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Next Generation Data Centers
- 1. Next Generation
Data Centers
Anil Vasudeva
Principal Analyst & President
anil@imexresearch.com
408-268-0800
IMEX
RESEARCH.COM
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 2. • Markets Drivers/Industry Dynamics
Blades – An evolution from PC Servers to Supercomputers
Major Applications – Access, HPC, NIC, TP
4 Tiered Computing & Telecom Markets by Environment
Incumbents vs. Startups
• Market Segments – Mkt.Fcst./Shares/Channels
Market Forecast, Migrations, Supply Chain, Channels, Price Erosion
• Industry Issues/Technology Hurdles
Stds./Midplane, Server Mgmt/DMTF, Fabric Choices
Thermals, IP Acceleration
• Futures Opportunities for Startups
Complexity Reduction, Data Center Mgmt ,
From Next Gen PCs to Clustered Supercomputers
Interested Venture Capital
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 3. Chaos in the Enterprise . . .
File transfers AIX to
Database extracts MVS FTP between Sun - HP/UX via Platinum
to SP2 via MQ Series 4.4 NT 9.9
Network
IBM3090-600J IBM RS6000
TM TM AIX 4.1, 4.2, 4.3 HP
MVS/ESA Sun DB2/6000 UX 10, 11.0, 11.2 MPE
Server/OS IMS / ADABAS Solaris 3.2, 3.4, 3.5 Sybase 11.9, 12
TM TM
Oracle 7.5, 8.0
Fujitsu
Database IBM AS/400 DS90UX Compaq
OS/400 P/M ProLiant 2500,5500
NT 3.5, 4.0 SQL
Application CICS
Batch CAD/CAM Inventory PeopleSoft
Financials Lotus
E-commerce Exchange Notes
OLTP
Storage
STK Silos Tape
Legato to DLT
BU by FDR 8mm Backup Cheyenn
Backup Upstream IBM e to 4mm HP
ADSM3490 OmniBack
Test
Disaster D/R plan (MF only)
Recovery
(1) Scales poorly (2) Difficult to manage (3) Reliability is questionable (4) Management costs out of control
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 4. Market Trends
Data Center Automation Targets
20-25%
Servers
Utilization 80+%
15-30
Servers
Servers/Admin 500+
1TB
Storage
Terabytes/DBA
100TB
Networks 50-100
Ntwk Ports/Admin 500+
System HAL- 3 (99.9%)
Availability
HAL- 5 (99.999%)
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 5. Server Market Segmentation - Platforms
Large SMP
Parallel Sysplex
Scale Up (Consolidated SMP Servers)
Dynamic LPAR Rack Clusters
SW Provisioning/VMWare High Availability/
IBM: i890/p690/z990 Hi Perform.Clusters
SUN: SunFire 4800,12K -Linux/AIX/Solaris Clusters
- HPC Clusters
DELL: PowerEdge 6650
ORACLE: 9iRAC/PE6650
Blade Servers
High Density Rack Mount
-Highly Integrated Dense FF
-Rapid Deployment, Flex Architect.
-RLX: 300i, 800i, HP: 40b, p
-FUJITSU: BX300, DELL:1655
IBM: HS20,40,JS20 Sun:100 s,x
Scale Out (Clustered Blade Servers)
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 6. 3 Tier Computing Infrastructure
Application
End-Users
Uniform and ubiquitous physical
Connectivity – “Wire Once”
Internet
Any user to any server via the
Network Services: Internet
Web Servers, Any server to any server via the LAN
Firewalls, Any sever to any storage via the SAN
Load balancers
LAN
Dynamic Logical Binding of…
…server network identify
Application Services: …server OS version
Application Servers & …server application assignment
Database Servers …application data volumes
SAN Resulting in
Application Mobility across servers
Storage Data mobility across storage
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 7. NexGen Architecture
Ethernet,
Network Fabric Wi-Fi.
System Fabric
Management
Quadrics,
SNMP, Myrinet,
Fabric
IETF/ InfiniBand,
CIM, Ethernet IP,
SMI-S, Ethernet IP w/TOE,
SMASH. Ethernet IP w/TOE+RDMA,
Microsoft Chimney
SCSI,
Fiber Channel,
iSCSI
ATA, SCSI,
SATA, SAS
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 8. End to End Internet
HA, Secure Data Center
FC SAN IP SAN NAS NAS
IP Storage Network
Web
App
Internet Web DB
Edge Core Web
App
Optical
Web
DB
Web
App
Web
Web
DB
App
Web
Edge Applications Data Center
Directory Security Policy Management
Software OS Platform
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 9. Market Segments by Applications
OLTP
Transaction
10 K Processing
eCommerce
Data DSS (RAID - 0, 3)
(RAID - 1, 5, 6)
1K Warehousing
(Latency)
Visual DB
IOPs
100 Scientific Computing HPC
HPC
Imaging
TPC
10 Audio Streaming
Streaming
HPC
Video
1
1 5 10 50 100 500
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
*IOs per sesond for a required response time ( ms)
MB/sec
IMEX
- 10. TPC’s priority - High Availability & Syst Cost
z/390
$10 M Sysplex
Avg. S/390
S/390
Syst z/390 MVS
MVS
IBM
IBM
Price
Propl
Propl
$1 M Prop.
Sun-Solaris
Sun-Solaris
HP-UX
HP-UX
IBM
IBM IBM-AIX
IBM-AIX
$100 K Clustered NCR-SVR4
NCR-SVR4 Bull
Bull Dell
Dell
UNIX AS400 Fujitsu
Fujitsu HP
HP
IBM
IBM NEC
NEC
Siemens
Siemens Stratus
Stratus
UNIX
Cluster Win Win
$10K Linux
Clustered Linux
0.1 1 10 100 Downtime
Hrs./Syst/Yr
99.999% 99.99% 99.9% 99.0%
System Availability
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 11. HPC: Going from Academia to Wall St to Hollywood
High Performance Entertainment
High Performance Commercial Bioinformatics Decision-Support Entertainment
Commercial BioInformatics Decision
Audio/Video OnDemand
Computing
Computing Visualization
Visualization Support Syst Audio/Video On Demand
Systems
Data: IMEX Research & Panasas
100+ Teraflops Rendering (Texture & Polygons) Data rate & capacity
Throughput =Research All rights Reserved Throughput = 1.2 GB/s
©2000-2005 IMEX 100 GB/s Throughput : DSL/Cable
IMEX
©2004--05 IMEX Research.com
- 12. Blades Servers - Infrastructure
Management Modules Remote Mgmt+KVM over IP
Midplane Networking: Gbit Ethernet Switches
W/Connectors Storage: IP NAS or FC SAN
To Blades & Back
Switch
Cooling N+1Fans/Cooling Modules
Processor Blades Modules
(6-24 typically) Power: N+1Power Supplies
Blade
Control
Panel
USB Ports,
CD/Floppy I/F
~ GbE Switch supports
Trunking/Port Aggregation
Flow Control
Gbit QoS Packet Prioritization
Memory Ethernet SNMP/RMON
Systems I/F
Micro- DDR w IGMP/BOOTP/TFTP
Monitor
Processors ECC ……
Module
© 2003 Source: IMEX Research
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 13. Blades - TCO Savings & ROI
3 Year TCO Savings
TCO Savings in..
Rack vs. Blade Servers
OPEX
100% Staff/
Support
Maintenance/ 25%
80% Downtime
54%
Facilities/
% Contribution
60% Power
67% OPEX 21%
40%
46% CAPEX
Networking
19%
20% Servers
33% 46% Storage
CAPEX 25% Infrastructure
13%
0%
1 SW
Rack Servers Blade2Servers Infrastructure
22%
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Data: IMEX Research 2004 IMEX
- 14. Management – Blade Servers
Ultra-dense HW
• Density
20 %
• Power Consumption
20% • Cable Management
Management
• Platforms integration:
Hardware
Software
80%
Network
Management
• Scalability
80 %
• Security
• Manageability
• Lowest TCO
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 15. Blade Server Management Software
Automation
Provisioning Automatically Maintains
Application Service
Level Objectives
Virtualization Provisions the Resources
Required to Deliver a
Business Service
Allocates, Monitors,
and Meters the Usage
of Pooled Resources
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 16. Blade Server Management Software
Enterprise Mgmt SW
(HPOV,IBM Tivoli, BMC Patrol,Sun MC..)
Rack
Rack Mgmt
Chassis
Chassis Mgmt
Backplane
Blade
Mgmt
Blades
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 17. Blades Management Architecture
Chassis
Shared Modules
MC
Mgmt Srvr Mgmt Bus
IP Bus
MC MC MC MC MC MC
Chassis Mgmt Bl.
Compute Blade
Compute Blade
Compute Blade
Network Blade
Storage Blade
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 18. State of Interconnect Fabrics
Latency/hop
1 ms EHERNET - LAN/SAN/MAN/WAN
FE GbE IB - CLUSTER
ATM IBM/SP MPP
100 us
Servernet Dolphin SMP/NUMA
T3E
Myrinet SGI
GbE Quadrics Mellanox
w/TOE
10 us FJ/Synfinity
Synfinity-1
GbE 10GbE
w/RDMA Scali w/RDMA
1us
100 Mb/sec 1Gb/sec 10 Gb/sec
Bandwidth/link
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 19. Industry Standard Servers Market (x86 based)
12,000
Blades
10,000 Rackmounts
Pedestals
8,000
Units (K)
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 20. Blade Servers Market Opportunity
WW Blade Servers
Market Opportunity
(cum 2004-2008)
Factory Rev $B
Revenues ~ $24 Billion
Units ~ 9 Million
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved Data: IMEX Research 2005
IMEX
- 21. iSCSI on roadmap of storage vendors
US Market - SBC & xTCA Revenues
800
700
US Revenues $M
600 cPCI SBC
cPCI SBC
500 w Blades Impact
400
300
200
xTCA Blades
100
0
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 22. IP Telecom Server Blades
ATCA Server Blades Forecast
7,000
Signaling
6,000
Core
Edge
5,000
Access
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
-
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 23. Blade Servers: Vendor Positioning Index
(As of Jan.2005 - See IMEX Blade Servers Report 2005 for new data & indexing metrics)
Strategy (Potential)
IBM
Fujitsu Siemens
NEC Intel HP
Dell
© 2003-05 IMEX Research
Nexcom
Tatung Egenera
Sun
Verari
Linux Networx
Appro Rackable Sys
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Delivery (Success) IMEX
- 24. Blade Servers – Low Cost Suppliesr?
Mitac Tatung
Hitachi
Tatungt
3Up Syst
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 25. Storage Market Requirements
FC SAN, Existing Deployed
IP SAN (Block) Storage Networks
(FCP & FICON) (Block and File)
Enterprise
Co lti-P ace
Scalability
Mu nter
Data
nv rot
&I
Center
erg oc
FUNCTIONS
IP SAN
COST
en ol
f
(Block or File) “SAN in a Can”
ce
Departmental Small
(iSCSI) (Block & File)
Medium Business
Simplified Use and
(SMB/SME)
NAS Install
File Workgroup
(NFS & Low Cost
CIFS) Min. Features
Easy to Use
Desktop SOHO and Mobile
Self-Installable
Performance and capacity alone are no longer distinguishers
attributes between enterprise and distributed storage
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 26. iSCSI on roadmap of storage vendors
SAN iSCSI NAS
(Fibre
COST
(IP) (IP)
Channel)
•iSCSI delivers low-cost Networked Storage
–Higher availability,Increased usage
High End
–Centralized management,Storage functionality
FC & iSCSI
Mid-Tier
FC & iSCSI
Mid-Tier
NAS & iSCSI
Entry
FC & iSCSI
SERVICE LEVEL
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 27. Enterprise Market is now cost conscious
100%
90%
SATA
80%
70%
60%
SAS
50%
40%
30%
FC
20%
10% P_SCSI
0%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 28. The iSCSI SAN
Client
Workstations
Client requests data from App Server
LAN
Ethernet Header IP TCP DATA CRC
Ethernet
Switches
Application &
DB Servers
(iSCSI Initiator) iSCSI-equipped App Server (“initiator”)
requests data from an iSCSI storage (“target”)
SAN Ethernet CRC
IP TCP iSCSI SCSI DATA
GigE Header
Switches
Storage Arrays
(iSCSI Target)
To Other LANs,
Servers or IP SANs
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 29. Ethernet - TCP + iSCSI Offload Engines
Typical 1GbE NIC
File System File System
Host
File System
SW
Volume Manager Volume Manager
Volume Manager
SCSI Device Driver SCSI Device Driver
SCSI Device Driver
iSCSI iSCSI iSCSI
Adapter
TCP TCP TCP
IP IP IP
Ethernet Ethernet Ethernet
Host CPU
HBA Firmware
HBA Hardware
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 30. Future: IP Storage Management on a chip
Host Services Integration Storage
Provisioning
File system monitoring Storage provisioning Win, LINUX, Solaris Layer
IP SAN Management
Management Management of MultiPath IO Supp Security
IP SAN
Console iSCSI HBAs and Failover (iSNS, CHAP, SRP) Management
Layer
Virtualization Mirroring Snapshot Fail-Over
iSCSI Target Management Appliance
LVM, Error Handling, SCSI Daemon, API Interoperability
Service
Layer
HW Acceleration: TOE, iSCSI Offload, IPsec
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 31. Go-to-market: Channels of Distribution
Industry Structure
Manufacturers Channels of Distribution Vertical Markets
Medical
Disk & Tape Drives & Host Bus Adapters
F1000 Telecom
Govt.
HA + Ntwk + System Mgmt SW
&
Servers OEM
Components - Chips & Boards ...
RAID Large ISPs
Insurance
Contllrs Clusters
Finance
Manufacturing
Lg. Sys
VIA IPC Integrator
SANs
VARS Med
Hubs
LANs
NICs Sml SI/VAR
WANs
Switches
Distributor VADS
Internet Sml
Routers Backbone
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 32. Major Players in Infrastructure Convergence
Networks Storage
Servers
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 33. Potential for Blades - Everywhere
xSP IntrDet Enterprise
VPN
IntrDet
WebServices App.Servers
DBServers
IntrDet
Supplier/Partner
ISP IntrDet
ISP Internet ISP
Core
Edge Optical
Networking
ISP
Access
ISP
ISP
Remote Office
IntrDet
IntrDet
Cable Modem
56K DSL
MP3 VOD
Wireless Cellular Research All rights Reserved
Home Networks
©2000-2005 IMEX
IMEX
- 34. Holy Grail - Future Intelligent IP Infrastructure
Present Data Center Infrastructue Future Infrastructue
Clients
LAN Ntwk
Mgmt WS
Application & Intelligent
DB Servers Uniform
IP-based
Infrastructure
Mgmt
SAN Storage WS
Mgmt WS
Storage
Sub Systems
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 35. Emerging IP Based Infrastructure
Servers Storage
IP
Networks Infrastructure Telecom
Virtualization
Provisioning
Automation
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 36. Server Architectures: Competitive Technologies
Price/Performance Performance: SMP vs. Clustering
Serial vs.Parallel Computing
Multinode
Clusters
Performance - tpc
SMP
w/8 way
MPP
w/4 way
Serial
Price
16 32
MF 8
N-way SMP
6
4
2
Clustering i
Performance Number of Processors
Scalable Perf. vs. Availability
Scalable Performance
MPP
Clustering
SMP FT
UniP
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Availability
IMEX
- 37. 3 Tier Computing Architecture
Web App
SAN
Web DB
Storage Network
Storage Network
Web App
Internet SAN
Web
Edge Core DB
Optical
Web
App
NAS
Web
Caching, Proxy, FW
Security, IDS, DNS Web DB
Load Balancing … App
Servers Web NAS
Tier-1 Tier-2 Tier-3
Edge Computing Applications Data Center
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 38. WW IT Spending Levels Off …
Worldwide IT` Spending & Growth ($B)
$B Average %
1,400 12
IT Spending IT Growth 10
1,200
8
1,000
6
800 4
600 2
0
400
-2
200
-4
0 -6
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 39. WW Server Management Costs Rise
WW Server Spending : Acquisition vs. Management
Installed Base
Spending
(M Units)
($B)
200 35
180
30
160
140 25
120 20
100
80 15
60 10
40
5
20
0 0
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
New Server spending cost of m gm t. & adm in. installed Base Server (M unit)
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 40. Admin Cost % of Total Cost Increasing
TCO - Server Connections to FC SANs
$40
$35 $34K
$30
$25
Acq. Cost
$K
$20
$15 $13K
Admin. Cost
$10
$6.5K
$5
$6K
$-
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 41. HA End to End Internet with Security Products
xSP IntrDet Enterprise
VPN
IntrDet
WebServices App.Servers
DBServers
IntrDet
Supplier/Partner
ISP IntrDet
ISP Internet ISP
Core
Edge Optical
Networking
ISP
Access
ISP
ISP
Remote Office
IntrDet
IntrDet
Cable Modem
56K DSL
MP3 VOD
Wireless Cellular Research All rights Reserved
Home Networks
©2000-2005 IMEX
IMEX
- 44. Servers - Competitive Price/Performance
Competitive Analysis: tpmC vs. $/tpmC
150,000
Compaq Dell Fujitsu
HP IBM Sun
Average
100,000
tpmC
50,000
0
$- $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350
$/tpmC
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 45. Market Directions
Market bifurcation in the near term (2005-2006)
– Business Computer Market continue to migrate to Windows Servers
2003 from UNIX & Mainframes (HE Computers >$250K ASP)
– High Performance Computing (15% of market now to grow rapidly)
initially the domain of Linux
HPC will embrace Business Computing (2006-08)
– Over time some applications such as Wall Street Financial
OLAP/DSS, Health/Bioinformatics will migrate towards Business
Computing
Linux will take market share from Unix vs. Windows
because of the similarities between between Linux & UNIX
before it has any discernible impact on Windows 2003
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 46. Targeted Price/Performance
Measure tpmC Price $ $/tpmC
Best 5 ($/tpmC) 208,779 977,149 5
All Itanium 188,816 1,053,964 6
All Average 60,341 $ 1,285,309 $ 100
Sun Solaris 18,821 1,748,527 112
All IBM AIX 61,180 1,613,784 179
All Non Intel CPU 44,850 1,798,298 186
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 47. Positioning – HE Enterprise Servers
Enterprise Servers
Delivery Strategy Index Product IA-32/x ItaniuRISC Others
3.4 2.5 8.5 HP NonStop x
2.2 4.3 9.5 Bull Escala x
4.3 2.2 9.5 FSC BS2000 x x
2.8 3.4 9.5 Bull GCOS x
5.2 3.2 16.6 Unisys Clearpath x x
6.1 3.3 20.1 NCR x
5.4 5.2 28.1 IBM iSeries x
7.4 5.3 39.2 SunFire x
5.2 7.6 39.5 Unisys Orion ES7000 x x
8.1 5.8 47.0 IBM zSeries x
6.0 8.5 51.0 Fujitsu Prim epow er x
7.8 7.6 59.3 HP9K/Integrity x x
9.1 6.9 62.8 IBM pSeries x
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 48. Positioning - Midrange Servers
Midrange Servers
Delivery Strategy Index Product IA-32/x ItaniuRISC Others
1.7 2.8 4.8 Bull Escala x
1.5 7.0 10.5 Egenera BladeFram e x
1.5 8.2 12.3 Bull NovaScale x
2.7 4.8 13.0 Bull Express x
4.6 3.1 14.3 IBM iSeries x
2.2 7.4 16.3 Stratus ftServer x
5.3 4.1 21.7 IBM xSeries x
3.6 6.3 22.7 NEC Express x x
4.7 6.0 28.2 Fujitsu Prim ergy x x
4.0 8.3 33.2 Fujitsu Prim epow er x
5.9 6.2 36.6 Sunfire x
6.8 5.5 37.4 IBM pSeries x
4.6 8.2 37.7 Unisys Aries ES7000 x x
5.7 7.9 45.0 HP9K/Integrity x x
8.7 6.0 52.2 Dell Pow erEdge x x
8.2 7.2 59.0 HP ProLiant x
7.7 7.9 60.8 IBM xSeries x x
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 49. $-
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
IBM x366 4w Cranford
$19,770
3.66/1M Single Core
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IBM x365 4w Gallatin
3.0/4M Single Core
$29,980
Dell PE6850 4w Potomac
$26,808
3.33/8M Single Core
HP DL580 G3 4w Potomac
$32,607
3.33/8M Single Core
HP DL585 4w Opteron
2.6GHz/1M Single core
$24,816
((4 socket - Single/Dual Core Configs)
HP DL585 4w Opteron
2.2GHz/2M Dual core
$31,416
Sun Fire V40z 4w Opteron
Street Pricing - 4way / 8way Systems
2.2GHz/2M Dual core
$37,244
HP rx4640 4w Itanium2
1.6/9M Single Core
$61,820
Dual Core leveraging 4way/8way Servers
IMEX
- 50. Niche Opportunities
Niche Market Opportunity Gaps
• Address OLTP Market Gap - Performance DB market
• Large Memory Needed to Address Performance DB &
Business Intelligence Markets
• Leverage In-Memory DB (Oracle’s acquisition of Times Ten)
• Integrated 3-Tier Solution vs. Standalone SMPs
• Mix & Match IA-32 & IA-64
- Investment Protection
- Address Value & Performance Markets Concurrently
• Geo Load Balancer: BC & DR Markets Covered
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 51. Server Targets
CUSTOMER
Total Solutions
Support
TECHNOLOGY PRICE
DUAL/MULTI $/tpmC
CORE
32/64-BIT INVESTMENT
HIGH PROTECTION
AVAILABILITY Servers 32/64b Mix/Match
+ Migration Tools
99.999%
OPEX
Power
PERFORMANCE Management
In Memory DB
Middleware
Servers/Storage/Networking
Products & Support
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 52. Major markets in Cluster Volume Servers
100.0%
Volume Servers (Bladed )
<$25K ASP
80.0%
60.0% Volume Servers (Non-Bladed)
ASP <$25K
40.0%
Midrange
ASP $25-250K
20.0%
0.0%
High End ASP >$250K
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 53. IT Infrastructure, Sys.Mgmt & Applications
Broad
CAD/
Band
ERP
CRM
SCM
CAM
HPC
EAI
Data High Ntwk
OS Security
Mgmt Availability Mgmt
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 54. IT Spending by Vertical Markets
WW IT Spending by Vertical Industry
Transportation
6%
Mfg-Com puter
Energy
Related Education
6%
6% 2%
Manufacturing Telecom
Health
10% 1%
6% Utilities
2% Defence
Financial 1%
11% Services
14%
Media 2%
2%
Governm ent Metals/Mining
12% other 1%
9%
Construction
Retail Wholesale
1%
18%
Misc
1%
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 55. Server Spending in Vertical Markets
WW Spending on Servers
Retail Wholesale
Financials
Manufacturing
Energy
Transportation
Mid-Computer Related
Health
Telecom
utilities
Defense
Services
Media
Government
Education
Metals/Mining
Construction OLTP DSS HPC Streaming
Misc
Hospitality
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 56. Go-to-Market Startegies
Servers Market
Size & Growth ‘04-’05 $1B+ Server Budget > $1.5 M
10,229 Firms Direct Sales to Large SI/EU
$ 23.2 B Large Custom Solutions
2.8 % Enterprise
$100 M to $1B
Server Budget $50 K-$1.5 M
Mid-Size Enterprise VAD/VAR facilitated by ITG
$ 17.4 B 67,873 Firms SI/ Express Solutions & Packages
9.5 %
$25M to $100 M
Medium Business
185,794 Firms
Server Budget $5K - $50K
$ 7.8 B $1M to $25 M
Retail, Volume Resell, VARS
Standard SMB Products
12.8 % Small Business
3,577,862 Firms
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
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- 57. Technology Comparison
SATA SAS Fibre Channel
Half-duplex Full-duplex with Full Duplex
Link Aggregation
Performance 1.5 Gb/s Introduction 3.0Gb/s Introduction 2.0Gb/s
3.0Gb/s in 2004/5 6.0Gb/s in 2006/7 4Gb/s in 2004/5
> 8m external cable > 8m external cable 15m external cable
Connectivity One device >128 devices 127 devices
(multiple devices with port (16,384 max)
multiplier)
No peer-to-peer Peer-to-peer Peer-to-peer
Single-port HDDs Dual-port HDDs Dual-port HDDs
Availability Single-host Multi-initiator Multi-initiator
Driver Software transparent Software transparent Software transparent
Model with Parallel ATA with Parallel SCSI with Parallel SCSI
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 58. Market Segments by Applications
OLTP
Transaction
10 K Processing
eCommerce
Data DSS (RAID - 0, 3)
(RAID - 1, 5, 6)
1K Warehousing
IOPs Visual DB
(Latency)
100 Scientific Computing
NIC
Imaging
TP
10 Audio Streaming
HPC
Video
1
1 5 10 50 100 500
*IOs per sesond for a required response time ( ms) MB/sec
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 59. WW Server EU Revenues by OS
$70
$60
Other
$50 OS390
EU Rev. $B
OS400
UNIX
$40 UNIX
Window s
$30 Linux
Netw are
$20
Windows
$10
Linux
$-
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 60. WW High Availability Server Market
WW HA Servers Market
$40
$35
Other
$30 zSeries
EU Rev $B
$25 i-Series
$20
UNIX
$15
$10
$5 Window
$0 Linux
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 61. Open System Shipments dominate
Server OS Shipments - New Licenses
10000
9000
8000
7000 Linux
(Paid)
6000
Units (000s)
5000
4000 Win 2003
W2K
3000 Server
NT
2000
1000 UNIX Total
NetWare
0
MF
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 62. Interconnect Price/Performance Hierarchy
High MB/s,
Low Latency,
Price/Port Quadrics
Myrinet
InfiniBand
10 GbE w/ RDMA, TOE
10 GbE w/ TOE
1 GbE
Market Size
Microsoft Chimney Software 2004-07
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 63. iSCSI on roadmap of storage vendors
SAN iSCSI NAS
(Fibre
COST
(IP) (IP)
Channel)
•iSCSI delivers low-cost Networked Storage
–Higher availability,Increased usage
High End
–Centralized management,Storage functionality
FC & iSCSI
Mid-Tier
FC & iSCSI
Mid-Tier
NAS & iSCSI
Entry
FC & iSCSI
SERVICE LEVEL
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 64. Management – Blade Servers
Ultra-dense HW
• Density
20 %
• Power Consumption
20% • Cable Management
Management
• Platforms integration:
Hardware
Software
80%
Network
Management
• Scalability
80 %
• Security
• Manageability
• Lowest TCO
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 65. Tiered Storage by Price/Performance
Desktop PC Servers Large Enterprise
Entry NAS Midline Storage SAN & NAS
Workstations Mainstream NAS/SAN
PC SAS SAS HBA/RAID FC RAID
Chipset HBA
Drive
Interface SATA SAS SAS
Drive
Types 5400 RPM 10K RPM
7200 RPM 15K RPM
SATA Drive SAS Drive FC Drive
Source:Maxtor
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 66. Unified Server & Storage Mgmt
Enterprise Management
HP/OV IBM/Tivoli BMC/Patrol CA/Unicenter MS/MOM
Systems Management
Auto Inventory Distributed Event Exception
Discovery Mgmt Tools Notification Reporting
Capacity Security Matrix Controls Tools
Management Policies Integration Repository Definition
Auto Performance Workload Topology Performance Provisioning
Discovery Management Management Management Management Manager
Blades Syst VM Cluster Conf Chargeback File System Policy
Management Management Management Management Manager Manager
Patch Partition 3rd Party SW Oracle View Exchange Custom
Automation Management Management Management Management Reports Mgr
Server Storage
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
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- 67. Unified Mgmt Stack
Application Management
Change & Configuration Suite
Identity Manager
Automation Manager
Service Level Manager
Infrastructure Management
System Manager
Blade System Management Suite
Virtual Server Management
Server & Storage Unified Management
Elements Management
Standards/Interoperability
SNMP/SMI-S/WBEM/WMI/SMASH/SOAP/XML
Storage / Disk Arrays / Tape Products & Vendors
HDS, IBM, Cisco, SunBrocade, EMC, McData, NetApp, qLogic,
Servers / Blades Products & Vendors
IBM, HP, Sun, Fujitsu, NEC, Unisys, Intel
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
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- 68. Storage Mgmt Tools
• Console: Main console for open, heterogeneous SAN Mgmt
• Provisioning Wizard: Wizard to provision Hetero Host to Storage Arrays
• Charge Back Mgmt: Asset based Chargeback Mgmt
• Data Base Monitor: Oracle DB Availability & Performance Views
• EMail Monitor: Exchange Availability & Performance Views
• Enterprise SW Monitor: SAP Elements Availability & Performance Views
• Capacity Mgmt: Filesystem scanning for reclaiming wasted space
• One View: Consolidated reporting of multiple storage/server instances
• Report Template Designer: Custom Mgmt Console & Reports for infrastructure
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 69. Defense System
• launch readiness
Health Systems 4
Time to • Emergency Syst
Recover • Computer Dispatch
• Patient Monitoring
from System
Failure Cost
Navigation Syst 4
• Shipping, Satellites.
- to
eliminate
Reservation Syst 4
• Air Travel
(Fail-over SPOFs • Auto Rentals
Time)
Banking Services 4
Manufacturing 3 • ATM Transactions
• EFT
Utility Opns 3
Financial Srvcs 4
Telecom 3 • Securities Trading
Messaging • NumberPortability Telecom 3
• Customer Srvcs
Systems 2 • Call Location
• e-mail Internet 3
Retailing 2 • eCommerce
Office Sys • POS
• HR 1
• Shipping
Availability 99.0% 99.9% 99.99% 99.999% 99.9999%
Availability Level HAL- 2 HAL- 3 HAL- 4 HAL- 5 HAL- 6
Downtime/yr. ~ 4 days ~ 8 Hrs ~ 1 Hr. ~ 5 mts. 30 sec
Time/Outage ~ 4 Hrs ~ 30 mts. ~ 5 mts. ~ 1 mt. ~ 10 sec
Outages/yr. 24 16 12 5 3
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
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- 70. Remote
Intranet Replicated
Server Cluster
Host Fault- Cluster/
Disk Connect Tolerance Apps Fault-
Fault- Fault-Toleran Tolerance
Fault-Tolern • Shared Storage
Tolerance • Shared • Continuous Replicated
• Controller FO Resources • Cluster SW • Remote Copy -
• RAID (Disk • Hot Spare Disks • Server FO • Oracle OPS • Synchronized
Fail Over) • Redundant Power • AutoRecovery • Databases Data Mirroring
• Write Hole Supplies & Fans • Transaction Replication • Zonal Disaster
• Hot Swap - Disks • Redundant NICs Recovery • Auto Restart Boot Tolerant
• ECC Memory • NIC Failover • Dedicated Monitoring • Router Path
• Power Outage • Hot Swap Cards Server Redundancy
• SNMP Alerts •Load Balancing
Single Server Local Server/Cluster Remote Cluster
Single Site Multi-site
Systems Management
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX
- 71. System Cost vs. High Availability
z/390
$10 M Sysplex
Avg. S/390
S/390
Syst z/390 MVS
MVS
IBM
IBM
Price
Propl
Propl
$1 M Prop.
Sun-Solaris
Sun-Solaris
HP-UX
HP-UX
IBM
IBM IBM-AIX
IBM-AIX
$100 K Clustered NCR-SVR4
NCR-SVR4 Bull
Bull Dell
Dell
UNIX AS400 Fujitsu
Fujitsu HP
HP
IBM
IBM NEC
NEC
Siemens
Siemens Stratus
Stratus
UNIX
Cluster Win Win
$10K Linux
Clustered Linux
0.1 1 10 100 Downtime
Hrs./Syst/Yr
99.999% 99.99% 99.9% 99.0%
System Availability
©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX