Year 1          Payment ($ millions)
                        1                           18

                        2                           20

                        3                           20

                        4                           19

                        5                           19

Peyton Manning’s Contract
Manning’s $96 million contract is spread out over five years, with payments
shown in the table. Each year is not guaranteed, so Denver might not pay
out the full amount.
Peyton Manning’s Contract
This graph of the data shows how pivotal years 2 and 3 are. Clearly, if
Manning performs well in the first year, the next two years offer relatively
high payments, with the amounts decreasing in the out years.
The average career length
                  for a quarterback is
                   under 6 years, but
                 Peyton Manning has
               already played 14 years.
Peyton Manning’s Contract
Although Manning has already played 14 years, he is also in a special
category of quarterbacks and can be compared to some of the best
quarterbacks in NFL history.
•   Joe Montana                •   Steve Young
             •   Dan Marino                 •   Terry Bradshaw
             •   John Elway                 •   Kurt Warner
             •   Johnny Unitas              •   Roger Staubach
             •   Brett Favre                •   Jim Kelly
             •   Bart Starr                 •   Bart Starr
Peyton Manning’s Contract
This, while not an exhaustive list, includes some of the best quarterbacks
in NFL history. We can compare their career stats to Manning’s to see if he
fits in this group.
Years Games                    Passing Passes
             QB               Played Played         TD's     Yards   Completed
             Joe Montana          15          192      273     40,551     3409
             Dan Marino           17          242      420     61,361     4967
             John Elway           16          234      300     51,475     4213
             Johnny Unitas        18          211      290     40,239     2830
             Brett Favre          20          302      508     71,838     6300
             Steve Young          15          169      232     33,124     2667
             Terry Bradshaw       14          168      212     27,989     2025
             Kurt Warner          12          125      208     32,344     2666
             Roger Staubach       11          131      153     22,700     1685
             Jim Kelly            11          160      237     35,467     2874
             Bart Starr           16          196      152     24,718     1808

Peyton Manning’s Contract
This table shows the career stats for this list of quarterbacks.
Source: http://www.pro-football-reference.com/
Years Games                    Passing Passes
            QB               Played Played         TD's     Yards   Completed
            Peyton Manning       14          208      399     54,828     4682




Peyton Manning’s Contract
Here are Manning’s stats. Let’s compare.
Peyton Manning’s Contract
This represents the number of years played for all quarterbacks. The red
bar is for Peyton Manning.
Peyton Manning’s Contract
This graph is for the number of games played.
Peyton Manning’s Contract
This graph is for the number of touchdowns.
Peyton Manning’s Contract
This graph is for the total number of passing yards.
Peyton Manning’s Contract
This graph is for the number of completed passes.
Peyton Manning’s statistics
               are comparable to those of a
                 quarterback at the end of
               his career. How do we know
                he can play for more years?
Peyton Manning’s Contract
Of all the statistics, there is one that suggests that Manning is still viable
for a few more years, and why Denver likely struck the deal with Manning.
Peyton Manning’s Contract
This box and whisker plot shows the length of the careers for the list of
quarterbacks shown earlier. The median number of years is 15. Manning
has played 14 years, one less than the median.
Peyton Manning’s Contract
While it’s unlikely that Manning will play another five years, even if he did, it
would still place him within the range of career lengths, but a little closer to
an outlier.
Peyton Manning’s Contract
How do you think Peyton Manning will do as a quarterback for Denver?

Math in the News: Issue 51

  • 2.
    Year 1 Payment ($ millions) 1 18 2 20 3 20 4 19 5 19 Peyton Manning’s Contract Manning’s $96 million contract is spread out over five years, with payments shown in the table. Each year is not guaranteed, so Denver might not pay out the full amount.
  • 3.
    Peyton Manning’s Contract Thisgraph of the data shows how pivotal years 2 and 3 are. Clearly, if Manning performs well in the first year, the next two years offer relatively high payments, with the amounts decreasing in the out years.
  • 4.
    The average careerlength for a quarterback is under 6 years, but Peyton Manning has already played 14 years. Peyton Manning’s Contract Although Manning has already played 14 years, he is also in a special category of quarterbacks and can be compared to some of the best quarterbacks in NFL history.
  • 5.
    Joe Montana • Steve Young • Dan Marino • Terry Bradshaw • John Elway • Kurt Warner • Johnny Unitas • Roger Staubach • Brett Favre • Jim Kelly • Bart Starr • Bart Starr Peyton Manning’s Contract This, while not an exhaustive list, includes some of the best quarterbacks in NFL history. We can compare their career stats to Manning’s to see if he fits in this group.
  • 6.
    Years Games Passing Passes QB Played Played TD's Yards Completed Joe Montana 15 192 273 40,551 3409 Dan Marino 17 242 420 61,361 4967 John Elway 16 234 300 51,475 4213 Johnny Unitas 18 211 290 40,239 2830 Brett Favre 20 302 508 71,838 6300 Steve Young 15 169 232 33,124 2667 Terry Bradshaw 14 168 212 27,989 2025 Kurt Warner 12 125 208 32,344 2666 Roger Staubach 11 131 153 22,700 1685 Jim Kelly 11 160 237 35,467 2874 Bart Starr 16 196 152 24,718 1808 Peyton Manning’s Contract This table shows the career stats for this list of quarterbacks. Source: http://www.pro-football-reference.com/
  • 7.
    Years Games Passing Passes QB Played Played TD's Yards Completed Peyton Manning 14 208 399 54,828 4682 Peyton Manning’s Contract Here are Manning’s stats. Let’s compare.
  • 8.
    Peyton Manning’s Contract Thisrepresents the number of years played for all quarterbacks. The red bar is for Peyton Manning.
  • 9.
    Peyton Manning’s Contract Thisgraph is for the number of games played.
  • 10.
    Peyton Manning’s Contract Thisgraph is for the number of touchdowns.
  • 11.
    Peyton Manning’s Contract Thisgraph is for the total number of passing yards.
  • 12.
    Peyton Manning’s Contract Thisgraph is for the number of completed passes.
  • 13.
    Peyton Manning’s statistics are comparable to those of a quarterback at the end of his career. How do we know he can play for more years? Peyton Manning’s Contract Of all the statistics, there is one that suggests that Manning is still viable for a few more years, and why Denver likely struck the deal with Manning.
  • 14.
    Peyton Manning’s Contract Thisbox and whisker plot shows the length of the careers for the list of quarterbacks shown earlier. The median number of years is 15. Manning has played 14 years, one less than the median.
  • 15.
    Peyton Manning’s Contract Whileit’s unlikely that Manning will play another five years, even if he did, it would still place him within the range of career lengths, but a little closer to an outlier.
  • 16.
    Peyton Manning’s Contract Howdo you think Peyton Manning will do as a quarterback for Denver?