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ROSE - OECD ROUNDTABLE
Out of market efficiencies
in competition policy: An
economists’ perspective
Nancy L. Rose, MIT Economics & Harvard Kennedy School
OECD Roundtable on Out of Market Efficiencies
December 6, 2023
1
The questions for enforcement
Out of market
benefits
? + ?
• What is needed to
consider OOM benefits?
• How costly would it be to
add OOM benefits to
decision-making?
• Are we likely over-
enforcing ?
Balancing across markets requires
determinations enforcers and courts are
not positioned to make
• Law generally dictates protection of competition within
markets, does not authorize cross-market balancing (legal)
• Balancing implicitly assumes that maximizing total permits
redistribution to leave every group at least as well off
• But enforcers and courts cannot redistribute
• Without redistribution, balancing requires assigning welfare
weight to each affected group
• Neither economists, enforcers nor courts are equipped or
empowered to do this
3
ROSE – OECD ROUNDTABLE
Current practice likely minimizes
enforcement and error costs
• Requiring enforcers to consider possible out of
market benefits turns every analysis into an
economy-wide general equilibrium investigation
and analysis
• Despite little empirical support for widespread
realized efficiencies sufficient to offset harm even
within markets, at least in merger analysis
• And a cautionary tale from a merger cleared on
the basis of convincing cognizable efficiencies
(most of which were likely out of market?)
4
ROSE – OECD ROUNDTABLE
MillerCoors JointVenture
N.Miller & M.Weinberg,Econometrica,2017
5
ROSE – OECD ROUNDTABLE
Likely due to increased
coordination, despite efficiencies
And there is a safety valve:
Prosecutorial discretion for de minimum
harm and substantial out of market benefits
(caveat MillerCoors)
6
ROSE – OECD ROUNDTABLE

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Out-of-Market Efficiencies in Competition Enforcement – ROSE – December 2023 OECD discussion

  • 1. ROSE - OECD ROUNDTABLE Out of market efficiencies in competition policy: An economists’ perspective Nancy L. Rose, MIT Economics & Harvard Kennedy School OECD Roundtable on Out of Market Efficiencies December 6, 2023 1
  • 2. The questions for enforcement Out of market benefits ? + ? • What is needed to consider OOM benefits? • How costly would it be to add OOM benefits to decision-making? • Are we likely over- enforcing ?
  • 3. Balancing across markets requires determinations enforcers and courts are not positioned to make • Law generally dictates protection of competition within markets, does not authorize cross-market balancing (legal) • Balancing implicitly assumes that maximizing total permits redistribution to leave every group at least as well off • But enforcers and courts cannot redistribute • Without redistribution, balancing requires assigning welfare weight to each affected group • Neither economists, enforcers nor courts are equipped or empowered to do this 3 ROSE – OECD ROUNDTABLE
  • 4. Current practice likely minimizes enforcement and error costs • Requiring enforcers to consider possible out of market benefits turns every analysis into an economy-wide general equilibrium investigation and analysis • Despite little empirical support for widespread realized efficiencies sufficient to offset harm even within markets, at least in merger analysis • And a cautionary tale from a merger cleared on the basis of convincing cognizable efficiencies (most of which were likely out of market?) 4 ROSE – OECD ROUNDTABLE
  • 5. MillerCoors JointVenture N.Miller & M.Weinberg,Econometrica,2017 5 ROSE – OECD ROUNDTABLE Likely due to increased coordination, despite efficiencies
  • 6. And there is a safety valve: Prosecutorial discretion for de minimum harm and substantial out of market benefits (caveat MillerCoors) 6 ROSE – OECD ROUNDTABLE