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Preparing for the
tide: skills &
education for the
21 century
Pavel Luksha, Global Education Futures
Sao Paulo, WorldSkills International
12 August 2015
Global Education Futures: what is it
2
A unique international project that aims to understand challenges of educational
systems around the globe from the ‘frontier’ perspective. We seek to understand:
• What skills will be required in the economy & society to succeed in 21 century
and to meet global challenges?
• What changes should be made to existing educational systems and what new
forms of educations should be cultivated to create these skills?
• What policies and non-governmental initiatives can bring forward new
educational models?
Gradual scaling up over last 7 years:
• We started our journey in 2008 with efforts of ‘grassroot’ vision building among
Russian educational innovators
• Since 2011, our vision building work served as a ‘guiding light’ for policies and
new educational projects, including those supported by Agency of Strategic
Initiatives; around 5 thousand experts participated in our vision building
sessions on future of skills & learning in Russia
• Since 2014, we conduct international vision building sessions, where around
300 international experts joined our sessions in Moscow, Silicon Valley, Kazan,
Paris, and Berlin to build vision for skills & education in 20 years perspective
World 2035: where are we going
• Future industry:
• highly autonomous industrial cyber-physical manufacturing for mass-
scale production +
• highly localized customized manufacturing (based on 3D printing &
similar technologies), food production & energy generation on
demand
• Green / renewable production, energy, transportation & services
• IT is everywhere:
• total connectivity & mobility
• Intense use of AI / artificial agents (incl. personal assistance)
• hybrid reality (AR / VR)
• wide use of brain-machine communication (BCI)
• Smart / adaptive human-centered technological environments
• Unmanned adaptive transportation is ubiquitous
• Highly personalized services in healthcare & wellness, education,
entertainment etc., supported by authentic serving / ethics of
• Human practices of ‘ludic’ communities that naturally blend working,
living, and creativity
3
* This description focuses on ‘global best practices’. We
acknowledge the diversity of geopolitical & economical scenarios
that different countries of the world may face in next 20 years
World 2035: big challenges ahead
• Increased complexity of society and accelerated change of technologies &
social practices
• What worked before may not work in the future
(new practices / skills / professions)
• We need new systems of governance: collective intelligence + AI
• Complex but fragile: global security depends on grassroot resilience &
peacemaking
• Greening of economy & society:
• New R&D to reduce human impact on nature or to make it beneficial
• Rebuilding of cities
• Displacement of human labor by robotics & AI
• Creating new jobs, esp. self-employment & human-centered services
• Reducing effects of inequality created by new technologies
• New models of living: moving to sharing / coop economies
• Balance between ‘analogue’ and ‘digital’ worlds: reducing negative impact
on individual & collective mind
4
5
Omnipresent
ICT
Robotics / IoT /
autonomous
energy / …
21 century literacies:
• attention management /
mindfulness
• information hygiene
• programming (as task-setting)
Expanding domain of
‘new service economy’
focused on creating
unique human
experiences through
• personal
connection
(empathy /
bonding)
• creativity
New urban jobs created
around
• green cities
• healthy cities
• distributed &
connected cities
Domain of support to lifelong education (that expands to include
personal development, body & mind fitness, therapy etc.) becomes a
new large economic sector with dozens of new types of jobs
Design, coordination &
maintenance of complex
tech environments (ca.5%
of jobs)
Management + knowledge work as complex problem solving with
dynamic collective intelligence
Future skills: what do 21 century
economy & society want?
Skills of the future are needed not only for employability & successful career-
building, but also for good citizenship and higher quality of personal life.
5
Future skills: key literacies & basic skills
• Concentration & attention management
• Empathy & emotional intelligence
• Collaboration (as a critical skill that should be embedded in
many aspects of work & learning)
• Thinking: critical thinking, problem oriented thinking, system
thinking, co-creative thinking
• Creativity
• Working multi-disciplinary environments + emerging ‘lingua
franca’ (incl. system engineering & economics)
• 21 century literacies: global awareness, health literacy, civic
literacy, environmental literacy, financial literacy etc.
• Information / technology / media skills, including information
hygiene
• Flexibility & adaptability
• Ability to unlearn / relearn throughout life
• Responsibility (incl. ethics of human work / human service)
6
7
The current educational model is flawed by design: it prepares people for
skills of the past, not skills of the future!
• We cannot teach people to be creative by giving them standard tasks
• We cannot teach people to be collaborative by putting them in
competition against each other
• We cannot teach people to be lifelong learners if we deprive them of self-
exploration and courage to learn, if we blame them for mistakes
• We cannot teach people to be empathic / emotionally intelligent by
removing emotion and focusing on cognitive abilities only
• We cannot teach people to use IT properly if we remove it from the school
• We cannot teach people to be mindful if we are not mindful
Educational processes and formats need to be redefined to enable the
development of 21 century workers / citizens / humans
What is How: adaptation of
education to future skill demand
7
Self-Guided Learners:
natural lifelong learning
everywhere all the time
Global learning platforms: best of the available
knowledge & skills, global content
(‘billion student universities’)
Local learning ecosystems: existing (schools /
colleges / universities) + new formats helping to
serve
Ed tech tools that
help create
personalized
trajectories in
learning, career,
well-being etc.
Communities of
practice that
provide peer
support / guidance
Skills of the future in curriculum
Big shifts ahead: learner-centered
lifelong education
Transformation of professional education & training systems should play along with
the larger transformation of ‘industrial’ educational systems into ‘network-based’
educational eco-systems that cater to learner needs on the lifelong basis
8
+20 years
National content
& standards
School /
university
Global
learning platforms
City & area
educational ecosystems
that support lifelong learning
City / area
(intermediary level)
Dramatic shift: from local-national to regional-global
National level (intermediary)
Global level
(lack of authority)
Up to 2010s Mid-2030s
9
Key areas of change in education:
what needs to be done
Industrial / national / international
qualification & competence systems:
getting ready for self-guided lifelong learning, incl. lifelong ‘competence passports’ /
personal portfolios / unbundling of degrees etc.
Traditional education system
(schools / TVET / higher education):
• rebuilding curriculum for 21
century skills (incl. collaborative
not competitive design of
education processes)
• opening to practical, socially
embedded, sustainability-minded,
cross-generational learning
• learning is flipped
• teacher & learner(s) as partners
• new teacher skillset
Online learning:
• take over routine elements of
flipped school / university
• create opportunities for mobile 24/7
personalized learning
• integrate with game universes & social
media & professional networks
Urban / community learning:
• integrate opportunities for lifelong
learning & development (incl. family,
personal crises etc.)
• urban learning innovation labs as
social innovation labs + urban
entrepreneurship hubs 10
Last but not least: sense of urgency
Within next couple of decades, effects of technological, economic and social
transformation may bring us into a series of painful crises
• Information swamping or/and artificial intelligence beyond our understanding
• Destruction of 60-70 % jobs in industries & industry-related sectors due to
automation & artificial intelligence
• Destruction of sectors and national economies dependent on non-sustainable
energy & materials
• Cumulative environmental problems (incl. climate change, industrial pollution
and destruction of biodiversity) that render large territories uninhabitable:
‘climate refugees’, ‘water wars’, etc.
• Financial, political & military crises as a result of these massive transformations
The answer to these global challenges is skills that workers / citizen / humans
should acquire.
The creation of new skills on mass-scale depends on rebuilding, upgrading and
expanding our local, national and global educational eco-systems.
We only have years, not decades, to start the transformation.
11

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GEF SaoPaulo - Preparing for the tide

  • 1. Preparing for the tide: skills & education for the 21 century Pavel Luksha, Global Education Futures Sao Paulo, WorldSkills International 12 August 2015
  • 2. Global Education Futures: what is it 2 A unique international project that aims to understand challenges of educational systems around the globe from the ‘frontier’ perspective. We seek to understand: • What skills will be required in the economy & society to succeed in 21 century and to meet global challenges? • What changes should be made to existing educational systems and what new forms of educations should be cultivated to create these skills? • What policies and non-governmental initiatives can bring forward new educational models? Gradual scaling up over last 7 years: • We started our journey in 2008 with efforts of ‘grassroot’ vision building among Russian educational innovators • Since 2011, our vision building work served as a ‘guiding light’ for policies and new educational projects, including those supported by Agency of Strategic Initiatives; around 5 thousand experts participated in our vision building sessions on future of skills & learning in Russia • Since 2014, we conduct international vision building sessions, where around 300 international experts joined our sessions in Moscow, Silicon Valley, Kazan, Paris, and Berlin to build vision for skills & education in 20 years perspective
  • 3. World 2035: where are we going • Future industry: • highly autonomous industrial cyber-physical manufacturing for mass- scale production + • highly localized customized manufacturing (based on 3D printing & similar technologies), food production & energy generation on demand • Green / renewable production, energy, transportation & services • IT is everywhere: • total connectivity & mobility • Intense use of AI / artificial agents (incl. personal assistance) • hybrid reality (AR / VR) • wide use of brain-machine communication (BCI) • Smart / adaptive human-centered technological environments • Unmanned adaptive transportation is ubiquitous • Highly personalized services in healthcare & wellness, education, entertainment etc., supported by authentic serving / ethics of • Human practices of ‘ludic’ communities that naturally blend working, living, and creativity 3 * This description focuses on ‘global best practices’. We acknowledge the diversity of geopolitical & economical scenarios that different countries of the world may face in next 20 years
  • 4. World 2035: big challenges ahead • Increased complexity of society and accelerated change of technologies & social practices • What worked before may not work in the future (new practices / skills / professions) • We need new systems of governance: collective intelligence + AI • Complex but fragile: global security depends on grassroot resilience & peacemaking • Greening of economy & society: • New R&D to reduce human impact on nature or to make it beneficial • Rebuilding of cities • Displacement of human labor by robotics & AI • Creating new jobs, esp. self-employment & human-centered services • Reducing effects of inequality created by new technologies • New models of living: moving to sharing / coop economies • Balance between ‘analogue’ and ‘digital’ worlds: reducing negative impact on individual & collective mind 4
  • 5. 5 Omnipresent ICT Robotics / IoT / autonomous energy / … 21 century literacies: • attention management / mindfulness • information hygiene • programming (as task-setting) Expanding domain of ‘new service economy’ focused on creating unique human experiences through • personal connection (empathy / bonding) • creativity New urban jobs created around • green cities • healthy cities • distributed & connected cities Domain of support to lifelong education (that expands to include personal development, body & mind fitness, therapy etc.) becomes a new large economic sector with dozens of new types of jobs Design, coordination & maintenance of complex tech environments (ca.5% of jobs) Management + knowledge work as complex problem solving with dynamic collective intelligence Future skills: what do 21 century economy & society want? Skills of the future are needed not only for employability & successful career- building, but also for good citizenship and higher quality of personal life. 5
  • 6. Future skills: key literacies & basic skills • Concentration & attention management • Empathy & emotional intelligence • Collaboration (as a critical skill that should be embedded in many aspects of work & learning) • Thinking: critical thinking, problem oriented thinking, system thinking, co-creative thinking • Creativity • Working multi-disciplinary environments + emerging ‘lingua franca’ (incl. system engineering & economics) • 21 century literacies: global awareness, health literacy, civic literacy, environmental literacy, financial literacy etc. • Information / technology / media skills, including information hygiene • Flexibility & adaptability • Ability to unlearn / relearn throughout life • Responsibility (incl. ethics of human work / human service) 6
  • 7. 7 The current educational model is flawed by design: it prepares people for skills of the past, not skills of the future! • We cannot teach people to be creative by giving them standard tasks • We cannot teach people to be collaborative by putting them in competition against each other • We cannot teach people to be lifelong learners if we deprive them of self- exploration and courage to learn, if we blame them for mistakes • We cannot teach people to be empathic / emotionally intelligent by removing emotion and focusing on cognitive abilities only • We cannot teach people to use IT properly if we remove it from the school • We cannot teach people to be mindful if we are not mindful Educational processes and formats need to be redefined to enable the development of 21 century workers / citizens / humans What is How: adaptation of education to future skill demand 7
  • 8. Self-Guided Learners: natural lifelong learning everywhere all the time Global learning platforms: best of the available knowledge & skills, global content (‘billion student universities’) Local learning ecosystems: existing (schools / colleges / universities) + new formats helping to serve Ed tech tools that help create personalized trajectories in learning, career, well-being etc. Communities of practice that provide peer support / guidance Skills of the future in curriculum Big shifts ahead: learner-centered lifelong education Transformation of professional education & training systems should play along with the larger transformation of ‘industrial’ educational systems into ‘network-based’ educational eco-systems that cater to learner needs on the lifelong basis 8
  • 9. +20 years National content & standards School / university Global learning platforms City & area educational ecosystems that support lifelong learning City / area (intermediary level) Dramatic shift: from local-national to regional-global National level (intermediary) Global level (lack of authority) Up to 2010s Mid-2030s 9
  • 10. Key areas of change in education: what needs to be done Industrial / national / international qualification & competence systems: getting ready for self-guided lifelong learning, incl. lifelong ‘competence passports’ / personal portfolios / unbundling of degrees etc. Traditional education system (schools / TVET / higher education): • rebuilding curriculum for 21 century skills (incl. collaborative not competitive design of education processes) • opening to practical, socially embedded, sustainability-minded, cross-generational learning • learning is flipped • teacher & learner(s) as partners • new teacher skillset Online learning: • take over routine elements of flipped school / university • create opportunities for mobile 24/7 personalized learning • integrate with game universes & social media & professional networks Urban / community learning: • integrate opportunities for lifelong learning & development (incl. family, personal crises etc.) • urban learning innovation labs as social innovation labs + urban entrepreneurship hubs 10
  • 11. Last but not least: sense of urgency Within next couple of decades, effects of technological, economic and social transformation may bring us into a series of painful crises • Information swamping or/and artificial intelligence beyond our understanding • Destruction of 60-70 % jobs in industries & industry-related sectors due to automation & artificial intelligence • Destruction of sectors and national economies dependent on non-sustainable energy & materials • Cumulative environmental problems (incl. climate change, industrial pollution and destruction of biodiversity) that render large territories uninhabitable: ‘climate refugees’, ‘water wars’, etc. • Financial, political & military crises as a result of these massive transformations The answer to these global challenges is skills that workers / citizen / humans should acquire. The creation of new skills on mass-scale depends on rebuilding, upgrading and expanding our local, national and global educational eco-systems. We only have years, not decades, to start the transformation. 11