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BringingĀ scienceĀ andĀ marketĀ trendsĀ 
togetherĀ viaĀ genomeā€enabledĀ breeding
JohnĀ Manners,Ā DirectorĀ CSIROĀ AgricultureĀ andĀ Food
TalkĀ outline
ā€¢ Megatrends
ā€¢ FoodĀ &Ā nutritionalĀ security
ā€¢ HealthĀ andĀ nutrition
ā€¢ ClimateĀ changeĀ adaptation
ā€¢ Gameā€changingĀ technologies
ā€¢ GenomeĀ platformsĀ forĀ breeding
ā€¢ InnovationĀ systems
WeĀ LiveĀ InĀ ExponentialĀ Times
Megaā€trends
inĀ AgricultureĀ andĀ 
FoodĀ 
StefanĀ HajkowiczĀ andĀ SandraĀ EadyĀ CSIRO
TechnologyĀ marketĀ trendĀ matrix
ImpactĀ andĀ valueĀ ofĀ technology
Market
Penetrance
Agrochemicals
GM
Biologicals
DigitalĀ 
Farming
GE
DynamicĀ innovationĀ systemsĀ movingĀ 
scienceĀ toĀ marketĀ +Ā consumerĀ acceptance
PUBLICĀ OPINIONĀ &Ā CONSUMERS
Nature,Ā AprilĀ 2016
NatureĀ Biotech,Ā JuneĀ 2016
TheĀ GuardianĀ 2014
WillĀ geneĀ editingĀ beĀ easilyĀ delivered?
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050
FoodĀ demandĀ (kcal/yearĀ xĀ 1015)
TheĀ foodĀ demandĀ challengeĀ ā€“ lookingĀ forwardĀ toĀ 2050
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
1970 1990 2010 2030 2050
FoodĀ demandĀ (kcal/yearĀ xĀ 1015)
BalancingĀ foodĀ supplyĀ andĀ demandĀ intoĀ theĀ future
ReducingĀ 
theĀ 
Demand
FillingĀ theĀ 
ProductionĀ 
Gap
SustainingĀ Ā 
productiveĀ 
capacity
Keating etĀ alĀ (2014)Ā FoodĀ wedges:Ā framingĀ theĀ globalĀ foodĀ demandĀ andĀ supplyĀ challengeĀ towardsĀ 
2050.Ā GlobalĀ FoodĀ Security.
KeatingĀ etĀ alĀ (2014)Ā GlobalĀ FoodĀ Security.
ReducingĀ 
Demand
SustainingĀ 
productiveĀ 
capacity
FillingĀ 
ProductionĀ 
Gap
ReducingĀ wasteĀ alongĀ 
theĀ foodĀ chain
ReducingĀ overconsumptionĀ 
inĀ humanĀ diets
AĀ balancedĀ livestockĀ 
componentĀ inĀ diets
SmartĀ biofuel
technologiesĀ andĀ policies ExpandingĀ landĀ areaĀ 
forĀ agriculture
ExpandingĀ irrigation
ExpandingĀ 
aquaculture
ClosingĀ yieldĀ gapsĀ inĀ 
existingĀ farmingĀ systems
NewĀ moreĀ intensiveĀ 
farmingĀ systems
AdvancingĀ cropĀ andĀ livestockĀ 
geneticsĀ beyondĀ currentĀ potentialĀ MaintainingĀ pestĀ resistanceĀ andĀ 
biosecurity /Ā foodĀ safety
AvoidingĀ landĀ andĀ 
waterĀ degradation
Climate changeĀ 
mitigationĀ 
ClimateĀ changeĀ adaptation
WedgesĀ ofĀ aĀ globalĀ foodĀ securityĀ ā€œrainbowā€Ā pie....
GlobalĀ nutritionalĀ diversityĀ ofĀ agriculture
11 |
MarioĀ Herrero,Ā TheĀ Lancet,Ā PlanetaryĀ HealthĀ IssueĀ AprilĀ 2017Ā e33ā€e42
WeĀ needĀ powerfulĀ geneticĀ toolsĀ forĀ aĀ wideĀ diversityĀ ofĀ crops,Ā notĀ justĀ cornĀ andĀ soy!
AĀ TideĀ ofĀ EconomicĀ Opportunity
OverĀ 2ā€3Ā billionĀ emergingĀ middleĀ classĀ inĀ Asia
GrowthĀ inĀ FoodĀ ImportsĀ intoĀ China
MiddleĀ classĀ consumerĀ foodĀ trendsĀ willĀ growĀ inĀ AsiaĀ ā€¦.
ā€¦.ANDĀ DRIVEĀ FOODĀ INNOVATION
HEALTH
FOODĀ SAFETYĀ HASĀ TOĀ BEĀ AĀ GIVEN
ETHICAL
INDULGENCE
CONVENIENCE
HEALTHĀ WILLĀ 
CONTINUEĀ TOĀ 
BEĀ AĀ DOMINANTĀ 
TREND
HealthyĀ foodĀ isĀ increasinglyĀ important,Ā butĀ willĀ theyĀ pay?
Source:Ā NielsenĀ GlobalĀ HealthĀ &Ā WellnessĀ Survey,Ā Q3Ā 2014
ProsumerĀ =Ā professionalĀ consumer/selfĀ focused
ElizabethĀ EastlandĀ andĀ MarketĀ VisionĀ team
NewĀ grainsĀ forĀ humanĀ health
Dietary-related Diseases : Cardiovascular disease, Type II diabetes, Obesity
and Weight Control, Gut Health, Colon cancer, Coeliac disease..
HighĀ amyloseĀ 
wheatĀ 
BARLEYmaxTM
Starch
Protein
Polyā€
saccharides
Glutenā€free
cereals
NovelĀ fibreĀ wheat
LowĀ glycaemic
index
LargeĀ bowelĀ 
fermentation
LowerĀ 
cholesterol
Coeliacā€friendly
GlutenĀ avoiders
Microā€
nutrients ThickĀ aleurone
cereals
NutrientĀ deficiencies
ARISTA
PhilĀ LarkinĀ andĀ CrispinĀ HowittĀ teams
MuchĀ useĀ ofĀ inducedĀ mutationĀ inĀ thisĀ areaĀ ā€“ ripeĀ forĀ geneĀ editingĀ approaches!Ā 
GrowthĀ inĀ agriculturalĀ productivityĀ growthĀ isĀ slowing?
ā€œProductivity isnā€™t everything,ā€œProductivity isnā€™t everything, but in the long run it is almost everythingā€
- Paul Krugman, Nobel Prize winning economist
0
50
100
150
200
250
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
AgriculturalĀ productivity
Broadacre
Cropping
MixedĀ croppingā€
livestock
AustralianĀ AgriculturalĀ Productivity
GrainĀ yieldĀ 
(kg/ha)
GrainĀ yieldĀ 
(kg/ha)
1970Ā Ā Ā Ā Ā Ā Ā 1980Ā Ā Ā 1990Ā Ā Ā Ā 2000Ā Ā Ā Ā 2010
InternationalĀ wheatĀ yields
ABAREĀ &Ā Grassini etĀ alĀ (2013)Ā NatureĀ CommunicationsĀ Ā 4:Ā 2918Ā 
TheĀ climateĀ changeĀ challengeĀ inĀ Agriculture
Year
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
Rainfalldeviationfromaverage(mm)
-100
0
100
200
110Ā yearĀ rainfallĀ patternĀ inĀ 
SWĀ Australia
27%Ā declineĀ inĀ wheatĀ yieldĀ potentialĀ inĀ 25Ā yearsĀ 
butĀ actualĀ yieldsĀ balancedĀ byĀ closingĀ yieldĀ gaps
MappingĀ wheatĀ ā€˜yieldĀ potentialā€™Ā 
reductionĀ 1990ā€2015Ā 
HochmanĀ etĀ alĀ GlobalĀ ChangeĀ BiologyĀ 2017Ā andĀ TheĀ ConversationĀ 2017Ā 
WildĀ type
Mutant
PlantĀ Phenomics:Ā breedingĀ plantsĀ withĀ precision
LiDAR
ā€¢ CanopyĀ height
ā€¢ FractionalĀ groundĀ cover
ā€¢ BiomassĀ index
ā€¢ GreennessĀ verticalĀ distribution
GreenSeeker
ā€¢ NDVIĀ (densityĀ &Ā greenness)
ā€¢ Highā€resĀ RGB
ā€¢ PlantĀ &Ā headĀ counts
Flyā€overĀ &Ā fixedĀ 
imagingĀ andĀ sensors
Phenomobileā€Lite
XavierĀ SiraultĀ andĀ teamĀ Ā ā€ HRPPC,Ā CSIRO,Ā Ā Canberra,Ā Australia
NovelĀ materials:Ā Sprayable biodegradableĀ 
polymersĀ forĀ waterĀ conservation
Reduces soil evaporation and increase plant
transpirationā€¦
Easy to apply
Suitable for use in all cropping systems
Will replace non-
biodegradable
polluting plastics
KeithĀ BristowĀ andĀ PhilĀ CaseyĀ teamsĀ inĀ CSIROĀ AgĀ &Ā FoodĀ &Ā Manufacturing
Polymer*Ā 
Treatment
WaterĀ 
appliedĀ 
(ML/ha)
WaterĀ 
productivity
(t/ML)
IncreaseĀ inĀ 
waterĀ 
productivityĀ 
overĀ control
1. Rockmelons
2014
2.98 18.79 32%
2.Ā Rockmelons
2015
3.52 9.97 22%
3.Ā Sorghum
2015
1.76 10.85 34%
22ā€34%Ā improvementĀ inĀ fieldĀ waterĀ productivity
N2
NH3
AustralianĀ ExamplesĀ ofĀ TransformativeĀ GMĀ Projects
Pestā€resistantĀ legumesĀ Ā Ā Ā Ā Ā Ā Ā Ā Ā Ā Ā Biofortified foods
NovelĀ oils FixingĀ Heterosis
throughĀ ApomixisBroadā€spectrum
DiseaseĀ Resistance
Nitrogenā€
FixingĀ Plants
BoostingĀ photosynthesis
USAID/Rockerfeller
Amfora
RenewablesĀ challenge
e.g.Ā theĀ needĀ toĀ increaseĀ plantĀ 
oilĀ production
2016 2050
250
MT160
MT
250
ToĀ keepĀ paceĀ 
withĀ growingĀ 
foodĀ oilĀ needs
Industrial
FoodĀ use
ToĀ provideĀ Ā surplusĀ 
forĀ significantĀ 
petroleumĀ andĀ 
petroĀ chemicalĀ 
replacement
LeafĀ oils
AĀ potentialĀ gameĀ 
changerĀ forĀ globalĀ 
oilĀ production
SustainableĀ supplesĀ ofĀ Omegaā€3Ā oilsĀ fromĀ GMĀ canola
SurinderĀ SinghĀ anĀ oilsĀ team
Omegaā€3Ā oilsĀ forĀ growingĀ globalĀ aquacultureĀ 
industryĀ ā€“ inĀ theĀ pastĀ 2Ā yearsĀ aquacultureĀ 
proteinĀ productionĀ hasĀ exceededĀ thatĀ ofĀ bothĀ 
wildĀ catchĀ fishĀ andĀ beef
StemĀ rust LeafĀ rust StripeĀ rust
ProtectingĀ yield:Ā GMĀ diseaseĀ resistanceĀ 
basedĀ onĀ wheatĀ rustĀ breakthroughs
MultipleĀ racesĀ ofĀ eachĀ rustĀ fungus,Ā 
Airā€borneĀ spores,Ā biotrophic lifestyle
EvansĀ LagudahĀ andĀ rustĀ team
TwoĀ typesĀ ofĀ rustĀ resistance
Multiā€stageĀ resistanceĀ 
(eg Sr33,Ā Sr45)
RaceĀ specificĀ oftenĀ ephemeral
R R R S
AdultĀ plantĀ resistance
(eg Lr34,Ā Lr67,Ā Sr2)
DurableĀ broadĀ resistanceĀ andĀ nonā€raceĀ specific
R S
EvansĀ LagudahĀ andĀ rustĀ team
BreakthroughsĀ inĀ resistanceĀ geneĀ cloning
26 |
ConventionalĀ andĀ GMĀ RĀ geneĀ stackingĀ options
Yr17
Sr26 Sr38
Sr33
Sr45
Lr67
Yr17
Sr26
Sr38
Sr33Sr45
Lr67
Lr34
Lr34
Lr34 Sr45 Lr67Sr33 +Ā moreSr22
ConventionalĀ Rā€geneĀ stacksĀ fallĀ apartĀ duringĀ 
crossingĀ ā€“ RĀ genesĀ actĀ asĀ perfectĀ markers
GMĀ multiĀ Rā€geneĀ cassetteĀ atĀ aĀ singleĀ locus
EvansĀ LagudahĀ andĀ rustĀ team
CORN
SORGHUM
RICE
WheatĀ Lr34Ā geneĀ confersĀ resistanceĀ toĀ multipleĀ 
pathogensĀ inĀ diverseĀ hosts
UniversityĀ ofĀ Zurich,Ā Univ
Queensland,Ā Univ Sydney,Ā 
Univ SĀ Qld,Ā Univ.Ā HongĀ 
Kong,Ā IPKĀ Gatersleben,Ā 
ENS,Ā Lyon,Ā ZAASĀ Hangzou,Ā 
IRRI,Ā CIRAD,Ā RWTHĀ Aachen
EvansĀ LagudahĀ andĀ rustĀ team
Schaeffer & Nakata Plant Science 2015
GeneĀ editingĀ ā€“ newĀ precisionĀ resistanceĀ engineering
Mlo geneĀ editedĀ resistanceĀ toĀ 
powderyĀ mildewĀ inĀ hexaploid wheatGeneĀ editingĀ process
immunity
GaoĀ etĀ alĀ 2014
March
2017
Wheat
(17000Ā Mb)
ArabidopsisĀ 
(125Ā Mb)
RiceĀ (430Ā Mb)
BarleyĀ (5400Ā Mb)
Genomeā€dataĀ drivenĀ breedingĀ nowĀ aĀ reality
JenĀ TaylorĀ Ā CSIROĀ Ag&F BioinformaticsĀ team
PestĀ andĀ diseaseĀ 
resistance
AbioticĀ stressĀ 
tolerance
IntrinsicĀ yield
WaterĀ Productivity
GrainĀ quality
HarvestĀ Index
HealthyĀ grains
Phenology
WheatĀ 
Trait/Genome
Platform
Foundation:Ā fieldĀ toĀ geneĀ pipelineĀ usingĀ MAGICĀ 
population,Ā derivedĀ nearĀ isogenicĀ linesĀ &Ā mutantĀ screens
Field
Glasshouse & Laboratory
MAGIC population, QTLs and NILs
Genome & RNA-seq for gene discovery,
mutation screens and GM function
testing
X X X X
X X
X
X
e.g. Boden et al Nature Plants 2015; Barrero et al. Genome Biology 2015
Mutants
AllelicĀ 
series
GeneĀ 
editingĀ 
inĀ future
MAGIC
crosses
TECHNOLOGY
ā„¢
Weed
Management
Insect
Management
Virus
Control
Bee
Health
MICROBIALS
BioYield BioControl
BioFertility/
Inoculants
Plant Growth
Regulators
Disease
Management
Insect
Management
AGRICULTURAL BIOLOGICALS PRODUCTS:
ā€¢ Help farmers to
improve crop health
and productivity.
ā€¢ Are derived from naturally-
occurring solutions such as
microbials, plant extracts,
beneficial insects and other
organic materials.
ā€¢ May complement or replace
traditional fertilizers and
chemicals, thereby helping
to lower the environmental
impact of agriculture.
SEED APPLIED
SOLUTIONS
FOLIAR
APPLICATIONS
PRECISION
AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Biologicals Platforms
Sustainable Solutions
33
Tony May, Monsanto
ā€œBusinessĀ opportunitiesĀ inĀ theĀ implementationĀ 
ofĀ theĀ SDGsĀ relatedĀ toĀ foodĀ couldĀ beĀ worthĀ 
US$2.3Ā trillionĀ annuallyĀ forĀ theĀ privateĀ sectorĀ byĀ 
2030ā€
ā€œMoreĀ thanĀ twoĀ thirdsĀ ofĀ theĀ valueĀ ofĀ theĀ 
opportunities,Ā andĀ overĀ 90Ā perĀ centĀ ofĀ theĀ 
potentialĀ jobĀ creation,Ā isĀ inĀ developingĀ 
countriesā€Ā 
ValuingĀ theĀ SDGĀ PrizeĀ inĀ FoodĀ &Ā Agriculture.Ā Ā BusinessĀ andĀ 
SustainableĀ DevelopmentĀ Commission,Ā 2016.Ā 
PublicĀ andĀ privateĀ convergenceā€¦
Australiaā€™sĀ farmersĀ feedĀ aroundĀ 60Ā millionĀ peopleĀ eachĀ dayĀ 
.....AustralianĀ innovationĀ canĀ feedĀ manyĀ more
PlacesĀ areĀ limited
GeneĀ editingĀ ofĀ CropsĀ Workshop 28ā€30thĀ NovĀ 2017Ā 
Kiama,Ā NSW
Australia
IfĀ interestedĀ inĀ attending:
PleaseĀ emailĀ 
Steve.Jobling@csiro.au
ByĀ 1st JulyĀ 2017
PlacesĀ willĀ beĀ selectedĀ basedĀ onĀ relevanceĀ ofĀ 
workĀ area,Ā willingnessĀ toĀ giveĀ aĀ presentationĀ 
andĀ toĀ ensureĀ broadĀ representationĀ ofĀ seniorĀ 
andĀ juniorĀ scientistsĀ acrossĀ Australia.
RegistrationĀ detailsĀ willĀ thenĀ Ā followĀ 
ThankĀ you
ThanksĀ toĀ allĀ theĀ amazingĀ researchĀ teamsĀ atĀ CSIROĀ andĀ ourĀ 
partnersĀ thatĀ haveĀ contributedĀ materialĀ toĀ thisĀ presentation

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