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2013 H-Town Day: Bob Harvey
1. Houston:
The Next Great Global City
Bob Harvey
President and CEO
Greater Houston Partnership
2. Greater Houston Partnership
Houston’s Leading Business Organization
Public Policy
Economic Development
+
International Trade and
Investment
Regional
Consensus Builder
4. A shallow recession for Houston
-3.3%
-4.2%
-4.5% -4.6%
-5.1% -5.2%
-5.7%
-6.2%
-6.5%
-7.4%
-7.8% -7.8% -7.8%
-8.2%
-9.7%
-10.2%
-11.2%
-12.4%
-12.9% -13.2%
DC
Boston
Houston
New York
Dallas
Philadelphia
Baltimore
St. Louis
Minneapolis
Chicago
San Diego
Seattle
Atlanta
San Francisco
Los Angeles
Miami
Tampa
Riverside
Phoenix
Houston '82-'87
* Excludes Detroit
% Jobs Lost During Recession
20 Largest U.S. Metro Areas*
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
5. Steady job growth
Total Nonfarm Payroll (Not Seasonally Adjusted)
Houston Metro Area, '04 - '14
2.9
2.8
2.7
2.6
2.5
2.4
2.3
2.2
Jan '04 Jan '05 Jan '06 Jan '07 Jan '08 Jan '09 Jan '10 Jan '11 Jan '12 Jan '13 Jan '14
Employment (Millions)
Source: Texas Workforce Commission
6. Outpacing the nation
Percent of jobs recovered through August ’13
45.5%
41.5%
39.1%
73.5%
70.8%
66.5%
97.5%
125.3%
161.2%
143.8%
203.9%
Houston
Dallas
Washington
Boston
New York
Atlanta
San Francisco
Chicago
Philadelphia
Miami
Los Angeles
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Seasonally unadjusted
100%
Houston vs. Top 10 Metros
7. Key Economic Indicators
400
350
300
250
200
150
Vehicle Sales (000s)
12-Month Total, Metro Houston
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
Source: TexAuto Facts Report by InfoNation
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
Value of Building Permits ($ Millions)
Metro Houston
Home Sales (000s)
12-Month Total, Metro Houston
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
Source: Houston Association of REALTORS®
500
450
400
350
300
250
Sales Tax Collections ($ Millions)
City of Houston, ’04 Constant Dollars
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13*
Source: Texas State Comptroller * Projected
0
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13*
Source: City of Houston * Projected
8. Key Economic Indicators - Energy
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
Source: Baker Hughes
U.S. Rig Count
Monthly Average
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Texas Crude Oil Production
Barrels (000s)
Spot Price, West Texas Intermediate
Monthly Average, $/BBL
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration
0
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13*
Source: Texas Railroad Commission * Projected
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
Spot Price, Henry Hub Natural Gas
Monthly Average, $/BBL
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration
12. Seven Emerging Themes
• Education
• Transportation Infrastructure
• Quality of Life Issues
• Local Government Issues
• Healthcare Access and Affordability
• Economic Drivers Beyond Energy
• The New Face of Houston
13. Houston:
The Next Great Global City
Bob Harvey
President and CEO
Greater Houston Partnership