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What can NGO campaigners learn from
non-violent pro-democracy movements?
PICK THE BATTLES YOU CAN WIN
UNDER MILOSEVIC
Biggest banknote in the world history, 11 zero “Gas station” - from 1,5 litar bottle up to a 25 liter canister
Wars in former Yugoslav Republics of Slovenia, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Croatia, and Serbian province Kosovo & Metohia
Refugees NATO bombing
Daily inflation rate: 65 percent Price doubling every 34 hours
Hyperinflation
Sanctions
Isolation
KEY RESOURCES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH
A Curriculum on
nonviolent
struggle for
activists:
Complete
Teacher`s book,
Student`s book,
Basic and
Advanced course
Handbook manual for
activists
“Nonviolent struggle
– 50 crucial points”
www.canvasopedia.org
Making Oppression
Backfire
Learn political
jiu-jits
u
The core of CANVAS’s work is rather to
spread the word of “people power” to the
world than to achieve victories against
one dictator or another. Our next big
mission should obviously be to explain to
the world what a powerful tool nonviolent
struggle is when it comes to achieving
freedom, democracy and human rights.
VISION OF TOMORROW
BUILDING UNITY THROUGH ARTICULATING A
STRONG
NONVIOLENT
DISCIPLINE
UNITY
PLANNING
“HOLLY TRINITY” OF PRINCIPLES FOR SUCCESS
MAPPING THE BATTLEFIELD
Which social groups will you need to mobilize, and do they support your cause?
POWER
IN SOCIETY
PILLARS
OF SUPPORT
 SOURCES OF POWER IN THE SOCIETY
THERE ARE 6 UNIVERSAL SOURCES OF POWER IN EACH SOCIETY
AUTHORITY
HUMAN
RESOURCES
SKILLS
&
KNOWLEDGE
MATERIAL
RESOURCES
INTANGIBLE
FACTORS
SANCTIONS
PILLARS OF SUPPORT
If people withdraw
their support the pillar
collapses and status
quo starts wobbling.
Power in society is
exerted through
institutions and
organizations we
call “PILLARS OF
SUPPORT” and
each institution “is
made of the
people”.
Cutting through each
pillar will unveil
similar “concentric
circle structure.
PUSH VS PULL
Main difference between violent and
nonviolent struggle is in the way you address
pillars of support
PUSH PULL
OBEDIENCE IN THE HEART OF POLITICAL POWER
If people do not obey
rulers cannot rule, but -
WHY DO PEOPLE OBEY?
WHY DO PEOPLE OBEY?
1. Habit
2. Self-interest
3. Fear of sanctions
4. Zone of indifference
5. Absence of self-confidence
6. Moral obligation
7. Psychological identification with
rulers
8. Superhuman factors
9. Helplessness and hopelessness
10. Majority is doing it
 OBEDIENCE: LOYALTY PIE
Each individual “owes” his or her multiple loyalties to different stakeholders.
Understanding and reversing these obedience patterns is a key of mobilizing
people in order to change “status quo” in your struggle.
“LOYALTY PIE” To whom do we owe our loyalty?
OBEDIENCE
PERSONS` “DAILY ROLES”- which roles do we play during our life?
MELTING FEAR AND BUILDING ENTHUSIASM
Similar to Chile, South Africa and Serbia,
movements in Tunisia and Egypt have
recognized that once FEAR starts melting
and enthusiasm starts growing, a repressive
regime based on pillars of coercion cannot
adapt. The use of low-risk tactics of
dispersion and humor was crucial in
undermining the fear and authority of
Mubarak.
ARAB SPRING AND LESSONS FROM SERBIA
THINKING AND PLANNING STRATEGICALLY IN NVS
GENERAL
STRATEGY
STRATEGY
CAMPAIGNS
INDIVIDUAL TACTICS
VISION IS
WHERE WE WANT TO
BE
HOW TO GET THERE
NECESSARY STEPS TO ACHIEVE IT
How we are going to win this nonviolent war and
make our Vision of tomorrow happen?
Strategy is the conception of how best to
achieve objectives in a conflict
What strategic objectives we need to fulfill
Series of linked tactics that target
different pillars or social groups
toward strategic goals
What is the most appropriate
tactic for given goal?
TACTIC CHOICE: HOW DO WE DECIDE ON A SUITABLE TACTIC?
What is an “affordable” level
of risk and investment
for them to participate
in this tactic?
Does the tactic fit in the "broader picture"
of the campaign or general strategy?
Who are the people I want to
mobilize?
CHOICE OF RIGHT TACTIC AND BACKGROUND ANALYSIS:
You will need to do background analysis of the people you want to mobilize, and find a
proper target (s) for your tactic, and a tactic that will suit to the group you want to
mobilize. First step is to cleverly choose your Target, whether it’s a pillar of support or a
specific social group.
STEP ONE:
BACKGROUND ANALYSIS AND
TARGETING
1. DO YOUR HOMEWORK
2. CHOOSE THE TARGET – WHO/WHAT
IS TARGETED BY THE ACTION
3. PICK THE BATTLES YOU CAN WIN
QUANTITATIVE COST/BENEFIT ANALYSIS IN TERMS OF RESOURCES:
FUNDS: What is the
total budget required
for this action (the
total budget
comprises
not only the
production of the
action, but also
office and
travelling costs,
coffee and juice
consumed at
preparation
meetings and the
like)?
PEOPLE: How many activists/staff are needed to organise the action successfully? What skills or
knowledge are required by the chosen tactic? How many people might join the movement if the
action is successful? How is recruitment efficiency ensured?
TIME: How many
person-hours are
required to plan
and implement the
action? Could a
better effect be
achieved by using
that number of
person-hours on
some other tactic
(e.g. a
door-to-door
campaign instead
of organising a
rally)?
HUMAN
RESOURCES
MATERIAL
RESOURCESTIME
IMPACTING AUDIENCES
In order to communicate messages, we need to decide
whom we want to impact (THE TARGET)
TARGETED COMMUNICATION
Effective targeted communication requires
target identification, a message, a
messenger, and a feed-back mechanism.
Pre-communication activities are very
important when analyzing target groups and
defining the message and messenger. These
activities play a crucial role in influencing
attitudes of target audiences.
Pre-communication assists in our objective
both by permitting us to know the target
better and making the target more
receptive for later propaganda.
It is important to examine and define 4
different target audiences, and learn how to
prioritize objectives in our communication
with each of those groups. As purpose of
targeted communication is to influence
attitude and behavior, the most important
communication goals will be strategically
oriented, and those influencing emotions of
target audience.
What do we really buy, girls & boys?
TARGETED COMMUNICATION
Who we talk to
What message we send
Who sends the message
Feedback
THE ROLE OF
NEGOTIATIONS
SUN TZU ON CONFLICT STRATEGY AND NEGOTIATIONS FROM THE POSITION OF POWER:
"War is a continuation of policy by
military means, and conflict is THE
MOST EXPENSIVE WAY to solve a
problem. Estimate the situation and
choose one of the three ways:
• if you are WEAKER, consider
retreat;
• if you are STRONGER, negotiate
and demand surrender;
• if your strengths are EQUAL, start
a conflict."
PLANNING FORWARD
AND PLANNING BACKWARDS
PLANNING FORWARD ON VARIOUS LEVELS
GENERAL
STRATEGY
STRATEGY
CAMPAIGNS
INDIVIDUAL TACTICS
VISION
WHERE WE WANT TO
BE
HOW TO GET THERE
NECESSARY STEPS TO ACHIEVE IT
Planning the whole process
Planning for separate strategic goals
Planning details, coordination
and logistics
IT HAS
TO BE
YOU!

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What can NGO campaigners learn from non-violent pro-democracy movements - Sinisa Sikman at ECF Europe 2017

  • 1. What can NGO campaigners learn from non-violent pro-democracy movements?
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  • 3. PICK THE BATTLES YOU CAN WIN
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  • 5. UNDER MILOSEVIC Biggest banknote in the world history, 11 zero “Gas station” - from 1,5 litar bottle up to a 25 liter canister Wars in former Yugoslav Republics of Slovenia, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Croatia, and Serbian province Kosovo & Metohia Refugees NATO bombing Daily inflation rate: 65 percent Price doubling every 34 hours Hyperinflation Sanctions Isolation
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  • 8. KEY RESOURCES FOR FURTHER RESEARCH A Curriculum on nonviolent struggle for activists: Complete Teacher`s book, Student`s book, Basic and Advanced course Handbook manual for activists “Nonviolent struggle – 50 crucial points” www.canvasopedia.org Making Oppression Backfire Learn political jiu-jits u
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  • 11. The core of CANVAS’s work is rather to spread the word of “people power” to the world than to achieve victories against one dictator or another. Our next big mission should obviously be to explain to the world what a powerful tool nonviolent struggle is when it comes to achieving freedom, democracy and human rights.
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  • 14. VISION OF TOMORROW BUILDING UNITY THROUGH ARTICULATING A STRONG
  • 16. MAPPING THE BATTLEFIELD Which social groups will you need to mobilize, and do they support your cause?
  • 18.  SOURCES OF POWER IN THE SOCIETY THERE ARE 6 UNIVERSAL SOURCES OF POWER IN EACH SOCIETY AUTHORITY HUMAN RESOURCES SKILLS & KNOWLEDGE MATERIAL RESOURCES INTANGIBLE FACTORS SANCTIONS
  • 19. PILLARS OF SUPPORT If people withdraw their support the pillar collapses and status quo starts wobbling. Power in society is exerted through institutions and organizations we call “PILLARS OF SUPPORT” and each institution “is made of the people”. Cutting through each pillar will unveil similar “concentric circle structure.
  • 20. PUSH VS PULL Main difference between violent and nonviolent struggle is in the way you address pillars of support PUSH PULL
  • 21. OBEDIENCE IN THE HEART OF POLITICAL POWER If people do not obey rulers cannot rule, but - WHY DO PEOPLE OBEY?
  • 22. WHY DO PEOPLE OBEY? 1. Habit 2. Self-interest 3. Fear of sanctions 4. Zone of indifference 5. Absence of self-confidence 6. Moral obligation 7. Psychological identification with rulers 8. Superhuman factors 9. Helplessness and hopelessness 10. Majority is doing it
  • 23.  OBEDIENCE: LOYALTY PIE Each individual “owes” his or her multiple loyalties to different stakeholders. Understanding and reversing these obedience patterns is a key of mobilizing people in order to change “status quo” in your struggle. “LOYALTY PIE” To whom do we owe our loyalty?
  • 24. OBEDIENCE PERSONS` “DAILY ROLES”- which roles do we play during our life?
  • 25. MELTING FEAR AND BUILDING ENTHUSIASM Similar to Chile, South Africa and Serbia, movements in Tunisia and Egypt have recognized that once FEAR starts melting and enthusiasm starts growing, a repressive regime based on pillars of coercion cannot adapt. The use of low-risk tactics of dispersion and humor was crucial in undermining the fear and authority of Mubarak. ARAB SPRING AND LESSONS FROM SERBIA
  • 26. THINKING AND PLANNING STRATEGICALLY IN NVS GENERAL STRATEGY STRATEGY CAMPAIGNS INDIVIDUAL TACTICS VISION IS WHERE WE WANT TO BE HOW TO GET THERE NECESSARY STEPS TO ACHIEVE IT How we are going to win this nonviolent war and make our Vision of tomorrow happen? Strategy is the conception of how best to achieve objectives in a conflict What strategic objectives we need to fulfill Series of linked tactics that target different pillars or social groups toward strategic goals What is the most appropriate tactic for given goal?
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  • 29. TACTIC CHOICE: HOW DO WE DECIDE ON A SUITABLE TACTIC? What is an “affordable” level of risk and investment for them to participate in this tactic? Does the tactic fit in the "broader picture" of the campaign or general strategy? Who are the people I want to mobilize?
  • 30. CHOICE OF RIGHT TACTIC AND BACKGROUND ANALYSIS: You will need to do background analysis of the people you want to mobilize, and find a proper target (s) for your tactic, and a tactic that will suit to the group you want to mobilize. First step is to cleverly choose your Target, whether it’s a pillar of support or a specific social group. STEP ONE: BACKGROUND ANALYSIS AND TARGETING 1. DO YOUR HOMEWORK 2. CHOOSE THE TARGET – WHO/WHAT IS TARGETED BY THE ACTION 3. PICK THE BATTLES YOU CAN WIN
  • 31. QUANTITATIVE COST/BENEFIT ANALYSIS IN TERMS OF RESOURCES: FUNDS: What is the total budget required for this action (the total budget comprises not only the production of the action, but also office and travelling costs, coffee and juice consumed at preparation meetings and the like)? PEOPLE: How many activists/staff are needed to organise the action successfully? What skills or knowledge are required by the chosen tactic? How many people might join the movement if the action is successful? How is recruitment efficiency ensured? TIME: How many person-hours are required to plan and implement the action? Could a better effect be achieved by using that number of person-hours on some other tactic (e.g. a door-to-door campaign instead of organising a rally)? HUMAN RESOURCES MATERIAL RESOURCESTIME
  • 32. IMPACTING AUDIENCES In order to communicate messages, we need to decide whom we want to impact (THE TARGET) TARGETED COMMUNICATION
  • 33. Effective targeted communication requires target identification, a message, a messenger, and a feed-back mechanism. Pre-communication activities are very important when analyzing target groups and defining the message and messenger. These activities play a crucial role in influencing attitudes of target audiences. Pre-communication assists in our objective both by permitting us to know the target better and making the target more receptive for later propaganda. It is important to examine and define 4 different target audiences, and learn how to prioritize objectives in our communication with each of those groups. As purpose of targeted communication is to influence attitude and behavior, the most important communication goals will be strategically oriented, and those influencing emotions of target audience.
  • 34. What do we really buy, girls & boys? TARGETED COMMUNICATION
  • 35. Who we talk to What message we send Who sends the message Feedback
  • 37. SUN TZU ON CONFLICT STRATEGY AND NEGOTIATIONS FROM THE POSITION OF POWER: "War is a continuation of policy by military means, and conflict is THE MOST EXPENSIVE WAY to solve a problem. Estimate the situation and choose one of the three ways: • if you are WEAKER, consider retreat; • if you are STRONGER, negotiate and demand surrender; • if your strengths are EQUAL, start a conflict."
  • 39. PLANNING FORWARD ON VARIOUS LEVELS GENERAL STRATEGY STRATEGY CAMPAIGNS INDIVIDUAL TACTICS VISION WHERE WE WANT TO BE HOW TO GET THERE NECESSARY STEPS TO ACHIEVE IT Planning the whole process Planning for separate strategic goals Planning details, coordination and logistics