This presentation provides an overview of Digital Twins in Production environments, compares the status quo to potential alternatives using Digital Twins, and describes how to approach Digital Transformation using these technologies. While the presentation is specific to Aerospace and Defense, the solutions are generally applicable to any complicated or complex project or program.
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Using Digital Twins for Modernizing Production Systems.pptx
1. 1 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
Modernizing A&D Production Systems
Graph Based Solutions and Breakthrough Improvement
Authored by: David Prestin
2022 Dependency Structure Modeling Annual Conference in Eindhoven, Netherlands
2. 2 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
What You’ll Hear
Why Aerospace and Defense is so complex
A Tale of Two Worlds – Analogue Manufacturing and Digital Manufacturing
How Graph Based Solutions: DSMs, Network Insights, and Intelligent
Scheduling help
3. 3 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
Disclaimers
The following stories are entirely fictional and any resemblance to an existing situation is purely
coincidental
The situations depicted here are on the extremes but we’ve experienced some flavor of what
each describe
The situations and personas depicted are for illustrative purposes only
4. 4 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
Number
of
Parallel
Paths
Number of Dependencies per Task
Hamburger Networks
• Thick with lots of ingredients
• Many integration/touch points
• Messy and Complicated
• Lots of variations
• Graph based solutions
necessary to simplify this
complexity BEFORE other
solutions applied
Hotdog Networks
• Long and narrow
• Fewer parallel paths
• Straight forward and orderly
• Relatively few
integration/interdependencies
• Lean, Six Sigma, and “Best Practice”
methods work wonders
Why is A&D so Complex? Time, Space, and Scale!!!
5. 5 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
A Tale of Two Worlds
Analogue Manufacturing Digital Manufacturing
6. 6 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
What is Business as Usual for Stan at Analogue Manufacturing?
What’s his day like? VUCA Reigns
Volatile: every day is a fire fight
Uncertain: not sure which fire to put out first,
second, third…
Complex: lots of undocumented
interdependencies across process, product,
people, place
Ambiguous: difficult to track down root causes
and they seem to always change
Why is it this way?
Trapped: legacy factory layouts and monolithic
processes/tools/mindsets
Simplistic: methods and mindsets stuck in what only
works in a much more orderly world
Disempowered: digitized processes of old methods
and mindsets resulting in more to answer to and not
enough answers to prevent and manage disruption
Disconnected: people, processes, product, and
technology not designed and managed holistically
Doing the same thing over and over again expecting different results
7. 7 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
What is Business as Usual for Heather at Digital Manufacturing?
What’s her day like? Slaying VUCA Dragons
Variable: impacts are smaller scale and more
easily managed
Reliable: she and her peers know what’s
expected, when, by whom and it’s repeatable
Frictionless: she can quickly navigate to what’s
relevant to her and upstream/downstream
Transparent: less guess work in her day and
relationships are clear to everyone
Why is it this way?
Digital Models: enable rapid reprioritization
Buffers: strategic margins of safety limit ripple
effects of disruption
Simplified: Complexity is reduced as far as
possible during the production design stage
Connected: Process, product, people are
connected via graph-based technologies so system
states are clear and communication happens fluidly
Planning Network
Configurable Schedules
Resourcing and Priorities
Partitioned DSM
w/ Historical Data Partitioned Arc Diagram
8. 8 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
Digital Manufacturing Powered by Graph Based Solutions
DSM’s and Network Insights
Job 1 Job 2 Job 3 Job 4
Job 1 - X X
Job 2 - X
Job 3 - X
Job 4 -
Supercharged Insights, Factory
Modeling, and Intelligent Scheduling
Global Factory Attributes
Work
Calendars
Material
Delivery
Control Points
Resource
Capacities
Learning
Curves
Other Attributes of Interest
Originating
Organizations
Current Condition
of Assembly
Historical
Manufacturing
Data
Aircraft and
Factory Systems
Classifications
Value
Increases
Over Time
All Models Are Wrong, Some Are Useful
George Box
9. 9 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
How to Start Right: Factory and Process Design
Design in Resiliency and Remove Improvement Curve Waste from the Start
DSMs
Rapid Data Collection
Factory Layout Design
Constraints Analysis
Network Visualizations and Analytics
Multiple Perspectives
Complexity Analytics
AI Powered Intelligent Scheduling
Capacity Planning
Economic Profit Optimization
Workforce Planning
10. 10 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
How to Stay Right: Production Management and Breakthrough Improvement
Production Management
Optimize for minimum flow time, maximum resource utilization,
and strategic margins of safety
Adaptable and Actionable Priorities = Rapid Resolution
DSM’s and Intelligent Scheduling allow for rapid replanning,
scenario analysis, long range strategic planning, and more
Breakthrough Improvement
Root cause analysis scale up/down in factory, process, and
product hierarchies for holistic points of view
Identify “As Performed” bottlenecks and alternative solutions
Partition across Multi-Domain Matrix to assign high leverage
improvement focus areas and ensure proper accountabilities
Historical
Performance Data
Partitions and
Hierarchies
Position for Adaptation and the End of Incremental Improvements
Planning Network
Configurable Schedules
Resourcing and Priorities
11. 11 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
Our point of view on the industry
Evolving
20%
Status Quo
80%
A&D INDUSTRY GRAPH BASED
METHODS MATURITY
• In A&D, outsized benefits make the
difference between growth and decline
• How to get Analogue transformed to
Digitals world?
• Strategy, Strategy, Strategy
• Great Product Management
• Great Program Management
• Customer and User Empathy
• Proven Results in Variety of Manufacturing
Environments
12. 12 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
Key Takeaways Anyone Can Use
Graph Based Solutions solve General Problems
Domain Expertise coupled with Graph Based Solutions makes for a powerful combination
No technology or method fits all cases, be flexible and general to be successful
Model from simplicity to sophistication and deliver value along the way
13. 13 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
THANK YOU
linkedin.com/in/davidprestin
theprestingroup@gmail.com
www.daveprestin.me
Editor's Notes
Analogue Manufacturing: Sad Stan is Our Operations Manager
Fragmented and unconnected factory
Leads to “each his own”
Try to compensate with increasing spans of control and layers of management vs. part of the system itself
Typically performance is measured by “how bad were you in the past” – like jobs behind schedule, cost variance, etc.
Stuck in Frederick Taylor or otherwise known as Taylorist Methods
Derived from a simpler and ordered world
Designed around the organization structure – Conways Law, factories initially organized by type/categories of work usually aligned to engineering and program org structures
Reductionist and fragmented thinking
Results in chasing variance and making metrics look better
Digital Manufacturing: Happy Heather is our Operations Manager
Product and Process Designed with Digital Twins
Values driven that People and their relationships come first – Networks and relationships dominate thinking across Product – Process – Technology
Systems are built for resilience and adaptation – like natural ecosystems evolved to be
Built in Evolutionary processes and Thinking
DSM’s aid design and adaptive decision making
Network Insights point to pain points and outsized opportunities to improve performance
Intelligent Scheduling aids in coordination, connectivity, and collaboration
DSM’s Enable
Rapid data collection and analysis Scalable 2D is very approachable!
Factory partitioning and level loading layouts Design in process simplicity
Constraint identification and alleviation Design-out disruption potential
Network Visualizations and Analytics Enable
Diverse visualizations See from multiple perspectives for better results
Numerical complexity analytics Laser focused process/product design feedback
AI Powered Intelligent Scheduling Enables
Factory Layout Capacity Planning Right size aircraft inventory, build in buffers
Economic Profit Optimization WIP, Flow Time and Throughput alignment
Workforce Planning Right people, right roles, right time, right place