of intended concentrations
Serial Acquisitions: Legislative Developments
• UK
• VetPartners / Goddard, CVS / Quality Pet Care, Medivet, Independent Vetcare Limited
• Riviera Bidco / Dental Partners Group, Portman Healthcare / Dentext Healthcare
• All horizontal unilateral effects (at local level); all approved with divestment remedies
• US
• FTC & State AGs v Meta (horizontal unilateral effects in social networking and advertising)
• DOJ & State AGs v Google (horizontal unilateral effects in ad servers and ad exchanges)
• JAB / VIPW / Ethos Veterinary Health (horizontal unilateral effects at local level)
• Approved with divestment remedies plus limits on future acquisitions
• FTC v USAP & Welsh Carlson (horizontal unilateral and coordinated effects at local level)
Serial Acquisitions: Enforcement Developments
Serial Acquisitions: Challenges
• Procedural
• Most serial acquisitions don’t meet the threshold
• Substantive
• Test designed for one-off mergers
• Inability to capture cumulative effect
• Inadequate theories of harm?
• How to properly factor in efficiencies?
• Economies of scale, buyer power…
Serial Acquisitions: Theories of Harm
• Most ToHs apply like they do to one-off mergers
• Horizontal unilateral effects
• Horizontal coordinated effects
• Vertical effects
• Conglomerate effects (mostly in digital markets)
• Innovation
• Common ownership / interlocking directorates
• Novel ToHs
• Macro concerns (less local ownership, less resilience to shocks…)
• Lower geographic substitutability (in local markets)
• Ecosystem
Solutions: Procedural
• Lower size thresholds
• Focus on different measures
• Market share of the acquirer, transaction price, number
and pace of acquisitions…
• Voluntary notification
• Call-in powers
• Requirements? Deadline?
Solutions: Substantive
• Legislation to enable authorities to look at entire series
• But larger transactions must be part of the series (especially in
buy and build deals)
• Stricter standard
• ‘Trend toward concentration’?
• But this would lead to rigid structural presumptions
• Use Art 102 / monopolisation rather than merger control
• Extend Towercast case law?
• But you need to show dominance
Conclusion: Some Words of Caution
• Claims that serial acquirers experience declining returns (Karolyi et al 2015) or
underperform single acquirers (Hossain et al 2021)
• But these conclusions have been disputed (Tunyi 2020; Macias et al 2023)
• Most authorities have been dealing with this under current framework
• Higher competitive harm outweighed by lower (by definition!) barriers to entry?
• How to define unitary programme? Chronologically? By market?
• Local and niche markets should be relatively easy to monitor
• Digital markets can rely on existing theories of harm (leveraging,
ecosystem…)

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Serial Acquisitions and Industry Roll-ups – KOKKORIS – December 2023 OECD discussion

  • 1. Serial Acquisitions Challenges and Possible Solutions Professor Ioannis Kokkoris Chair in Competition Law and Economics Director, Centre for Commercial Law Studies
  • 2. • US • Revival of incipiency standard (Clayton Act)? • Draft merger guidelines • § 8: ‘mergers should not further a trend toward concentration’ • § 9: in case ‘of multiple acquisitions, the agencies may examine the whole series’ • HSR form must report ‘any related transactions and all acquisitions over the prior 10 years’ • Safe harbour for small hospital merger rescinded • EU • Art 14 DMA: designated gatekeepers to inform EC of intended concentrations Serial Acquisitions: Legislative Developments
  • 3. • UK • VetPartners / Goddard, CVS / Quality Pet Care, Medivet, Independent Vetcare Limited • Riviera Bidco / Dental Partners Group, Portman Healthcare / Dentext Healthcare • All horizontal unilateral effects (at local level); all approved with divestment remedies • US • FTC & State AGs v Meta (horizontal unilateral effects in social networking and advertising) • DOJ & State AGs v Google (horizontal unilateral effects in ad servers and ad exchanges) • JAB / VIPW / Ethos Veterinary Health (horizontal unilateral effects at local level) • Approved with divestment remedies plus limits on future acquisitions • FTC v USAP & Welsh Carlson (horizontal unilateral and coordinated effects at local level) Serial Acquisitions: Enforcement Developments
  • 4. Serial Acquisitions: Challenges • Procedural • Most serial acquisitions don’t meet the threshold • Substantive • Test designed for one-off mergers • Inability to capture cumulative effect • Inadequate theories of harm? • How to properly factor in efficiencies? • Economies of scale, buyer power…
  • 5. Serial Acquisitions: Theories of Harm • Most ToHs apply like they do to one-off mergers • Horizontal unilateral effects • Horizontal coordinated effects • Vertical effects • Conglomerate effects (mostly in digital markets) • Innovation • Common ownership / interlocking directorates • Novel ToHs • Macro concerns (less local ownership, less resilience to shocks…) • Lower geographic substitutability (in local markets) • Ecosystem
  • 6. Solutions: Procedural • Lower size thresholds • Focus on different measures • Market share of the acquirer, transaction price, number and pace of acquisitions… • Voluntary notification • Call-in powers • Requirements? Deadline?
  • 7. Solutions: Substantive • Legislation to enable authorities to look at entire series • But larger transactions must be part of the series (especially in buy and build deals) • Stricter standard • ‘Trend toward concentration’? • But this would lead to rigid structural presumptions • Use Art 102 / monopolisation rather than merger control • Extend Towercast case law? • But you need to show dominance
  • 8. Conclusion: Some Words of Caution • Claims that serial acquirers experience declining returns (Karolyi et al 2015) or underperform single acquirers (Hossain et al 2021) • But these conclusions have been disputed (Tunyi 2020; Macias et al 2023) • Most authorities have been dealing with this under current framework • Higher competitive harm outweighed by lower (by definition!) barriers to entry? • How to define unitary programme? Chronologically? By market? • Local and niche markets should be relatively easy to monitor • Digital markets can rely on existing theories of harm (leveraging, ecosystem…)