This document discusses the latest climate science and its implications for Wales. It examines what future weather extremes Wales should prepare for, such as increased risk of cold winters and flooding. It explores how climate science can inform future investments through improved weather and climate forecasting from hourly to decadal timescales. It also considers how resilient Wales' assets are to climate change impacts like hotter summers and rising sea levels. The document proposes partnerships to further climate research using high-resolution regional climate models for Wales.
The role of economics in making better sustainable flood risk management deci...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
The document discusses the role of economics in making better decisions about sustainable flood risk management. It addresses what sustainable flood risk management entails, what is meant by "better", the nature of decision-making involving stakeholders, and how economics can advise on the consequences of different flood risk interventions. The goal is to move beyond accounting to analyzing the economic impacts of flood risk management options.
The document discusses climate change impacts in the Great Lakes region based on a conference presentation. It finds that (1) the climate is already changing, with temperatures rising especially in winter and other impacts like shorter ice cover, (2) these changes will exacerbate existing problems like worsening water resources and human health issues, and (3) common sense solutions exist now but it is unclear if governments, industries and citizens are adequately preparing for these challenges.
El documento presenta la planeación semanal de actividades para un grupo de 16 niños de educación preescolar, divididas en contenidos conceptuales, procedimentales y actitudinales para los días de la semana del 21 al 24 de octubre. Incluye información sobre las competencias y aprendizajes esperados, así como una descripción detallada de las actividades programadas para cada día con un enfoque en el desarrollo del lenguaje, matemáticas, habilidades sociales y motrices de los niños.
Este documento lista los códigos, direcciones, valores de alquiler mensual y estado de disponibilidad de varios totens front-light ubicados en diferentes avenidas de Londrina. Proporciona información sobre 16 totens en la Avenida Higienópolis, 4 en la Avenida J.K. y 1 en la Avenida Maringá, con valores de alquiler que van desde $2.250 hasta $2.800 por mes.
The role of economics in making better sustainable flood risk management deci...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
The document discusses the role of economics in making better decisions about sustainable flood risk management. It addresses what sustainable flood risk management entails, what is meant by "better", the nature of decision-making involving stakeholders, and how economics can advise on the consequences of different flood risk interventions. The goal is to move beyond accounting to analyzing the economic impacts of flood risk management options.
The document discusses climate change impacts in the Great Lakes region based on a conference presentation. It finds that (1) the climate is already changing, with temperatures rising especially in winter and other impacts like shorter ice cover, (2) these changes will exacerbate existing problems like worsening water resources and human health issues, and (3) common sense solutions exist now but it is unclear if governments, industries and citizens are adequately preparing for these challenges.
El documento presenta la planeación semanal de actividades para un grupo de 16 niños de educación preescolar, divididas en contenidos conceptuales, procedimentales y actitudinales para los días de la semana del 21 al 24 de octubre. Incluye información sobre las competencias y aprendizajes esperados, así como una descripción detallada de las actividades programadas para cada día con un enfoque en el desarrollo del lenguaje, matemáticas, habilidades sociales y motrices de los niños.
Este documento lista los códigos, direcciones, valores de alquiler mensual y estado de disponibilidad de varios totens front-light ubicados en diferentes avenidas de Londrina. Proporciona información sobre 16 totens en la Avenida Higienópolis, 4 en la Avenida J.K. y 1 en la Avenida Maringá, con valores de alquiler que van desde $2.250 hasta $2.800 por mes.
This 1 sentence document promotes performing kind acts for others whenever possible. It suggests that every person deserves kindness and that we all have opportunities each day to show compassion.
Este documento presenta los programas de estudio de las asignaturas de Química I y Química II del Colegio de Ciencias y Humanidades. Incluye la presentación general de los programas, su relación con otras asignaturas, el enfoque de la materia, los propósitos generales y la evaluación de los aprendizajes. Cada programa contiene los diagramas y contenidos de las unidades que lo integran, así como referencias bibliográficas.
Samanta Berrones es una estudiante del sexto grado "D". Un gato es un mamífero peludo que tiene vertebras y vive en tierra, mientras que un pez vive en el agua y una ballena es un mamífero marino.
Este documento presenta datos meteorológicos de cuatro ubicaciones, incluidas la temperatura, humedad y velocidad del viento en grados Fahrenheit y porcentaje. Los datos muestran que la temperatura y humedad variaron entre las ubicaciones, siendo más bajas en la cima de la torre y más altas en el bosque y sendero inferior, mientras que la velocidad del viento fue mayor en la cima y menor en el bosque.
MILeS2015 | Milano - Impresa, Lavoro e Società 2015
Il contributo offre una panoramica sul mercato del lavoro nella regione Lombardia. Obiettivi conoscitivi specifici sono orientati all’analisi del fenomeno della sovra qualificazione, intendendo con il termine i casi in cui un lavoratore dispone di un titolo di studio superiore a quello richiesto per lo svolgimento della propria attività. Lo spreco di capitale umano (brain waste) va messo in relazione alle peculiarità del nostro sistema produttivo orientato verso una domanda di lavoro poco qualificato che interessa migliaia di occupati in possesso di un alto livello di scolarizzazione. Attraverso i dati del 15° Censimento della popolazione, l’occupazione sovra qualificata è analizzata rispetto alle caratteristiche demografiche e socio economiche degli individui interessati al fenomeno in un’ottica comparativa con le altre regioni italiane.
El documento describe las aulas virtuales, que son nuevos conceptos en educación a distancia que utilizan tecnologías de la información para facilitar el aprendizaje de manera más estimulante y motivadora que las clases tradicionales. Las aulas virtuales rompen las barreras físicas para permitir el acceso a la información desde cualquier lugar, y utilizan plataformas como entornos privados para administrar procesos educativos mediados por computadoras.
El documento presenta una lista de 11 estudiantes admitidos en el Liceo Matovelle para el año 2013, incluyendo sus nombres, el grado al que aspiran y el responsable de su admisión. Además, indica que las órdenes de matrícula se entregarán del 12 al 14 de diciembre de 2012.
The document summarizes key outcomes and lessons learned from a learning event hosted by Cities Alliance and UN-Habitat that brought together leaders of 13 youth-focused city development projects. Some of the main recommendations included: creating spaces for dialogue between youth and local authorities; including youth in policymaking processes; addressing transparency when involving youth in projects and policies; committing city policymakers to support youth programs; and recognizing the potential of youth and the informal sector as assets for sustainable city development. The event highlighted the importance of meaningfully engaging youth in shaping inclusive, resilient cities.
This presentation lays out the groundwork for Welch's to implement a recruitment process outsourcing (RPO) program with About Talent. The agenda includes reviewing RPO industry resources, developing an internal involvement plan, using tools to evaluate RFP responses, planning the implementation process, conducting a discovery session, and managing organizational change. The presentation provides additional resources on RPO best practices and case studies.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for both physical and mental health. Regular exercise can improve cardiovascular health, reduce stress and anxiety, boost mood, and enhance cognitive function. Staying physically active for at least 30 minutes each day is recommended for significant health benefits.
Regions as geographical learning resources in Higher Education: Using the loc...Prof Simon Haslett
Presentation by Simon Haslett, Professor of Physical Geography and Director of the Centre for Excellence in Learning and Teaching at the University of Wales, Newport. Given on 2nd September 2010 at the Higher Education Research Group 'Innovative Spaces of Learning' session at the Royal Geographical Society (with IBG) Annual Conference at their Headquarters at Kensington Gore, London.
Segunda aplicação do enem 2015: Compreensão textualma.no.el.ne.ves
O texto defende que para combater o tabagismo de forma efetiva, o governo precisa ir além de restrições e proibições, apoiando também quem deseja parar de fumar. A medida provisória aprovada pelo Senado reforça a proibição do fumo em locais públicos, mas o texto argumenta que é necessário apoiar os fumantes que querem parar, inclusive aumentando os impostos sobre cigarros.
Climate risk to long term asset value | Matt Harrison & Louisa PhillpottForum for the Future
This document outlines a design code created by TSB Design for Future Climate Change to help adapt architecture and urban planning to future climate risks. The code was developed using climate change scenarios and research identifying risks from increased temperatures, flooding, and precipitation. It proposes 31 measures across categories like design for comfort, water management, and evolving lifestyles. Measures include shading, orientation, floodable public spaces, and street trees. The measures were mapped against themes and assessed for implementation risks and associated capital costs. The code is intended to help new developments and existing areas adapt to climate change impacts over coming decades.
Participatory Ecological Restoration in the Rio Blanco Watershed: Ecosystem B...GPFLR
Presentation by Angela Andrade, Klaus Schutze y Angélica Cardon on participatory ecological restoration in the Rio Blanco watershed, Colombia. This was presented during the SER Conference Mexico, August 2011
This document discusses hydro-meteorology and its importance for sustainable development in the Caribbean region. It notes that the Caribbean faces significant climate-related risks that challenge sustainable development goals. Timely hydro-meteorological information is essential for livelihoods and reducing uncertainties around future weather and climate. Examples are provided of how hydro-meteorology supports water resources management and agriculture/food security. The severe 2009-2010 drought is discussed as an example of the impacts that lack of early warning and monitoring can have.
Professor Darryn McEvoy leads the Climate Change Adaptation Program at RMIT University and is Deputy Director of the Victorian Centre for Climate Change Adaptation Research. The presentation outlines climate change impacts including increased temperatures, changes in rainfall and drought, and rising sea levels. It discusses research at RMIT and VCCCAR on adapting infrastructure, emergency management, climate resilient development, and indigenous knowledge. Challenges include uncertainty and multiple hazards, but opportunities exist to develop new technologies, markets, and flexible management approaches through iterative learning and new partnerships.
Darryn McEvoy – Climate Change – the great contemporary dilemma NEXTDC
Professor Darryn McEvoy leads the Climate Change Adaptation Program at RMIT University and is Deputy Director of the Victorian Centre for Climate Change Adaptation Research. The presentation outlines climate change impacts including increased temperatures, changes in rainfall and drought patterns, rising sea levels, and more extreme weather events. It discusses distinguishing between climate change mitigation and adaptation agendas. The presentation also reviews research being conducted at RMIT and through the Victorian Centre focusing on impacts to infrastructure, emergency management, urban development, and engaging indigenous communities. Challenges of coping with uncertainty and opportunities to improve decision-making through tools and an iterative learning process are discussed.
This 1 sentence document promotes performing kind acts for others whenever possible. It suggests that every person deserves kindness and that we all have opportunities each day to show compassion.
Este documento presenta los programas de estudio de las asignaturas de Química I y Química II del Colegio de Ciencias y Humanidades. Incluye la presentación general de los programas, su relación con otras asignaturas, el enfoque de la materia, los propósitos generales y la evaluación de los aprendizajes. Cada programa contiene los diagramas y contenidos de las unidades que lo integran, así como referencias bibliográficas.
Samanta Berrones es una estudiante del sexto grado "D". Un gato es un mamífero peludo que tiene vertebras y vive en tierra, mientras que un pez vive en el agua y una ballena es un mamífero marino.
Este documento presenta datos meteorológicos de cuatro ubicaciones, incluidas la temperatura, humedad y velocidad del viento en grados Fahrenheit y porcentaje. Los datos muestran que la temperatura y humedad variaron entre las ubicaciones, siendo más bajas en la cima de la torre y más altas en el bosque y sendero inferior, mientras que la velocidad del viento fue mayor en la cima y menor en el bosque.
MILeS2015 | Milano - Impresa, Lavoro e Società 2015
Il contributo offre una panoramica sul mercato del lavoro nella regione Lombardia. Obiettivi conoscitivi specifici sono orientati all’analisi del fenomeno della sovra qualificazione, intendendo con il termine i casi in cui un lavoratore dispone di un titolo di studio superiore a quello richiesto per lo svolgimento della propria attività. Lo spreco di capitale umano (brain waste) va messo in relazione alle peculiarità del nostro sistema produttivo orientato verso una domanda di lavoro poco qualificato che interessa migliaia di occupati in possesso di un alto livello di scolarizzazione. Attraverso i dati del 15° Censimento della popolazione, l’occupazione sovra qualificata è analizzata rispetto alle caratteristiche demografiche e socio economiche degli individui interessati al fenomeno in un’ottica comparativa con le altre regioni italiane.
El documento describe las aulas virtuales, que son nuevos conceptos en educación a distancia que utilizan tecnologías de la información para facilitar el aprendizaje de manera más estimulante y motivadora que las clases tradicionales. Las aulas virtuales rompen las barreras físicas para permitir el acceso a la información desde cualquier lugar, y utilizan plataformas como entornos privados para administrar procesos educativos mediados por computadoras.
El documento presenta una lista de 11 estudiantes admitidos en el Liceo Matovelle para el año 2013, incluyendo sus nombres, el grado al que aspiran y el responsable de su admisión. Además, indica que las órdenes de matrícula se entregarán del 12 al 14 de diciembre de 2012.
The document summarizes key outcomes and lessons learned from a learning event hosted by Cities Alliance and UN-Habitat that brought together leaders of 13 youth-focused city development projects. Some of the main recommendations included: creating spaces for dialogue between youth and local authorities; including youth in policymaking processes; addressing transparency when involving youth in projects and policies; committing city policymakers to support youth programs; and recognizing the potential of youth and the informal sector as assets for sustainable city development. The event highlighted the importance of meaningfully engaging youth in shaping inclusive, resilient cities.
This presentation lays out the groundwork for Welch's to implement a recruitment process outsourcing (RPO) program with About Talent. The agenda includes reviewing RPO industry resources, developing an internal involvement plan, using tools to evaluate RFP responses, planning the implementation process, conducting a discovery session, and managing organizational change. The presentation provides additional resources on RPO best practices and case studies.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for both physical and mental health. Regular exercise can improve cardiovascular health, reduce stress and anxiety, boost mood, and enhance cognitive function. Staying physically active for at least 30 minutes each day is recommended for significant health benefits.
Regions as geographical learning resources in Higher Education: Using the loc...Prof Simon Haslett
Presentation by Simon Haslett, Professor of Physical Geography and Director of the Centre for Excellence in Learning and Teaching at the University of Wales, Newport. Given on 2nd September 2010 at the Higher Education Research Group 'Innovative Spaces of Learning' session at the Royal Geographical Society (with IBG) Annual Conference at their Headquarters at Kensington Gore, London.
Segunda aplicação do enem 2015: Compreensão textualma.no.el.ne.ves
O texto defende que para combater o tabagismo de forma efetiva, o governo precisa ir além de restrições e proibições, apoiando também quem deseja parar de fumar. A medida provisória aprovada pelo Senado reforça a proibição do fumo em locais públicos, mas o texto argumenta que é necessário apoiar os fumantes que querem parar, inclusive aumentando os impostos sobre cigarros.
Climate risk to long term asset value | Matt Harrison & Louisa PhillpottForum for the Future
This document outlines a design code created by TSB Design for Future Climate Change to help adapt architecture and urban planning to future climate risks. The code was developed using climate change scenarios and research identifying risks from increased temperatures, flooding, and precipitation. It proposes 31 measures across categories like design for comfort, water management, and evolving lifestyles. Measures include shading, orientation, floodable public spaces, and street trees. The measures were mapped against themes and assessed for implementation risks and associated capital costs. The code is intended to help new developments and existing areas adapt to climate change impacts over coming decades.
Participatory Ecological Restoration in the Rio Blanco Watershed: Ecosystem B...GPFLR
Presentation by Angela Andrade, Klaus Schutze y Angélica Cardon on participatory ecological restoration in the Rio Blanco watershed, Colombia. This was presented during the SER Conference Mexico, August 2011
This document discusses hydro-meteorology and its importance for sustainable development in the Caribbean region. It notes that the Caribbean faces significant climate-related risks that challenge sustainable development goals. Timely hydro-meteorological information is essential for livelihoods and reducing uncertainties around future weather and climate. Examples are provided of how hydro-meteorology supports water resources management and agriculture/food security. The severe 2009-2010 drought is discussed as an example of the impacts that lack of early warning and monitoring can have.
Professor Darryn McEvoy leads the Climate Change Adaptation Program at RMIT University and is Deputy Director of the Victorian Centre for Climate Change Adaptation Research. The presentation outlines climate change impacts including increased temperatures, changes in rainfall and drought, and rising sea levels. It discusses research at RMIT and VCCCAR on adapting infrastructure, emergency management, climate resilient development, and indigenous knowledge. Challenges include uncertainty and multiple hazards, but opportunities exist to develop new technologies, markets, and flexible management approaches through iterative learning and new partnerships.
Darryn McEvoy – Climate Change – the great contemporary dilemma NEXTDC
Professor Darryn McEvoy leads the Climate Change Adaptation Program at RMIT University and is Deputy Director of the Victorian Centre for Climate Change Adaptation Research. The presentation outlines climate change impacts including increased temperatures, changes in rainfall and drought patterns, rising sea levels, and more extreme weather events. It discusses distinguishing between climate change mitigation and adaptation agendas. The presentation also reviews research being conducted at RMIT and through the Victorian Centre focusing on impacts to infrastructure, emergency management, urban development, and engaging indigenous communities. Challenges of coping with uncertainty and opportunities to improve decision-making through tools and an iterative learning process are discussed.
The unprecedented Australian wildfires since September 2019 have caused widespread impacts. They have burned over 10 million hectares, killed over 28 people, and impacted an estimated 1 billion animals. The fires have disrupted many aspects of life through effects like hazardous air quality over large areas of the country. Whole ecosystems and their services have been damaged or destroyed in some regions, with uncertain prospects for recovery. The extensive scale of the fires in space and time has compounded economic losses for industries like tourism that rely on seasonal activity. Research is needed to better understand and value ecosystem services and disruption from events of this magnitude, which could become more common due to climate change.
The document discusses the impacts of climate change in Bangladesh and the challenges it faces. It outlines how Bangladesh is vulnerable to climate change due to factors like sea level rise, increased cyclones, erratic rainfall patterns and floods. It also summarizes the potential consequences of climate change stressors like increased temperatures, variations in precipitation, sea level rise and more frequent extreme weather events. Finally, it provides an overview of Bangladesh's national policies and adaptation programs to address climate change impacts.
Climate change is increasing temperatures globally and affecting weather patterns. In Wales, summers are projected to become drier and winters wetter by 2080. Sea levels around Wales are also expected to rise 30-40cm, increasing flood risk to coastal areas like the Severn Estuary. Adapting to climate change requires considering impacts to health, infrastructure, natural resources and more. Education resources aim to improve awareness and skills for teaching about climate change.
This document discusses the risks of climate change and outlines steps for engaging stakeholders to address it. It finds that insurance losses from extreme weather will rise significantly by 2040-2060 without action. Adaptation is needed across housing, infrastructure, and workforce training. Surveys show people most concerned with flooding and support measures to manage risk. Insurers are well-placed to advise on protection and new climate-friendly products. The document calls for insurers to lead risk analysis, inform policymaking, support public awareness, and reduce their own environmental impact to help tackle climate change.
The document discusses frequency analysis and return periods of hydrologic extremes like floods and droughts. It aims to relate the magnitude of events to their frequency of occurrence using probability distributions. Return period is the average time interval between occurrences of an event of a defined magnitude. Two storms are considered for calibration: the 2007 storm had moderate antecedent conditions while the 2010 storm had very dry conditions. Results show runoff is inconsistent between storms likely due to differences in antecedent moisture conditions between the events. Adjusting for antecedent conditions improves consistency in modeled versus observed runoff results.
Drought monitoring and early warning indicators can help countries adapt to climate change. Three key types of water problems in Central and Eastern Europe may be exacerbated by climate change: too little water, too much water, and water pollution. Effective drought monitoring requires assessing multiple indicators like precipitation, soil moisture, streamflow, groundwater, and vegetation health across different timescales. A consensus approach uses a combination of standardized precipitation, soil moisture, and vegetation indices. Developing an integrated drought monitoring system can help shift from reactive to risk-based drought management and increase resilience to climate change impacts.
The document discusses the relationship between climate change, disasters, and the need for integrated disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation approaches. It notes that climate change is expected to exacerbate existing weather-related hazards and increase vulnerability. Both climate change and disasters can negatively impact communities, so integrated efforts that build adaptive capacity are needed to reduce risks and increase resilience.
Adapting my business - Cómo evaluar la información climática en una empresa -...Factor CO2
Bernd Eggen. Formerly senior climate change consultant, UK Met Office ofreció esta ponencia dentro del evento "Adapting my business" organizado por Factor CO2 y celebrado el 7 de junio en Casa América, Madrid
These are the slides from our May 23, 2014 Friday Forum workshop entitled 'Predicting and projecting the frequency of extreme marine events on time scales of days to decades with a focus on coastal flooding' led by Dalhousie University Professor Keith Thompson.
The marine environment presents humankind with great economic opportunity but also major risks. It is a dangerous place to extract resources, and a particularly challenging environment for transportation, construction and human development. Our relationship with the marine environment is evolving due to climate change (e.g., global sea level rise, reduced pack ice in the Northwest Passage) and also shifts in economic and societal use (e.g., deep ocean drilling, marine recreational activities). In 2012 a new national network was established to bring together researchers and partners in a multi-sectoral partnership in order to improve Canada’s capabilities in Marine Environmental Observation, Prediction and Response (MEOPAR). In this talk Keith first provided an overview of this new network and then described some of its research, focusing mostly on coastal flooding. He then described how MEOPAR is making extended-range predictions of east coast storm surges, and the probability of coastal flooding, with lead times of hours to about 10 days. He also described a new statistically-based method for estimating the probability of coastal flooding over the next century, taking into account uncertainty in projections of sea level rise and storminess.
Keith Thompson is a Professor at Dalhousie University with a joint appointment in the Department of Oceanography and the Department of Mathematics and Statistics. He holds a Canada Research Chair in Marine Prediction and Environmental Statistics. His research interests include ocean and shelf modelling, data assimilation, sea level variability, the analysis of extremes. New interests include the Madden Julian Oscillation and the Kuroshio Extension current system. He is presently a theme lead for the Marine Environmental Observation Prediction and Response (MEOPAR) network, a large national network established recently to help Canada respond more effectively to marine emergencies and change.
How climate data can help address the climate challengeEsri UK
Climate change has already altered the weather we experience and the magnitude of impacts from extreme temperatures and rainfall. These impacts manifest locally and can cause human causalities and damage to infrastructure and natural systems. In future, some further climate change is now inevitable, but the rate and magnitude of change will depend on global greenhouse gas emissions. New data and tools to use the data are available to help plot a path through the climate and weather challenges, enabling organisations at all scales to adapt to the changing conditions.
This document discusses how weather and climate data can inform decision making across timescales from days to decades. It provides examples of how climate services can support agriculture, disaster risk reduction, food security, and water resources. Key points include using past weather observations to define climate risks and inform crop choices, predicting hazardous weather to issue timely warnings, using monthly to decadal predictions to warn of drought, and applying regional climate models to climate change adaptation decisions for water resources. The document also outlines delivering forecasts from hours to decades and developing partnerships to strengthen climate services.
The document discusses the goal set by the UNFCCC to limit global warming to 2°C above pre-industrial levels in order to prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. It explains that keeping warming below 2°C requires near-zero global greenhouse gas emissions by the end of the century through coordinated international efforts. While 2°C of warming may not cause major issues everywhere, it risks triggering significant impacts such as more frequent heat waves, impacts on water supplies, and coral bleaching. Failure to limit warming to 2°C could lead to even greater consequences for ecosystems, agriculture, coastlines and public health.
Presentation held by Jasper Batureine Mwesigwa from IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC), at the learning event The Community Based Adaptation and Resilience in East and Southern Africa’s Drylands, held in Addis Abeba, Ethiopia by Care International Adaptation Learning Program for Africa (ALP), The CGIAR research program on Climate change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) and African Insect Science for Food and Health (ICIPE)
1) The document summarizes a flood risk assessment for unembanked areas in the Rijnmond-Drechtsteden region of the Netherlands.
2) It models flood hazards and impacts under current and future climate change scenarios, including flood extent, depth, velocities, and economic damages.
3) The analysis finds that flood risks are concentrated in specific urban areas and that expected damages increase substantially under climate change, especially in historic city centers.
Similar to Latest climate science implications for Wales (20)
This document analyzes carbon budgets and emission pathways needed to limit global warming to 2°C. It finds that avoiding dangerous climate change is still feasible but probabilities are low. To have a 66% chance requires emissions to peak by 2025 and drop 10% annually by 2035 for poorer nations and 5% annually by 2025 for wealthier nations. Even a 33% chance requires mitigation far beyond what is currently planned. Carbon budgets for Wales to 2050 allow for 11-18 more years of current emissions, much lower than UK estimates due to not assuming geoengineering or an inequitable global budget apportionment.
The Environment (Wales) Bill aims to establish a legislative framework to manage Wales' natural resources in a sustainable way. It will introduce a statutory framework for the sustainable management of natural resources. Key elements include a State of Natural Resources Report, a National Natural Resources Policy, and Area Statements to implement the policy at a local level. The bill seeks to manage resources in an integrated way to support Wales' well-being goals.
The document summarizes discussions from the UN Climate Conference in Bonn in June 2015. It notes that previous conferences in Warsaw and Lima established the goal of voluntary emissions reduction commitments from all countries to be agreed in Paris in 2015. However, the commitments submitted so far would only stabilize emissions through 2030, while rapid declines are needed. It also stresses the need for the post-Paris pathway to remain ambitious enough to allow for technological and economic changes. Finally, it suggests goals for the Paris agreement, including short-term 2020 emissions reductions, a review process, subsidies ending, and a long-term legally binding goal to end emissions by 2050.
The document outlines Wales' proposed Energy Efficiency Strategy, which will focus on reducing carbon emissions, tackling poverty, and supporting jobs and growth through greater energy efficiency. It will cover public, private and domestic sectors over the next 10 years. The strategy aims to make Wales a leader in energy efficiency through developing skills and innovation in its supply chain to deliver efficiency improvements. It seeks input on barriers and opportunities to drive behavior change among households, businesses and the public sector to increase uptake of efficiency solutions. The strategy will undergo consultation and be finalized in late 2015.
CDP collects self-reported environmental data from cities, states/regions, and companies through voluntary questionnaires. Their 2014 cities questionnaire had over 200 city respondents. CDP also piloted collecting data from states/regions in 2014, with 12 participants from several countries. CDP makes the data available through online analytics to help participants compare performance, identify risks, and showcase leadership. Participants report benefits such as assessing progress, accessing an international network, and informing policies. CDP aims to expand state/region participation in 2015 through a new Compact initiative with regional networks.
This document summarizes a study that analyzed over 1,000 weather events and impacts reported in Welsh media from 2000-2012 to develop a National Climate Impacts Profile for Wales. The study found a diversity of impacts including those identified in previous studies as well as some not previously identified. It also found inconsistent media reporting biased toward certain weather events like frost over others like drought. The profile provides a searchable database of impacts that can help inform adaptation efforts.
Climate change adaptation work was piloted in Flintshire, Wales to understand how a changing climate could impact local services and communities. Tools were used to assess vulnerabilities and several key lessons were learned, including that no single organization can adequately plan for adaptation alone and that integrating adaptation challenges existing plans and professional boundaries. A process is now underway to identify five strategic shared risks across infrastructure, natural systems, the economy, communities, and systems. Next steps include continuing collaborative work to explore vulnerabilities and monitor progress on critical infrastructure and asset risks. Challenges remain around guidance, recommendations, costs, and gaining acceptance of needed changes.
This document summarizes a study that analyzed over 1,000 weather events and impacts reported in Welsh media from 2000-2012 to develop a National Climate Impacts Profile for Wales. The study found that flooding from excessive rainfall was the most commonly reported impact and affected infrastructure, communities, and buildings. While the study provides a preliminary assessment of climate impacts in Wales, media reporting is inconsistent and may not capture all long-term or environmental effects. The profile can help local authorities consider adaptation planning but may not show accurate spatial or temporal trends.
This document describes SWIMS, a decision support tool developed in Kent, UK to monitor severe weather events and build the case for resilience actions. It summarizes the benefits of SWIMS, including collecting over 300 effects of 52 weather events, identifying risks, and informing business and resilience planning. The document also discusses piloting SWIMS in several Welsh authorities and next steps to improve the tool and use collected data to build the case for resilience investments.
This document provides recommendations for engaging communities on climate change based on lessons learned from a climate change engagement project. It suggests starting engagement from the bottom up by meeting groups where they are at and going on a journey with them. It advises framing issues in terms of on-the-ground sustainable development topics like flood prevention, food security, health and jobs rather than abstract climate change targets. It also notes that measurable impacts from community climate actions may take longer to see than policy timelines anticipate and that behavior change comes through a way of working with communities not doing to them.
This document summarizes the key findings and recommendations from a review of learning journeys on a Welsh government program that supports community action on climate change. It identifies several principles for effective support, including tailoring support to individual community needs, acknowledging challenges as well as opportunities, and respecting community ownership. The review recommends funding integrated policy outcomes, utilizing development officers as intermediaries, supporting capacity building for monitoring and learning, and incorporating continuous learning and refinement into all programs.
The Pathfinder Programme overview document outlines the objectives and structure of the Pathfinder Programme, which records and supports community-based climate action projects in Wales. The three objectives are to understand the impacts of community group-led projects, what enables community groups to thrive and overcome challenges, and the external support needs of groups and projects. The programme is managed by the Severn Wye Energy Agency and AECOM researchers, with technical support provided to selected case study projects. Case studies are chosen based on criteria like carbon reduction potential, willingness to participate in action research, and representing a range of project types, locations, and demographics. Research methods include learning histories, action learning sessions, and collecting carbon impact data. Some examples of project outcomes
This document provides an action plan for the food and drinks industry in Wales from 2014 to 2020. It aims to increase turnover in the food and farming sector by 30% and growth GVA by 10% by creating more jobs. The plan has seven themes that outline targets and actions. These include strengthening industry networks, developing the identity of Welsh food, improving training and skills, increasing market growth both domestic and international, leveraging food and tourism, ensuring supply chain efficiency and environmental sustainability, and promoting public health. The key actions involve industry collaboration, improving data and support for SMEs, developing export markets, linking food and tourism, reducing carbon footprints, mentoring programs, and encouraging healthier food choices.
This document summarizes the key proposals in the Environment Bill currently being developed in Wales. The bill aims to provide a modern statutory framework for sustainably managing natural resources. It proposes establishing a national natural resource policy, requiring NRW to develop an area-based approach to resource planning, and placing duties on other bodies to cooperate on resource issues including climate change adaptation. Officials seek input on embedding adaptation into resource management and the appropriate role and requirements for NRW and other bodies. Options for specifying delivery requirements in the bill include placing details directly in it or secondary legislation, or leaving more flexibility without specifics.
The document discusses climate services at various levels - globally, regionally in Europe, and nationally in the UK. It describes the history and goals of the Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) established by the UN to provide climate information to vulnerable communities. In the UK, Climate Service UK is a partnership between government agencies to deliver climate data and services to support decision-making. Examples are given of collaboration with Singapore's meteorological service to build climate modeling capacity and with US agencies to strengthen agriculture adaptation.
More from Comisiwn Cymru ar y Newid yn yr Hinsawdd/ Climate Change Commission for Wales (20)
4. UK cold winter December 2010
Coldest December on record in Wales -3.8 degC
Record minimum: -18.0 deg C at Llysdinam (Powys) 28 November 2010
• The odds of the cold December 2010 temperatures have halved as a
result of human-induced climate change
• Unusual circulation patterns can still bring very cold winter months
Christidis and Stott, Met Office
Massey et al, University of Oxford, Met Office
4
5. Extreme weather
From drought...
2 dry winters
Oct 2010 – March 2012 Rainfall
% of 1971-2000 average
6. Extreme weather
...to flood
Wettest June on record
(180% of average)
2 dry winters 3rd wettest summer on
record for Wales
Summer 2012 Rainfall (240% of average)
% of 1971-2000 average
9. State of the art weather
forecasting
Increased accuracy of forecasts including better
measures of probability
Chance of
heavy rain
10. Seamless prediction
Supporting decision making
Now
Decadal
Climate
Seasonal
1-month
Hours
Days
1-week
Past climate
Confidence
boundary
Analysis of past weather
observations to manage
climate risks Monthly to decadal
Eg. Agriculture: this informs predictions informs
crop choice and planting Predicting routine and probability of drought, cold,
date to optimise yields and hazardous weather heat. Global and regional climate
minimise crop failure risk. conditions and Contingency planners, predictions.
disseminating tailored and national and international Informs mitigation policy
timely warnings. humanitarian response, and adaptation choices.
Public, emergency government and private Impacts on water
response, international infrastructure investment resources, heat stress,
disaster risk reduction crops, infrastructure.
Forecast lead-time
11. Moving from uncertainty to
probabilities/likelihoods
UKCP09
UKCIP02
Very unlikely Central Very unlikely
Single to be less estimate to be more
projection Summer Rainfall 2080’s than (10%) (50%) than (90%)
13. - Hotter, drier summers??
Impacts
- Milder wetter winters
- Reduction in snowfall and frost
- Increased frequency of intense rainfall events
- Decrease groundwater levels
- Increased flooding of low-lying coastal areas
Sea level change (central probability estimate)
Medium emission scenario: 22 cm by 2050
60 High
Medium
Sea level rise (relative 1990) [cm]
50
Low
40
30
20
10
Cardiff % change in flood
0
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2095 frequency of 2-year
return period flow
16. 1.5km resolution climate model
Resolution of Welsh terrain
Mountains Mountains
(130km grid) (60km grid)
Best long- State-of-art
term climate seasonal
models, model
UKCP09
Mountains Mountains
(25km grid) (1.5km grid)
Current Current UK
global weather
weather forecasting
forecasting + ground-
breaking
climate work
17. Opportunities for partnership
Extreme Weather Initiative Wales
• 1.5km model: extreme rainfall in South Wales
catchments
– 20 year hourly rainfall compared with observations for 1.5km grid
and catchment
– Benefits of 1.5km model vs 2km driving model for Wales
• 1.5 km model: Climate change over South Wales
– Use Welsh High Performance Computing
– Extra model runs to complement time snapshots run at Met Office.
• Extract climate change signal from the noise due to climate variability
– Projections of rainfall where model is skilful for present day
– Implications for climate change advice and flood risk planning in
Wales
Editor's Notes
485 mm rainfall for Wales summer 2012 Average – 270.6mm Wettest June on record – 205mm (avg 86.2mm)
Increasing model resolution Observing the current state of the global climate system A seamless approach to modelling prediction Regional-scale modelling and services
The Vuvuzela of seamless prediction: The Met Office is able to make predictions on all timescales from now until a century ahead. Analysis of past weather data is also useful to understand weather risks today – for example what is the likelihood of a particular storm event occurring. On longer timescales the confidence boundary gets wider – however if the climate information is applied in an appropriate manner it provides extremely useful information to inform adaptation decision making.
United Kingdom Climate Projections 2009 (UKCP09) In 2009 the Met Office Hadley Centre, in partnership with others, published the latest comprehensive climate projections for the UK. This DEFRA funded, 7 year project has concentrated on providing the UK with climate projections that will enable risk based decision-making and tailored impacts studies. The latest projections are therefore probabilistic in nature, providing PDFs of climate variables throughout many periods over this century at a horizontal resolution of 25km. The predictions were generated using Met Office Hadley Centre global and regional climate models using the different economic scenarios developed by the IPCC. Uncertainties in key climate governing processes (ocean, atmosphere, carbon cycle) and natural variability are represented along with information from different global models. Information is supplied for a range of climate variables on monthly, seasonal and annual timescales and has also been aggregated for particular regions of the UK such as administration regions and river basins. This information is the basis on which the UK government wants the country to prepare and adapt to climate change. Applications for advising e.g. wind power, water services
UKCP09 impacts for Wales -hotter, drier summers -Increase in extremely warm days -Milder wetter winters -Reduction in snowfall and frost -Increased frequency of intense rainfall events -Decrease groundwater levels -Increased flooding of low-lying coastal areas UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (DEFRA, Welsh Assembly funding) - Uses UKCP09 projections (created by Met Office) The Met Office acts to ensure quality control of applications of UKCP09 information, and its application to sector impacts. The Met Office are involved at all levels of the science and application. Energy sector champion and analyst Regional workshop for Wales on 21 September.
Climate Change Adaptation Planning Guide: This schematic gives the user a guide to when the energy industry should plan and adapt to climate change, based on the results of this project. The assessment is based on a judgement of the level of risk posed by climate change across the UK. In practice, adaptation plans will need to be location specific and should take in to account the resilience of the existing infrastructure. Examples of EP2 achievements: Investigated future wind resource, enabling the industry to understand the continued uncertainty of future wind power. This will assist risk management and investment decisions. Modelled future soil conditions and their impact on cables. This has helped companies understand the cost and benefits of installing cables for a more resilient future network. Built a tool to enable UK coastal and marine sites of interest to be screened to assess if sea level rise should be considered in more detail. Investigated how the urban heat island effect may change in the future, so that network companies can develop plans for their infrastructure in cities. Examples of some of the project’s findings: With a few exceptions, such as the thermal ratings of equipment and apparatus, there is currently no evidence to support adjusting network design standards. For example, existing design standards for overhead line conductors do not require change. Soil conditions will change — higher temperatures and seasonal differences in soil moisture are expected. Future conditions could be included in cable rating studies by increasing average summer soil temperatures in the models by approximately 0.5 °C per decade. The output of thermal power stations (and in particular combined cycle gas turbines) could be suppressed, with higher air temperature meaning lower air density and lower mass flow. Conditions at each location should be considered, especially during redesign or new build and, if appropriate, adaptation planned. Historical climatologies are no longer valid because climate is not stationary. The new climatologies that take account of climate change are already being adopted and will improve demand forecasting and planning out to 10 years ahead.