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Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

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Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

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Description

My almost viral lightning talk about the Bullshit Asymmetry Principle. Explained by science. Presented at XP2014 in Rome and at ALE2014 in Krakow

Transcript

  1. 1. You’ll never win against… B.A.P.
  2. 2. “I gave you 2 more persons... You’ll deliver earlier!”
  3. 3. “I gave you 2 more persons... You’ll deliver earlier!” - Linear outcome (false) - Linear proportion between cost and delivered value (false) - Linear starting costs (false)
  4. 4. “We couldn’t hire a senior, so we hired two juniors”
  5. 5. “We couldn’t hire a senior, so we hired two juniors” - Linear outcome (false) - Linear proportion between cost and delivered value (false) - Linear starting costs (false)
  6. 6. “Proceed with the other activities in the meanwhile”
  7. 7. “Proceed with the other activities in the meanwhile” - Null context switch cost (false) - Suspended activities remain idle (false) - Doing is always better than not doing (false)
  8. 8. B.A.P.
  9. 9. Bullshit Asymmetry Principle
  10. 10. The amount of energy necessary to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it
  11. 11. The science behind http://www.wpclipart.com/medical/anatomy/brain/four_lobes_of_the_cerebral_cortex.png.html
  12. 12. This is how we are
  13. 13. System 1 Quick pattern matching parallel processing, unaware mode Low energy consumption System 2 Complex elaboration that need attention and concentration No parallelism High energy consumption
  14. 14. Some battles cannot be won
  15. 15. Information asymmetry position asymmetry time availability
  16. 16. Avoid them Don’t put key people in the position to bullshit you
  17. 17. Create context Environment, fail-safe condition, confidence…
  18. 18. Accept it Somebody is always going to be wrong on the internet
  19. 19. Thanks @ziobrando

Description

My almost viral lightning talk about the Bullshit Asymmetry Principle. Explained by science. Presented at XP2014 in Rome and at ALE2014 in Krakow

Transcript

  1. 1. You’ll never win against… B.A.P.
  2. 2. “I gave you 2 more persons... You’ll deliver earlier!”
  3. 3. “I gave you 2 more persons... You’ll deliver earlier!” - Linear outcome (false) - Linear proportion between cost and delivered value (false) - Linear starting costs (false)
  4. 4. “We couldn’t hire a senior, so we hired two juniors”
  5. 5. “We couldn’t hire a senior, so we hired two juniors” - Linear outcome (false) - Linear proportion between cost and delivered value (false) - Linear starting costs (false)
  6. 6. “Proceed with the other activities in the meanwhile”
  7. 7. “Proceed with the other activities in the meanwhile” - Null context switch cost (false) - Suspended activities remain idle (false) - Doing is always better than not doing (false)
  8. 8. B.A.P.
  9. 9. Bullshit Asymmetry Principle
  10. 10. The amount of energy necessary to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it
  11. 11. The science behind http://www.wpclipart.com/medical/anatomy/brain/four_lobes_of_the_cerebral_cortex.png.html
  12. 12. This is how we are
  13. 13. System 1 Quick pattern matching parallel processing, unaware mode Low energy consumption System 2 Complex elaboration that need attention and concentration No parallelism High energy consumption
  14. 14. Some battles cannot be won
  15. 15. Information asymmetry position asymmetry time availability
  16. 16. Avoid them Don’t put key people in the position to bullshit you
  17. 17. Create context Environment, fail-safe condition, confidence…
  18. 18. Accept it Somebody is always going to be wrong on the internet
  19. 19. Thanks @ziobrando

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