This document appears to be the agenda for a local government chief officers group meeting held on February 20, 2014. It includes discussions around understanding future tipping points in city systems from changes in population and land use, integrating land use and transport planning using various models and scenarios, and imagining infrastructure systems that can meet the needs of twice the population with half the resources while providing greater liveability.
9. Objective: to understand future tipping
points in city systems from changes in
population (size, type) and land use on
transportation system.
Why: To help pin-point what is fit for
purpose infrastructure and when is the
optimal time to provide it.
(partner: Transport for NSW)
Integrated Land Use & Transport planning
Land Use
Model
Transport
Model
Demographic
Scenario
Economic
Scenario
LongTermCity
Vision,Objectives
Land Use & Transport Policies
CITIES & REGIONS
SHAPING THE SYDNEY OF TOMORROW
10. Grand Challenge
Given that infrastructure is not an
‘engineering artefact’ but an ‘agent of
change’, is it possible to imagine
infrastructure systems that can meet
the needs of twice today’s population
with half today’s resources while
providing twice the liveability?
(Factor 8)
Editor's Notes
SMART’s work on ’Shaping the Sydney of Tomorrow’ is applying a case-based approach that can collect social-agents and processes that can be re-used in subsequent projects. The project is building a ‘realistic’ population of around 150,000 agents for the City of Randwick. Then this population needs to evolve over a 20-year simulated period.
Using ABS data, surveys and the department’s own household travel data, agents within the model, age, marry, have children, change jobs, move house and some even divorce. Replicating a real world population.
This interactive model implements a participatory process that will involve transport and landuse planners as well as local residences.
A key component has been the ability to work closely with Transport for NSW, to access their data and to ensure we are building a tool that suits their policy and forecast planning needs. On completion of this project, the methodology in place will allow the research team to use the same approach for the entire city of Sydney.
Whilst this model is based on the Randwick precinct it has been specifically developed with the capability of being transferrable to any geographic location.
This interactive model is able to see the effects of land-use and transport choices in various scenarios, to provide a better understanding of the complex interactions between transport services and land use dynamics.
We can see how one policy change, such as limiting parking spaces in high density housing will impact the surrounding neighbourhoods and cause a subsequent increase in demand for efficient, reliable public transport.
Using ‘what if scenarios’ policy makers can see the impacts on the system, allowing them to view their decisions and the impacts caused in a holistic way, and enable them to make more informed decisions.
This has been a major endeavour for the team and we look forward to soon completing the model and demonstrating what a powerful decision making tool we have created.