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2009 Predictions for the
                   Anywhere Economy

                   Zeus Kerravala, Senior Vice President

                   Declan Lonergan, Vice President

                   Ashvin Vellody, Senior Vice President

                   December 11, 2008
© Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   www.yankeegroup.com
Agenda


• The Anywhere Economy

• 2009 Predictions

• Summary

• Q&A




© Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy   December 2008   Page 2
The Anywhere Economy


• 2009 will be a watershed year for communications marketplace
• The economic crisis will drive global transformation
• The momentum toward ubiquitous connectivity continues




© Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy   December 2008   Page 3
Agenda


• The Anywhere Economy

• 2009 Predictions

• Summary

• Q&A




© Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy   December 2008   Page 4
Wired switch port sales will decline for the
              first time in history.



                           Aruba
                                                                                                                  3Com
                           Cisco
                                                                                                                  Cisco
                        HP ProCurve
                                                                                                                 Extreme
                       Meru Networks
                                                                                                                  Nortel
                      Trapeze Networks




© Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy   December 2008   Page 5
Desktop virtualization will replace PC
                          replacement.



                                                                                                                   Dell
                                                                                                                    HP
                          Citrix                                                                                  McAfee
                     Qwest Software                                                                              Microsoft
                  (Provision Networks)
                         VMware                                                                                  Symantec




© Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy    December 2008   Page 6
Premium brands will lose market share.




                                                                                                                 Apple iPhone
                              Blyk                                                                                 DoCoMo
                          Lebara Mobile                                                                          Nokia Nseries
                             Skype                                                                                Telefonica
                             Yoigo                                                                                 Vodafone




© Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy      December 2008   Page 7
Cord cutters will emerge from the economic
                    mist.



                                   3                                                                                BT
                                  O2                                                                          Telecom Italia
                                 Dell                                                                       Telekom Malaysia
                               Ericsson                                                                            Wifi
                                Telstra




© Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy   December 2008   Page 8
Two of the eight global network equipment
              manufacturers will be forced out of major
                               markets.




                                 Cisco                                                                           Alcatel-Lucent
                               Ericsson                                                                             Motorola
                               Juniper                                                                           Nokia Siemens
                                Huawei                                                                               Nortel




© Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy      December 2008   Page 9
Subsidies on smart phones will strangle
                    operator profits.



                                                                                                                  AT&T
                                   Apple                                                                         T-Mobile
                                    HTC                                                                      Verizon Wireless
                                   Nokia
                                    RIM




© Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy   December 2008   Page 10
Agenda


• The Anywhere Economy

• 2009 Predictions

• Summary

• Q&A




© Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy   December 2008   Page 11
Yankee Group 2009 Predictions Summary

1.      Wired switch port sales will decline for the first time in history.
2.      Desktop virtualization will replace PC replacement.
3.      Premium brands will lose marketshare.
4.      Cord cutters will emerge from the economic mist.
5.      Two of the eight global network equipment manufacturers will be forced out of major
        markets.
6.      Subsidies on smart phones will strangle operator profits.
7.      Video enabled business processes will be born in 2009.
8.      Sunny skies for cloud computing.
9.      Door will close to open access devices in 2009.
10. Point network software solutions will miss the mark.


                         For complete details, read our new Report:
              “It’s the Economy, Stupid: Yankee Group’s 2009 Predictions”

© Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy   December 2008   Page 12
Recommended Reading




© Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy   December 2008   Page 13
Recommended Reading continued




© Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy   December 2008   Page 14
Conclusions


• Necessity forces adaptation.

• 2009 will drive rapid changes.
                                                                                                                 NEED GRAPHIC HERE
• The road to Anywhere will be further shaped
  by the economic crisis.

• Stay tuned for updated forecast data.




© Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy    December 2008   Page 15
Agenda


• The Anywhere Economy

• 2009 Predictions

• Summary

• Q&A




© Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy   December 2008   Page 16
Questions and Answers




© Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy   December 2008   Page 17
Thank you!
                Zeus Kerravala, Senior Vice President
                zkerravala@yankeegroup.com

                Declan Lonergan, Vice President
                dlonergan@yankeegroup.com

                Ashvin Vellody, Senior Vice President
                avellody@yankeegroup.com

                For schedules, please visit our web site:
                www.yankeegroup.com
© Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   www.yankeegroup.com

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Webinar: Yankee Group's 2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy

  • 1. 2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy Zeus Kerravala, Senior Vice President Declan Lonergan, Vice President Ashvin Vellody, Senior Vice President December 11, 2008 © Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. www.yankeegroup.com
  • 2. Agenda • The Anywhere Economy • 2009 Predictions • Summary • Q&A © Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. 2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy December 2008 Page 2
  • 3. The Anywhere Economy • 2009 will be a watershed year for communications marketplace • The economic crisis will drive global transformation • The momentum toward ubiquitous connectivity continues © Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. 2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy December 2008 Page 3
  • 4. Agenda • The Anywhere Economy • 2009 Predictions • Summary • Q&A © Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. 2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy December 2008 Page 4
  • 5. Wired switch port sales will decline for the first time in history. Aruba 3Com Cisco Cisco HP ProCurve Extreme Meru Networks Nortel Trapeze Networks © Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. 2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy December 2008 Page 5
  • 6. Desktop virtualization will replace PC replacement. Dell HP Citrix McAfee Qwest Software Microsoft (Provision Networks) VMware Symantec © Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. 2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy December 2008 Page 6
  • 7. Premium brands will lose market share. Apple iPhone Blyk DoCoMo Lebara Mobile Nokia Nseries Skype Telefonica Yoigo Vodafone © Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. 2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy December 2008 Page 7
  • 8. Cord cutters will emerge from the economic mist. 3 BT O2 Telecom Italia Dell Telekom Malaysia Ericsson Wifi Telstra © Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. 2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy December 2008 Page 8
  • 9. Two of the eight global network equipment manufacturers will be forced out of major markets. Cisco Alcatel-Lucent Ericsson Motorola Juniper Nokia Siemens Huawei Nortel © Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. 2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy December 2008 Page 9
  • 10. Subsidies on smart phones will strangle operator profits. AT&T Apple T-Mobile HTC Verizon Wireless Nokia RIM © Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. 2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy December 2008 Page 10
  • 11. Agenda • The Anywhere Economy • 2009 Predictions • Summary • Q&A © Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. 2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy December 2008 Page 11
  • 12. Yankee Group 2009 Predictions Summary 1. Wired switch port sales will decline for the first time in history. 2. Desktop virtualization will replace PC replacement. 3. Premium brands will lose marketshare. 4. Cord cutters will emerge from the economic mist. 5. Two of the eight global network equipment manufacturers will be forced out of major markets. 6. Subsidies on smart phones will strangle operator profits. 7. Video enabled business processes will be born in 2009. 8. Sunny skies for cloud computing. 9. Door will close to open access devices in 2009. 10. Point network software solutions will miss the mark. For complete details, read our new Report: “It’s the Economy, Stupid: Yankee Group’s 2009 Predictions” © Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. 2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy December 2008 Page 12
  • 13. Recommended Reading © Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. 2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy December 2008 Page 13
  • 14. Recommended Reading continued © Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. 2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy December 2008 Page 14
  • 15. Conclusions • Necessity forces adaptation. • 2009 will drive rapid changes. NEED GRAPHIC HERE • The road to Anywhere will be further shaped by the economic crisis. • Stay tuned for updated forecast data. © Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. 2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy December 2008 Page 15
  • 16. Agenda • The Anywhere Economy • 2009 Predictions • Summary • Q&A © Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. 2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy December 2008 Page 16
  • 17. Questions and Answers © Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. 2009 Predictions for the Anywhere Economy December 2008 Page 17
  • 18. Thank you! Zeus Kerravala, Senior Vice President zkerravala@yankeegroup.com Declan Lonergan, Vice President dlonergan@yankeegroup.com Ashvin Vellody, Senior Vice President avellody@yankeegroup.com For schedules, please visit our web site: www.yankeegroup.com © Copyright 2008. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. www.yankeegroup.com