The document discusses climate change and its impacts on water resources and management. It summarizes a presentation on the Climate and Water Programme (CPWC) which started in 2001 to build awareness of climate change impacts and has since 2005 worked on operational responses. It notes that climate change is one of the most fundamental challenges facing humanity and water will be greatly impacted. The IPCC 2007 report projects significant impacts on water resources from climate change by mid-century. Adaptation is a top priority and was discussed at the Copenhagen climate summit, but commitments to mitigation and financing remain uncertain. The document emphasizes the need to mainstream climate change into water management and adaptation strategies.
Presentation from the workshop 'Informing and Enabling a Climate Resilient Ireland”' - held 23 March 2012. This event launched 2 EPA Climate Change Research Programme reports:
CCRP9 'Ireland adapts to Climate Change' and CCRP10 'Integrating Climate Change Adaptation into Sectoral Policies in Ireland'
Presentation given by Anna Rymszewicz, John O'Sullivan, Michael Bruen, Jonathan Turner, Elisabeth Conroy, Mary Kelly-Quinn & Damien Lawler at the SILTFLUX workshop, UCD, Dublin, February 2016
Presentation from the workshop 'Informing and Enabling a Climate Resilient Ireland”' - held 23 March 2012. This event launched 2 EPA Climate Change Research Programme reports:
CCRP9 'Ireland adapts to Climate Change' and CCRP10 'Integrating Climate Change Adaptation into Sectoral Policies in Ireland'
A workshop was held in the IFSC on December 8th 2016, looking at financial incentives to promote citizen investment in renewable energy. The workshop was organised by Dr. Celine McInerney, Cork University Business School, and Joseph Curtin, UCC. It was funded by the EPA Research programme.
المؤتمر الاول لإدارة الازمات و الكوارث و الحد م اخطارها نحو فعالية افضل للحد من اخطار الكوارث
Thursday, April 23, 2009
http://www.eip.gov.eg/crisisCD/Main.htm
Presentation from the workshop 'Informing and Enabling a Climate Resilient Ireland”' - held 23 March 2012. This event launched 2 EPA Climate Change Research Programme reports:
CCRP9 'Ireland adapts to Climate Change' and CCRP10 'Integrating Climate Change Adaptation into Sectoral Policies in Ireland'
Presentation given by Anna Rymszewicz, John O'Sullivan, Michael Bruen, Jonathan Turner, Elisabeth Conroy, Mary Kelly-Quinn & Damien Lawler at the SILTFLUX workshop, UCD, Dublin, February 2016
Presentation from the workshop 'Informing and Enabling a Climate Resilient Ireland”' - held 23 March 2012. This event launched 2 EPA Climate Change Research Programme reports:
CCRP9 'Ireland adapts to Climate Change' and CCRP10 'Integrating Climate Change Adaptation into Sectoral Policies in Ireland'
A workshop was held in the IFSC on December 8th 2016, looking at financial incentives to promote citizen investment in renewable energy. The workshop was organised by Dr. Celine McInerney, Cork University Business School, and Joseph Curtin, UCC. It was funded by the EPA Research programme.
المؤتمر الاول لإدارة الازمات و الكوارث و الحد م اخطارها نحو فعالية افضل للحد من اخطار الكوارث
Thursday, April 23, 2009
http://www.eip.gov.eg/crisisCD/Main.htm
Pilot Course Opening Session. University of Girona, 8th May 2017.
Expert exploratory session 1: Planning and engaging communities for low-carbon development and climate change.
Anna Pibernat. ECTAdapt Project
What are the challenges for the Paris agreement in meeting the needs of Afric...rac_marion
The next international climate negotiations (COP21) will be held from 30 November to 11 December 2015 in Paris, France. The Paris summit will be decisive as it has to come up with an international climate agreement that keeps alive the hopes of limiting global warming to less than 2°C by 2100. The Climate & Development Network considers that this summit needs to address the dual challenge of combating both climate change and poverty in the worst affected countries. The RC&D is calling for an agreement which:
- Protects and enhances human rights and gender equality
- Finances the fight against climate change in the poorest and most vulnerable countries
- Invests massively in access to sustainable energy services for all
- Enables the most vulnerable people to cope with the impacts of climate change
- Preserves food security and the climate by investing massively in family and agro-ecological farming.
A one day symposium on zero/low carbon sustainable homes took place at The University of Nottingham on the 24th October, 2012. The event offered professionals within the construction industry a unique opportunity to gain added and significant insight into the innovations, policies and legislation which are driving the construction of zero/low carbon energy efficient homes both here in the UK and elsewhere in Europe. It explored solutions to sustainability issues “beyond” the zero carbon agenda. BZCH followed on from the successful ‘Towards Zero Carbon Housing’ symposium the University hosted in 2007. This event is part of the Europe Wide Ten Act10n project which is supported by the European Commission Intelligent Energy Europe.
Webinar 1: Climate Change: What does it mean for the Financial Sector in Africa?
Financial institutions can play an important role in society’s adaptation to climate change risks mitigation. This webinar will highlight risks and opportunities that climate change poses for the financial sector in Africa and discuss how financial institutions can best respond to these, in a sustainable manner. In particular, the webinar is expected to:
Raise awareness on climate change within the financial industry in Africa and facilitate a broader dialogue aimed at integrating climate change considerations;
Clarify the pivotal role the financial sector can play in mitigating climate change risks and adapting to its effects; and
Present examples of transformative change in financial institutions’ practices
Speakers
Paul SMITH has worked for the climate team at the United Nations’ Environment Programme Finance Initiative (UNEP FI) for over four years. Paul leads UNEP FI’s climate adaptation and physical risk work supporting the Climate Risk Programme, the Climate Adaptation Working Group of the Principles for Responsible Banking and the Adaptation and Resilience Investor Collaborative (ARIC). He also leads on climate policy in partnership with the Investor Agenda and has co-authored The Climate Risk Landscape, Physically Fit? and Adapting to a New Climate, as well as contributing to Climate Risk: Managing the Financial Risk and Funding the Transition
Anthony NYONG is the Director of Climate Change and Green Growth at the AfDB. Mr. Nyong has about 30 years of experience in environmental and natural resources management, renewable energy and green growth. He was a Coordinating Lead Author for the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report and a member of the IPCC Task Group on Data and Scenario Support for Impact and Climate Analysis.
David ASHIAGBOR is the Chief Financial Sector Strategy Officer in the Financial Sector Development Department of the African Development Bank. He is currently leading the design and development of the Bank’s new Financial Sector Development Strategy, in addition to supporting the Director on policy and strategy issues.
Marina FINKEN is the Partnership Coordinator for Making Finance Work For Africa (MFW4A). She is an experienced Finance Professional who, before joining MFW4A had a successful career within Big 4 firms, providing audit and advisory services to large Banking groups and other financial services entities.
Presented by Inger Andersen at the Copenhagen Sustainability Lecture "Greening development: Moving towards Rio+20 and beyond", 7 March 2011. Inger Andersen has overall responsibility for the World Bank’s work in agriculture, climate change, the environment, energy, transport, urban development, social development, and water supply and sanitation.
Presentation at the Climate-Proofing South African Retirement Funds event - 31 July 2019. For details of these events, please visit www.fossilfreesa.org.za.
Pilot Course Opening Session. University of Girona, 8th May 2017.
Expert exploratory session 1: Planning and engaging communities for low-carbon development and climate change.
Anna Pibernat. ECTAdapt Project
What are the challenges for the Paris agreement in meeting the needs of Afric...rac_marion
The next international climate negotiations (COP21) will be held from 30 November to 11 December 2015 in Paris, France. The Paris summit will be decisive as it has to come up with an international climate agreement that keeps alive the hopes of limiting global warming to less than 2°C by 2100. The Climate & Development Network considers that this summit needs to address the dual challenge of combating both climate change and poverty in the worst affected countries. The RC&D is calling for an agreement which:
- Protects and enhances human rights and gender equality
- Finances the fight against climate change in the poorest and most vulnerable countries
- Invests massively in access to sustainable energy services for all
- Enables the most vulnerable people to cope with the impacts of climate change
- Preserves food security and the climate by investing massively in family and agro-ecological farming.
A one day symposium on zero/low carbon sustainable homes took place at The University of Nottingham on the 24th October, 2012. The event offered professionals within the construction industry a unique opportunity to gain added and significant insight into the innovations, policies and legislation which are driving the construction of zero/low carbon energy efficient homes both here in the UK and elsewhere in Europe. It explored solutions to sustainability issues “beyond” the zero carbon agenda. BZCH followed on from the successful ‘Towards Zero Carbon Housing’ symposium the University hosted in 2007. This event is part of the Europe Wide Ten Act10n project which is supported by the European Commission Intelligent Energy Europe.
Webinar 1: Climate Change: What does it mean for the Financial Sector in Africa?
Financial institutions can play an important role in society’s adaptation to climate change risks mitigation. This webinar will highlight risks and opportunities that climate change poses for the financial sector in Africa and discuss how financial institutions can best respond to these, in a sustainable manner. In particular, the webinar is expected to:
Raise awareness on climate change within the financial industry in Africa and facilitate a broader dialogue aimed at integrating climate change considerations;
Clarify the pivotal role the financial sector can play in mitigating climate change risks and adapting to its effects; and
Present examples of transformative change in financial institutions’ practices
Speakers
Paul SMITH has worked for the climate team at the United Nations’ Environment Programme Finance Initiative (UNEP FI) for over four years. Paul leads UNEP FI’s climate adaptation and physical risk work supporting the Climate Risk Programme, the Climate Adaptation Working Group of the Principles for Responsible Banking and the Adaptation and Resilience Investor Collaborative (ARIC). He also leads on climate policy in partnership with the Investor Agenda and has co-authored The Climate Risk Landscape, Physically Fit? and Adapting to a New Climate, as well as contributing to Climate Risk: Managing the Financial Risk and Funding the Transition
Anthony NYONG is the Director of Climate Change and Green Growth at the AfDB. Mr. Nyong has about 30 years of experience in environmental and natural resources management, renewable energy and green growth. He was a Coordinating Lead Author for the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report and a member of the IPCC Task Group on Data and Scenario Support for Impact and Climate Analysis.
David ASHIAGBOR is the Chief Financial Sector Strategy Officer in the Financial Sector Development Department of the African Development Bank. He is currently leading the design and development of the Bank’s new Financial Sector Development Strategy, in addition to supporting the Director on policy and strategy issues.
Marina FINKEN is the Partnership Coordinator for Making Finance Work For Africa (MFW4A). She is an experienced Finance Professional who, before joining MFW4A had a successful career within Big 4 firms, providing audit and advisory services to large Banking groups and other financial services entities.
Presented by Inger Andersen at the Copenhagen Sustainability Lecture "Greening development: Moving towards Rio+20 and beyond", 7 March 2011. Inger Andersen has overall responsibility for the World Bank’s work in agriculture, climate change, the environment, energy, transport, urban development, social development, and water supply and sanitation.
Presentation at the Climate-Proofing South African Retirement Funds event - 31 July 2019. For details of these events, please visit www.fossilfreesa.org.za.
Similar to Water and Climate Change. Bridging Gaps (20)
A report prepared for the
Department for International Development (DFID)
Project: ‘The Role of Fisheries in Poverty Alleviation
and Growth: Past, Present and Future’
A report prepared for the Department for International Development (DFID) Project: ‘The Role of Fisheries in Poverty Alleviation and Growth: Past, Present and Future’
INVESTIGATING THE LINKAGES BETWEEN FISHERIES, POVERTY AND GROWTH: A SUMMARY AND SYNTHESIS OF EIGHT NATIONAL CASE-STUDIES INCLUDING MOROCCO, INDIA, BANGLADESH, THAILAND,
MALAWI, PACIFIC ISLANDS, MAURITANIA AND CANADA
A report prepared for the Department for International Development (DFID) Project: ‘The Role of Fisheries in Poverty Alleviation and Growth: Past, Present and Future’
A report prepared for the
Department for International Development (DFID)
Project: ‘The Role of Fisheries in Poverty Alleviation
and Growth: Past, Present and Future’
A report prepared for the
Department for International Development (DFID)
Project: ‘The Role of Fisheries in Poverty Alleviation
and Growth: Past, Present and Future’
A report prepared for the
Department for international development (DFID)
Project: “the role of fisheries in poverty alleviation and growth: past, present and future” 2005
More from Water, food and livelihoods in River Basins: Basin Focal Projects (20)
Essentials of Automations: The Art of Triggers and Actions in FMESafe Software
In this second installment of our Essentials of Automations webinar series, we’ll explore the landscape of triggers and actions, guiding you through the nuances of authoring and adapting workspaces for seamless automations. Gain an understanding of the full spectrum of triggers and actions available in FME, empowering you to enhance your workspaces for efficient automation.
We’ll kick things off by showcasing the most commonly used event-based triggers, introducing you to various automation workflows like manual triggers, schedules, directory watchers, and more. Plus, see how these elements play out in real scenarios.
Whether you’re tweaking your current setup or building from the ground up, this session will arm you with the tools and insights needed to transform your FME usage into a powerhouse of productivity. Join us to discover effective strategies that simplify complex processes, enhancing your productivity and transforming your data management practices with FME. Let’s turn complexity into clarity and make your workspaces work wonders!
A tale of scale & speed: How the US Navy is enabling software delivery from l...sonjaschweigert1
Rapid and secure feature delivery is a goal across every application team and every branch of the DoD. The Navy’s DevSecOps platform, Party Barge, has achieved:
- Reduction in onboarding time from 5 weeks to 1 day
- Improved developer experience and productivity through actionable findings and reduction of false positives
- Maintenance of superior security standards and inherent policy enforcement with Authorization to Operate (ATO)
Development teams can ship efficiently and ensure applications are cyber ready for Navy Authorizing Officials (AOs). In this webinar, Sigma Defense and Anchore will give attendees a look behind the scenes and demo secure pipeline automation and security artifacts that speed up application ATO and time to production.
We will cover:
- How to remove silos in DevSecOps
- How to build efficient development pipeline roles and component templates
- How to deliver security artifacts that matter for ATO’s (SBOMs, vulnerability reports, and policy evidence)
- How to streamline operations with automated policy checks on container images
Elevating Tactical DDD Patterns Through Object CalisthenicsDorra BARTAGUIZ
After immersing yourself in the blue book and its red counterpart, attending DDD-focused conferences, and applying tactical patterns, you're left with a crucial question: How do I ensure my design is effective? Tactical patterns within Domain-Driven Design (DDD) serve as guiding principles for creating clear and manageable domain models. However, achieving success with these patterns requires additional guidance. Interestingly, we've observed that a set of constraints initially designed for training purposes remarkably aligns with effective pattern implementation, offering a more ‘mechanical’ approach. Let's explore together how Object Calisthenics can elevate the design of your tactical DDD patterns, offering concrete help for those venturing into DDD for the first time!
GraphRAG is All You need? LLM & Knowledge GraphGuy Korland
Guy Korland, CEO and Co-founder of FalkorDB, will review two articles on the integration of language models with knowledge graphs.
1. Unifying Large Language Models and Knowledge Graphs: A Roadmap.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.08302
2. Microsoft Research's GraphRAG paper and a review paper on various uses of knowledge graphs:
https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/blog/graphrag-unlocking-llm-discovery-on-narrative-private-data/
Observability Concepts EVERY Developer Should Know -- DeveloperWeek Europe.pdfPaige Cruz
Monitoring and observability aren’t traditionally found in software curriculums and many of us cobble this knowledge together from whatever vendor or ecosystem we were first introduced to and whatever is a part of your current company’s observability stack.
While the dev and ops silo continues to crumble….many organizations still relegate monitoring & observability as the purview of ops, infra and SRE teams. This is a mistake - achieving a highly observable system requires collaboration up and down the stack.
I, a former op, would like to extend an invitation to all application developers to join the observability party will share these foundational concepts to build on:
Generative AI Deep Dive: Advancing from Proof of Concept to ProductionAggregage
Join Maher Hanafi, VP of Engineering at Betterworks, in this new session where he'll share a practical framework to transform Gen AI prototypes into impactful products! He'll delve into the complexities of data collection and management, model selection and optimization, and ensuring security, scalability, and responsible use.
Securing your Kubernetes cluster_ a step-by-step guide to success !KatiaHIMEUR1
Today, after several years of existence, an extremely active community and an ultra-dynamic ecosystem, Kubernetes has established itself as the de facto standard in container orchestration. Thanks to a wide range of managed services, it has never been so easy to set up a ready-to-use Kubernetes cluster.
However, this ease of use means that the subject of security in Kubernetes is often left for later, or even neglected. This exposes companies to significant risks.
In this talk, I'll show you step-by-step how to secure your Kubernetes cluster for greater peace of mind and reliability.
The Art of the Pitch: WordPress Relationships and SalesLaura Byrne
Clients don’t know what they don’t know. What web solutions are right for them? How does WordPress come into the picture? How do you make sure you understand scope and timeline? What do you do if sometime changes?
All these questions and more will be explored as we talk about matching clients’ needs with what your agency offers without pulling teeth or pulling your hair out. Practical tips, and strategies for successful relationship building that leads to closing the deal.
SAP Sapphire 2024 - ASUG301 building better apps with SAP Fiori.pdfPeter Spielvogel
Building better applications for business users with SAP Fiori.
• What is SAP Fiori and why it matters to you
• How a better user experience drives measurable business benefits
• How to get started with SAP Fiori today
• How SAP Fiori elements accelerates application development
• How SAP Build Code includes SAP Fiori tools and other generative artificial intelligence capabilities
• How SAP Fiori paves the way for using AI in SAP apps
LF Energy Webinar: Electrical Grid Modelling and Simulation Through PowSyBl -...DanBrown980551
Do you want to learn how to model and simulate an electrical network from scratch in under an hour?
Then welcome to this PowSyBl workshop, hosted by Rte, the French Transmission System Operator (TSO)!
During the webinar, you will discover the PowSyBl ecosystem as well as handle and study an electrical network through an interactive Python notebook.
PowSyBl is an open source project hosted by LF Energy, which offers a comprehensive set of features for electrical grid modelling and simulation. Among other advanced features, PowSyBl provides:
- A fully editable and extendable library for grid component modelling;
- Visualization tools to display your network;
- Grid simulation tools, such as power flows, security analyses (with or without remedial actions) and sensitivity analyses;
The framework is mostly written in Java, with a Python binding so that Python developers can access PowSyBl functionalities as well.
What you will learn during the webinar:
- For beginners: discover PowSyBl's functionalities through a quick general presentation and the notebook, without needing any expert coding skills;
- For advanced developers: master the skills to efficiently apply PowSyBl functionalities to your real-world scenarios.
Alt. GDG Cloud Southlake #33: Boule & Rebala: Effective AppSec in SDLC using ...James Anderson
Effective Application Security in Software Delivery lifecycle using Deployment Firewall and DBOM
The modern software delivery process (or the CI/CD process) includes many tools, distributed teams, open-source code, and cloud platforms. Constant focus on speed to release software to market, along with the traditional slow and manual security checks has caused gaps in continuous security as an important piece in the software supply chain. Today organizations feel more susceptible to external and internal cyber threats due to the vast attack surface in their applications supply chain and the lack of end-to-end governance and risk management.
The software team must secure its software delivery process to avoid vulnerability and security breaches. This needs to be achieved with existing tool chains and without extensive rework of the delivery processes. This talk will present strategies and techniques for providing visibility into the true risk of the existing vulnerabilities, preventing the introduction of security issues in the software, resolving vulnerabilities in production environments quickly, and capturing the deployment bill of materials (DBOM).
Speakers:
Bob Boule
Robert Boule is a technology enthusiast with PASSION for technology and making things work along with a knack for helping others understand how things work. He comes with around 20 years of solution engineering experience in application security, software continuous delivery, and SaaS platforms. He is known for his dynamic presentations in CI/CD and application security integrated in software delivery lifecycle.
Gopinath Rebala
Gopinath Rebala is the CTO of OpsMx, where he has overall responsibility for the machine learning and data processing architectures for Secure Software Delivery. Gopi also has a strong connection with our customers, leading design and architecture for strategic implementations. Gopi is a frequent speaker and well-known leader in continuous delivery and integrating security into software delivery.
DevOps and Testing slides at DASA ConnectKari Kakkonen
My and Rik Marselis slides at 30.5.2024 DASA Connect conference. We discuss about what is testing, then what is agile testing and finally what is Testing in DevOps. Finally we had lovely workshop with the participants trying to find out different ways to think about quality and testing in different parts of the DevOps infinity loop.
Climate Impact of Software Testing at Nordic Testing DaysKari Kakkonen
My slides at Nordic Testing Days 6.6.2024
Climate impact / sustainability of software testing discussed on the talk. ICT and testing must carry their part of global responsibility to help with the climat warming. We can minimize the carbon footprint but we can also have a carbon handprint, a positive impact on the climate. Quality characteristics can be added with sustainability, and then measured continuously. Test environments can be used less, and in smaller scale and on demand. Test techniques can be used in optimizing or minimizing number of tests. Test automation can be used to speed up testing.
Climate Impact of Software Testing at Nordic Testing Days
Water and Climate Change. Bridging Gaps
1. AQUA 2009
Integrated Water Resource
Management and Climate
Change
Cali, November 9, 2009
Water and Climate Change
Bridging Gaps
Henk van Schaik
2. CPWC
Started 2001 after Third Assessment Report of IPCC
2001 – 2005: Building awareness on climate variability and change
– International events: WWF, WWW, IWA
– Documentation: books and films
– Local dialogues
Since 2005: Towards operational responses
– International events: WWF, WWW, COP, IWA, WASH, Mediterranean
– Information and expertise: Expert Pools and clearing houses WCC, Nairobi Work
Programme. DFID, EC,
– Network building of practitioners: Connecting Delta Cities
– Adaptation programmes: Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt, Bangladesh
3. Coping with climate change:
top priority
Climate change is one of the most fundamental
challenges ever to confront humanity. No issue is more
fundamental to long-term global prosperity. And no issue
is more essential to our survival as a species
Summit on Climate Change for Heads of States and Governments,
New York, 22 September, 2009
IPCC 2007: By 2020 50 % yield loss in rain fed agric; by 2050 200 million
people displaced because of climate; snow melt affecting one billion
people.
Climate change became a top priority in less than 10 years
4. C(H)openhagen???
Commitments to mitigation ……how much and by
whom? % of reduction and finance
Adaptation: vulnerability of LDCs
Finance: polluter pays or from ODA budgets
Europe agreed on 20 billion/annum from 2020 and 5-7
billion for developing countries on voluntary basis
immediately for mitigation and adaptation
5. COP-15 and Adaptation policies …
COP-15:
NAPAs regularly to be updated
Vulnerable areas including:
– Least Developed Countries
– Small island Developing States
– Countries in Africa affected by drought, desertification and floods
Capacity building: Nairobi Work Programme
Adaptation Fund: 70 % for LDCs, SIDS and countries in
Africa, and 30 % for Disasters
Water as medium, water as sector….
7. WE NEED MORE THAN JUST
LOOKING AT THE PROBLEM
RES8552
8. Facts and Forecasts
Climate Change and Water:
The IPCC Technical Report
June 2008
reviewed scientific articles till end 2005
9. What is the IPCC?
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Scientific intergovernmental body set up by WMO and UNEP
- governments are members of IPCC
- scientists contribute to IPCC assessments
IPCC does not conduct research: it’s role is to
assess research
IPCC reports are policy-relevant, but policy-
neutral
10. Emission scenarios
Globalisation
Economic Golden Age Sustainable development
A1 Balanced
A1 Fossil
A1 Technology
B1
Emphasis on material wealth Emphasis on sustainability
and equity
A2 B2 Regional solutions
Cultural diversity
Regionalisation
11. Future projections of climate change
Best estimate of low
emission scenario (B1)
is 1.8 ºC (range 1.1-2.9)
Best estimate of high
emission scenario A1F1
is 4.0 ºC (range 2.4-6.4)
Hardly any
differences between
scenarios for the
near future
IPCC 2007
12. Climate change effects on water
resources
Growth in population, energy demand, changes in technological
and land-sue/cover
Energy-economy models
Greenhouse gases emissions
Carbon cycle and other chemical
models
Atmospheric GHGs concentrations
Climate models
Future climate projections
Hydrological + hydraulic models
Future hydrological projections
14. Change in average runoff
A1b emissions scenario, multi-model ensemble mean,
change by 2090-2099 relative to 1980-1999. White
areas denote regions with little agreement
15. Water Stress Changes
to 2025
• 80% of future stress from
population
& development,
• Climate change additional!
UNH Vörösmarty et al. 2000
16. IPCC Technical Paper on Water
Figure 5.8: Trends in annual rainfall in (a) South America (1960–2000). An increase is shown by a plus sign, a decrease
by a circle; bold values indicate significance at P ≤ 0.05 (reproduced from Haylock et al. (2006) with permission from
the American Meteorological Society). (b) Central America and northern South America (1961–2003). Large red triangles
indicate positive significant trends, small red triangles indicate positive non-significant trends, large blue triangles indicate
negative significant trends, and small blue triangles indicate negative non-significant trends (reproduced from Aguilar et al.
(2005) with permission from the American Geophysical Union. [WGII Figure 13.1]
17. Areal extent of Chacaltaya Glacier, Bolivia, from 1940 to 2005. By 2005, the glacier had separated into
three distinct small bodies. The position of the ski hut, which did not exist in 1940, is indicated with a
red cross. The ski lift had a length of about 800 m in 1940 and about 600 m in 1996 (shown by a
continuous line in 1940 and a broken line in all other panels) and was normally installed during the
precipitation season. After 2004, skiing was no longer possible.
Photo credits: Francou and Vincent (2006) and Jordan (1991). [WGII Figure 1.1]
18. Current trends in precipitation (WGII Table 13.2)
Change shown in % unless otherwise indicated
Period Percentage
Amazonia – northern/southern (Marengo, 2004) 1949-1999 -11 to – 17/-23 to +18
1949–1999 -11 to -17 / -23 to
Bolivian Amazonia (Ronchail et al., 2005) Since 1970 +15
Argentina – central and north-east (Penalba and 1900–2000 +1 SD to +2 SD
Vargas, 2004)
Uruguay (Bidegain et al., 2005) 1961-2002 +20
Chile – central (Camilloni, 2005) last 50 years -50
Colombia (Pabón, 2003) 1961–1990 -4 to +6
19. Table 5.6: Increase in the numbers of people living in
waterstressed watersheds in Latin America (million) based on the
HadCM3 GCM (Arnell, 2004). [WGII Table 13.6]
1995 2025 2055
Scenario Without With Without With
and GCM
A1 22,2 35,7 21,0 54,0 60
A2 22,2 55,9 37-66 149,3 60 - 100
B1 22,2 35,7 22 54,0 74
B2 22,2 47,3 7-77 59,4 62
20. Conclusions IPCC …
Climate change is unequivocal; it is another driver of
change such as population growth and economic
development.
IPCC also identifies knowledge gaps:
paucity of information particularly hydrological information
understanding of links between global climate models and local
hydrological models
Knowledge on groundwater resources
25. Joint Egyptian-Dutch Water Conference
Towards the new Long Term Strategy for Water in the Mediterranean
Cairo, Egypt 2 and 3 November 2009
Organised by Egypt, Netherlands, CPWC, APP and GWP-Med
Cairo Message to COP-15
Coping with climate change is managing water for life
A strong and fair agreement in Copenhagen at the
fifteenth Conference of Parties (COP-15) of the United
Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
(UNFCCC) on measures to mitigate and adapt to climate
change is crucial for water resources, water services and
for life.
25
26. Issues
Climate and Water
– Development, Water and Climate
– Beyond the water box
– Governance
– Information
– Adaptive Management
– Finance
See Stockholm message
28. Population projection Nile
countries
Projected population (million)
180 Egypt
160 Ethiopia
140 Eritrea
120 Sudan
100 Uganda
80 Congo
60 Kenya
40 Tanzania
20 Burundi
0 Rwanda
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
29. World Cities exceeding 5 million residents
1950
2015
Analysis by Munich Re
Data:
U.N. Population Division
30. Meeting growing global water demands
6000
Agriculture
5000 Indus try
ater Use in km^3 per year
Hous eholds
Res ervoires
4000 Total
3000
2000
W
1000
0
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020
31. Worldwide Water Use by Region
3500
Europe
3000 North America
Africa
Asia
2500
South America
Australia& Pacific
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020
31
33. …and realities
Developing countries and countries in transition:
– MDGs and poverty alleviation are the priority
– Barely able to cope with present climate variability;
– Improving operations (leakages, payments, water efficiency) a step towards coping with CC
– Need for more storage (No Regret measures)
Climate specific measures in hot spots
– Climate information and hydrological information scarce
– Limited professional/sectoral capacity
– Need for technology transfer
– Need for better planning (bankable)
– Needs additional funding and external support
34. local, country and regional adaptation
categories
1. Best practises and no regret in
– Irrigation
– Drinking water
– Water for energy
2. Climate specific measures in “ hot spots” including”
– Arid areas
– Low lying coastal delta’s
– Mountainous areas affected by glacier melt
– Small islands
35. Elements for developing an
adaptation strategy .
Policy, legal and institutional framework h1
Understand the vulnerability
Information needs
Impact assessment
Evaluate
Vulnerability assessment
Development of measures
Financial arrangements
Convention of the Protection and Use of
Transboundary Watercourses and
International Lakes
37. Netherlands: Climate proofing concept in water….
“The climate is changing and we should make
our country climate proof. The national
government together with science, policy and
other stakeholders”
Jan-Peter Balkenende - Dutch
Prime Minister, november 2005”
Science - Policy
interaction
38. Assignment
Advice on protecting the coast and
the entire low lying part of the
Netherlands against the
consequences of climate change
on a time scale of 2100 –2200
Wider scope than only safety,
multifunctional approach
39. Committee on Sustainable Coastal
Development
Advice on protecting the
coast and the entire low
lying part of the
Netherlands against the
consequences of climate
change on a time scale of
2100 –2200
Wider scope than only
safety, multifunctional
approach
38
40. Opening the
“water box”
Decision-making affecting water
(Figure 1.1)
42. Lack of information and data
at a time when we need it more than ever to
deal with increasing complexity
Distribution of Global Runoff Data Centre streamflow gauges (Figure 13.1)
43. World Climate Conference
31 August – 4 September 2009, Geneva
Decides to establish a Global Framework for Climate
Services to strengthen production, availability, delivery
and application of science-based climate prediction and
services.
But no silver bullet on climate information…..
44. National adaptation strategies
Colombia:
– Andean highlands ecosystems
– Sea level rise 2-5 mm/year
– Vector born diseases e.g. Dengue
Peru:
– Local projects, no indication of specific issues
Brazil
– Agriculture
– Coastal
45.
46. Sea level rise: “plausible high end
scenarios”
2100: + 0.55 - 1.20 m
(0.65 – 1.35 incl. soil
subs.)
Key importance of adaptive
management: adapataion
measures must be flexible,
no-regret (robust) and hand
in hand with monitoring &
ability to incorporate new
scientific insifghts
47. Concept of water security
Threshold Water security Threshold
Probability of
low extremes Probability of
high
extremes
48. An increase in mean and variance of run off imply
a nonlinear increase in the probability of extremes,
which requires to adjust design criteria
Threshold ± 1 SD Threshold
Probability of Probability of
low extremes high extremes
Mean T0 New Mean
LJM,2002
49. Precise and exact information on impacts is not and will
never be made available. N o silver bullet.
Adaptation is about dealing with uncertainties and risks
Principles for adaptation measures for credible future:
– Robustness
– Flexibility
– Resilience
50.
51. Adaptation measures:
Protection by a “ring of floodgates”
New perspectives for nature restoration, outside the dikes
Development of urban waterfronts
50
52. Costs
< 2050:
1,2 tot 1,6 billion euro /yr
2050 – 2100:
0,9 tot 1,5 billion euro /yr
Beach nourishment for coastal
land reclamation: 0.1 – 0.3
billion euro/yr
(GNP = 550 billion euro/yr)
51
55. Climate change and
water management
Climate change is additional to other changes including population growth,
economic development, natural variability.
Ensure availability and make use of credible climate scenario relevant to
the specific hot spot need (coastal protection, agriculture, navigation,
hydropower, drinking water supply, ecosystems).
Political debate (beyond water) on risk management is essential at local
(urban), national, regional (transboundary) and global level.
Adaptive Management is top down structural and engineering measures in
combination with bottom up building with nature, stakeholder involvement