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The Future of Food Systems
Unfinished business & Upcoming challenges
Ruerd Ruben
 Stocktaking : Current knowledge & new insights
 Sense of urgency : Hunger & Malnutrition are on the rise !
 Framing : From Food & Nutrition Security to Food Systems
 Knowledge base : Fundamental questions
Looking back & Looking forward
2
I. Stocktaking
Where are we now?
3
 Linking Production to Consumption/Nutrition
 Dovetailing Technical & Behavioural Change
 Rural & (peri)urban settings
 From problem-solving to
systematic understanding
What did we learn ?
4
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
%population
Poverty
(<USD 1.90 a day, 2011 PPP; %
of world population)
Undernourishment
(calories, % of population,
world)
Stunting
(% of children under 5, world)
Overweight
(BMI>25, % of population
developing countries)
5
Food Security – global trends
Sense of Urgency
6
 Rapid urbanization
 Food prices & volatility
 Climate Change
 Protein Transition
Emerging challenges
7
II. Food Systems Thinking
What insights do we need ?
8
Food supply chain : from linear to circular
9
From food Supply to Nutrition (FAO – HLPE)
10
Dengerink, van Berkum and Ruben (2018)
Food system - drivers of change
Food System domains
Food Web
Drivers of food system change
Food supply systems
Agricultural
production
Food
storage,
transport
and trade
Food
transformatio
n
Food retail &
provisioning
Food environment
Consumer
Diet
quality
What makes it a Systems Approach ?
1. Understanding the drivers of system performance
2. Identifying solutions in another area than where the problem occurs
3. Linking pathways of technical and behavioural change
4. Different roles for public, private & civic agents
5. Reaching local and global outcomes
III. Unfinished business
What do we need to learn ?
16
 Technical solutions to post-harvest
losses (tomatoes, Nigeria)
 Distinguishing waste from quality
degradation
 Efforts at begin of supply chain ;
Revenues at the end of the chain
 Return of the crates requires
agency coordination
Value Chains & Agency Coalitions
17
 Dietary diversification contributes to
healthier diets (Bangladesh, Myanmar)
 Diversification at farm, household or
market level ?
 Income diversification provides
purchasing power for alternative foods
 Different market outlets offer access to
wider range of foods
Healthier Diets & Market Diversification
18
 Investing in better soils for producing
healthier products (Ethiopia)
 Controlling post-harvest losses and
increasing shelf life
 Reducing product heterogeneity to support
transport and processing
 Agronomic investments with pay-off in
terms of human health ?
From soil quality to product quality
19
 Upscaling is hampered by free-riding and
market clearance
 Using value chain integration as a
pathways for building trust
 Technical tools for enhancing
transparency (ICT monitoring; blockchain)
 Behavioural change communication to
support spillovers (schoolmeals)
Better upscaling through Behavioural Change
20
 Supporting Enterprises (SMEs) or
reducing market/institutional failures
 Spatial, Household or Individual
indicators for pro-poor targeting
 Empowering women and challenging
socio-cultural norms
 Potential role of Business incubators (Bis)
and business development services (BDS)
Understanding Targeting Errors as Policy failures
21
 Understand trade-offs between sustainable
& Healthier Diets (WR KB 2019-2022)
 Cross-country analysis of food systems
dynamics (A4NH –CGIAR)
 Pull (incentives) and push (environment)
for food systems change
 Public roles and private networks for co-
innovation in (mega)cities
What fundamental insights we need ?
22
Thanks for your
attention
23

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food systems in urbanizing world

  • 1. The Future of Food Systems Unfinished business & Upcoming challenges Ruerd Ruben
  • 2.  Stocktaking : Current knowledge & new insights  Sense of urgency : Hunger & Malnutrition are on the rise !  Framing : From Food & Nutrition Security to Food Systems  Knowledge base : Fundamental questions Looking back & Looking forward 2
  • 4.  Linking Production to Consumption/Nutrition  Dovetailing Technical & Behavioural Change  Rural & (peri)urban settings  From problem-solving to systematic understanding What did we learn ? 4
  • 5. 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 %population Poverty (<USD 1.90 a day, 2011 PPP; % of world population) Undernourishment (calories, % of population, world) Stunting (% of children under 5, world) Overweight (BMI>25, % of population developing countries) 5 Food Security – global trends
  • 7.  Rapid urbanization  Food prices & volatility  Climate Change  Protein Transition Emerging challenges 7
  • 8. II. Food Systems Thinking What insights do we need ? 8
  • 9. Food supply chain : from linear to circular 9
  • 10. From food Supply to Nutrition (FAO – HLPE) 10
  • 11. Dengerink, van Berkum and Ruben (2018) Food system - drivers of change
  • 14. Drivers of food system change Food supply systems Agricultural production Food storage, transport and trade Food transformatio n Food retail & provisioning Food environment Consumer Diet quality
  • 15. What makes it a Systems Approach ? 1. Understanding the drivers of system performance 2. Identifying solutions in another area than where the problem occurs 3. Linking pathways of technical and behavioural change 4. Different roles for public, private & civic agents 5. Reaching local and global outcomes
  • 16. III. Unfinished business What do we need to learn ? 16
  • 17.  Technical solutions to post-harvest losses (tomatoes, Nigeria)  Distinguishing waste from quality degradation  Efforts at begin of supply chain ; Revenues at the end of the chain  Return of the crates requires agency coordination Value Chains & Agency Coalitions 17
  • 18.  Dietary diversification contributes to healthier diets (Bangladesh, Myanmar)  Diversification at farm, household or market level ?  Income diversification provides purchasing power for alternative foods  Different market outlets offer access to wider range of foods Healthier Diets & Market Diversification 18
  • 19.  Investing in better soils for producing healthier products (Ethiopia)  Controlling post-harvest losses and increasing shelf life  Reducing product heterogeneity to support transport and processing  Agronomic investments with pay-off in terms of human health ? From soil quality to product quality 19
  • 20.  Upscaling is hampered by free-riding and market clearance  Using value chain integration as a pathways for building trust  Technical tools for enhancing transparency (ICT monitoring; blockchain)  Behavioural change communication to support spillovers (schoolmeals) Better upscaling through Behavioural Change 20
  • 21.  Supporting Enterprises (SMEs) or reducing market/institutional failures  Spatial, Household or Individual indicators for pro-poor targeting  Empowering women and challenging socio-cultural norms  Potential role of Business incubators (Bis) and business development services (BDS) Understanding Targeting Errors as Policy failures 21
  • 22.  Understand trade-offs between sustainable & Healthier Diets (WR KB 2019-2022)  Cross-country analysis of food systems dynamics (A4NH –CGIAR)  Pull (incentives) and push (environment) for food systems change  Public roles and private networks for co- innovation in (mega)cities What fundamental insights we need ? 22

Editor's Notes

  1. Dengerink, van Berkum and Ruben (2018)