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Daily commodity report_07_feb_2014 by epic research
1. DAILY COMMODITY REPORT
7th FEBRUARY 2014
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2. DAILY MARKET WRAPUP
7th FEBRUARY 2014
COMMODITY
CONTRACT
OPEN PRICE
HIGH
LOW
CLOSE PRICE
%CHANGE
OI (in lots)
GOLD
05 APR 2014
28680.00
28940.00
28627.00
28632.00
0.10
9914
SILVER
05 MAR 2014
44505.00
45020.00
44280.00
43557.00
2.10
11078
CRUDE
19 FEB 2014
6094.00
6182.00
6091.00
6075.00
0.69
10246
NATURAL GAS
25 FEB 2014
322.20
337.40
311.60
333.60
-6.03
13258
COPPER
28 FEB 2014
442.65
446.90
442.06
441.16
0.87
10984
NICKEL
28 FEB 2014
866.80
877.10
863.00
864.40
0.66
5729
LEAD
28 FEB 2014
130.85
131.80
130.35
130.70
0.73
3301
ZINC
28 FEB 2014
123.26
125.00
123.00
122.46
2.04
2635
ALUMINIUM
28 FEB 2014
104.85
105.60
104.46
104.05
1.01
4377
LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (06-FEB- 2014)
METAL
ALUMINIUM
-8000
COPPER
-1975
NICKEL
282
LEAD
-500
ZINC
YOUR MINTVISORY
TONNES IN STORAGE
-5450
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3. INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
7th FEBRUARY 2014
PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS
COMMODITY
UNITS
PRICE
CHANGE
% CHANGE
CONTRACT
COMEX GOLD
USD/T OZ.
1,258.20
+1.00
+0.08%
APR 14
GOLD SPOT
USD/T OZ.
1,258.41
+0.21
+0.02%
N/A
COMEX SILVER
USD/T OZ.
19.87
-0.06
-0.32%
MAR 14
COMEX COPPER
USD/LB.
324.00
+1.10
+0.34%
MAR 14
PLATINUM SPOT
USD/T OZ.
1,378.63
+2.88
+0.17%
N/A
ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES
COMMODITY
UNITS
PRICE
CHANGE
% CHANGE
CONTRACT
CRUDE OIL (WTI)
USD/BBL.
97.82
-0.02
-0.02%
MAR 14
CRUDE OIL (BRENT)
USD/BBL.
107.42
+0.23
+0.21%
MAR 14
RBOB GASOLINE
USD/GAL.
269.14
+5.01
+1.90%
MAR 14
NYMEX NATURAL GAS
USD/MMBTU
4.99
+0.06
+1.28%
MAR 14
NYMEX HEATING OIL
USD/GAL.
300.66
+0.98
+0.33%
MAR 14
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5. MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS
7th FEBRUARY 2014
Symbol
Expiry Date
LTP
Value (In Lacs)
Volume (In Lots)
NATURAL GAS
25-02-2014
313.50
4,94,64,030.00
1,57,780
SILVERMICRO
28-02-2014
44490.00
5,15,89,71,420.00
1,15,958
SILVER M
28-02-2014
44496.00
2,51,33,56,560.00
56,485
CRUDE OIL
19-02-2014
6117.00
33,31,86,873.00
54,469
SILVER
05-03-2014
44471.00
1,11,89,79,302.00
25,162
COPPER
28-02-2014
445.00
1,03,87,635.00
23,343
LEADMINI
28-02-2014
131.65
24,42,370.80
18,552
NICKEL
28-02-2014
870.10
1,59,69,815.40
18,354
COPPERMINI
28-02-2014
445.10
80,35,835.40
18,054
GOLD M
05-03-2014
29250.00
51,82,80,750.00
17,719
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6. TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS
7th FEBRUARY 2014
COMMODITY HEADLINES
Gold up 0.3% on global cues
Silver up 0.9% on higher global cues
Import duty on gold, medical equipments and set up boxes may come down in interim budget
Nickel up 0.4% on global cues, spot demand
Copper up 0.3% as demand picks up, global cues
Crude oil up 0.6% on overseas cues
World food prices drop to 19-month low
Potato up 2% as demand picks up, tight supply
Refined soya up 0.7% on strong demand
Crude oil down 0.18% on mixed Asian cues
Oil prices down in Asia on weak Chinese data
Natural stone exports set to drop 15% in FY14
Mentha oil up 0.2% on good demand, tight supply
Apparel sector lags in winter-wear exports
MCX Crude Breaks Above Rs 6100 On Good Buying
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7. COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS
7th FEBRUARY 2014
SPECIAL NEWS
Global food prices decreased for the first time in
three months in January, reflecting lower prices of
cereals, sugars, oils and meat, a report published by
the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO)
reveled Thursday. The FAO food price index,
which measures changes in prices of internationally traded food commodities, decreased 1.3 percent month-on-month in January. Sugar price
dropped 5.6 percent during the month, and costs
of vegetable oils fell 3.8 percent. Cereal prices
were down by 1.6 percent than in December.
Meat prices also declined modestly during the
month. Offsetting these declines partially, diary
prices advanced 1.3 percent.
The Bank of England's monetary policy committee
today voted to maintain bank rate at 0.5% and also
decided to maintain the stock of purchased assets
financed by the issuance of central bank reserves
at £375 billion.
YOUR MINTVISORY
COMMODITY BUZZ
MCX Crude oil futures edged up amid a supportive
global scenario and topped highs above Rs 6100 per
barrel. Global crude oil prices extended their recent
recovery and witnessed good buying today. The WTI
Crude oil futures are trading at $98.15, up 77 cents
per barrel on the day. MCX Crude oil futures are trading at Rs 6129, up Rs 36 per barrel on the day or
0.59% with 10% increase in the open interest.
European stocks have started on a positive note yesterday and the positive momentum is likely to support
gold prices. The US dollar also gave up some of its recent gains and supported the gold prices. it will trim
monthly bond buying by $10 billion after deciding in
December to reduce purchases by the same amount as
the economy improved. The Deutsche Bundesbank
reported today that German factory orders increased
6% annually in December, lower than the 7.2% increase reported in November. On a monthly basis,
factory orders fell 0.5% in December.
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8. EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
7th FEBRUARY 2014
SILVER
SILVER MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 44950 Immediate Resistance @ 45250 SILVER MCX Closed @
43557.00 . Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 740. Volumes were 25230 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US
data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements.
BUY SILVER ABOVE 44700 TGTS 44900/45200 SL 44300
SELL SILVER BELOW 44300 TGTS 44100/43800 SL 44700
YOUR MINTVISORY
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9. EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
7th FEBRUARY 2014
GOLD
GOLD MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 28600 Immediate Resistance @ 29000 GOLD MCX Closed
@ 28632 . Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 313 Volumes were 15280 lots. For today Keep a close eye on
US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements.
BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 28900 TGTS 28980/29080 SL 28780
SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 28600 TGTS 28520/28420 SL 28720
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10. EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
7th FEBRUARY 2014
CASTORSEED
RESISTANCE 1
4167.7
RESISTANCE 2
4227.3
PIVOT
4114.3
SUPPORT 1
4054.7
SUPPORT 2
4001.3
Castorseed Feb. is looking sideways to bearish in daily chart. Momentum indicators also support bearishness, recommending sell on high. In Intraday basis nearest support @ 3975 & nearest resistance @ 4050.
BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4050 TGTS 4080,4130 SL 4000
SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 3975 TGTS 3945,3895 SL 4025
YOUR MINTVISORY
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11. EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
7th FEBRUARY 2014
DHANIYA
RESISTANCE 1
8984.7
RESISTANCE 2
9066.3
PIVOT
8928.3
SUPPORT 1
8846.7
SUPPORT 2
8790.3
Daily chart of Dhaniya shows bullishness and it will continue its rally from nearest support level toupper side.
Fundamentally also Dhaniya is in bullish trend. Recommending buy on dips, momentum indicator RSI taking support of mid range, Again signs bullishness. Immediate support @ 8095 and immediate resistance @ 8235.
BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8235 TGTS 8265,8315 SL 8185
SELL DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8095 TGTS 8065,8015 SL 8145
YOUR MINTVISORY
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12. TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS
7th FEBRUARY 2014
TIME
COUNTRY
EVENT
ACTUAL
FORECAST
PREVIOUS
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 7
00:00
JPY
LEADING INDEX
02:00
EUR
GERMAN TRADE BALANCE
17.3B
17.8B
02:45
EUR
FRENCH GOVERNMENT BUDGET BALANCE
-80.0B
-87.0B
02:45
EUR
FRENCH TRADE BALANCE
-5.0B
-5.7B
03:00
EUR
SPANISH INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (YOY)
0.5%
2.6%
03:15
CHF
RETAIL SALES (YOY)
3.9%
4.2%
04:30
GBP
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (YOY)
2.3%
2.5%
04:30
GBP
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (MOM)
0.6%
0.0%
04:30
GBP
MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION (YOY)
2.3%
2.8%
04:30
GBP
MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION (MOM)
0.6%
0.0%
04:30
GBP
TRADE BALANCE
-9.30B
-9.44B
06:00
BRL
BRAZILIAN CPI (YOY)
5.67%
5.91%
06:00
EUR
GERMAN INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (MOM)
0.5%
1.9%
06:30
INR
INDIAN BANK LOAN GROWTH
14.80%
06:30
INR
INDIAN FX RESERVES, USD
292.24B
YOUR MINTVISORY
110.8
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13. TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS
7th FEBRUARY 2014
TIME
COUNTRY
EVENT
ACTUAL
FORECAST
PREVIOUS
20.0K
-45.9K
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 7
08:30
CAD
EMPLOYMENT CHANGE
08:30
CAD
FULL EMPLOYMENT CHANGE
-60.0K
08:30
CAD
PART TIME EMPLOYMENT CHANGE
14.2K
08:30
CAD
PARTICIPATION RATE
66.00%
66.40%
08:30
CAD
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
7.0%
7.2%
08:30
USD
AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS (MOM)
0.2%
0.1%
08:30
USD
AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS
34.4
34.4
08:30
USD
NONFARM PAYROLLS
185K
74K
08:30
USD
PRIVATE NONFARM PAYROLLS
185K
87K
08:30
USD
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
6.7%
6.7%
09:00
MXN
MEXICAN CPI (YOY)
4.56%
3.97%
10:00
GBP
NIESR GDP ESTIMATE
0.7%
10:30
USD
ECRI WEEKLY ANNUALIZED (WOW)
4.3%
15:00
USD
CONSUMER CREDIT
YOUR MINTVISORY
12.00B
12.32B
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14. DISCLAIMER
7th FEBRUARY 2014
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