On National Teacher Day, meet the 2024-25 Kenan Fellows
Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509
1. Customer Development in the
High Tech Enterprise
Customer Development
Steve Blank
sblank@kandsranch.com
2. Agenda
! Logistics/Questions
! Market vs. Technology Risk
! Boyd & the OODA Loop
! Customer Development
! CASE: IMVU
! CASE: WebVan
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
4. Startup Checklist – 1
What Vertical Market am I In?
! Web 2.0 ! Semicondutors
! Enterprise Software ! Electronic Design
! Enterprise Hardware Automation
! Communciaton Hdw ! Cleantech
! Communication Sftw ! Med Dev / Health Care
! Consumer Electronics ! Life Science / Biotech
! Game Software ! Personalized Medicine
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
5. A Plethora of Opportunities
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
6. Startup Checklist - 2
! Market Risk?
! Technical Risk?
! Both?
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
7. Market Risk vs. Invention Risk
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
8. Startup Checklist - 3
! Opportunity Where does the idea come from?
! Innovation Where is the innovation?
! Customer Who is the User/Payer?
! Competition Who is the competitor/complementor?
! Sales What is the Channel to reach the customer?
! Marketing: How do you create end user demand?
! What does Biz Dev do? Deals? Partnerships? Sales?
! Business/Revenue Model(s) How do we organize to make money?
! IP/PatentsRegulatory Issues? How and how long?
! Time to Market How long does it take to get to market?
! Product Development Model How to you engineer it?
! Manufacturing What does it take to build it?
! Seed Financing How much? When?
! Follow-on Financing How much? When?
! Liquidity How much? When?
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
9. Execution: Lots to Worry About
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
14. Boyd’s OODA “Loop”
Observe Orient Decide Act
Implicit Implicit
Unfolding Guidance Cultural
Guidance
Circumstances & Control Traditions & Control
Genetic
Analyses &
Feed
Observations Forward
Heritage
Synthesis Feed Decision Feed Action
Forward Forward
(Hypothesis) (Test)
New
Information Previous
Experience
Outside Unfolding
Information Interaction
With
Unfolding
Environment
Interaction Feedback
With
Environment Feedback
Orientation shapes observation, shapes decision, shapes action, and in turn is shaped by the feedback
and other phenomena coming into our observing window.
Competitive advantage comes from quickness over the entire “loop,” not just
from the O-to-O-to-D-to-A sequence.
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
16. If
Startups Fail from a Lack of customers
not Product Development Failure
Then Why Do we have:
! process to manage product development
! no process to manage customer development
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
17. Product Development Model
Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/
Seed Round Dev. Test 1st Ship
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
18. What’s Wrong With This?
Product Development
Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/
Seed Round Dev. Test 1st Ship
- Create Marcom - Hire PR Agency - Create Demand
Marketing Materials - Early Buzz - Launch Event
- Create Positioning - “Branding”
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
19. What’s Wrong With This?
Product Development
Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/
Seed Round Dev. Test 1st Ship
- Create Marcom - Hire PR Agency - Create Demand
Marketing Materials - Early Buzz - Launch Event
- Create Positioning - “Branding”
• Hire Sales VP • Build Sales
Sales • Hire 1st Sales Staff Organization
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
20. What’s Wrong With This?
Product Development
Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/
Seed Round Dev. Test 1st Ship
- Create Marcom - Hire PR Agency - Create Demand
Marketing Materials - Early Buzz - Launch Event
- Create Positioning - “Branding”
• Hire Sales VP • Build Sales
Sales • Hire 1st Sales Staff Organization
Business
• Hire First • Do deals for FCS
Development
Bus Dev
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
21. Chasing The FCS Date
! Sales & Marketing costs are front loaded
" focused on execution vs. learning & discovery
! First Customer Ship becomes the goal
! Execution & hiring predicated on business plan hypothesis
! Heavy spending hit if product launch is wrong
! Financial projections, assumes all startups are the same
=
You don’t know if you’re wrong until you’re out of
business/money
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
22. An Inexpensive Fix
Focus on Customers and Markets
from Day One
How?
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
23. Build a Customer Development Process
Product Development
Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/
Seed Round Dev. Test 1st Ship
Customer Development
? ? ? ?
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
24. Customer Development is as important
as Product Development
Product Development
Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/
Bus. Plan Dev. Test 1st Ship
Customer Development
Customer Customer Customer Company
Discovery Validation Creation Building
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
25. Customer Development is as important
as Product Development
Product Development
Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/
Bus. Plan Dev. Test 1st Ship
Customer Development
Customer Customer Customer Company
Discovery Validation Creation Building
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
26. Customer & Product Development
Synchronization
Product Development
Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/
Bus. Plan Dev. Test 1st Ship
Customer Development
Customer Customer Customer Scale
Discovery Validation Creation Company
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
27. Customer Development Heuristics
! There are no facts inside your building, so get
outside
! Develop for the Few, not the Many
! Earlyvangelists make your company
" And are smarter than you
! Focus Groups are for big companies, not startups
! The goal for release 1 is the minimum feature set
for earlyvangelists
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
28. Customer Development
Big Ideas
! Parallel process to Product Development
! Measurable Checkpoints for the CEO
! Not tied to FCS, but to customer milestones
! Iterative to represent reality
! Executed by a small team including CEO
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
29. Customer Development is about
Action
! Never, ever confuse it with a “planning process”
! Never, ever confuse it with “focus groups”
Customer Development is about putting the
Founders in Continuous Contact and
Engagement with the customer
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
30. Customer Development in the High Tech
Enterprise
Customer Discovery: Part 1
Steve Blank
sblank@kandsranch.com
31. Customer Discovery: Step 1
Customer Customer Customer Company
Discovery Validation Creation Building
Existing Market: 1 Month – 1 Year
Resegmenting a Market: 6 Months – 3 Years
New Market: 1 Year – 3 Years
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
32. Customer Discovery: Step 1
Customer Customer Customer Company
Discovery Validation Creation Building
Existing : 1-6 Months
Resegmenting: 3-12 Months
New: 1-2 Years
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
33. Methodology
! Customer Development can take months or years
! Each Step has a set of phases
! Plan what you need to learn in writing so everyone knows:
" what they should be doing
" when they should do it
" If they succeeded
" If they need to do more
! These are checklists, not the inviolable commandments
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
34. Before You Start
! Board and Management Buy-In
" Learning and discovery not execution
! Customer Development Team
" Not traditional hires
! Sufficient funding for 2-3 passes
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
35. Modify the Process for
Your Company
! Text Example = Enterprise Software Co.
! You need to develop your own
" Specifically for your company/market
! Don’t quibble about details but understand there is a process
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
36. Discovery = Hypothesis Testing
! What are Hypothesis?
! Where do Hypothesis come from?
! Why Test them?
! How do you test them?
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
37. Customer Discovery: Step 1
Customer Customer Customer Company
Discovery Validation Creation Building
! Stop selling, start listening
! Test your hypotheses
" Two are fundamental: problem and product concept
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
38. Customer Discovery
Customer Phase 3 Phase 4
Discovery Test Verify, Iterate &
Product Expand
Hypothesis
To Validation
Phase 1
Phase 2 Author
Test Hypothesis
Problem
Hypothesis
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
39. Customer Discovery
Hypotheses
Product Customer Distribution Demand Market Type Competitive
Hypothesis & Problem & Pricing Creation Hypothesis Hypothesis
Hypothesis Hypothesis Hypothesis
Test “Problem” Hypothesis
Friendly “Problem” Customer Market
First Contacts Presentation Understanding Knowledge
Test “Product” Hypothesis
First Reality “Product” Yet More Second
Check Presentation Customer Reality Check
Visits
Verify
Verify the Verify the Verify the Iterate or
Product Problem Business Exit
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise
Model Fall 2009
40. Customer Discovery
Hypotheses
Product
Hypothesis Inside the Building
Customer
& Problem
Hypothesis
Distribution
& Pricing
Hypothesis
Demand
Creation
Hypothesis
Market Type
Hypothesis
Competitive
Hypothesis
Test “Problem”
Friendly
First Contacts
Hypothesis
“Problem”
Presentation
Customer
Understanding
Market
Knowledge
Outside the Building
Test “Product” Hypothesis
First Reality “Product” Yet More Second
Check Presentation Customer Reality Check
Verify Visits
Verify the Verify the Verify the Iterate or
Product Problem Business Exit
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise
Model Fall 2009
41. Phase 1: Author Hypothesis
Phase 3
Product
Phase 4
Iterate &
! One-time writing exercise
Concept Expand
Testing ! All other time spent in
front of customers
Phase 1 ! Assumes you’re smart but
Phase 2
Test Author guessing
Problem
Hypothesis Hypothesis
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
42. Hypothesis
! Product
! Customer/Problem
! Distribution/Pricing
! Demand Creation
! Market Type
! Competition
Product Customer Distribution Demand Market Type Competitive
Hypothesis & Problem & Pricing Creation Hypothesis Hypothesis
Hypothesis Hypothesis Hypothesis
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
43. Product Hypotheses
! Features
! Benefits
! Product Delivery Schedule
! Intellectual Property
! Total Cost of Ownership
! Dependency Analysis
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
44. Customer/Problem Hypotheses
! Types of Customers
! Magnitude of the problem
! Visionaries
! A Day in the Life of a customer
! Organizational impact
! ROI Justification
! Problem Recognition
! Minimum Feature Set
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
45. Distribution/ Pricing Hypotheses
! Distribution Model
! Distribution Diagram
! Sales Cycle/Ramp
! Channel strategy
! Pricing (ASP, LTV)
! Customer Organization Map
! Demand Creation
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
46. Demand Creation Hypotheses
! How do competitors create demand?
! How will you?
" Viral
" Advertising
" PR
" Trade shows
! Who are influencers/recommendors?
! Key trade shows?
! Key trends?
! Start assembling advisory board
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
47. Type of Market Hypotheses
! Positioning and Differentiation
" Existing Market
# The product is the basis of competition
" New Market
# Creating the market is the basis of competition
" Redefine Existing Market
# Resegment the existing market is the basis of
competition
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
48. Competition Hypotheses
! Who is out there?
! Why are they important?
! How do customers use them today?
! What don’t customers like about them?
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
51. Traditional organizations
and titles Fail
Typical Startup
CEO
VP Engineering VP Marketing VP Sales VP Business Dev
! People equate their titles with their functions
" But standard titles describe execution functions
" We need new titles = learning & discovery functions
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009
52. Customer Development Team
Tasks Not Titles
Customer Development
Driven Startup
CEO
VP Product Dev Technical Visionary Business Visionary Business Execution
In Front of Customers
Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009