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Houston: 
The Next Great Global City 
Bob Harvey 
President and CEO 
Greater Houston Partnership
Greater Houston Partnership 
Houston’s Leading Business Organization 
Public Policy 
Economic Development 
+ 
International Trade and 
Investment 
Regional 
Consensus Builder
GHP Service Area 
Ten County Houston Region
A shallow recession for Houston 
-3.3% 
-4.2% 
-4.5% -4.6% 
-5.1% -5.2% 
-5.7% 
-6.2% 
-6.5% 
-7.4% 
-7.8% -7.8% -7.8% 
-8.2% 
-9.7% 
-10.2% 
-11.2% 
-12.4% 
-12.9% -13.2% 
DC 
Boston 
Houston 
New York 
Dallas 
Philadelphia 
Baltimore 
St. Louis 
Minneapolis 
Chicago 
San Diego 
Seattle 
Atlanta 
San Francisco 
Los Angeles 
Miami 
Tampa 
Riverside 
Phoenix 
Houston '82-'87 
* Excludes Detroit 
% Jobs Lost During Recession 
20 Largest U.S. Metro Areas* 
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Steady job growth 
Total Nonfarm Payroll (Not Seasonally Adjusted) 
Houston Metro Area, '04 - '14 
2.9 
2.8 
2.7 
2.6 
2.5 
2.4 
2.3 
2.2 
Jan '04 Jan '05 Jan '06 Jan '07 Jan '08 Jan '09 Jan '10 Jan '11 Jan '12 Jan '13 Jan '14 
Employment (Millions) 
Source: Texas Workforce Commission
Outpacing the nation 
Percent of jobs recovered through August ’13 
45.5% 
41.5% 
39.1% 
73.5% 
70.8% 
66.5% 
97.5% 
125.3% 
161.2% 
143.8% 
203.9% 
Houston 
Dallas 
Washington 
Boston 
New York 
Atlanta 
San Francisco 
Chicago 
Philadelphia 
Miami 
Los Angeles 
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 
Seasonally unadjusted 
100% 
Houston vs. Top 10 Metros
Key Economic Indicators 
400 
350 
300 
250 
200 
150 
Vehicle Sales (000s) 
12-Month Total, Metro Houston 
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 
Source: TexAuto Facts Report by InfoNation 
7000 
6000 
5000 
4000 
3000 
2000 
1000 
100 
90 
80 
70 
60 
50 
40 
Value of Building Permits ($ Millions) 
Metro Houston 
Home Sales (000s) 
12-Month Total, Metro Houston 
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 
Source: Houston Association of REALTORS® 
500 
450 
400 
350 
300 
250 
Sales Tax Collections ($ Millions) 
City of Houston, ’04 Constant Dollars 
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13* 
Source: Texas State Comptroller * Projected 
0 
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13* 
Source: City of Houston * Projected
Key Economic Indicators - Energy 
2,500 
2,000 
1,500 
1,000 
500 
0 
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 
Source: Baker Hughes 
U.S. Rig Count 
Monthly Average 
800 
700 
600 
500 
400 
300 
200 
100 
160 
140 
120 
100 
80 
60 
40 
20 
0 
Texas Crude Oil Production 
Barrels (000s) 
Spot Price, West Texas Intermediate 
Monthly Average, $/BBL 
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration 
0 
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13* 
Source: Texas Railroad Commission * Projected 
14 
12 
10 
8 
6 
4 
2 
0 
Spot Price, Henry Hub Natural Gas 
Monthly Average, $/BBL 
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration
Employment Trends 
15.0% 
10.0% 
5.0% 
0.0% 
-5.0% 
-10.0% 
-15.0% 
12-Month Growth Rate 
Mining and Manufacturing Secondary Sectors 
Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 
Source: GHP calculations based on Texas Workforce Commission data
Above average job growth 
Metro Houston Employment (000s) 
-10.4 
17.7 
43.4 
52.9 51.8 52.4 
105.2 
90.8 
17.4 
59.0 
3.6 
-3.2 
-11.4 
37.5 
89.2 
105.8 
88.8 
19.5 
-107.4 
47.4 
81.2 
105.7 
80.7 76.0 
'91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 
August '12 - August '13 
GHP Forecast for '13 
Average = 42.6 
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Houston: 
The Next Great Global City
Seven Emerging Themes 
• Education 
• Transportation Infrastructure 
• Quality of Life Issues 
• Local Government Issues 
• Healthcare Access and Affordability 
• Economic Drivers Beyond Energy 
• The New Face of Houston
Houston: 
The Next Great Global City 
Bob Harvey 
President and CEO 
Greater Houston Partnership

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2013 H-Town Day: Bob Harvey

  • 1. Houston: The Next Great Global City Bob Harvey President and CEO Greater Houston Partnership
  • 2. Greater Houston Partnership Houston’s Leading Business Organization Public Policy Economic Development + International Trade and Investment Regional Consensus Builder
  • 3. GHP Service Area Ten County Houston Region
  • 4. A shallow recession for Houston -3.3% -4.2% -4.5% -4.6% -5.1% -5.2% -5.7% -6.2% -6.5% -7.4% -7.8% -7.8% -7.8% -8.2% -9.7% -10.2% -11.2% -12.4% -12.9% -13.2% DC Boston Houston New York Dallas Philadelphia Baltimore St. Louis Minneapolis Chicago San Diego Seattle Atlanta San Francisco Los Angeles Miami Tampa Riverside Phoenix Houston '82-'87 * Excludes Detroit % Jobs Lost During Recession 20 Largest U.S. Metro Areas* Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 5. Steady job growth Total Nonfarm Payroll (Not Seasonally Adjusted) Houston Metro Area, '04 - '14 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2 Jan '04 Jan '05 Jan '06 Jan '07 Jan '08 Jan '09 Jan '10 Jan '11 Jan '12 Jan '13 Jan '14 Employment (Millions) Source: Texas Workforce Commission
  • 6. Outpacing the nation Percent of jobs recovered through August ’13 45.5% 41.5% 39.1% 73.5% 70.8% 66.5% 97.5% 125.3% 161.2% 143.8% 203.9% Houston Dallas Washington Boston New York Atlanta San Francisco Chicago Philadelphia Miami Los Angeles Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Seasonally unadjusted 100% Houston vs. Top 10 Metros
  • 7. Key Economic Indicators 400 350 300 250 200 150 Vehicle Sales (000s) 12-Month Total, Metro Houston '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: TexAuto Facts Report by InfoNation 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 Value of Building Permits ($ Millions) Metro Houston Home Sales (000s) 12-Month Total, Metro Houston '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: Houston Association of REALTORS® 500 450 400 350 300 250 Sales Tax Collections ($ Millions) City of Houston, ’04 Constant Dollars '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13* Source: Texas State Comptroller * Projected 0 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13* Source: City of Houston * Projected
  • 8. Key Economic Indicators - Energy 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Monthly Average 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Texas Crude Oil Production Barrels (000s) Spot Price, West Texas Intermediate Monthly Average, $/BBL '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration 0 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13* Source: Texas Railroad Commission * Projected 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Spot Price, Henry Hub Natural Gas Monthly Average, $/BBL '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration
  • 9. Employment Trends 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% -5.0% -10.0% -15.0% 12-Month Growth Rate Mining and Manufacturing Secondary Sectors Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Source: GHP calculations based on Texas Workforce Commission data
  • 10. Above average job growth Metro Houston Employment (000s) -10.4 17.7 43.4 52.9 51.8 52.4 105.2 90.8 17.4 59.0 3.6 -3.2 -11.4 37.5 89.2 105.8 88.8 19.5 -107.4 47.4 81.2 105.7 80.7 76.0 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 August '12 - August '13 GHP Forecast for '13 Average = 42.6 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 11. Houston: The Next Great Global City
  • 12. Seven Emerging Themes • Education • Transportation Infrastructure • Quality of Life Issues • Local Government Issues • Healthcare Access and Affordability • Economic Drivers Beyond Energy • The New Face of Houston
  • 13. Houston: The Next Great Global City Bob Harvey President and CEO Greater Houston Partnership