VCOSA - VIETNAM COTTON - YARN MARKET REPORT - 03/2022 ISSUE

www.vcosa.vn
Bản tin tháng 03-2022
MONTHLY REPORT
MONTHLY REPORT
COTTON AND YARN STATISTIC
Collected & Edited by: Information & Communication Dept.
Vietnam Cotton and Spinning Association
March 2022 www.vcosa.vn
For internal circulation only

VIETNAM COTTON AND SPINNING ASSOCIATION_______________________MAR 2022 – MONTHLY REPORT
.
15/Fl., Block B, Viettel Complex Tower, 285 CMT8 Str, Ward 12, District 10, Hochiminh City, Vietnam.
Hotline: 84-902379490, Email: info@vcosa.org.vn
Account VND: 007 100 559, USD: 0001887357124
At Military Commercial Joint Stock Bank
Swift code: MSCBVNVX
Ho Chi Minh city, March 29th, 2022
MONTHLY REPORT March 2022
Contents
Report and Database ...............................................................................................................3
Monthly Import Statistics ..................................................................................................................................3
Monthly Export Statistics...................................................................................................................................7
Remarkable information .................................................................................................................................10
Domestic market.............................................................................................................................................. 10
Global market................................................................................................................................................... 10
An update on export performance..............................................................................................................10
Export prices of fibers and yarns decrease in the first month of 2022............................................................ 10
An update on import performance.............................................................................................................13
It is forecasted that the import price of raw cotton will increase in the first months of 2022 ....................... 13
Import price of raw fiber increased sharply compared to the same period in 2021....................................... 15
Cotton Outlook 3-2022.....................................................................................................................................18
Source ........................................................................................................................................19
Reference from Newspapers..............................................................................................20
Brazilian cotton prices see slight fluctuations this month...............................................................20
Impact of the Russia and Ukraine war on global textile and cotton industry.........................21
Pakistan to adjust anti-dumping duties on polyester filament yarn from China...................22

Page | 1
Nguyen An Toan
Chairman of VCOSA

Page | 3
Report and Database
Cotton Fiber, Cotton Yarn, Cotton Fabric imports and exports are covered in monthly report.
Monthly price database includes latest data per market, quantity, unit price, border and trade terms
with per product category.
Monthly Import Statistics
Items
February-2022
Compare last
month (%)
2 months 2022
Compare last
period (%)
Q’ty
(1,000 MT)
Value
(Mil. USD)
Q’ty Value
Q’ty
(1,000 MT)
Value
(Mil. USD)
Q’ty Value
Cotton 118.6 301.7 -7.1 -4.4 247.2 619.8 9.9 69.9
Fiber & Yarn 80.6 199.8 -13.6 -14.0 174.2 433.4 -6.6 14.7
Fabric - 943.3 - -32.2 - 2,338.0 - 23.5
Accessories - 439.4 - -22.1 - 1,007.4 - 14.0
TOTAL - 1,884.2 - -18.2 - 4,398.6 - 30.5
In February 2022, Vietnam's cotton imports reached 118.6 thousand tons, worth 301.7 million
USD, up 9.9% in volume and 69.9% in value over the same period last year.
Fiber & yarn imported to Vietnam reached 80.6 thousand tons, down 6.6%; worth 199.8 million
USD, up14.7% over the same period last year.

Page | 4
According to preliminary data in February 2022, cotton imports reached 118.6 thousand tons,
down 7.1% over the previous month. Imported fiber and yarn reached 80.6 thousand tons,
down 13.6% compared to last month.
102.1
176.3 175.3
158.0
145.5
140.5
133.6
159.3
125.6 128.2
109.6
127.7
118.6
74.6
117.9
103.2
93.8 92.9 91.0
70.7
60.6
73.2
94.6
111.2
93.4
80.6
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
180.0
200.0
Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 Jan-22 Feb-22
1,000
MT
Vietnam Cotton, Fiber & Yarn Import
2 Months 2022 (1,000 MT)
Cotton Fiber & Yarn
-
200.0
400.0
600.0
800.0
1,000.0
1,200.0
1,400.0
1,600.0
Million
USD
Vietnam Import 2 Months 2022 (Mil. USD)
Cotton Fiber & Yarn Fabric Accessories

Page | 5
According to preliminary data in February 2022, cotton imports were about 118.6 thousand
tons, down 7.1% over the previous month, up 16.2% over the same period last year.
According to preliminary data in February 2022, imported fiber and yarn reached 80.6
thousand tons, down 13.6% over the previous month, up 8.1% over the same period last year.
112.2
74.6
117.9
103.2
93.8 92.9 91.0
70.7
60.6
73.2
94.6
111.2
93.4
80.6
-
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Vietnam Fiber & Yarn Import 2 Months 2022 (1,000 MT)
2021 2022
123.5
102.1
176.3 175.3
158.0
145.5
140.5
133.6
159.3
125.6 128.2
109.6
127.7
118.6
-
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
180.0
200.0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Vietnam Cotton Import 2 Months 2022 (1,000 MT)
2021 2022

Page | 6
In 2 months of 2022, Vietnam imported cotton worth 619.8 million USD, up 69.9% over the
same period last year; import of fiber and yarn valued at 433.4 million USD, up 14.7%; imported
fabrics of all kinds 2,338 million USD, up 23.5%; import of raw materials for textile, garment,
leather and footwear increased by 14% over the same period last year, equivalent to a value of
1,007.4 million USD.
1,662.2
2,362.4
3,011.7
2,573.4
2,282.3
3,232.2
619.8
1,609.0
1,821.6
2,418.6
2,409.8
1,998.8
2,552.6
433.4
10,483.3
11,381.1
12,771.9
13,276.0
11,875.6
14,324.7
2,338.0
5,058.8
5,428.5
5,711.4
5,863.6
5,381.1
6,255.6
1,007.4
-
2,000.0
4,000.0
6,000.0
8,000.0
10,000.0
12,000.0
14,000.0
16,000.0
2016 2017 2018 2 0 1 9 2020 2021 2022
MILLION
USD
VIETNAM IMPORT FROM 2016 TO 2022
(MIL. USD)
Cotton Fiber & Yarn Fabric Accessories

Page | 7
Monthly Export Statistics
Items
February-2022
Compare last
month (%)
2 months 2022
Compare last
period (%)
Q’ty
(1,000 MT)
Value
(Mil. USD)
Q’ty Value
Q’ty
(1,000 MT)
Value
(Mil. USD)
Q'ty Value
Yarn 132.4 444.0 -8.2 -6.3 276.7 917.9 -4.5 30.0
Textile & Apparel
(include fabric)
- 2,057.8 - -42.4 - 5,636.6 - 25.6
- Fabric - 179.4 - -28.7 - 430.7 - 28.7
Accessories - 142.2 - -29.0 - 342.5 - 18.3
Technical Textile - 71.6 - -3.9 - 146.1 - 39.5
TOTAL - 2,715.7 - -20.4 - 7,043.2 - 28.4
In February 2022, Vietnam exported 132.4 thousand tons of yarn, worth 444 million USD, down
4.5% in volume but up 30% in value over the same period last year.
Yarn exports in February 2022 were valued at 444 million USD, down 6.3% over the previous
month; fabric exports were valued at 179.4 million USD, down 28.7%; raw materials for textiles,
leather and footwear with a value of 142.2 million USD, down 29%; technical textile exports
decreased by 3.9%, equivalent to 71.6 million USD.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Million
USD
Vietnam Export 2 Months 2022 (Mil. USD)
Yarn Fabric Accessories Technical Textile

Page | 8
In 2 months 2022, Vietnam's yarn exports were worth 917.9 million USD, up 30% over the same
period last year; fabric exports were valued at 430.7 million USD, up 28.7%; raw materials for
textiles, leather and footwear with a value of 342.5 million USD, up 18.3%; technical textile
exports increased by 39.5%, equivalent to 146.1 million USD.
Textile and apparel exports in February 2022 reached 2.057 billion USD, down 42.4% compared
to the previous month.
1,820.8
2,723.9
2,458.8
2,573.8
3,064.6 3,118.8
2,654.6
2,277.4
2,643.9
3,044.6
3,615.2 3,571.3
2,057.8
F E B - 2 1 M A R - 2 1 A P R - 2 1 M A Y - 2 1 J U N - 2 1 J U L - 2 1 A U G - 2 1 S E P - 2 1 O C T - 2 1 N O V - 2 1 D E C - 2 1 J A N - 2 2 F E B - 2 2
MILLION
USD
VIETNAM TEXTILE & APPAREL EXPORT
2 MONTHS 2022 (MIL. USD)
2,929.5
3,593.3
4,024.9
4,177.1
3,736.6
5,612.3
917.9
1,078.4
1,324.8
1,759.4
2,127.0
1,943.4
2,553.1
430.7
1,495.2
1,710.6
1,902.1
2,014.6
1,687.5
1,994.8
342.5
415.3
457.9
529.7
588.9
456.0
784.7
146.1
-
1,000.0
2,000.0
3,000.0
4,000.0
5,000.0
6,000.0
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Vietnam Export from 2016 to 2022 (Mil. USD)
Yarn Fabric Accessories Technical Textile

Page | 9
Vietnam's yarn export in February 2022 reached 132.4 thousand tons, worth 444 million USD,
down 8.2% in volume, down 6.3% in value compared to the previous month.
According to preliminary data in February 2022, textile and apparel exports reached 2.057
billion USD, down 42.4% from the previous month, but up 13% over the same period in 2021.
125
194.2
163.7 167.1 171.8 175.6
156.3 144.9 148 157.3
123.9
144.2 132.4
311.5
511.1
464.1 473.1 489.3
517.9
481.1
453.4 468.1
512.3
534.9
473.7
444.0
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Qty (1,000 MT) Value (Mil. USD)
2,660.8
1,820.8
2,723.9
2,458.8
2,573.8
3,064.6
3,118.8
2,654.6
2,277.4
2,643.9
3,044.6
3,615.2
3,571.3
2,057.8
JA N F E B MA R A P R MA Y JUN JUL A UG S E P OC T NOV DE C
MILLION
USD
VIETNAM TEXTILE & APPAREL EXPORT
2 MONTHS 2022 (MIL. USD)
2021 2022

Page | 10
Remarkable information
Domestic market
o Vietnam cotton market is expected to remain complicated with new challenges in the
context of logistics bottlenecks, production disruptions, high transportation costs and raw
material shortages. These factors further increase input costs and cause imbalance between
supply and demand. It is forecasted that the price of cotton imported into Vietnam will
continue to increase in the first half of 2022.
o Import price of raw fiber increased sharply compared to the same period in 2021.
o Export prices of fibers and yarns decreased in the first month of 2022.
Global market
o Pakistan to adjust anti-dumping duties on polyester filament yarn from China
o Brazilian cotton prices see slight fluctuations this month.
o Brazil shipped 166.9 thousand tonnes of cotton in February 2022, generating an income of
US$ 321 million.
o Vietnam was the main destination for Brazillian cotton ìn February 2022. China, however,
remains the main buyer of Brazillian cotton.
o Impact of the Russia and Ukraine war on global textile and cotton industry.
An update on export performance
Export prices of fibers and yarns decrease in the first month of 2022
According to statistics from the General Department of Customs, Vietnam's exports of fibers and
yarns in January 2022 reached 144.2 thousand tons, with a turnover of 473.7 million USD, up
16.4% in volume, but decreasing. 11.4% in turnover compared to December 2021; down 12.3%
in volume, but up 20.1% in turnover compared to January 2021.
Vietnam’s export fibers and yarns in 2020-2022 (million USD)

Page | 11
The average export price of Vietnam's fibers and yarns in January 2022 reached $3,285 per ton,
down 23.9% compared to December 2021, but up 37% compared to January 2021.
Recently, the price of raw materials for production of fibers and textile fibers in the world has
decreased, which has caused the price of fiber and yarn for export of Vietnam to also decrease
in January 2022.
Export price of fibers and yarns in January 2022
Importer
Jan-2022
(USD/ton)
Compared to
Dec-2021
(%)
Compared to
Jan-2021 (%)
Total 3,285 -23.9 37.0
China 3,280 -23.3 34.3
Korea 3,714 -26.0 38.0
Bangladesh 5,031 -21.3 17.6
Indonesia 4,391 -8.1 27.1
USA 1,417 -19.1 25.9
Taiwan 4,093 -5.9 64.2
Turkey 4,232 -17.1 21.4
Thailand 3,519 -27.7 32.6
Pakistan 5,196 -15.5 176.9
Japan 2,914 -27.3 21.6
Cambodia 4,247 -19.3 34.2
Colombia 4,326 -15.9 80.8
India 3,412 -19.3 48.2
Egypt 3,422 -15.2 28.5
Malaysia 3,732 -26.4 37.8
Italy 5,733 -47.8 121.1
Brazil 1,904 -45.7 14.6
UK 1,107 -0.8 34.9
Peru 2,883 -26.1 29.3
Philippines 2,591 -21.3 80.7
Romania 4,759 -13.6 37.2
Sri Lanka 6,947 -24.8 43.2
Hong Kong 5,508 -33.7 79.1
Chile 2,185 -44.6 -11.5
In January 2022, Vietnam mainly exported textile fibers and yarns to the Chinese market,
accounting for 44.1% of the total volume and total export turnover of Vietnam's fibers and
yarns; Next is the Korean market, accounting for 11% of the total volume and 12.4% of the total
export turnover.

Page | 12
Due to the decrease in export prices, although the qty of fiber and fiber exported to the two
markets above increased compared to the last month of 2021, the export turnover decreased,
with a decrease rate of 17.5% and 14.4%.
Compared to January 2021, Vietnam's exports of fibers and yarns to China and South Korea in
January 2022 both decreased in volume but increased in export turnover, of which exports to
the Chinese market increased. The country decreased by 24.9% in volume but increased by
0.9% in turnover; exports of fibers and yarns to the Korean market decreased by 6.5% in
volume but increased by 29.1% in turnover.
Notably, Vietnam's exports of fibers and yarns to Bangladesh in the first month of 2022
increased by 233.9% in volume and 292.6% in turnover compared to January 2021.
Vietnam's export fibers and yarns in January 2022
Importer
Jan-2022 Compared to
Dec-2021
(%)
Compared to
Jan-2021
(%)
Proportion (%)
Qty (ton) Value
(1,000 USD)
Qty Value Qty Value Qty Value
Total 144,203 473,717 16.4 -11.4 -12.3 20.1 100.0 100.0
China 63,626 208,716 7.6 -17.5 -24.9 0.9 44.1 44.1
Korea 15,808 58,706 15.6 -14.4 -6.5 29.1 11.0 12.4
Bangladesh 5,426 27,300 23.7 -2.7 233.9 292.6 3.8 5.8
Indonesia 3,922 17,223 -7.5 -15.0 28.0 62.6 2.7 3.6
USA 10,856 15,386 46.5 18.5 69.5 113.4 7.5 3.2
Taiwan 3,701 15,146 -19.0 -23.7 -18.7 33.5 2.6 3.2
Turkey 2,973 12,581 36.8 13.4 107.3 151.7 2.1 2.7
Thailand 3,009 10,590 42.0 2.6 -19.6 6.6 2.1 2.2
Pakistan 1,913 9,941 1.1 -14.6 -41.1 63.0 1.3 2.1
Japan 3,279 9,556 42.7 3.7 16.5 41.7 2.3 2.0
Cambodia 2,096 8,902 19.2 -3.9 -25.7 -0.3 1.5 1.9
Colombia 1,820 7,874 10.8 -6.8 -28.5 29.2 1.3 1.7
India 1,839 6,276 77.3 43.0 -35.8 -4.9 1.3 1.3
Egypt 1,825 6,245 65.2 40.0 23.8 59.1 1.3 1.3
Malaysia 1,398 5,218 15.6 -14.9 -32.1 -6.5 1.0 1.1
Italy 850 4,873 211.4 62.4 92.3 325.2 0.6 1.0
Brazil 1,906 3,628 60.7 -12.8 -72.1 -68.0 1.3 0.8
UK 3,239 3,586 70.1 68.8 142.1 226.5 2.2 0.8
Peru 1,238 3,569 31.0 -3.2 64.4 112.5 0.9 0.8
Philippines 1,373 3,557 65.6 30.3 110.6 280.4 1.0 0.8
Romania 742 3,531 120.2 90.2 17.2 60.9 0.5 0.7
Sri Lanka 476 3,307 -9.7 -32.0 -44.8 -21.0 0.3 0.7
Hong Kong 575 3,167 56.3 3.6 -71.3 -48.6 0.4 0.7
Chile 294 642 79.3 -0.6 -14.3 -24.1 0.2 0.1

Page | 13
An update on import performance
It is forecasted that the import price of raw cotton will increase in the first months of
2022
According to statistics of the General Department of Customs, cotton imports to Vietnam in
January 2022 reached 127.66 thousand tons, worth 315.48 million USD, up 16.4% in volume
and 29.7% in value compared to December 2021, up 3.8% in volume and 60.7% in value
compared to January 2021.
Vietnam’s import cotton in 2021-2022 (thousand tons)
In January 2022, there were 10 markets supplying raw cotton to Vietnam, an increase of 01
market compared to January 2021. In particular, India has surpassed the US and Brazil to
become the largest cotton supplier to Vietnam, followed by Australia.
In general, imports of raw cotton of all kinds from main markets into Vietnam in January 2022
increased compared to January 2021, except for Australia, which decreased by 25.9%.
Notably, the import of cotton materials of all kinds from the US and Argentina markets...
increased sharply.
Vietnam's import cottons in January 2022
Exporter
Jan-2022 Compared
to Dec-2021
(%)
Compared to
Jan-2021 (%)
Qty
(ton)
Value
(1,000
USD)
Qty Value Qty Value
Total 127,663 315,484 16.4 29.7 3.8 60.7
India 30,520 72,630 80.9 106.4 63.5 166.3
Australia 26,382 67,465 -25.9 -22.0 516.4 731.0
Brazil 27,698 65,077 5.3 17.2 -49.8 -27.4
USA 19,445 54,589 120.1 194.4 -25.1 32.2
Argentina 8,881 22,748 108.6 118.0 131.5 275.9
Ivory Coast 3,864 8,355 2.0 5.9 58.2 106.6
Indonesia 945 1,253 -17.2 -27.1 -35.9 -31.7

Page | 14
Exporter
Jan-2022 Compared
to Dec-2021
(%)
Compared to
Jan-2021 (%)
Qty
(ton)
Value
(1,000
USD)
Qty Value Qty Value
Korea 481 706 15.1 26.4 270.0 173.3
Pakistan 169 229 -27.2 -26.2 9.7 -3.6
China 49 76 226.7 60.5
About price: The price of cotton imported into Vietnam in January 2022 averaged at
$2,471/ton, an increase of $252/ton compared to December 2021 and an increase of $875/ton
compared to January 2021, equivalent to an increase of 11. 4% compared to December 2021
and increased 54.9% compared to January 2021.
The average price of imported cotton from markets in January 2022 increased mostly from
markets. In which, the lowest price of cotton material imported from Ivory Coast reached 1,325
USD/ton; followed by from Indonesia reached 1,467 USD/ton and the price of cotton imported
from Brazil market reached the highest level at 2,807 USD/ton.
The Vietnamese cotton market is expected to remain complicated with new challenges in the
context of logistics congestion, production disruptions, high transportation costs and raw
material shortages. These factors further increase input costs and cause imbalance between
supply and demand. Accordingly, consumers can bear higher prices and manufacturing
companies have narrow margins.
Along with that, the global cotton price, after growing strongly in 2021, will gradually find a
balance and stable point in 2022. It is forecasted that the price of cotton imported into Vietnam
will continue to increase in the first half of 2022, but it is highly likely to adjust in the second
half of 2022.
Import price of cotton in January 2022 (USD/ton)
Exporter
Jan-2022
(USD/ton)
Compared to
Dec-2021
(%)
Compared to
Jan-2021 (%)
Total 2,471 11.3 54.9
India 2,557 5.3 34.8
Australia 2,350 11.3 44.6
Brazil 2,807 33.7 76.4
USA 2,561 4.5 62.4
Argentina 2,162 3.8 30.6
Ivory Coast 1,325 -11.9 6.6
Indonesia 1,467 9.9 -26.1
Korea 1,357 1.3 -12.1
Pakistan 1,555 -50.9
China 955

Page | 15
Import price of raw fiber increased sharply compared to the same period in 2021
According to statistics of the General Department of Customs, imported fiber of Vietnam in
January 2022 reached 33.41 thousand tons, worth 46.01 million USD, down 26.9% in volume
and 23.4% in value compared to December 2021, and down 21.4% in volume, down 6.9% in
value compared to January 2021.
Vietnam's import fibers in 2021-2022 (thousand ton)
In January 2022, Vietnam imported raw fiber from 20 main markets, an increase of 3 markets
compared to January 2021. China is the largest supplier of fiber materials to the Vietnamese
market, the import volume in January 2022 reached 14.85 thousand tons, valued at 19.68
million USD, down 27.1% in volume and down. 7% in value compared to December 2021;
compared with January 2021, down 21.3% in volume and 6.8% in value.
Next, import of raw fiber from Thailand market ranked second with 4.32 thousand tons, worth
5.82 million USD, down 8.2% in volume but up 40.1% in value compared to December 2021;
decreased by 9.3% in volume but increased by 6.6% in value over the same period in January
2021.
In general, in January 2022, the main markets supplying raw fiber to Vietnam decreased.
Notably, the import volume of raw fiber from some markets increased sharply in January 2022,
such as from Indonesia, up 101%, reaching 3.77 thousand tons; from India increased by 187.8
%, reaching 2.25 thousand tons.

Page | 16
Vietnam's import fibers in January 2022
Exporter
Jan-2022 Compared to
Dec-2021 (%)
Compared to
Jan-2021 (%)
Qty
(ton)
Value
(1,000
USD)
Qty Value Qty Value
Total 33,410 46,007 -24.0 -6.7 -21.3 -6.8
China 14,855 19,680 -27.1 -7.0 -21.6 0.2
Thailand 4,321 5,829 -8.2 40.1 -9.3 6.6
Korea 2,856 5,241 -38.6 -12.2 -23.1 -7.1
Indonesia 3,772 4,645 101.0 169.8 40.2 70.9
Taiwan 3,421 4,578 -53.2 -32.0 -50.0 -29.0
India 2,251 2,434 187.8 203.2 155.8 162.1
Greece 250 815 -67.3 -55.8 -82.5 -76.4
USA 202 500 10.5 11.8 -67.5 -60.9
Japan 183 425 4.9 0.5 -13.7 45.2
Cambodia 409 363
Russia 224 322 -2.3 4.9
Pakistan 169 229 269.5 278.7 240.4 245.1
Hong Kong 27 199 -97.5 -85.7 -97.5 -86.9
Macau 149 196 30.8 9.9 56.7 31.6
Bangladesh 179 161 210.5 210.5 304.6 304.6
Singapore 35 139 -94.5 -92.6 -80.0 -76.2
Netherlands 10 126 71.0 7.3 174.0 392.8
Malaysia 95 111 -66.2 -60.7 -81.7 -78.7
Sri Lanka 2 10
In terms of price: In January 2022, the price of imported fiber to Vietnam averaged $1,377/ton,
up 4.7% compared to December 2021 and 18.4% higher than January 2021. In which, the lowest
price of raw fiber imported from India reached 1,081 USD/ton; followed by from Indonesia
reached 1,231 USD/ton. The highest import price was from the Greek market at $3,259/ton.
Import price of raw fiber in January 2022 increased again since peaking in June 2021. It is
forecasted that in the coming months, the import price of raw fiber may decrease slightly but
remain at a high level.

Page | 17
Import price of fibers 2021-2022 (USD/ton)
Import price of fibers in January 2022
Exporter
Jan-2022
(USD/ton)
Compared to
Dec-2021
(%)
Compared to
Jan-2021 (%)
Total 1,377 22.8 18.4
China 1,325 27.6 27.8
Thailand 1,349 52.6 17.6
Korea 1,835 43.0 20.8
Indonesia 1,231 34.3 21.9
Taiwan 1,338 45.3 42.0
India 1,081 5.4 2.5
Greece 3,259 35.2 35.0
USA 2,482 1.2 20.2
Japan 2,319 -4.2 68.3
Cambodia 888
Russia 1,440 7.5
Pakistan 1,358 2.5 1.4
Hong Kong 7,283 467.0 412.5
Macau 1,317 -16.0 -16.0
Bangladesh 900 0.0 0.0
Singapore 4,016 35.0 19.4
Netherlands 12,232 -37.2 79.9
Malaysia 1,175 16.5 16.2
Sri Lanka 4,700

Page | 18
Cotton Outlook 3-2022
PRICE OUTLOOK
The USDA released a preliminary set of estimates for the upcoming 2022/23 crop year at their
Annual Outlook Forum on February 24th.
Projections suggested slight increases in global production (+3.2% to 124.0 million bales) and
mill-use (+1.7% to 126.5 million bales) and forecast a slight reduction in world ending stocks (-
3.2% to 64.6 million bales).
The same day that the USDA released their preliminary outlook, Russia invaded Ukraine, and
the outbreak of war instantly rendered elements of those early forecasts obsolete. One major
effect of the conflict has been volatility in commodity prices. Anticipated disruptions in supply
stemming from the invasion and the sanctions it caused sent prices higher.
Both Russia and Ukraine are top ten producers of wheat, corn, and soybeans. However, these
countries are much more important to the global wheat market (15% collective share for wheat,
less than a 5% collective share for corn or soybeans). Current wheat prices are +35% higher
than they were before the invasion. Corn prices increased by a smaller margin (+8%). Soybean
prices moved higher in January and February, but did not react strongly to the invasion.
Cotton prices were negatively affected by the outbreak of war, and there may be implications
for planting. While cotton prices remain high and attractive by historical standards, recent
increases in prices for other crops may have eroded cotton's favorable position. A result could
be that cotton acreage may not increase as much as was forecast just a few weeks ago.
Other major commodities that experienced significant volatility relate to energy. Natural gas is
a key export from Russia, and gas prices were already high before the conflict. Natural gas is
also an ingredient for (Nitrogen) fertilizer production. Fertilizer prices were high before the
conflict. With the conflict, those prices can be expected to remain high, and availability may be
limited. High fertilizer prices and reductions in availability will affect all crops and may lower
yields if supplies are rationed.
Oil is another energy-related commodity that has experienced significant volatility. Current oil
prices near $130/barrel (Brent) are almost double the average from December ($74/barrel).
Higher oil prices may eventually extend pressure on polyester prices, but a greater effect on the
cotton market could come from consumer demand. The use of oil and natural gas for heating,
electricity generation, and transportation is essential for the functioning of economies and
households around the world.
Substitute sources of energy are not immediately available in most cases. This means that cost
increases for energy will be passed on, and strains on budgets for energy-related necessities
may divert spending away from more discretionary items like clothing and home furnishings.
In addition, fear of the war's spread may cause consumers to pull back on overall spending and
increase savings.

Page | 19
Any global pullback in spending could lower cotton demand and economic growth. Before the
war, economies around the world were already set to face challenges from inflation, the
withdrawal of stimulus, and increases in interest rates.
Source
All data are accurate, relevant and verified from sources: the Ministry of Industry and Trade,
General Department of Vietnam Customs, General Statistics Office of Vietnam, International Trade
Center, Cotton Incorporated and other reliable sources.
This text provides general information. VCOSA assumes no liability for the information given being
complete or correct. Due to varying update cycles, statistics can display more up-to-date data than
referenced in the text.
5.9 5.8
3.8
2.4 2.9
1.3 0.8 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
8.6
5.7
0.6
1.9 0.7
2.4
1.9
1.9 1.6 0.7
0.5 0.4
0.2
1.3
3.3
1.4
1.7
0.1
1
0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1
2.1
0.2
1.2
1.2
1.2
1.8
1.6
0.5 0.2 0.1
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Million
metric
tons
World Cotton Market Outlook 2021/2022
Update forecast for March 2022
Production Consumption Exports Imports

Page | 20
Reference from Newspapers
Brazilian cotton prices see slight fluctuations this month
Fibre2fashion
Mar 21, 2022
The price competition between sellers and purchasers was fierce in the Brazilian spot market
in the first fortnight of March, resulting in slight fluctuations of cotton values. Between March 1
and 15, the CEPEA/ESALQ Index for cotton ranged between BRL 6.89 and BRL 7.02/pound. Still,
sellers’ firm stance on prices prevailed and underpinned quotations.
Between February 25 and March 15, the CEPEA/ESALQ Index for cotton rose by 1.45 per cent,
closing at BRL 6.9860/pound on March 15, according to the latest fortnightly report on
Brazilian cotton market released by the Center for Advanced Studies on Applied Economics
(CEPEA).
“Aware of the recent oil valuations, sellers raised asking prices for cotton. However, purchasers
are concerned about the economic situation in Brazil, lowering bidding prices for the product.
Thus, only a few buyers were interested in closing deals in the spot market, and agents from
some processors reported high stocks of by-products, postponing deliveries of the cotton
already purchased. Also, some processors reduced activities.
“This scenario and the high increase of freight costs constrained new deals in the first half of
March. The agents who closed deals and needed to hire freight for delivery seemed very
concerned about costs,” the report said.
Meanwhile, Conab (Brazil’s National Company for Food Supply) has released a report which
estimates the country’s cotton area in 2021-22 season at 1.6 million hectares, 4.16 per cent
larger than that estimated in February and 16.8 per cent larger than the last season.
Productivity is forecast to increase by 2.5 per cent to 1,765 kilograms/hectare. Thus, the
Brazilian cotton output is expected to be 19.7 per cent higher than that in 2020-21, totalling
2.82 million tons in 2021-22 (+4.15 per cent compared to that previously estimated).
In Mato Grosso, the main cotton producing province in the country, Conab estimated the area
to be sown with cotton at 1.14 million hectares, 4.31 per cent larger than that estimated in
February 2022 and 13.8 per cent larger than that in 2020-21. Productivity is forecast
unchanged at 1.739 kg/hectare. Production estimates were revised up by 4.31 per cent in the
monthly comparison and by 22.6 per cent compared to that in the season before, to 1.982
million tons in 2021-22.
In Bahia, the second-largest cotton producing province, the cotton area is estimated to be 5.33
per cent larger than that forecast in February 2022 and 14.8 per cent larger than that last
season, at 306,100 hectares. Thus, the output was revised up by 5.15 per cent compared to that

Page | 21
previously reported and by 14.4 per cent compared to that last season, estimated at 579,600
tons. Productivity is forecast at 1,894 kg/hectare.
Impact of the Russia and Ukraine war on global textile and cotton industry.
Textileexcellence
Mar 08, 2022
The impact of the Russia and Ukraine war on global cotton textile industrial chain is gradually
expanding.
Among the major import origins of textile and apparel in Russia, the proportion from China
takes a high of 43.8%, followed by Italy 8.1%, Bangladesh 6.4%, Republic of Belarus 6.3%,
Turkey 6.1% and Vietnam 6.1%.
Viewed from the China and Russia relations and global trade change, the market shares of China
in Russian textile and apparel imports may increase further in long run, to fulfill the supply gap
caused by the sanctions from Europe and US. For China, the textile and apparel exports to Russia
take a very small proportion, easy to meet the new demand from Russia. However, restrained
by the large export shares of EU, Japan and US for China, if the war influences the relations
between EU, Japan, US and China, China’s textile and apparel exports may face obvious pressure.
Since Italy is a member of the EU and NATO, the relationship between Russia and the EU and
NATO has become tenser after the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war, which will inevitably
affect their economic and trade relations.
In general, the economic and other sanctions caused by the Russian-Ukrainian war may lead to
a decrease in the export of textiles and clothing from several major exporting countries to
Russia, and this part of the decrease may be fulfilled by China. However, since Russia’s textile

Page | 22
and apparel import demand accounts for a relatively small proportion in the world, the Russian-
Ukrainian war may more affect global trade flows, while its impact on total demand may be
relatively limited.
Meanwhile, Russia is also a major exporter of fertilizers. In 2021, the export volume of urea is 7
million tons, accounting for 3.56% of global production.
Global cotton planting costs are likely to keep increasing with higher prices of fertilizers. The
planting areas in 2022/23 season still have large uncertainties.
In addition, the war has also led to a shortage of seafarers, and the global supply chain may face
the risk of disruption. The Seafarer Workforce Report, published in 2021 by BIMCO and ICS,
reports that 1.89 million seafarers are currently operating over 74,000 vessels in the global
merchant fleet. Of this total workforce, 198,123 (10.5%) of seafarers are Russian and Ukraine
accounts for 76,442 (4%) of seafarers. Combined they represent 14.5% of the global workforce.
26,000 seafarers may be lacked in the next four years. International sea freight may keep high
for long time.
Pakistan to adjust anti-dumping duties on polyester filament yarn from China
Fashionatingworld
Feb 21, 2022
At the request of the Pakistan Court of Appeal, Pakistan National Customs Commissioner plans
to reopen the anti-dumping investigation of polyester filament yarn and adjust the anti-
dumping duty on the products involved to 2.78-6.82 per cent for China and 3.16 per cent for
Malaysia. The measure is valid until August 25, 2022. The anti-dumping investigation initiated
by Pakistan against China's PFY found the adjusted anti-dumping duty rate has declined.
In recent years, Pakistan’s exports of PFY grew year on year due to rapidly growing demand for
textiles. Reduction of anti-dumping duty rate is undoubtedly a great boon. In 2021, China's PFY
exports to Pakistan reached a record high of 257kt, accounting for nearly 9 per cent of exports,
most of which need to be subject to anti-dumping duties.
With adjustment of anti-dumping duty rates at the beginning of the year, it means most PFY
exported to Pakistan before August 25, 2022 can enjoy the dividend of reduced anti-dumping
duties, which to a certain extent increases the export competitiveness of China-made PFY.

VCOSA - VIETNAM COTTON - YARN MARKET REPORT - 03/2022 ISSUE

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