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1 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
Modernizing A&D Production Systems
Graph Based Solutions and Breakthrough Improvement
Authored by: David Prestin
2022 Dependency Structure Modeling Annual Conference in Eindhoven, Netherlands
2 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
What You’ll Hear
 Why Aerospace and Defense is so complex
 A Tale of Two Worlds – Analogue Manufacturing and Digital Manufacturing
 How Graph Based Solutions: DSMs, Network Insights, and Intelligent
Scheduling help
3 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
Disclaimers
 The following stories are entirely fictional and any resemblance to an existing situation is purely
coincidental
 The situations depicted here are on the extremes but we’ve experienced some flavor of what
each describe
 The situations and personas depicted are for illustrative purposes only
4 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
Number
of
Parallel
Paths
Number of Dependencies per Task
Hamburger Networks
• Thick with lots of ingredients
• Many integration/touch points
• Messy and Complicated
• Lots of variations
• Graph based solutions
necessary to simplify this
complexity BEFORE other
solutions applied
Hotdog Networks
• Long and narrow
• Fewer parallel paths
• Straight forward and orderly
• Relatively few
integration/interdependencies
• Lean, Six Sigma, and “Best Practice”
methods work wonders
Why is A&D so Complex? Time, Space, and Scale!!!
5 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
A Tale of Two Worlds
Analogue Manufacturing Digital Manufacturing
6 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
What is Business as Usual for Stan at Analogue Manufacturing?
What’s his day like? VUCA Reigns
 Volatile: every day is a fire fight
 Uncertain: not sure which fire to put out first,
second, third…
 Complex: lots of undocumented
interdependencies across process, product,
people, place
 Ambiguous: difficult to track down root causes
and they seem to always change
Why is it this way?
 Trapped: legacy factory layouts and monolithic
processes/tools/mindsets
 Simplistic: methods and mindsets stuck in what only
works in a much more orderly world
 Disempowered: digitized processes of old methods
and mindsets resulting in more to answer to and not
enough answers to prevent and manage disruption
 Disconnected: people, processes, product, and
technology not designed and managed holistically
Doing the same thing over and over again expecting different results
7 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
What is Business as Usual for Heather at Digital Manufacturing?
What’s her day like? Slaying VUCA Dragons
 Variable: impacts are smaller scale and more
easily managed
 Reliable: she and her peers know what’s
expected, when, by whom and it’s repeatable
 Frictionless: she can quickly navigate to what’s
relevant to her and upstream/downstream
 Transparent: less guess work in her day and
relationships are clear to everyone
Why is it this way?
 Digital Models: enable rapid reprioritization
 Buffers: strategic margins of safety limit ripple
effects of disruption
 Simplified: Complexity is reduced as far as
possible during the production design stage
 Connected: Process, product, people are
connected via graph-based technologies so system
states are clear and communication happens fluidly
Planning Network
Configurable Schedules
Resourcing and Priorities
Partitioned DSM
w/ Historical Data Partitioned Arc Diagram
8 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
Digital Manufacturing Powered by Graph Based Solutions
DSM’s and Network Insights
Job 1 Job 2 Job 3 Job 4
Job 1 - X X
Job 2 - X
Job 3 - X
Job 4 -
Supercharged Insights, Factory
Modeling, and Intelligent Scheduling
Global Factory Attributes
Work
Calendars
Material
Delivery
Control Points
Resource
Capacities
Learning
Curves
Other Attributes of Interest
Originating
Organizations
Current Condition
of Assembly
Historical
Manufacturing
Data
Aircraft and
Factory Systems
Classifications
Value
Increases
Over Time
All Models Are Wrong, Some Are Useful
George Box
9 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
How to Start Right: Factory and Process Design
Design in Resiliency and Remove Improvement Curve Waste from the Start
DSMs
 Rapid Data Collection
 Factory Layout Design
 Constraints Analysis
Network Visualizations and Analytics
 Multiple Perspectives
 Complexity Analytics
AI Powered Intelligent Scheduling
 Capacity Planning
 Economic Profit Optimization
 Workforce Planning
10 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
How to Stay Right: Production Management and Breakthrough Improvement
Production Management
 Optimize for minimum flow time, maximum resource utilization,
and strategic margins of safety
 Adaptable and Actionable Priorities = Rapid Resolution
 DSM’s and Intelligent Scheduling allow for rapid replanning,
scenario analysis, long range strategic planning, and more
Breakthrough Improvement
 Root cause analysis  scale up/down in factory, process, and
product hierarchies for holistic points of view
 Identify “As Performed” bottlenecks and alternative solutions
 Partition across Multi-Domain Matrix to assign high leverage
improvement focus areas and ensure proper accountabilities
Historical
Performance Data
Partitions and
Hierarchies
Position for Adaptation and the End of Incremental Improvements
Planning Network
Configurable Schedules
Resourcing and Priorities
11 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
Our point of view on the industry
Evolving
20%
Status Quo
80%
A&D INDUSTRY GRAPH BASED
METHODS MATURITY
• In A&D, outsized benefits make the
difference between growth and decline
• How to get Analogue transformed to
Digitals world?
• Strategy, Strategy, Strategy
• Great Product Management
• Great Program Management
• Customer and User Empathy
• Proven Results in Variety of Manufacturing
Environments
12 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
Key Takeaways Anyone Can Use
 Graph Based Solutions solve General Problems
 Domain Expertise coupled with Graph Based Solutions makes for a powerful combination
 No technology or method fits all cases, be flexible and general to be successful
 Model from simplicity to sophistication and deliver value along the way
13 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC
THANK YOU
linkedin.com/in/davidprestin
theprestingroup@gmail.com
www.daveprestin.me

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Using Digital Twins for Modernizing Production Systems.pptx

  • 1. 1 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC Modernizing A&D Production Systems Graph Based Solutions and Breakthrough Improvement Authored by: David Prestin 2022 Dependency Structure Modeling Annual Conference in Eindhoven, Netherlands
  • 2. 2 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC What You’ll Hear  Why Aerospace and Defense is so complex  A Tale of Two Worlds – Analogue Manufacturing and Digital Manufacturing  How Graph Based Solutions: DSMs, Network Insights, and Intelligent Scheduling help
  • 3. 3 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC Disclaimers  The following stories are entirely fictional and any resemblance to an existing situation is purely coincidental  The situations depicted here are on the extremes but we’ve experienced some flavor of what each describe  The situations and personas depicted are for illustrative purposes only
  • 4. 4 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC Number of Parallel Paths Number of Dependencies per Task Hamburger Networks • Thick with lots of ingredients • Many integration/touch points • Messy and Complicated • Lots of variations • Graph based solutions necessary to simplify this complexity BEFORE other solutions applied Hotdog Networks • Long and narrow • Fewer parallel paths • Straight forward and orderly • Relatively few integration/interdependencies • Lean, Six Sigma, and “Best Practice” methods work wonders Why is A&D so Complex? Time, Space, and Scale!!!
  • 5. 5 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC A Tale of Two Worlds Analogue Manufacturing Digital Manufacturing
  • 6. 6 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC What is Business as Usual for Stan at Analogue Manufacturing? What’s his day like? VUCA Reigns  Volatile: every day is a fire fight  Uncertain: not sure which fire to put out first, second, third…  Complex: lots of undocumented interdependencies across process, product, people, place  Ambiguous: difficult to track down root causes and they seem to always change Why is it this way?  Trapped: legacy factory layouts and monolithic processes/tools/mindsets  Simplistic: methods and mindsets stuck in what only works in a much more orderly world  Disempowered: digitized processes of old methods and mindsets resulting in more to answer to and not enough answers to prevent and manage disruption  Disconnected: people, processes, product, and technology not designed and managed holistically Doing the same thing over and over again expecting different results
  • 7. 7 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC What is Business as Usual for Heather at Digital Manufacturing? What’s her day like? Slaying VUCA Dragons  Variable: impacts are smaller scale and more easily managed  Reliable: she and her peers know what’s expected, when, by whom and it’s repeatable  Frictionless: she can quickly navigate to what’s relevant to her and upstream/downstream  Transparent: less guess work in her day and relationships are clear to everyone Why is it this way?  Digital Models: enable rapid reprioritization  Buffers: strategic margins of safety limit ripple effects of disruption  Simplified: Complexity is reduced as far as possible during the production design stage  Connected: Process, product, people are connected via graph-based technologies so system states are clear and communication happens fluidly Planning Network Configurable Schedules Resourcing and Priorities Partitioned DSM w/ Historical Data Partitioned Arc Diagram
  • 8. 8 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC Digital Manufacturing Powered by Graph Based Solutions DSM’s and Network Insights Job 1 Job 2 Job 3 Job 4 Job 1 - X X Job 2 - X Job 3 - X Job 4 - Supercharged Insights, Factory Modeling, and Intelligent Scheduling Global Factory Attributes Work Calendars Material Delivery Control Points Resource Capacities Learning Curves Other Attributes of Interest Originating Organizations Current Condition of Assembly Historical Manufacturing Data Aircraft and Factory Systems Classifications Value Increases Over Time All Models Are Wrong, Some Are Useful George Box
  • 9. 9 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC How to Start Right: Factory and Process Design Design in Resiliency and Remove Improvement Curve Waste from the Start DSMs  Rapid Data Collection  Factory Layout Design  Constraints Analysis Network Visualizations and Analytics  Multiple Perspectives  Complexity Analytics AI Powered Intelligent Scheduling  Capacity Planning  Economic Profit Optimization  Workforce Planning
  • 10. 10 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC How to Stay Right: Production Management and Breakthrough Improvement Production Management  Optimize for minimum flow time, maximum resource utilization, and strategic margins of safety  Adaptable and Actionable Priorities = Rapid Resolution  DSM’s and Intelligent Scheduling allow for rapid replanning, scenario analysis, long range strategic planning, and more Breakthrough Improvement  Root cause analysis  scale up/down in factory, process, and product hierarchies for holistic points of view  Identify “As Performed” bottlenecks and alternative solutions  Partition across Multi-Domain Matrix to assign high leverage improvement focus areas and ensure proper accountabilities Historical Performance Data Partitions and Hierarchies Position for Adaptation and the End of Incremental Improvements Planning Network Configurable Schedules Resourcing and Priorities
  • 11. 11 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC Our point of view on the industry Evolving 20% Status Quo 80% A&D INDUSTRY GRAPH BASED METHODS MATURITY • In A&D, outsized benefits make the difference between growth and decline • How to get Analogue transformed to Digitals world? • Strategy, Strategy, Strategy • Great Product Management • Great Program Management • Customer and User Empathy • Proven Results in Variety of Manufacturing Environments
  • 12. 12 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC Key Takeaways Anyone Can Use  Graph Based Solutions solve General Problems  Domain Expertise coupled with Graph Based Solutions makes for a powerful combination  No technology or method fits all cases, be flexible and general to be successful  Model from simplicity to sophistication and deliver value along the way
  • 13. 13 Copyright 2023 Prestin Group LLC THANK YOU linkedin.com/in/davidprestin theprestingroup@gmail.com www.daveprestin.me

Editor's Notes

  1. Analogue Manufacturing: Sad Stan is Our Operations Manager Fragmented and unconnected factory Leads to “each his own” Try to compensate with increasing spans of control and layers of management vs. part of the system itself Typically performance is measured by “how bad were you in the past” – like jobs behind schedule, cost variance, etc. Stuck in Frederick Taylor or otherwise known as Taylorist Methods Derived from a simpler and ordered world Designed around the organization structure – Conways Law, factories initially organized by type/categories of work usually aligned to engineering and program org structures Reductionist and fragmented thinking Results in chasing variance and making metrics look better Digital Manufacturing: Happy Heather is our Operations Manager Product and Process Designed with Digital Twins Values driven that People and their relationships come first – Networks and relationships dominate thinking across Product – Process – Technology Systems are built for resilience and adaptation – like natural ecosystems evolved to be Built in Evolutionary processes and Thinking DSM’s aid design and adaptive decision making Network Insights point to pain points and outsized opportunities to improve performance Intelligent Scheduling aids in coordination, connectivity, and collaboration
  2. DSM’s Enable Rapid data collection and analysis  Scalable 2D is very approachable! Factory partitioning and level loading layouts  Design in process simplicity Constraint identification and alleviation Design-out disruption potential Network Visualizations and Analytics Enable Diverse visualizations  See from multiple perspectives for better results Numerical complexity analytics  Laser focused process/product design feedback AI Powered Intelligent Scheduling Enables Factory Layout Capacity Planning  Right size aircraft inventory, build in buffers Economic Profit Optimization  WIP, Flow Time and Throughput alignment Workforce Planning  Right people, right roles, right time, right place