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Ken Caldeira, Stanford
Department of Global Ecology
Carnegie Institution for Science, Stanford, CA
STOP EMISSIONS!
Climate change
than in recorded history
TODAY
Faster
WHY?
This is our thin atmosphere
EVERY day
365 days a year
EVERY 24 hours
WHY?
110,000,000 tons
Carbon dumped
into atmosphere
110 million tons of pollution a day
=
Hiroshima bombs EVERY 24 hours 365 days a year.
=
EFFECT – hot summers
0% 10% 50% 70% 90% 100%
EFFECT – rising seas
EFFECT – coral reefs dying
per week
HOPE
unacceptable
HOPE
69% future
decisions
POTENTIAL TO CHANGECo2emissions/year
Existing infrastructure
Future
Infrastructure
low
middle
high
IPCC
Scenarios
69%
OUR STUDY – coral reefs
30%more acid
than pre-industrial revolution
Where is energy going?W/m2ofGlobe
POTENTIAL TO CHANGE
POTENTIAL TO CHANGE
Increase 02 by 7%
0 53
HOPE
does matter
What we do today
Antarctic Sheet after 10,0000 yearsAntarctic Sheet after 10,000 years
No further
emissions 10,000 GtC2,500 GtC
Antarctic and sea-level change
50
10
40
30
20
2,000 10,0004,000 6,000 8,000
10,000 GtC
5,000 GtC
2,500 GtC
625 GtC
312 GtC
1,250 GtC
SOCIAL CHANGE
DEMAND
Massive deployment of
affordable, zero-emission energy
Current policy
+3.3/3.8 C
New pledge
+2.5/2.7 C
Less than 2 C
Estimated Global Greenhouse gas emissions
The clock is ticking
SOCIAL CHANGE
is NOW!

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Stop emissions 1

Editor's Notes

  1. Public outrcy, unaccpetable to…..
  2. Most cos warming expected this century will come from what is yet to be built.
  3. It’s not just climate. CO2 is absorbed by the ocean and becomes carbonic acid, making it more difficult for many marine organisms to build their shells and skeletons.
  4. Most of the CO2 emissions (and warming) expected this century will comes from infrastructure that is yet to be built.