What Kind of Presidential Election is This?
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Please join us for this enlightening presentation as Professor Michael Traugott focuses on the current state of the national presidential race, presenting different scenarios for how it will finish.
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- 1. MikeTraugott Center for Political Studies University of Michigan Wolverine Caucus September 20, 2016
- 18. Polarization in the Electorate (Disapprove of a child marrying across parties)
- 20. 22% 27% 82%
- 27. Clinton 273 (201 solid, 72 leaning) Trump 191 (158 solid, 33 leaning) Tossup 111 (8 states)
- 28. Clinton 272 (190 solid, 82 leaning) Trump 163 (127 solid, 36 leaning) Tossup 103 (7 states + 2 EV’s)
- 31. 8 pp. diff 12 pp. diff 15 pp. diff Goldstein, Bloomberg Politics
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