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Master Thesis – Executive Summary
Why do new ventures in e-commerce fail?
Sebastian Merkhoffer
Prof. Dr. Roland Gleich
Dr. Georgi
Master Thesis - Executive Summary
The global e-commerce market is gaining traction
2
Introduction
Trillion USD
“The process of trading goods, information, or
services via computer networks including the
Internet”
(Turban, Lee, King, & Chung, 2010, p.4)
Contribution to economic growth (Liu, 2013) and job creation (Colecchia, Pattinson, & Atrostic, 1999)
E-commerce
New product distribution opportunities and cost saving potential (Wen, Chen, Hwang, 2001)
Time
Global B2C e-commerce sales
eMarketer, 2014
Master Thesis - Executive Summary
The importance of new ventures in e-commerce
3
Introduction
New venture in e-commerce
New venture whose core business is
e-commerce
Benefits of new ventures New venture
Firm, which is five years old or less (Chandler,
Honig, & Wiklund, 2005), and the end result of
the process of creating and organizing a new
business that develops, produces and markets
products or services in order to satisfy unmet
market needs for the purposes of profit and
growth (Gartner, 1985)
Important part of a healthy economy (Cooper, Willard, & Woo, 1986)
Driver of economic growth (Schumpeter, 1934)
Accelerate technological progress (Sorescu, Chandy, & Prabhu, 2003)
70%
30%
Failures of new ventures in e-commerce
Why do new ventures in
e-commerce fail?
Gulati, 2013
Master Thesis - Executive Summary
Problem definition
4
Introduction
Course of InvestigationExisting literature on failure of new ventures in e-commerce
Applicability to current context
No consistent definitions
Methodological flaws
Master thesis research questions
What are reasons why new ventures in e-commerce fail?
What are measures for reducing failure of new ventures in e-commerce?
1.
2.
Literature review1.
2.
Research gap
Qualitative inquiry
3. Discussion of findings
4. Conclusion
Master Thesis - Executive Summary
Methodological approach
5
Qualitative Inquiry
Research Design Sample Primary data - Interviews
Research purpose
Identifying failure causes of new ventures in e-commerce
Pointing out measures for reducing failure of new ventures in e-commerce
1.
2.
• Qualitative non-probability sampling
approach
• Seven venture capital firms
investing in e-commerce
• Qualitative approach
• Employing holistic multiple case
study design
• Inductive scientific approach
• Standardized open-ended interview
approach
• Conducted via telephone and email
Master Thesis - Executive Summary
Identified failure causes of new ventures in e-commerce
6
Internal
failure
causes
21
External
failure
causes
7
28
Finance Management
Marketing &
sales
Cash flow
challenges
Inappropriat
e business
model
Underfunding
Too high
costs
Unexperienced
management
Unskilled
management
Inappropriate
marketing
channel
6 7 7
Irresponsible
founders
Founders too
young
Inattentive to
KPIs
Product &
Inventory
Mgmt.
Poor sourcing &
logistics
1
High marketing
costs
Change in
consumer behavior
Poor product
market fit
High churn rate
Increasing
competition
Poor
infrastructure
Strong
regulationsInsufficient
margin
Wrong
estimation of
working
capital needs
Insufficient
economies of
scale
Poor
Management
Lack of
marketing
Lack of
affordable
marketing
channels
Too
optimistic
assumptions
of CAC &
CLV
Lack of
customer
retention
Lack of
customer
cohort analysis
Insufficient
sales
Bold = Primary failure cause
Qualitative Inquiry
Master Thesis - Executive Summary
Potential measures to reduce failure of new ventures in e-commerce
7
• Being KPI driven
• Better understanding of financial needs
• Conduct deeper market analysis
• Enter underserved markets
• Clearly define relevant product categories
• Vertical integration
• Building minimum viable product (MVP)
• Employ test cases
• Conduct scaling tests
Entrepreneur
• Conduct deeper market analysis
• Better understanding of financial needs
• Better due diligence
Investor
FAILURE
Qualitative Inquiry
Master Thesis - Executive Summary
Implemented measures of VCs to reduce failure of new ventures in
e-commerce
8
Regular reports
Realize synergies
Regular meetings
Verify product market
fit
Assessing availability
of financing
Reduce failure of new ventures in e-commerce
Evaluate opportunity
and team
Monthly update call
Verify test cases
Complement team
Evaluate CLV
Qualitative Inquiry
Master Thesis - Executive Summary
Failure Reduction
9
Discussion
Discussion & Implications
AssessmentAwareness Counter measures
1 2 3
Implications
Findings are mostly supported by new venture literature
Failure causes are partly related and interdependent
More internal than external failure causes
Pivotal role of raising substantial amount of money to avoid failure
Discussion
Master Thesis - Executive Summary
References
10
Chandler, G. N., Honig, B., & Wiklund, J. (2005). Antecedents, moderators, and performance consequences of
membership change in new venture teams. Journal of Business Venturing, 20(5), 705–725.
Colecchia, A., Pattinson, B., & Atrostic, B. (1999). Defining and measuring electronic commerce. In International
Statistical Institure Cutting Edge Conference on the Management of E-Commerce (pp. 1–15). Singapore.
Cooper, A. C., Willard, G. E., & Woo, C. Y. (1986). Strategies of high performing new and small firms: A reexamination of
the niche concept. Journal of Business Venturing, 1(3), 247–260.
eMarketer (2014). Global e-commerce sales to hit $1.5 trillion, driven by growth in emerging markets. Retrieved February
07, 2014, from http://www.retailcustomerexperience.com/articles/global-e-commerce-sales-to-hit-15-trillion-driven-by-
growth-in-emerging-markets/
Gartner, W. B. (1985). A conceptual framework for describing the phenomenon of new venture creation. The Academy of
Management Review, 10(4), 696–706.
Gulati, S. (2013). At least 70% of companies will fail in e-commerce: Vani Kola of kalaari capital. Retrieved February 05,
2014, from http://techcircle.vccircle.com/2013/08/21/at-least-70-of-companies-across-the- board-will-fail-in-e-
commerce-vani-kola-of-kalaari-capital/
Liu, S. (2013). An empirical study on e-commerce’s effects on economic growth.
In Proceedings of the 2013 Conference on Education Technology and Management Science (pp. 81–84). Paris,
France: Atlantis Press.
Schumpeter, J. A. (1934). The theory of economic development. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
Sorescu, A. B., Chandy, R. K., & Prabhu, J. C. (2003). Sources and financial consequences of radical innovation: Insights
from pharmaceuticals. Journal of Marketing, 67(4), 82–102.
Turban, E., Lee, J., King, D., & Chung, H. M. (2010). Electronic commerce: A managerial perspective. New Jersey:
Prentice Hall.
Wen, H. J., Chen, H.-G., & Hwang, H.-G. (2001). E-commerce web site design: Strategies and models. Information
Management & Computer Security, 9(1), 5–12.

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Why do new ventures in e-commerce fail?

  • 1. Master Thesis – Executive Summary Why do new ventures in e-commerce fail? Sebastian Merkhoffer Prof. Dr. Roland Gleich Dr. Georgi
  • 2. Master Thesis - Executive Summary The global e-commerce market is gaining traction 2 Introduction Trillion USD “The process of trading goods, information, or services via computer networks including the Internet” (Turban, Lee, King, & Chung, 2010, p.4) Contribution to economic growth (Liu, 2013) and job creation (Colecchia, Pattinson, & Atrostic, 1999) E-commerce New product distribution opportunities and cost saving potential (Wen, Chen, Hwang, 2001) Time Global B2C e-commerce sales eMarketer, 2014
  • 3. Master Thesis - Executive Summary The importance of new ventures in e-commerce 3 Introduction New venture in e-commerce New venture whose core business is e-commerce Benefits of new ventures New venture Firm, which is five years old or less (Chandler, Honig, & Wiklund, 2005), and the end result of the process of creating and organizing a new business that develops, produces and markets products or services in order to satisfy unmet market needs for the purposes of profit and growth (Gartner, 1985) Important part of a healthy economy (Cooper, Willard, & Woo, 1986) Driver of economic growth (Schumpeter, 1934) Accelerate technological progress (Sorescu, Chandy, & Prabhu, 2003) 70% 30% Failures of new ventures in e-commerce Why do new ventures in e-commerce fail? Gulati, 2013
  • 4. Master Thesis - Executive Summary Problem definition 4 Introduction Course of InvestigationExisting literature on failure of new ventures in e-commerce Applicability to current context No consistent definitions Methodological flaws Master thesis research questions What are reasons why new ventures in e-commerce fail? What are measures for reducing failure of new ventures in e-commerce? 1. 2. Literature review1. 2. Research gap Qualitative inquiry 3. Discussion of findings 4. Conclusion
  • 5. Master Thesis - Executive Summary Methodological approach 5 Qualitative Inquiry Research Design Sample Primary data - Interviews Research purpose Identifying failure causes of new ventures in e-commerce Pointing out measures for reducing failure of new ventures in e-commerce 1. 2. • Qualitative non-probability sampling approach • Seven venture capital firms investing in e-commerce • Qualitative approach • Employing holistic multiple case study design • Inductive scientific approach • Standardized open-ended interview approach • Conducted via telephone and email
  • 6. Master Thesis - Executive Summary Identified failure causes of new ventures in e-commerce 6 Internal failure causes 21 External failure causes 7 28 Finance Management Marketing & sales Cash flow challenges Inappropriat e business model Underfunding Too high costs Unexperienced management Unskilled management Inappropriate marketing channel 6 7 7 Irresponsible founders Founders too young Inattentive to KPIs Product & Inventory Mgmt. Poor sourcing & logistics 1 High marketing costs Change in consumer behavior Poor product market fit High churn rate Increasing competition Poor infrastructure Strong regulationsInsufficient margin Wrong estimation of working capital needs Insufficient economies of scale Poor Management Lack of marketing Lack of affordable marketing channels Too optimistic assumptions of CAC & CLV Lack of customer retention Lack of customer cohort analysis Insufficient sales Bold = Primary failure cause Qualitative Inquiry
  • 7. Master Thesis - Executive Summary Potential measures to reduce failure of new ventures in e-commerce 7 • Being KPI driven • Better understanding of financial needs • Conduct deeper market analysis • Enter underserved markets • Clearly define relevant product categories • Vertical integration • Building minimum viable product (MVP) • Employ test cases • Conduct scaling tests Entrepreneur • Conduct deeper market analysis • Better understanding of financial needs • Better due diligence Investor FAILURE Qualitative Inquiry
  • 8. Master Thesis - Executive Summary Implemented measures of VCs to reduce failure of new ventures in e-commerce 8 Regular reports Realize synergies Regular meetings Verify product market fit Assessing availability of financing Reduce failure of new ventures in e-commerce Evaluate opportunity and team Monthly update call Verify test cases Complement team Evaluate CLV Qualitative Inquiry
  • 9. Master Thesis - Executive Summary Failure Reduction 9 Discussion Discussion & Implications AssessmentAwareness Counter measures 1 2 3 Implications Findings are mostly supported by new venture literature Failure causes are partly related and interdependent More internal than external failure causes Pivotal role of raising substantial amount of money to avoid failure Discussion
  • 10. Master Thesis - Executive Summary References 10 Chandler, G. N., Honig, B., & Wiklund, J. (2005). Antecedents, moderators, and performance consequences of membership change in new venture teams. Journal of Business Venturing, 20(5), 705–725. Colecchia, A., Pattinson, B., & Atrostic, B. (1999). Defining and measuring electronic commerce. In International Statistical Institure Cutting Edge Conference on the Management of E-Commerce (pp. 1–15). Singapore. Cooper, A. C., Willard, G. E., & Woo, C. Y. (1986). Strategies of high performing new and small firms: A reexamination of the niche concept. Journal of Business Venturing, 1(3), 247–260. eMarketer (2014). Global e-commerce sales to hit $1.5 trillion, driven by growth in emerging markets. Retrieved February 07, 2014, from http://www.retailcustomerexperience.com/articles/global-e-commerce-sales-to-hit-15-trillion-driven-by- growth-in-emerging-markets/ Gartner, W. B. (1985). A conceptual framework for describing the phenomenon of new venture creation. The Academy of Management Review, 10(4), 696–706. Gulati, S. (2013). At least 70% of companies will fail in e-commerce: Vani Kola of kalaari capital. Retrieved February 05, 2014, from http://techcircle.vccircle.com/2013/08/21/at-least-70-of-companies-across-the- board-will-fail-in-e- commerce-vani-kola-of-kalaari-capital/ Liu, S. (2013). An empirical study on e-commerce’s effects on economic growth. In Proceedings of the 2013 Conference on Education Technology and Management Science (pp. 81–84). Paris, France: Atlantis Press. Schumpeter, J. A. (1934). The theory of economic development. Cambridge: Harvard University Press. Sorescu, A. B., Chandy, R. K., & Prabhu, J. C. (2003). Sources and financial consequences of radical innovation: Insights from pharmaceuticals. Journal of Marketing, 67(4), 82–102. Turban, E., Lee, J., King, D., & Chung, H. M. (2010). Electronic commerce: A managerial perspective. New Jersey: Prentice Hall. Wen, H. J., Chen, H.-G., & Hwang, H.-G. (2001). E-commerce web site design: Strategies and models. Information Management & Computer Security, 9(1), 5–12.

Editor's Notes

  1. Global e-commerce sales expected to reach 1.5 trillion this year B2C -> Electronic transactions of products, information and services between businesses and individuals
  2. In fact, it was shown that economies with relatively higher proportion of new ventures experience faster growth than other economies (Schmitz, 1989). Some authors even argue that actions of new ventures might incentivize larger incumbents to react, which in turn leads to faster technological change (Sorescu, Chandy, & Prabhu, 2003)
  3. Seven authors attempted to figure out specific reasons why new ventures in e-commerce fail -> Research gap Literature review->Theoretical background
  4. failure causes of new ventures are generally hard to measure (Bruno et al., 1987), and exploring causes leading to failure of new ventures in e-commerce requires gaining deep insight to facilitate proper understanding of occurring problems. holistic multiple case study design was appropriate for this particular research, because it allows determining patterns across specific cases, but still avoids overemphasizing the idiosyncrasies of a single case facilitate comparison between the answers of different interviewees, and to keep the interview time under 30 minutes.
  5. Asked for top of mind failure causes -> of particular importance for interviewees
  6. Analytical (2) Market (2) Product (2) MVP (new venture=hypothesis->Selling shoes online->Building very efficiently mvp at the least possible cost->Testing out hypothesis in market
  7. Emphasized Check for root cause For failure reduction, there are three important steps to take for involved parties: Awareness, Assessing exposure, implmenting counter measures