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1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
08 December 2015
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2. Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
APR 10200 10390 10150 10300 +1.68 7460
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
10170
SUPP. 2
10040
PIVOT
10280
Turmeric short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
10410
RES. 2
10520
CORIANDER
JAN 10000 10123 9950 10100 +0.06 2620
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
9992
SUPP. 2
9885
PIVOT
10058
Coriander short term
trend is bullish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
10165
RES. 2
10231
GUARGUM
JAN 6680 6680 6470 6470 -3.86 7794
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
6400
SUPP. 2
6330
PIVOT
6540
Guargum short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
6610
RES. 2
6750
CASTORSEED
JAN 3940 3955 3880 3918 -0.53 39910
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3880
SUPP. 2
3843
PIVOT
3918
Castorseed short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming day.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
3955
RES. 2
3993
3. Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 3858 3853 +0.13
CHANA 5055 5104 -0.96
CORIANDER 10171 10196 -0.25
GUARGUM 6580 6570 +0.15
JEERA 15770 15775 -0.03
MUSTARD
SEED
4690 4725 -0.74
SOYABEAN 3673 3680 -0.19
TURMERIC 9290 9226 +0.69
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
CHANA 18-12-2015 4944.00 -166.00 -3.25%
JEERA 18-12-2015 15530.00 -295.00 -1.86%
BARLEY 18-12-2015 1460.00 -27.00 -1.82%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
18-12-2015 4671.00 -54.00 -1.14%
CASTOR SEED NEW 18-12-2015 3839.00 -17.00 -0.44%
CORIANDER 18-12-2015 10215.00 -34.00 -0.33%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
REFINED SOY OIL 18-12-2015 639.70 12.70 2.03%
SOYABEAN 18-12-2015 3735.00 50.00 1.36%
TURMERIC 18-12-2015 9304.00 56.00 0.61%
4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
As much as 8,955 hectare area under paddy cultivation has been
damaged by the unprecedented torrential rain that has hit the union
territory.Chief Minister N Rangasamy said that 11,418 farmers who raised
paddy have been baffled by the massive loss in the devastation.While,
4,420 hectare area under paddy was damaged in Puducherry, in Karaikal
the figure stood at 4,248.34 hectare and in Yanam the extent of damage
was 287.15 hectare.The government said it would incur an expenditure of
Rs 17.91 crore to disburse Rs 20,000 as compensation for an hectare of
paddy damaged in the floods.In the union territory, 1,544 hectare under
sugarcane cultivation also bored the brunt of the heavy rains, while eight
hectare area under betel leaf cultivation was damaged.The government
announced compensation of Rs 50,000 per hectare for areas under betel
leaf cultivation and Rs 15,000 per hectare for areas under cultivation of
sugarcane. This would entail a total compensation of Rs 2.71 crore to 1,508
sugarcane farmers and 57 farmers cultivating betel leaf.The government
has also assessed loss of vegetables to an extent of 168.10 hectare in the
three regions and a sum of Rs 25.21 lakh would be disbursed as
compensation at the rate of Rs 15,000 per hectare of vegetables lost.The
chief minister said that 297.73 hectare area under plantain crop has been
damaged and Rs 35,000 per hectare would be provided as
compensation.Tapioca and other types of tuber crop raised on 231.9
hectare has been lost and the government would spend Rs 34.78 lakh for
disbursement of Rs 15,000 per hectare lost.Compensations for loss of
flowers, cotton and pulses have also been decided.Rangasamy said the
government has decided to defray Rs 22.08 crore for crop loss out of Rs
150 crore earmarked as relief package for damages made by the
rain.Puducherry has been battered by heavy rains since the beginning of
November and officials have assessed that such a quantum of downpour
had not been seen in the last 100 years.The total rainfall that would
normally be received during the three month period of October, November
and December under the influence of North East monsoon has been
received in one month (November) alone in Puducherry.
Turmeric settled up due to active buying support from upcountry
market. Further, concern over production due to heavy rains in south
India too fuelled the uptrend. Though, some gains were limited by
arrival of poor quality turmeric from the producing belts. Sources also
stated that around 30-32 lakh bags of total stocks have been reported in
local mandies. While the total production in the coming year is
expected to be around 68 lakh bags, up 20 lakh bags from the last
year.Persistent rains in south peninsula since last two weeks may
damage turmeric crop in Tamilnadu and some parts of Karnataka. As
per dept of commerce data, turmeric exports during April-Aug, 2015
pegged at 38,774 tonnes while the export for the 2014-15 is 90,738
tonnes compared to 78,360 tonnes in FY14. As on latest sowing data,
turmeric sowing In AP, is recorded at 15,864 hectares increase over last
years’ acreage as well normal sowing area progress however in
Telangana, the sowing area is lower than the normal sowing area at
40,823 hac compared to 43,470 hac last year.
Ref Soya oil settled tracking firmness in overseas prices despite of
over supply following higher imports data. Prices also gained supported
by improved demand for on going wedding season in domestic market.
India soybean oil imports climbed 85.35% in October after local
demand of edible oils rose due to lack of domestic crushing, data
release from the Solvent Extractors Association (SEA) of India
showed.India's soyoil imports surged to 405,186 tons in September
compared to 218,599 tons for the same period a year ago, data released
by the SEA of India showed. India soymeal exports in the month of
December plunged 91.95% from a year earlier on higher prices of the
soybean in the local market, data released from Solvent Extractors
Association of India (SEA) showed. Soybean oilmeal exports dropped
to 8,909 tons in November compared to 110,806 tons for the
corresponding period a year earlier, data from SEA of India showed.
5. 5
Fundamental Watch : Castorseed
CASTORSEED PRICES AT KEY SPOT
MARKET
National Market Update
Agriculture statistics Division, DES has released its 1st Adv estimates of
Production of food-grains for 2015-16 on 16.09.2015.It has estimated 19.44
lakh tonne seed production this year. The production target for 2015-16 has
been fixed at 20.34 lakh ton. India has produced 19.63 lakh tonne castor seed
in 2014-15 as per revised 1st Adv estimate. Private trade estimate for the year
is much lower and is between 15 to 16 lakh tonne for 2015-16.However,it is
too early to talk about the final size as sowing is just over.
Despite 35% lower post monsoon rain fall castor crop is in good condition in
Gujarat and Rajasthan. Plants are in growth stages and there is no report of
any pest attack at early growth stage. Under normal condition production is
expected to cross last year 's level of 12 lakh tonne and may cross 15 lakh
tonne this year.
India has exported 337814 tonne castor meal from April to Nov-2015
against 282010 tonne in the corresponding time last year. Export of meal
increased in Nov to 85777 tonne. In August and Sept it had exported around
33000 & 39000 tonne meal. Higher demand from overseas market and ample
seed availability encouraged seed crushing in recent week.Plants continued to
crush due to good demand for oil.
Castor seed cash markets trade weak taking clue from futures. Plants have
restricted buying amid weak inner tonne. Good crop condition and expectation
of early arrival this year have weakened inner tone in the market. However,
seed prices in Patan and Sumerour have recovered to some extent. Overall
tone remains bearish in the short term. Bulls operators are not active and
recovery in futures is expected by the end of the month.
CENTER 04-Dec-15 03-Dec-15 Change
SUMERPUR 3650 3625 +25
PATAN 3975 3850 +125
MEHSANA 3850 3840 +10
BHABAR 3810 3825 -15
HARJI 3860 3860 UNCH
RAJKOT 3720 3735 -15
KADI Closed 3850 -
6. Technical Outlook
6
BUY CORIANDER JAN ABOVE 9980 TARGET 10025 10175 SL
BELOW 9915
SELL GUARGUM JAN BELOW 6470 TARGET 6420 6350 SL
ABOVE 6530
BUY TURMERIC APRIL ABOVE 10360 TARGET 10404 10464 SL
BELOW 10300
SELL CASTORSEED JAN BELOW 3870 TARGET 3845 3815 SL
ABOVE 3895
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