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Analysis of statistics generated by market
activity such as past price and volume to come
up with reasonable outcome in future using
charts as a primary tool.
Should I take a long position? Should I take a
short position? What is going to be the price
tomorrow, next week or next year?
Introduction
The market discounts everything
Prices move in trends
History tends to repeat itself
Assumptions
Line chart
Type of Charts
Bar Chart
Type of Charts
Volume Bar Chart
Type of Charts
 Candlestick Chart
Type of Charts
 The meaning of trend in finance isn't all that different from
the general definition of the term - a trend is really nothing
more than the general direction.
 A trend represents a consistent change in prices (i.e. a change
in investor’s expectations)
 A trendline is a simple charting technique that adds a line to a
chart to represent the trend in the market or a stock.
Trends
Uptrends
Types of Trend
Downtrend
Types of Trend
Sideways Trend
Types of Trend
Support and Resistance
 Support level is a price level where the price tends to find
support as it is going down
Support and Resistance
 Resistance Level is a price level where the price tends to
find resistance as it is going up
Importance of Support and Resistance
Support and resistance analysis is an important part
of trends because it can be used to make trading
decisions and identify when a trend is reversing
Aware: Support and Resistance levels
Support and Resistance levels are highly
volatile
Traders should not buy and sell directly at
these points as there may be breakout also
Breakout
The penetration of support and resistance level
is called breakout
Trader’s Remorse
Returning to the level of support or resistance
after a breakout is called trader’s remorse.
Trader’s Remorse
Resistance <-> Support
Indicators
A mathematical tool that can be applied on security’s
price giving a result that can be used to anticipate
trends, volatility and price
Indicators are used in two main ways: to confirm
price movement and to form buy and sell signals
Types of Indicator
Lagging
This indicator simply tells you what prices are
doing, they don’t warn you of upcoming changes
Leading
This indicators attempt to make investment calls on
securities prior to actual price confirmation
Moving Averages
 A simple moving average is calculated by taking
average of most recent closing prices of n time period
 Exponential Moving average applies weighting
factors which decrease exponentially
Moving Averages
Moving Averages Convergence Divergence
 MACD is calculated by subtracting 26 days moving
average from moving average of 12 days
Trading using MACD
 A 9 day moving average of MACD is plotted along
with MACD
Bollinger Bands
 Bollinger bands are the envelopes plotted at standard
deviations above and below the moving average
 Bollinger Bands can be used to measure the highness
or lowness of the price relative to previous trades
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands
Elliot Wave Theory
 Elliot stated that stock market moves in
repetitive cycles
Impulse and Corrective Patterns
 The impulse pattern consists of five waves, the
five waves can be in either direction, up or
down
 Corrective patterns can be grouped into two
different categories:
• Simple Correction( Zig-Zag )
• Complex correction (Flat, Irregular,
Triangle)
Fractal Structure
 The structures Elliott described meet the
common definition of a fractal ( self-similar
patterns appearing at every degree of trend)
 Elliott Wave patterns that show up on long
term charts are identical to, and will also show
up on short term charts
Fractal Structure
Fibonacci Retracement Patterns
 Stocks often pull back or retrace a percentage
of the previous move before reversing
 Retracement percentages follow a Fibonacci
ratio pattern, the key Fibonacci ratios are 23.6,
38.2, 50, 61.8
Fibonacci Retracement Patterns
Linear Regression Lines
 When prices are below the Linear Regression Line, this could
be viewed as a good time to buy, and when prices are above
the Linear Regression Line, a trader might sell
Linear Regression Channel
 A Linear Regression trendline shows where equilibrium exists
but Linear Regression Channels show the range prices can be
expected to deviate from a trendline
Relative Strength Index
 It compares the magnitude of recent gains to recent losses in an
attempt to determine overbought and oversold conditions of an
asset
RSI= 100- 100/ (1+RS)
RS=EMA[U]/EMA[D] EMA- exponential moving
average
U= Sig (close (today)-close (yesterday))
D= Sig(close(yesterday)-close(today))
Relative Strength Index
Relative Strength Index
Stochastic Oscillator
 Compares where a security’s price closed
relative to its price range over a given time
period
Fast oscillator
Slow oscillator %D = SMA(%K, N)
Stochastic Oscillator
 Buy when the Oscillator (either %K or %D) falls below a specific level
(e.g., 20) and then rises above that level. Sell when the Oscillator rises
above a specific level (e.g., 80) and then falls below that level;
 Buy when the %K line rises above the %D line and sell when the %K line
falls below the %D line
Thank You

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What is Stock Market Technical Analysis

  • 1.
  • 2. Analysis of statistics generated by market activity such as past price and volume to come up with reasonable outcome in future using charts as a primary tool. Should I take a long position? Should I take a short position? What is going to be the price tomorrow, next week or next year? Introduction
  • 3. The market discounts everything Prices move in trends History tends to repeat itself Assumptions
  • 8.  The meaning of trend in finance isn't all that different from the general definition of the term - a trend is really nothing more than the general direction.  A trend represents a consistent change in prices (i.e. a change in investor’s expectations)  A trendline is a simple charting technique that adds a line to a chart to represent the trend in the market or a stock. Trends
  • 12. Support and Resistance  Support level is a price level where the price tends to find support as it is going down
  • 13. Support and Resistance  Resistance Level is a price level where the price tends to find resistance as it is going up
  • 14. Importance of Support and Resistance Support and resistance analysis is an important part of trends because it can be used to make trading decisions and identify when a trend is reversing
  • 15. Aware: Support and Resistance levels Support and Resistance levels are highly volatile Traders should not buy and sell directly at these points as there may be breakout also
  • 16. Breakout The penetration of support and resistance level is called breakout
  • 17. Trader’s Remorse Returning to the level of support or resistance after a breakout is called trader’s remorse.
  • 20. Indicators A mathematical tool that can be applied on security’s price giving a result that can be used to anticipate trends, volatility and price Indicators are used in two main ways: to confirm price movement and to form buy and sell signals
  • 21. Types of Indicator Lagging This indicator simply tells you what prices are doing, they don’t warn you of upcoming changes Leading This indicators attempt to make investment calls on securities prior to actual price confirmation
  • 22. Moving Averages  A simple moving average is calculated by taking average of most recent closing prices of n time period  Exponential Moving average applies weighting factors which decrease exponentially
  • 24. Moving Averages Convergence Divergence  MACD is calculated by subtracting 26 days moving average from moving average of 12 days
  • 25. Trading using MACD  A 9 day moving average of MACD is plotted along with MACD
  • 26. Bollinger Bands  Bollinger bands are the envelopes plotted at standard deviations above and below the moving average  Bollinger Bands can be used to measure the highness or lowness of the price relative to previous trades
  • 29. Elliot Wave Theory  Elliot stated that stock market moves in repetitive cycles
  • 30. Impulse and Corrective Patterns  The impulse pattern consists of five waves, the five waves can be in either direction, up or down  Corrective patterns can be grouped into two different categories: • Simple Correction( Zig-Zag ) • Complex correction (Flat, Irregular, Triangle)
  • 31. Fractal Structure  The structures Elliott described meet the common definition of a fractal ( self-similar patterns appearing at every degree of trend)  Elliott Wave patterns that show up on long term charts are identical to, and will also show up on short term charts
  • 33. Fibonacci Retracement Patterns  Stocks often pull back or retrace a percentage of the previous move before reversing  Retracement percentages follow a Fibonacci ratio pattern, the key Fibonacci ratios are 23.6, 38.2, 50, 61.8
  • 35. Linear Regression Lines  When prices are below the Linear Regression Line, this could be viewed as a good time to buy, and when prices are above the Linear Regression Line, a trader might sell
  • 36. Linear Regression Channel  A Linear Regression trendline shows where equilibrium exists but Linear Regression Channels show the range prices can be expected to deviate from a trendline
  • 37. Relative Strength Index  It compares the magnitude of recent gains to recent losses in an attempt to determine overbought and oversold conditions of an asset RSI= 100- 100/ (1+RS) RS=EMA[U]/EMA[D] EMA- exponential moving average U= Sig (close (today)-close (yesterday)) D= Sig(close(yesterday)-close(today))
  • 39. Stochastic Oscillator  Compares where a security’s price closed relative to its price range over a given time period Fast oscillator Slow oscillator %D = SMA(%K, N)
  • 40. Stochastic Oscillator  Buy when the Oscillator (either %K or %D) falls below a specific level (e.g., 20) and then rises above that level. Sell when the Oscillator rises above a specific level (e.g., 80) and then falls below that level;  Buy when the %K line rises above the %D line and sell when the %K line falls below the %D line
  • 41.