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Bank of Finland
Lessons of the Crisis for Euro Area
Reform
Olli Rehn
Trinity Economic Forum in Dublin, on 3 February 2018
13.2.2018
Olli Rehn
Suomen Pankki – Finlands Bank – Bank of Finland
Level and growth of GDP in the euro area, 2008-2020
3.2.2018 Olli Rehn 2
90
95
100
105
110
115
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Euro area real GDP ECB forecast, December 2017
Index, 2008Q1 = 100
Figures next to the line are annual growth rates.
Sources: ECB, Eurostat and Macrobond.
32427@eaBKTindMPEy(en)
0,4
-4,5
2,1
1,6 -0,9 -0,2
1,3
2,1
1,8
2,4
2,3
1,7
1,9
Suomen Pankki – Finlands Bank – Bank of Finland
Dramatic increase and decrease in bond spreads
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
-1
1
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Italy Spain France Portugal
Ireland Netherlands Greece (rhs)
Government 10y bond spreads in relation to Germany, percentage points
Source: Macrobond. patu32422@vvk10spread(Eng)
3.2.2018 Olli Rehn 3
Draghi: ”Whatever it
takes…”
Suomen Pankki – Finlands Bank – Bank of Finland
Public finances have stabilised in Ireland
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Ireland
Public debt, % of GDP
The figures for 2016-2018 are based on the European Commission's forecast.
Sources: European Commission and Macrobond.
32424@Julk.velka GIIPS (en)3.2.2018 Olli Rehn 4
Suomen Pankki – Finlands Bank – Bank of Finland
Thank you!
3.2.2018 Olli Rehn 5

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Bank of Finland Lessons of the Crisis for Euro Area Reform

  • 1. Bank of Finland Lessons of the Crisis for Euro Area Reform Olli Rehn Trinity Economic Forum in Dublin, on 3 February 2018 13.2.2018 Olli Rehn
  • 2. Suomen Pankki – Finlands Bank – Bank of Finland Level and growth of GDP in the euro area, 2008-2020 3.2.2018 Olli Rehn 2 90 95 100 105 110 115 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Euro area real GDP ECB forecast, December 2017 Index, 2008Q1 = 100 Figures next to the line are annual growth rates. Sources: ECB, Eurostat and Macrobond. 32427@eaBKTindMPEy(en) 0,4 -4,5 2,1 1,6 -0,9 -0,2 1,3 2,1 1,8 2,4 2,3 1,7 1,9
  • 3. Suomen Pankki – Finlands Bank – Bank of Finland Dramatic increase and decrease in bond spreads 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 -1 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Italy Spain France Portugal Ireland Netherlands Greece (rhs) Government 10y bond spreads in relation to Germany, percentage points Source: Macrobond. patu32422@vvk10spread(Eng) 3.2.2018 Olli Rehn 3 Draghi: ”Whatever it takes…”
  • 4. Suomen Pankki – Finlands Bank – Bank of Finland Public finances have stabilised in Ireland 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Ireland Public debt, % of GDP The figures for 2016-2018 are based on the European Commission's forecast. Sources: European Commission and Macrobond. 32424@Julk.velka GIIPS (en)3.2.2018 Olli Rehn 4
  • 5. Suomen Pankki – Finlands Bank – Bank of Finland Thank you! 3.2.2018 Olli Rehn 5