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What Determines Farmers’ Response
Towards Adopting New Technology in
      Khyber Pakhtun-khaw?

                                     Principal Investigator
                                             Dr. Shahnaz Akhtar
                    Professor, Institute of Development Studies
                       KPK Agricultural University, Peshawar
                         Email: drshahnazakhtar@aup.edu.pk
                                          Contact: 0333-9108864


                                             Co-Investigator
                                                  Sohail Khan
                                         sohailpfi@yahoo.com
Acknowledgements
 We are extremely grateful to USAID, IFPRI, PSSP and all
  Partner organizations for the financial support, time,
  effort and observation about the need to encourage
  research environment in our country; especially
  among the academia.
 We are also thankful to 300 farmers who have willingly
  shared the sacred information of their cropping
  practices, cost of production and perceptions.
 I am personally thankful to Dr. Noor Khan, Dr. Malik M.
  Shafi, Mohammad Sohail (RA), M. Arif and Jawad (my
  supervisees) for their contributions in this research.
Why New Technology…..

 “…… it is envisaged that the next breakthrough in
  agricultural productivity would be due to recent
  developments in plant molecular biology, genetic
  engineering, and rapid advancement in genomics.’

 However the question remains if the farm would
  show response to all such efforts that the dream of
  the advancements in agriculture would
  materialize.”
                       Iqbal and Muneer (2005)
Our task is to learn……
 On the outbreak of a new technology;

  Few Farmers respond positively;
    What factors motivate them?

  While Few other don’t respond;
    What Factor stop them?
Earlier Studies have Identified the Determinants as;
S.N.   The Determinants                                                 The References
       Socio-economic conditions,                                        Nelson 1993;
1      Renovated institutions and individual capacities                 Rosenberg 1994
                                                                   Ajzen and Fishbein, 1990;
                                                                   Leathers and Smale, 1992;
       Risk factor,
                                                               Feder and Umali, 1993; Davis ,1996;
2                                                                    Nortan and Bass, 1997
                                                                   Byerlee and Polanco, 1999;
3      Profitability
                                                                       Guerra et al., 2007
       Transport & Communication network,
4                                                                         Khan (1998)
       extension services
       Awareness about the existence and availability of new         Smale and Heisa, 1999;
5      technology                                                      Marra et al., 2001
                                                                   (Ruttan, 1996; Monu, 2000
       Age, experience capital formation, & Farmers’ HRD
6                                                                        Malik (2005)

7      Characteristics of the innovation itself                        Pannell et al. 2006

8      Mass media and interpersonal communication                     Jan and Imran, 2009

9      Timely availability and credit facilities                         Ahmad (2007)

10     Ease in following (How to do of) technology                        Khan (2011)

11     Farm Size and Tenancy Status                                       Khan (2011)
Our Research Explores even Further…..…..

S.N.            The Determinants                             Remarks

1      Land Fragmentation
       Distance Between Farm and main
2
       linking road                        Currently under investigation by my Ph.D. &
       Distance Between Farm and input-                 M. Phil students
3
       output market
4      Farm Size and tenancy System

5      RIWAAJ=Standard Practice            An experiment started by one is copied by all

       Climate Change……
6                                          Farms are in process of changing enterprises
       Innovators Beware of!!

       KHAN JEE AVATAR                      ‘Khan Jee’ when earns extra money, eagerly
7      - measured by farmers’ investment        spends to maintain his social status
       choices                              forgetting to maintain the capital formation.
Data collection scheme
      and the progress made!
Three Districts:
              Peshawar, Charsadda, Mardan

Three Crops:
               Wheat, Maize, Sugarcane

300 farmers almost equally divided among the districts and
crops
Data collection scheme
            and the progress made

       Data is being collected in Two Phases:

Phase I: Baseline Data
“What Questions”, e.g. farm size and no of fragments; tenancy status;
cost of production, yields and returns from the three crops; other
income sources, new technologies adopted lately; and preference for
investment etc.
             data collection in Phase I is complete
Data collection scheme
          and the progress made
Phase II: Focus Group Activity Inquiring the

“Why Questions”,
e.g. Perception, recent examples, reasons for adopting new
       technology,
       sources of information and extension,
       expectations, experience in terms of changing
       patterns trends
       One Focus Group each in the three districts has
       been conducted!!
Area    Percent of the         Yields             Gap
               Crop        (000) Hec     total             Tons/hec           In (%)

               Wheat          658                             1.6
   Some
   Basic       Maize          386                             1.8
   Facts:      Sugarcane      99       90 + of 1268          45.2                      30 +
 2008-2009     Rice           43                              2.0
               Gram
                              31                              0.4
 Agriculture
               Tobacco        36                              2.8
     in
               Barley         15                              1.0
  Khyber
Pakhtukhwa     Under Main
               Crops       1268
               Current    509015           30 +
               Fallow



                 Bureau of Statistics Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. KHYBER PAKHTUNKHWA IN FIGURES
               at http://www.khyberpakhtunkhwa.gov.pk/Departments/BOS/KP-in-Fingures.php
Thank you for your
    attention
Appendixes
Selected Literature
Nelson 1993; Rosenberg 1994

 “Investments in S&T are known to pay off most strongly
  for countries and regions with highly integrated
  technical and economic systems able to diffuse and
  apply results of new research.
 Challenging socio-economic conditions in the
  developing communities adversely affect any efforts of
  adopting and diffusing new technologies.
 In this situation the question is how any breakthrough is
  possible?”
 Earlier experiences advocate combinations of
    technological improvement with
    renovated institutions and
    individual capacities of the technology recipients.
Selected Literature
• Ahmad (2007) examined adoption and constraints
  in the use of HYVs by farmers in district Peshawar
  and Charsadda during 2004. They assumed that
  regardless of favoring climatic conditions the
  farmers were not getting satisfactory profit from
  their activity due to non-adoption of new
  agricultural technologies. The constraints in
  adoption of new varieties according to them were
  mainly lack of awareness and of the know-how,
  inadequate and untimely availability of seed, and
  lack of credit facilities. They suggested a dynamic
  role to be played by the extension services in order
  to achieve the desired goal.
Selected Literature
• Khan, 2013
• KP’s share in countrywide maize production has
  been on the decline. It accounted for 68 percent of
  total maize produce in 1996 which decreased to 30
  percent in 2006-2007 and was recorded below 20
  percent in 2010-2011. While the maize yield has
  been more than 5400 kg per hectare in Punjab it
  was less than one third in KP during 2010-2011.
References
Arifullah, S. A. (2010). Pakistan’s Crop Sector: An Economic Evaluation. LAP Lambert Academic Publishing AG & Co. ISBN: 978-3-8383-4021-
0. Available at: http://www.amazon.com/ref=gno_logo.
Batz, F. J., K. Peters, and W. Janssen. 1999. The Influence of Technology Characteristics on the Rate and Speed of Adoption. American Journal
of Agricultural Economics, 21(2): 121-130
Iqbal, M. and M. Ahmad. 2005. Science and technology based agriculture vision ofPakistan and prospects of growth. Proc. PSDE 20th AGM.
10-12 January 2005,
Islamabad.
Khan, M. M. J., Janhua Z., M. S. Hashmi., M. S. Hashmi. (2011). Land Distribution, Technological Changes and Productivity in Pakistan’s
Agriculture: Some Explanations and Policy Options. International Journal of Economics and Management Sciences Vol. 1, No. 1, 2011, pp. 51-
74.
Nelson, R., ed.. 1993. National innovation systems: A comparative analysis. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Rosenberg, N. 1994. Exploring the black box: Technology, economics, and history.
Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Statistical Book 2011 of the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)
UNSIAP (United Nations Statistical Institute for Asia and the Pacific). INTRODUCTION TO METHODS FOR RESEARCH IN OFFICIAL
STATISTICS. Manual for the Research-based Training Program (RbTP) Regional Course.
http://www.unsiap.or.jp/document/intro_methods_rtp.pdf
Govt. of Pakistan. (2010). Economic survey: Economic Advisor’s Wing, Finance Division, govt. of Pakistan Islamabad.
Khan, N. M. (1998). The Causes of Slow Diffusion of New Agriculture Technologies in Kurram Agency in KP.(An Unpublished MSc (Hons)
Thesis). NWFP Agricultural University Peshawar. 110 - 113.
Ahmad Mansoor, M. Akram,; R. Rauf and I. Ali Khan, (2007). Adoption of and Constraints In Use Of High Yielding Varieties: A Case Study Of
Four Villages Of District Peshawar And Charsad. Sarhad J. Agric. 23 (3)., 2007
Bureau of Statistics Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. KHYBER PAKHTUNKHWA IN FIGURES 2011. Available at
http://www.khyberpakhtunkhwa.gov.pk/Departments/BOS/KP-in-Fingures.php
http://tahirkatlang.wordpress.com/tag/kp-farmers/
Jan Mirza, Muhammad Imran (2009). MESSAGE CONSUMPTION AND ADOPTION OF AGRICULTURAL INNOVATIONS IN NWFP,
PAKISTAN. Global Media Journal. No. II (II), (Fall 2009)
at http://www.aiou.edu.pk/gmj/MESSAGE%20CONSUMPTIONEND.asp

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What Determines Farmers’ Response towards Adopting New Technology in KP? by Dr. Shahnaz Akhtar, KP Agricultural University, Peshawar

  • 1. What Determines Farmers’ Response Towards Adopting New Technology in Khyber Pakhtun-khaw? Principal Investigator Dr. Shahnaz Akhtar Professor, Institute of Development Studies KPK Agricultural University, Peshawar Email: drshahnazakhtar@aup.edu.pk Contact: 0333-9108864 Co-Investigator Sohail Khan sohailpfi@yahoo.com
  • 2. Acknowledgements  We are extremely grateful to USAID, IFPRI, PSSP and all Partner organizations for the financial support, time, effort and observation about the need to encourage research environment in our country; especially among the academia.  We are also thankful to 300 farmers who have willingly shared the sacred information of their cropping practices, cost of production and perceptions.  I am personally thankful to Dr. Noor Khan, Dr. Malik M. Shafi, Mohammad Sohail (RA), M. Arif and Jawad (my supervisees) for their contributions in this research.
  • 3. Why New Technology…..  “…… it is envisaged that the next breakthrough in agricultural productivity would be due to recent developments in plant molecular biology, genetic engineering, and rapid advancement in genomics.’  However the question remains if the farm would show response to all such efforts that the dream of the advancements in agriculture would materialize.” Iqbal and Muneer (2005)
  • 4. Our task is to learn…… On the outbreak of a new technology;  Few Farmers respond positively;  What factors motivate them?  While Few other don’t respond;  What Factor stop them?
  • 5. Earlier Studies have Identified the Determinants as; S.N. The Determinants The References Socio-economic conditions, Nelson 1993; 1 Renovated institutions and individual capacities Rosenberg 1994 Ajzen and Fishbein, 1990; Leathers and Smale, 1992; Risk factor, Feder and Umali, 1993; Davis ,1996; 2 Nortan and Bass, 1997 Byerlee and Polanco, 1999; 3 Profitability Guerra et al., 2007 Transport & Communication network, 4 Khan (1998) extension services Awareness about the existence and availability of new Smale and Heisa, 1999; 5 technology Marra et al., 2001 (Ruttan, 1996; Monu, 2000 Age, experience capital formation, & Farmers’ HRD 6 Malik (2005) 7 Characteristics of the innovation itself Pannell et al. 2006 8 Mass media and interpersonal communication Jan and Imran, 2009 9 Timely availability and credit facilities Ahmad (2007) 10 Ease in following (How to do of) technology Khan (2011) 11 Farm Size and Tenancy Status Khan (2011)
  • 6. Our Research Explores even Further…..….. S.N. The Determinants Remarks 1 Land Fragmentation Distance Between Farm and main 2 linking road Currently under investigation by my Ph.D. & Distance Between Farm and input- M. Phil students 3 output market 4 Farm Size and tenancy System 5 RIWAAJ=Standard Practice An experiment started by one is copied by all Climate Change…… 6 Farms are in process of changing enterprises Innovators Beware of!! KHAN JEE AVATAR ‘Khan Jee’ when earns extra money, eagerly 7 - measured by farmers’ investment spends to maintain his social status choices forgetting to maintain the capital formation.
  • 7. Data collection scheme and the progress made! Three Districts: Peshawar, Charsadda, Mardan Three Crops: Wheat, Maize, Sugarcane 300 farmers almost equally divided among the districts and crops
  • 8. Data collection scheme and the progress made Data is being collected in Two Phases: Phase I: Baseline Data “What Questions”, e.g. farm size and no of fragments; tenancy status; cost of production, yields and returns from the three crops; other income sources, new technologies adopted lately; and preference for investment etc. data collection in Phase I is complete
  • 9. Data collection scheme and the progress made Phase II: Focus Group Activity Inquiring the “Why Questions”, e.g. Perception, recent examples, reasons for adopting new technology, sources of information and extension, expectations, experience in terms of changing patterns trends One Focus Group each in the three districts has been conducted!!
  • 10. Area Percent of the Yields Gap Crop (000) Hec total Tons/hec In (%) Wheat 658 1.6 Some Basic Maize 386 1.8 Facts: Sugarcane 99 90 + of 1268 45.2 30 + 2008-2009 Rice 43 2.0 Gram 31 0.4 Agriculture Tobacco 36 2.8 in Barley 15 1.0 Khyber Pakhtukhwa Under Main Crops 1268 Current 509015 30 + Fallow Bureau of Statistics Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. KHYBER PAKHTUNKHWA IN FIGURES at http://www.khyberpakhtunkhwa.gov.pk/Departments/BOS/KP-in-Fingures.php
  • 11. Thank you for your attention
  • 13. Selected Literature Nelson 1993; Rosenberg 1994  “Investments in S&T are known to pay off most strongly for countries and regions with highly integrated technical and economic systems able to diffuse and apply results of new research.  Challenging socio-economic conditions in the developing communities adversely affect any efforts of adopting and diffusing new technologies.  In this situation the question is how any breakthrough is possible?”  Earlier experiences advocate combinations of  technological improvement with  renovated institutions and  individual capacities of the technology recipients.
  • 14. Selected Literature • Ahmad (2007) examined adoption and constraints in the use of HYVs by farmers in district Peshawar and Charsadda during 2004. They assumed that regardless of favoring climatic conditions the farmers were not getting satisfactory profit from their activity due to non-adoption of new agricultural technologies. The constraints in adoption of new varieties according to them were mainly lack of awareness and of the know-how, inadequate and untimely availability of seed, and lack of credit facilities. They suggested a dynamic role to be played by the extension services in order to achieve the desired goal.
  • 15. Selected Literature • Khan, 2013 • KP’s share in countrywide maize production has been on the decline. It accounted for 68 percent of total maize produce in 1996 which decreased to 30 percent in 2006-2007 and was recorded below 20 percent in 2010-2011. While the maize yield has been more than 5400 kg per hectare in Punjab it was less than one third in KP during 2010-2011.
  • 16. References Arifullah, S. A. (2010). Pakistan’s Crop Sector: An Economic Evaluation. LAP Lambert Academic Publishing AG & Co. ISBN: 978-3-8383-4021- 0. Available at: http://www.amazon.com/ref=gno_logo. Batz, F. J., K. Peters, and W. Janssen. 1999. The Influence of Technology Characteristics on the Rate and Speed of Adoption. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 21(2): 121-130 Iqbal, M. and M. Ahmad. 2005. Science and technology based agriculture vision ofPakistan and prospects of growth. Proc. PSDE 20th AGM. 10-12 January 2005, Islamabad. Khan, M. M. J., Janhua Z., M. S. Hashmi., M. S. Hashmi. (2011). Land Distribution, Technological Changes and Productivity in Pakistan’s Agriculture: Some Explanations and Policy Options. International Journal of Economics and Management Sciences Vol. 1, No. 1, 2011, pp. 51- 74. Nelson, R., ed.. 1993. National innovation systems: A comparative analysis. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Rosenberg, N. 1994. Exploring the black box: Technology, economics, and history. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Statistical Book 2011 of the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) UNSIAP (United Nations Statistical Institute for Asia and the Pacific). INTRODUCTION TO METHODS FOR RESEARCH IN OFFICIAL STATISTICS. Manual for the Research-based Training Program (RbTP) Regional Course. http://www.unsiap.or.jp/document/intro_methods_rtp.pdf Govt. of Pakistan. (2010). Economic survey: Economic Advisor’s Wing, Finance Division, govt. of Pakistan Islamabad. Khan, N. M. (1998). The Causes of Slow Diffusion of New Agriculture Technologies in Kurram Agency in KP.(An Unpublished MSc (Hons) Thesis). NWFP Agricultural University Peshawar. 110 - 113. Ahmad Mansoor, M. Akram,; R. Rauf and I. Ali Khan, (2007). Adoption of and Constraints In Use Of High Yielding Varieties: A Case Study Of Four Villages Of District Peshawar And Charsad. Sarhad J. Agric. 23 (3)., 2007 Bureau of Statistics Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. KHYBER PAKHTUNKHWA IN FIGURES 2011. Available at http://www.khyberpakhtunkhwa.gov.pk/Departments/BOS/KP-in-Fingures.php http://tahirkatlang.wordpress.com/tag/kp-farmers/ Jan Mirza, Muhammad Imran (2009). MESSAGE CONSUMPTION AND ADOPTION OF AGRICULTURAL INNOVATIONS IN NWFP, PAKISTAN. Global Media Journal. No. II (II), (Fall 2009) at http://www.aiou.edu.pk/gmj/MESSAGE%20CONSUMPTIONEND.asp