This article addressing the ranking of crago activities for airports in world from ACI - ranking list, we show Dubai airports statistics and other major airports in the world

1. Towards
The TOP
Dubai Airport On Spot

2. Towards
The TOP Dubai Airport On Spot
Usually ACI (Airport Council International ) hold each year a ranking analysis for airports in world for air cargo, the list ranked the top 30 airports in the world by their air cargo activities.
One of the challenge stories is Dubai Airport - DUBAI, AE(DXB) , in this article we will trace the activities of Dubai airport along the last 10 years (2002-2013), yes the road is long and hard but Dubai airports act actively that derive the air cargo business many steps ahead in the region and the world. While the competition is high, they positioning themself on top – Dubai airport is ranked as 5th airport in world for 2013 by air cargo.
Rank Analysis:
Referring to the data published by ACI for the period 2002 – 2013, two airports dominated the top level i.e MEMPHIS TN, US(MEM) and HONG KONG, HK(HKG) followed by SHANGHAI, CN(PVG) while three Airports straggling to secure the 4th position i.e DUBAI, AE(DXB), INCHEON, KR(ICN), and ANCHORAGE AK, US*(ANC).
A shown in the Airport Ranking Analysis Graph – the growth of DXB ( red one ) is high and steady with high accuracy of R2 (mathematical Model ) which gives more realistic reasons to forecast.
In 2001 DUBAI, AE(DXB), involved in top 30 world ranked analysis, ranked as 25th , and consequently in 2002, ranked 21st ……and recently in 2013 ranked as 5th, as indicated in the graph by red
By : Mohammed S. Awadh
Consultant

3. numbers.
While most of the remaining airports, their activities values, varied from ranged 1,250,000 to 2,500,000 tonnes
Trend Analysis:
Based on 10 years annual data the trend of 2014 will be 2,481,716 tonnes for DUBAI, AE(DXB).
The mathematical model is power function – where the coefficient of Determination is R2 = 0.98 - which fairly good to forecast and report the trend value.
Two another airports are struggling to secure the 4th position. i.e INCHEON, KR(ICN)( 4 ) and ANCHORAGE AK, US*(ANC) ( 6 ), both also analyzed by Power function model, the fitness was poor for ANCHORAGE AK, US*(ANC) i.e (R2 = 0.38 ) , i.e the discrepancy of the data will be high, the trend might be high or might be low, we cannot ascertain. While INCHEON, KR(ICN)( 4 ) - R2 =0.86 which almost fair as R2 it is greater than 80 %.
But the high growth rate of DUBAI, AE(DXB) will override these two airports in near future as shown in figure.
The reason to evaluate the trend analysis for DUBAI, AE(DXB), is to find a common rule to set forecasts based
Dubai Airports:
Dubai Airports owns and manages the operation of both of Dubai’s airports – Dubai International (DXB) and Al Maktoum International at Dubai World Central (DWC).
Dubai Airports was established as a commercial entity in April 2007, following organizational restructuring of the erstwhile Dubai Department of Civil Aviation (DCA).
Dubai International comprises three terminals: Terminal 1 serves all airlines Terminal 2 serves scheduled, charter, and special flights (pilgrimage) Terminal 3 is dedicated for use by Emirates airline
Dubai Airports has a 35,000 sqm cargo facility located at Dubai International.
Dubai International has the capacity to handle 2.5 million tonnes of cargo per year
Cargo volumes also reached record levels in 2013 with 2,435,567 tonnes of air freight passing through Dubai International during 2013, up 6.8 per cent compared to 2,279,624 tonnes recorded during 2012.

4. long range data base ( 10 years ) which will governed the patterned of short term
forecast on monthly bases (3 years data base )i.e the seasonality model.
The forecast value of DUBAI, AE(DXB) for 2014 is expected to be = 2,481,716 tonnes.
Seasonality of the Air Cargo for
Dubai Airport:
The data base is 36 months ( 3 years i.e
2011-2013)
the constrains of the analysis are:
- R2 is greater than 80%
- Signal Tracking is in the bond of –
4 and + 4
- Finally, the cumulative forecasting
figures on monthly bases for 2014
should equal = 2,481,716
tonnes.
Results :
The result of the analysis is fair R2 = 83.9
% while Signal tracking reporting out of
the bond as we force to model to target
the value of 2,481,716 tonnes for 2014
forecasting year.
The seasonality is define clearly, the first two years are fairly fitted while 2013 year has
more discrepancy, especially November and December.
Two peak months cargo activities in year are July and October, while the low season
period is define in the month of February.
In 2014, DUBAI, AE(DXB) will move to higher ranked that, is indicated by high growth
steady rate, as the other next neighborhood (INCHEON, KR(ICN) and ANCHORAGE
AK, US*(ANC) are almost stable ( flat ) but with high
fluctuation, the picture is clear for DUBAI, AE(DXB),
to almost capture the 4TH position in 2014.
References:
http://www.aci.aero/Data-Centre/Annual-Traffic-
Data/Cargo/2010-final
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World%27s_busiest_airpor
ts_by_cargo_traffic
http://www.dubaiairport.com/en/media-centre/facts-figures/
pages/factsheets-reports-statistics.aspx?id=9