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SCHOOL OF GRADUATE STUDIES
            HARAMAYA UNIVERSITY

     THE BROKERAGE INSTITUTIONS AND
   SMALLHOLDER MARKET LINKAGES IN THE
   MARKETING OF HORTICULTURAL CROPS IN
  FOGERA WOREDA, SOUTH GONDAR, AMHARA
        NATIONAL REGIONAL STATE

                Simegnew Tamir (MSc)

Major Advisor: Kinde Getnet (PhD)
Co-Advisor: Jema Haji (PhD)

                    October, 2012
PRESENTATION OUTLINE



INTRODUCTION

RESEARCH METHDOLOGY

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

CONCLUSION AND RECOMMANDATION
1.INTRODUCTION

1.1. Background

• Primary development goal of the Government is
   to achieve food security and
   sustain high economic and export growth levels

• Growth and Transformation Plan (GTP) investment areas:
  scaling up model farmers practices
  improving agricultural water use and irrigation
  increasing the production of high value crops
Background Cont…

• Ethiopia has highly-diversified agro-ecological
  conditions which are suitable for production of
  horticultural crops

• Amhara Region is one of the potential area

• Fogera Woreda is an emerging commercial agriculture
  in which smallholders produce and market horticultural
  crops for the local and national markets using the
  brokerage institutions
1.2. Problem Statement
• Fogera Woreda is an emerging commercial area in the
  production of horticultural crops

• To sustain this well structured market networks and
  linkages are required (organization among
  farmers, institutions and infrastructure)

• The horticulture market is characterized by imperfect
  information

• Thus, the existence of strong brokerage institutions in
  Fogera is a characteristic feature
Problem Statement Cont…

• The Woreda experts and decision makers tried to stop
  the brokers by using cooperatives

• However, the cooperatives failed in linking farmers to
  wholesalers due to nature of the products, lack of
  organized market system and imperfect market
  information

• Issues of market coordination and the institutional
  environment attract a considerable attention among the
  development community
Problem Statement Cont…
• Of all the institutions, several studies have documented
  the crucial role played by brokers

• ARARI (PRA), illegal brokerage activity in
  horticultural marketing is one of the priority research
  problem.

• However, the institutions are not studied in the area, no
  attempt has been made to explain the interaction
  between the brokers and smallholders

• The study focused to fill such knowledge gaps
1.3. Objectives of the Study
The general objective of the study was:

• To assess the economic roles played by the brokerage
  institution in smallholder market linkages under imperfect
  market condition in the study area

The specific objectives of the study were:

• To assess the socioeconomic profile, economic
  roles, constraints and opportunities of the brokerage
  institutions

• To identify the determinants of farmers decision whether to
  use brokerage institutions or not as a means of market
  linkage to wholesalers
• To measure the impact of brokerage institutions on
  farmers market participation and income generation
  capacity

• To identify the determinants of wholesalers decisions
  on whether to use brokerage institutions or not as a
  means of market linkage to farmers; and

• To identify the determinants of wholesalers extent of
  brokerage intuitions usage under imperfect market
  condition of horticultural marketing
3. RESEARCH METHDOLOGY
3.1. Description of the Study Area

• Fogera Woreda, South Gondar Zone, Amhara Region
• Woreta town, 625 km from Addis Ababa and 55 km from
  Bahir Dar
• 27 rural and 3 urban PAs Map of study area.docx

3.2. Methods of Data Collection

•   Both primary and secondary data were used
•   Primary data: semi-structured questionnaire and check-list
•   Trained enumerators were used for data collection
•   Pre-testing and rapid market appraisal(RMA)
3.3. Sampling Procedures
                                 Brokers, rural assemblers
                                 , wholesalers and retailers
  Farmers sampling                       sampling
• 5 kebeles selected       • Monitoring, 4 months
  randomly                 • Friends: Brokers (Baye and
• Farmers grouped in to      Huno), Wholesalers
                             (Mengistu, Setegn and Gizat)
  participant and non
  participant in the       • Peaceful Café and Pension
                             (agreement and payment place)
  brokerage institutions
                           • 55 brokers (snowball sampling)
• 143 farmers selected
                           • 52 wholesalers (randomly)
  randomly from both
                           • 20 rural assemblers and 45 retailers
  groups
                             from main retail markets
3.4. Methods of Data Analysis

3.4.1. Descriptive statistics
• Percentages, standard deviation, t-test and chi squared
  test were used
3.4.2. Econometric models
3.4.2.1. Propensity score matching model
• To achieve 2nd and 3rd objective, participants and non
  participants comparison were used, steps:
  1.   Estimation of the propensity scores
  2.   Identify the common support region
  3.   Matching using matching algorithms and Balancing test
  4.   Estimation of average treatment effect and Bootstrapping
  5.   Sensitivity analysis
3.4.2.2. Heckman two stage model

• To achieve the 4th and 5th objective, Heckman two
  stage model with selection bias were used

• Assumption: traders follow a sequential decision
  process, with a discrete choice on ‘whether or not’ to
  use brokers and

• A subsequent continuous decision on ‘how much’ to
  use brokers

• Two equations
  1. Selection equation
  2. Outcome equation
4. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
4.1. The Brokerage Institutions
4.1.1. Socioeconomic profile of brokers
Variables          Category           Percent (%)
Sex                Male                         100
                   Female                           0
Religion           Orthodox                     100
                   Others                           0
Marital status     Single                       16.4
                   Married                      83.6
Education level    Illiterate                       3.6
                   Adults education             16.4
                   Literate                         80
Main occupation    Farmer                       58.2
                   Youth                        21.8
                   Trader                           20
Results….Cont

• Most of the brokers are
  youngsters (18-63)

• Strong brokerage activity in
  onion marketing

• Only 4.2% of the farmers use
  brokerage institutions for
  marketing of tomato -2 brokers

• Brokers act as rural assemblers
  in tomato marketing
4.1.2. Characteristics and economic roles of
              brokerage institutions
• Most of the brokers (98.2%) work the business informally
  without having license
• The study characterized brokers in to two ways:
 Based on place:
      Rural brokers
      Peri-urban brokers (Gumara and Abewana Kokit)
      Urban brokers (Woreta)

 Based on occupation:
      Farmer Brokers
      Youth Brokers (grade 10 and 12 complete and school
       dropouts)
      Cereal traders (rice)Brokers chain and transaction flow.docx
The brokerage institutions main characteristics and
 roles in the area include:

•   Are better informed
•   Are skilled socially to bargain and facilitate linkage
•   Create economies of scale
•   They stabilize market conditions
•   They reduce transaction cost
•   Sources of secure market for smallholders
•   Provide credit for the wholesalers being as collateral
    for the farmer (trust and credit based transaction)
4.1.3. Brokerage institutions and their activity in
          the context of Fogera Woreda
• Brokers act in different ways:
1. When the wholesaler comes to Fogera Woreda: here
   they act in two ways
A. When the wholesaler is regular customer or residence in
   the Woreda (10%):
     They directly contact the wholesaler with the farmer , the
      payment of 0.10 ETB/Kg as a commission fee


B. When the wholesaler is not regular customer (20%):
     No contact between farmer and wholesalers (brokers, first
      discuss with farmer then negotiate wholesaler)
     0.10 ETB/Kg commission fee + FERQ (0.1 ETB- 1 ETB)
2. Thrust based transaction (70%):

• This case happens when the wholesaler do not come
  to Fogera Woreda

• Transaction will be made only by wholesaler
  telephone order

• No contact between farmers and wholesalers

• In addition to 0.10 ETB/Kg commission fee, there is
  FERQ (0.10 ETB - 1.00 ETB) depending on the
  volume of transaction and customer relationships.
4.1.4. Brokers attraction mechanism of wholesalers

• Brokers attract wholesalers by two ways:
  1. Weight cheating from farmers and
  2. Reducing FERQ

•   Weight cheating has two advantages for the broker
     obtaining regular wholesaler customers for the future
      and
     having his own share from it

•   Weight cheating ranges from 6% to 20%
4.1.5. The rationale behind the emergence of
               farmer brokers
                               Attract wholesalers from
  Commercialization                different parts of
                                        Ethiopia


   To cover wide areas
  (PAs), employ farmer         Creates demand for urban
   and youth brokers             and peri-urban brokers


     Experience creates        This linkage creates new
 wholesaler customers and       demand for employed
  direct linkage to stop the   youth and farmer brokers
 exploitive act of urban and
     peri-urban brokers
                               To satisfy the new demand
                                 and cover distant areas
                                they employ other farmer
                                          brokers
4.1.6. Market outlets or target markets of
            brokerage institutions
 Brokerage institutions base almost all parts of Ethiopia as
  market outlets (50%,15%,13%,10%,5%,3%,2%,2%)
        Addis Ababa




             Amhara




              Tigray




            Oromiya




    Benishangul-Gumz




              Somali




               Harar




              SNNPR



                       0   10   20             30   40     50
                                     Percent
4.1.7. Producers perception of brokerage
                     institutions
• Most (73.4%) farmers believe that brokers play significant
  and important role in linking farmers to traders

• Brokers provide price and quality information

• All of the farmers believe that brokers cheat weight, provide
  false price information and block direct contact of farmers
  to traders
4.1.8. Night transaction and loading

• Most (more than 92%) of the transaction is undertaken
  during the night time

• There are two ideas:

 Brokers believe that night loading helps to reduce the
  perishablity of the horticulture during transportation to
  distant area

 Producers believe that night loading is the system
  developed to easily cheat weight and block direct contact
  between producers and wholesalers
4.1.8. Constraints of brokerage institutions

• The brokerage institutions are constrained by :
     Working capital
     Contract failure
     Strong competition between brokers
     There are no any financial institutions
     There is no formal contractual agreement ,and
     Territory conflict
4.1.9. Opportunities to the brokers


• There are opportunities for the business in the area:

   – Increasing production of horticultural crop
   – Increasing demand from different parts of the country
   – Information and linkage gaps between farmers and
     wholesalers
   – Brokers are residents in the area
4.2. Brokerage Institutions and Smallholder
                Market Linkages
• The result is based on 143 (76-participant and 67 non
  participant) sample farm households

4.2.1. Descriptive Statistics
• Socioeconomic, demographic and social capital aspects
 Variables    Category   Participant   Non participant   χ2
                         (76)          (67)
                         Percent (%)   Percent (%)
 Sex          Female     13.16         4.48              2.88*
              male       86.84         95.52
 Cell phone   No         81.58         64.18             31.56***
              Yes        18.42         35.52
Variables                Participant (76)   Non participant   T-value
                                            (67)
                         Mean               Mean
Age                      42.54              37.01             -2.86***
Education level          1.52               3.42              3.42***
Family size              3.36               3.26              -0.47
TLU                      5.97               5.40              -1.11
Total land (ha)          1.43               1.69              1.43
Irrigable land (ha)      0.77               1.16              2.2**
Exper. in Hort. Pro.     9.18               8.79              -0.61
Distance from DAs        4.41               2.69              -2.92***
Distance from Woreta 14.64                  10.49             -3.4***
Distance from asphalt 3.76                  1.37              -6.16***
No. regular customers 0.85                  2.12              3.29***
No. of trading contact   7.95               8.17              0.18
4.2.2. Propensity score matching model

4.2.2.1. Estimation of propensity scores

• Binary variable which indicates whether the household is
  participated in the brokerage institutions or not (dependent
  variable)

• Explanatory variables (socioeconomic, social capital..)

• Variance inflation factor (VIF)

• Breusch-Pagan / Cook-Weisberg test for heteroscedasticity

• Logistic regression result
Variables                 Coefficients   Z- value
Age                       0.056**        2.03
Sex                       -0.157         -0.16
Marital status            -0.308         -0.22
Education level           -0.163*        -1.90
Family size               -0.052         -0.19
Livestock                 0.109          1.11
Total land size           0.183          0.31
Irrigable land size       -0.022         -0.04
Exp. Hort. production     -0.021         -0.33
Distance from DAs         0.156*         1.81
Cell phone                -1.710***      -3.09
Distance from Woreta      0.006          0.16
Distance from asphalt     0.631***       3.67
No. of regular customer   -0.331**       -2.02
No. trading contacts      -0.027         -0.65
constant                  -2.479         -1.01
4.2.2.2. Common support condition

• Only observations in the common support region are
  considered

• 0.06 - 0.9 (p-score for participants)

• 0.003- 0.89 (p-score for non participants)

• P-score (0.060 - 0.89) are in the common support
  region

• Kernel density of propensity scores before and after
  matching Kernel density estimate.docx
4.2.2.3. Matching of participant and non-
            participant households

Selection of matching algorithms:

• Best matching algorithm

   Balances all the observable covariates
   Ends with low pseudo-R2 and
  Gives large number of observations in the common
   support
Matching estimator                              Performance criteria
                                    Balancing test   Pseudo-R2   Matched sample
1. Radius caliper matching   0.01         15            1.0            32
                             0.05         15           0.24            51
                             0.1          15           0.098           57
                             0.25         15           0.062           65
                             0.5          15           0.086           74
2. Kernel matching           no           15           0.065           100
                             0.08         15           0.052           100
                             0.1          15           0.046           100
                             0.25         15           0.045           100
                             0.3          15           0.046           100
                             0.5          15           0.06            100
3. Nearest neighbor           1           14           0.207           100
matching                      2           14           0.082           100
                              3           15           0.080           100
                              4           15           0.063           100
                              5           15           0.05            100
4.3. Impacts of the Brokerage Institutions
4.3.1. Average treatment effect (Impact)
  Outcomes               ATT         T
  Net income (Profit)    4393.62     2.53**
  % marketed surplus     13.55       2.86**
  Amount of production   -5.08       -0.25
  Land allocation        -0.05       -0.24


4.3.4. Sensitivity Analysis

• using Rosenbaum bounding approach
• Shows the effects of unobserved factors
• Resistant up to 200%- pure effect of brokerage institutions
4.4. Brokerage Institutions and Wholesaler Market Linkages
4.4.1.Descriptive Statistics of wholesalers
Variables                              Participant   Non participant   T- value

                                              Mean           Mean
Distance from the Woreda               165.48        25                -1.96*
Age                                    31.5          28.17             0.26
Experience in horticulture trading     5.3           5.17              -0.10
Education level                        8.69          11.33             1.69*
No. of persons working the business    1.76          1.33              -1.05
Capacity of storage facility           35.17         12.5              -1.77*
Current working capital                24086         22666             -0.21
No. regular farmer customer            2.91          17.83             5.72***
No. regular retailer customer          4.15          0                 -2.77***
No. regular wholesaler customer        2.84          0.83              -2.53**
Number of trading contacts to Woreda   8.24          120               4.7**
Total marketing cost                   547231        516225            -0.21
• Descriptive statistics (wholesalers)
Variables          Category   Participant   Non participant   χ2
                              (%)           (%)
Type of road       Gravel     6.5           0                 0.41
                   Asphalt    93.5          100
Sex                Female     2.2           0                 0.13
                   Male       97.8          100
Marital status     Single     30.43         50                0.92
                   Married    69.57         50
Religion           Muslim     8.7           16.67             0.38
                   Orthodox   91.3          83.33
Storage facility   No         17.39         66.67             7.26***
                   Yes        82.61         33.33
Credit access      No         86.96         83.33             0.06
                   Yes        13.04         16.67
Regular buyer      No         17.39         83.33             12.31***
customer           Yes        82.61         16.67
4.4.2.Determinants of wholesalers decisions
• 1st step of the Heckman two stage (probit estimation)
 Variables                               Coefficients     Z-vale
 Distance from the Woreda                0.011*           1.8
 Type of road access                     -1.801           -0.25
 Age                                     0.635            0.31
 Experience in hort. trading             -0.477           -1.01
 Marital status                          -1.01            -0.32
 Education level                         -0.117           -0.38
 No. persons working the business        -0.934           -0.44
 Ownership of storage facility           5.908**          2.03
 Current working capital                 0.0001           0.23
 Access to credit                        -4.981           -1.4
 No. regular farmer customer             -0.594**         -1.96
 Regular buyer customer in other area    1.871**          2.04
 No. of trading contacts to the Woreda   -0.055*          -1.87
 Total marketing cost                    0.0001**         2.06
 Constant                                -7.025           -0.51
4.4.3.Determinants of share of brokered transactions (2nd step of the Heckman two
                                stage (OLS) result)
  Variables                                      Coefficients   Z-value
  Logarithm of distance from the Woreda          3.883          0.84
  Type of road access                            1.234          0.1
  Age                                            -0.571         -1.47
  Experience in hort. trading                    -0.26          -0.08
  Marital status                                 9.915          1.25
  Education level                                0.369          0.79
  No. persons working the business               -1.26          -0.37
  Logarithm of current working capital           1.803          0.16
  Access to credit                               3.902          0.52
  No. regular farmer customer                    -1.86*         -1.85
  No. regular retailer customer                  0.908          1.47
  No. regular wholesaler customer                3.573*         1.92
  Sq. root of experience in using brokers        -1.753         -0.12
  Sq. root of capacity of storage facility       -0.406         -0.38
  Logarithm of total marketing cost              0.016          1.05
  Constant                                       70.364         1.35
5. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMANDATIONS


 Brokerage institutions:

 • Are secure source of market for smallholder producers

 • Play important role in trust and credit based transaction
   by creating market linkage and increasing profit of
   producers

 • Create employment for youth groups
• However, they have problems by providing false
  market information

• Thus, formalization of the brokers by forming groups
  and providing licenses as well as training

• Standardization of weighing balance

• Training of farmers about weighing, marketing, and

• Providing market information for farmers using
  development agents is very crucial to solve the
  problems in the area.
The brokerage institutions and smallholder market linkages in the marketing of horticultural crops in Fogera Woreda, South Gondar, Amhara National Regional State

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The brokerage institutions and smallholder market linkages in the marketing of horticultural crops in Fogera Woreda, South Gondar, Amhara National Regional State

  • 1. SCHOOL OF GRADUATE STUDIES HARAMAYA UNIVERSITY THE BROKERAGE INSTITUTIONS AND SMALLHOLDER MARKET LINKAGES IN THE MARKETING OF HORTICULTURAL CROPS IN FOGERA WOREDA, SOUTH GONDAR, AMHARA NATIONAL REGIONAL STATE Simegnew Tamir (MSc) Major Advisor: Kinde Getnet (PhD) Co-Advisor: Jema Haji (PhD) October, 2012
  • 2. PRESENTATION OUTLINE INTRODUCTION RESEARCH METHDOLOGY RESULTS AND DISCUSSION CONCLUSION AND RECOMMANDATION
  • 3. 1.INTRODUCTION 1.1. Background • Primary development goal of the Government is to achieve food security and sustain high economic and export growth levels • Growth and Transformation Plan (GTP) investment areas: scaling up model farmers practices improving agricultural water use and irrigation increasing the production of high value crops
  • 4. Background Cont… • Ethiopia has highly-diversified agro-ecological conditions which are suitable for production of horticultural crops • Amhara Region is one of the potential area • Fogera Woreda is an emerging commercial agriculture in which smallholders produce and market horticultural crops for the local and national markets using the brokerage institutions
  • 5. 1.2. Problem Statement • Fogera Woreda is an emerging commercial area in the production of horticultural crops • To sustain this well structured market networks and linkages are required (organization among farmers, institutions and infrastructure) • The horticulture market is characterized by imperfect information • Thus, the existence of strong brokerage institutions in Fogera is a characteristic feature
  • 6. Problem Statement Cont… • The Woreda experts and decision makers tried to stop the brokers by using cooperatives • However, the cooperatives failed in linking farmers to wholesalers due to nature of the products, lack of organized market system and imperfect market information • Issues of market coordination and the institutional environment attract a considerable attention among the development community
  • 7. Problem Statement Cont… • Of all the institutions, several studies have documented the crucial role played by brokers • ARARI (PRA), illegal brokerage activity in horticultural marketing is one of the priority research problem. • However, the institutions are not studied in the area, no attempt has been made to explain the interaction between the brokers and smallholders • The study focused to fill such knowledge gaps
  • 8. 1.3. Objectives of the Study The general objective of the study was: • To assess the economic roles played by the brokerage institution in smallholder market linkages under imperfect market condition in the study area The specific objectives of the study were: • To assess the socioeconomic profile, economic roles, constraints and opportunities of the brokerage institutions • To identify the determinants of farmers decision whether to use brokerage institutions or not as a means of market linkage to wholesalers
  • 9. • To measure the impact of brokerage institutions on farmers market participation and income generation capacity • To identify the determinants of wholesalers decisions on whether to use brokerage institutions or not as a means of market linkage to farmers; and • To identify the determinants of wholesalers extent of brokerage intuitions usage under imperfect market condition of horticultural marketing
  • 10. 3. RESEARCH METHDOLOGY 3.1. Description of the Study Area • Fogera Woreda, South Gondar Zone, Amhara Region • Woreta town, 625 km from Addis Ababa and 55 km from Bahir Dar • 27 rural and 3 urban PAs Map of study area.docx 3.2. Methods of Data Collection • Both primary and secondary data were used • Primary data: semi-structured questionnaire and check-list • Trained enumerators were used for data collection • Pre-testing and rapid market appraisal(RMA)
  • 11. 3.3. Sampling Procedures Brokers, rural assemblers , wholesalers and retailers Farmers sampling sampling • 5 kebeles selected • Monitoring, 4 months randomly • Friends: Brokers (Baye and • Farmers grouped in to Huno), Wholesalers (Mengistu, Setegn and Gizat) participant and non participant in the • Peaceful Café and Pension (agreement and payment place) brokerage institutions • 55 brokers (snowball sampling) • 143 farmers selected • 52 wholesalers (randomly) randomly from both • 20 rural assemblers and 45 retailers groups from main retail markets
  • 12. 3.4. Methods of Data Analysis 3.4.1. Descriptive statistics • Percentages, standard deviation, t-test and chi squared test were used 3.4.2. Econometric models 3.4.2.1. Propensity score matching model • To achieve 2nd and 3rd objective, participants and non participants comparison were used, steps: 1. Estimation of the propensity scores 2. Identify the common support region 3. Matching using matching algorithms and Balancing test 4. Estimation of average treatment effect and Bootstrapping 5. Sensitivity analysis
  • 13. 3.4.2.2. Heckman two stage model • To achieve the 4th and 5th objective, Heckman two stage model with selection bias were used • Assumption: traders follow a sequential decision process, with a discrete choice on ‘whether or not’ to use brokers and • A subsequent continuous decision on ‘how much’ to use brokers • Two equations 1. Selection equation 2. Outcome equation
  • 14. 4. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 4.1. The Brokerage Institutions 4.1.1. Socioeconomic profile of brokers Variables Category Percent (%) Sex Male 100 Female 0 Religion Orthodox 100 Others 0 Marital status Single 16.4 Married 83.6 Education level Illiterate 3.6 Adults education 16.4 Literate 80 Main occupation Farmer 58.2 Youth 21.8 Trader 20
  • 15. Results….Cont • Most of the brokers are youngsters (18-63) • Strong brokerage activity in onion marketing • Only 4.2% of the farmers use brokerage institutions for marketing of tomato -2 brokers • Brokers act as rural assemblers in tomato marketing
  • 16. 4.1.2. Characteristics and economic roles of brokerage institutions • Most of the brokers (98.2%) work the business informally without having license • The study characterized brokers in to two ways:  Based on place: Rural brokers Peri-urban brokers (Gumara and Abewana Kokit) Urban brokers (Woreta)  Based on occupation: Farmer Brokers Youth Brokers (grade 10 and 12 complete and school dropouts) Cereal traders (rice)Brokers chain and transaction flow.docx
  • 17. The brokerage institutions main characteristics and roles in the area include: • Are better informed • Are skilled socially to bargain and facilitate linkage • Create economies of scale • They stabilize market conditions • They reduce transaction cost • Sources of secure market for smallholders • Provide credit for the wholesalers being as collateral for the farmer (trust and credit based transaction)
  • 18. 4.1.3. Brokerage institutions and their activity in the context of Fogera Woreda • Brokers act in different ways: 1. When the wholesaler comes to Fogera Woreda: here they act in two ways A. When the wholesaler is regular customer or residence in the Woreda (10%):  They directly contact the wholesaler with the farmer , the payment of 0.10 ETB/Kg as a commission fee B. When the wholesaler is not regular customer (20%):  No contact between farmer and wholesalers (brokers, first discuss with farmer then negotiate wholesaler)  0.10 ETB/Kg commission fee + FERQ (0.1 ETB- 1 ETB)
  • 19. 2. Thrust based transaction (70%): • This case happens when the wholesaler do not come to Fogera Woreda • Transaction will be made only by wholesaler telephone order • No contact between farmers and wholesalers • In addition to 0.10 ETB/Kg commission fee, there is FERQ (0.10 ETB - 1.00 ETB) depending on the volume of transaction and customer relationships.
  • 20. 4.1.4. Brokers attraction mechanism of wholesalers • Brokers attract wholesalers by two ways: 1. Weight cheating from farmers and 2. Reducing FERQ • Weight cheating has two advantages for the broker  obtaining regular wholesaler customers for the future and  having his own share from it • Weight cheating ranges from 6% to 20%
  • 21. 4.1.5. The rationale behind the emergence of farmer brokers Attract wholesalers from Commercialization different parts of Ethiopia To cover wide areas (PAs), employ farmer Creates demand for urban and youth brokers and peri-urban brokers Experience creates This linkage creates new wholesaler customers and demand for employed direct linkage to stop the youth and farmer brokers exploitive act of urban and peri-urban brokers To satisfy the new demand and cover distant areas they employ other farmer brokers
  • 22. 4.1.6. Market outlets or target markets of brokerage institutions  Brokerage institutions base almost all parts of Ethiopia as market outlets (50%,15%,13%,10%,5%,3%,2%,2%) Addis Ababa Amhara Tigray Oromiya Benishangul-Gumz Somali Harar SNNPR 0 10 20 30 40 50 Percent
  • 23. 4.1.7. Producers perception of brokerage institutions • Most (73.4%) farmers believe that brokers play significant and important role in linking farmers to traders • Brokers provide price and quality information • All of the farmers believe that brokers cheat weight, provide false price information and block direct contact of farmers to traders
  • 24. 4.1.8. Night transaction and loading • Most (more than 92%) of the transaction is undertaken during the night time • There are two ideas:  Brokers believe that night loading helps to reduce the perishablity of the horticulture during transportation to distant area  Producers believe that night loading is the system developed to easily cheat weight and block direct contact between producers and wholesalers
  • 25. 4.1.8. Constraints of brokerage institutions • The brokerage institutions are constrained by : Working capital Contract failure Strong competition between brokers There are no any financial institutions There is no formal contractual agreement ,and Territory conflict
  • 26. 4.1.9. Opportunities to the brokers • There are opportunities for the business in the area: – Increasing production of horticultural crop – Increasing demand from different parts of the country – Information and linkage gaps between farmers and wholesalers – Brokers are residents in the area
  • 27. 4.2. Brokerage Institutions and Smallholder Market Linkages • The result is based on 143 (76-participant and 67 non participant) sample farm households 4.2.1. Descriptive Statistics • Socioeconomic, demographic and social capital aspects Variables Category Participant Non participant χ2 (76) (67) Percent (%) Percent (%) Sex Female 13.16 4.48 2.88* male 86.84 95.52 Cell phone No 81.58 64.18 31.56*** Yes 18.42 35.52
  • 28. Variables Participant (76) Non participant T-value (67) Mean Mean Age 42.54 37.01 -2.86*** Education level 1.52 3.42 3.42*** Family size 3.36 3.26 -0.47 TLU 5.97 5.40 -1.11 Total land (ha) 1.43 1.69 1.43 Irrigable land (ha) 0.77 1.16 2.2** Exper. in Hort. Pro. 9.18 8.79 -0.61 Distance from DAs 4.41 2.69 -2.92*** Distance from Woreta 14.64 10.49 -3.4*** Distance from asphalt 3.76 1.37 -6.16*** No. regular customers 0.85 2.12 3.29*** No. of trading contact 7.95 8.17 0.18
  • 29. 4.2.2. Propensity score matching model 4.2.2.1. Estimation of propensity scores • Binary variable which indicates whether the household is participated in the brokerage institutions or not (dependent variable) • Explanatory variables (socioeconomic, social capital..) • Variance inflation factor (VIF) • Breusch-Pagan / Cook-Weisberg test for heteroscedasticity • Logistic regression result
  • 30. Variables Coefficients Z- value Age 0.056** 2.03 Sex -0.157 -0.16 Marital status -0.308 -0.22 Education level -0.163* -1.90 Family size -0.052 -0.19 Livestock 0.109 1.11 Total land size 0.183 0.31 Irrigable land size -0.022 -0.04 Exp. Hort. production -0.021 -0.33 Distance from DAs 0.156* 1.81 Cell phone -1.710*** -3.09 Distance from Woreta 0.006 0.16 Distance from asphalt 0.631*** 3.67 No. of regular customer -0.331** -2.02 No. trading contacts -0.027 -0.65 constant -2.479 -1.01
  • 31. 4.2.2.2. Common support condition • Only observations in the common support region are considered • 0.06 - 0.9 (p-score for participants) • 0.003- 0.89 (p-score for non participants) • P-score (0.060 - 0.89) are in the common support region • Kernel density of propensity scores before and after matching Kernel density estimate.docx
  • 32. 4.2.2.3. Matching of participant and non- participant households Selection of matching algorithms: • Best matching algorithm  Balances all the observable covariates  Ends with low pseudo-R2 and Gives large number of observations in the common support
  • 33. Matching estimator Performance criteria Balancing test Pseudo-R2 Matched sample 1. Radius caliper matching 0.01 15 1.0 32 0.05 15 0.24 51 0.1 15 0.098 57 0.25 15 0.062 65 0.5 15 0.086 74 2. Kernel matching no 15 0.065 100 0.08 15 0.052 100 0.1 15 0.046 100 0.25 15 0.045 100 0.3 15 0.046 100 0.5 15 0.06 100 3. Nearest neighbor 1 14 0.207 100 matching 2 14 0.082 100 3 15 0.080 100 4 15 0.063 100 5 15 0.05 100
  • 34. 4.3. Impacts of the Brokerage Institutions 4.3.1. Average treatment effect (Impact) Outcomes ATT T Net income (Profit) 4393.62 2.53** % marketed surplus 13.55 2.86** Amount of production -5.08 -0.25 Land allocation -0.05 -0.24 4.3.4. Sensitivity Analysis • using Rosenbaum bounding approach • Shows the effects of unobserved factors • Resistant up to 200%- pure effect of brokerage institutions
  • 35. 4.4. Brokerage Institutions and Wholesaler Market Linkages 4.4.1.Descriptive Statistics of wholesalers Variables Participant Non participant T- value Mean Mean Distance from the Woreda 165.48 25 -1.96* Age 31.5 28.17 0.26 Experience in horticulture trading 5.3 5.17 -0.10 Education level 8.69 11.33 1.69* No. of persons working the business 1.76 1.33 -1.05 Capacity of storage facility 35.17 12.5 -1.77* Current working capital 24086 22666 -0.21 No. regular farmer customer 2.91 17.83 5.72*** No. regular retailer customer 4.15 0 -2.77*** No. regular wholesaler customer 2.84 0.83 -2.53** Number of trading contacts to Woreda 8.24 120 4.7** Total marketing cost 547231 516225 -0.21
  • 36. • Descriptive statistics (wholesalers) Variables Category Participant Non participant χ2 (%) (%) Type of road Gravel 6.5 0 0.41 Asphalt 93.5 100 Sex Female 2.2 0 0.13 Male 97.8 100 Marital status Single 30.43 50 0.92 Married 69.57 50 Religion Muslim 8.7 16.67 0.38 Orthodox 91.3 83.33 Storage facility No 17.39 66.67 7.26*** Yes 82.61 33.33 Credit access No 86.96 83.33 0.06 Yes 13.04 16.67 Regular buyer No 17.39 83.33 12.31*** customer Yes 82.61 16.67
  • 37. 4.4.2.Determinants of wholesalers decisions • 1st step of the Heckman two stage (probit estimation) Variables Coefficients Z-vale Distance from the Woreda 0.011* 1.8 Type of road access -1.801 -0.25 Age 0.635 0.31 Experience in hort. trading -0.477 -1.01 Marital status -1.01 -0.32 Education level -0.117 -0.38 No. persons working the business -0.934 -0.44 Ownership of storage facility 5.908** 2.03 Current working capital 0.0001 0.23 Access to credit -4.981 -1.4 No. regular farmer customer -0.594** -1.96 Regular buyer customer in other area 1.871** 2.04 No. of trading contacts to the Woreda -0.055* -1.87 Total marketing cost 0.0001** 2.06 Constant -7.025 -0.51
  • 38. 4.4.3.Determinants of share of brokered transactions (2nd step of the Heckman two stage (OLS) result) Variables Coefficients Z-value Logarithm of distance from the Woreda 3.883 0.84 Type of road access 1.234 0.1 Age -0.571 -1.47 Experience in hort. trading -0.26 -0.08 Marital status 9.915 1.25 Education level 0.369 0.79 No. persons working the business -1.26 -0.37 Logarithm of current working capital 1.803 0.16 Access to credit 3.902 0.52 No. regular farmer customer -1.86* -1.85 No. regular retailer customer 0.908 1.47 No. regular wholesaler customer 3.573* 1.92 Sq. root of experience in using brokers -1.753 -0.12 Sq. root of capacity of storage facility -0.406 -0.38 Logarithm of total marketing cost 0.016 1.05 Constant 70.364 1.35
  • 39. 5. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMANDATIONS Brokerage institutions: • Are secure source of market for smallholder producers • Play important role in trust and credit based transaction by creating market linkage and increasing profit of producers • Create employment for youth groups
  • 40. • However, they have problems by providing false market information • Thus, formalization of the brokers by forming groups and providing licenses as well as training • Standardization of weighing balance • Training of farmers about weighing, marketing, and • Providing market information for farmers using development agents is very crucial to solve the problems in the area.