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Scenario Planning Strategy Creation 1st Meeting
1. Company X Scenario Planning project in association with Oxford Brookes University A Knowledge Transfer Partnership (KTP) The UK’s leading modern university Knowledge Transfer Partnerships link businesses with universities via strategic projects with significant government funding
16. Impact / Predictability Matrix Unpredictability High Low High Low x x x x x x x x x x x x Schwartz (1998), Lindgren M & Bandhold H, (2003)
17. Impact / Predictability Matrix Unpredictability High Low High Low A B C D Schwartz (1998), Lindgren M & Bandhold H, (2003) Trends
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Editor's Notes
Thank them and praise them at the beginning
House keeping Fire exits Toilets refreshments
We can do this as you have already identified four new niche areas: The renewables sector Development land referrals Utilities generally Waste management
set a future and work backwards – this approach utilises knowledge of trends not fads or wishes/nightmares! Time horizon is due to lead times and eg costs of exploration for energy futures, etc
The scenarios are not an attempt to predict what will happen or to suggest what the preferred future might be they are stories which suggest various possible, even extreme, outcomes. They are designed to stimulate thought, to spell out some of the opportunities and threats we might face in the future and to inform today's decisions . can be used to judge the risks and opportunities for strategy
- set a future and work backwards – this approach utilises knowledge of trends not fads or wishes/nightmares!
Identify different possible futures by factor A: Rate of Change Rapid or Measured B: Favourable or Unfavourable C: High and increasing Stabilising D: In support of xxxx or in support of yyyy
Identify different possible futures by factor A: Rate of Change Rapid or Measured B: Favourable or Unfavourable C: High and increasing Stabilising D: In support of xxxx or in support of yyyy