This document summarizes trends in urban redevelopment in Massachusetts over the past 10 years. It finds that while some cities like Boston and Cambridge have grown, many older industrial cities referred to as "Middle Cities" have continued to struggle with economic decline, population loss, and higher crime rates compared to the state average. Unemployment and poverty levels remain significantly higher in these cities, which have also seen their property values and middle class populations decrease relative to other areas in Massachusetts over the past several decades since the decline of manufacturing. The document analyzes population, economic, crime, and other data trends in 14 Massachusetts cities to assess their progress since a previous 2006 report.
Jamestown Latin America Trends + Views Urbanization Trends in Latin AmericaFerhat Guven
Our latest “Trends and Views” piece addresses the concept of urbanization in Latin America,
and its potential impact on the region’s real estate market.
Jamestown Latin America Trends + Views: Urbanization in Latin AmericaFerhat Guven
The document discusses urbanization trends in Latin America and their implications for the housing market. It notes that Latin America is the most urbanized developing region, with over 80% of the population living in cities. Rapid urbanization has been driven by economic opportunities and quality of life factors in cities. However, urbanization has also created challenges around infrastructure, housing shortages, and inequality. The real estate market has grown in response to demand from urban populations but still faces issues around affordability and supply.
Population Estimates, August 2015 SnapshotARCResearch
The Atlanta region population grew by 60,300 people between 2014 and 2015 to a total of 4,332,600 residents in 2015. Gwinnett County had the largest growth over this period, adding 15,700 new residents. While population growth has rebounded since 2010, the annual growth rate remains below historical levels from 1990 to 2010. Residential building permits, a key indicator of future population growth, have also remained well below their 30-year average of 35,000 permits per year. Areas with high concentrations of new residential building permits, especially single family homes, correspond to areas experiencing the greatest population increases per square mile between 2010 and 2015.
The document provides an overview of fiscal and economic factors related to the City of Albany, New York. It discusses that Albany is the capital of New York State and home to many state government offices and properties that are tax exempt. This reduces the city's tax base. The document also notes that Albany has higher than average poverty rates that increase demand for social services. It summarizes population trends, economic indicators like income and unemployment, the city's tax base, revenues, and expenditures.
July Snapshot: Employment Trends & Establishment Growth in Metro Atlanta ARCResearch
This document summarizes employment and business trends in the Atlanta region. Some key findings include:
1) Atlanta ranks 2nd among 12 major metros in relative job growth over the past year, adding jobs at a faster rate than the national average.
2) Several outer suburban counties like Forsyth, Henry, and Paulding have seen the largest increases in employees and business establishments since 2000, experiencing strong population and economic growth.
3) Small businesses, defined as having 0-49 employees, make up around 24% of all businesses in Atlanta and are clustered in exurban areas, though they receive a smaller share of total payroll compared to other major cities.
Williamson County, Texas: Changing Demographics and Implications of GrowthCivic Analytics LLC
Williamson County is growing rapidly due to migration from other areas, especially Travis County. The population is becoming more diverse, with the Hispanic population projected to be over half of new residents in the next 20 years. This presents challenges around education and income inequality but also opportunities if inclusive economic development policies are pursued. Growth represents both challenges and opportunities for Williamson County to leverage as it takes on a more prominent role in the Austin region.
Austin is experiencing rapid population growth, averaging 49% each decade since the 1960s. This growth is fueled mainly by domestic migration, as 61% of new households moving to Austin come from other parts of Texas. Key factors attracting newcomers include a strong economy with 13.9% job growth since 2009, second only to Nashville. While housing costs in Austin remain competitive for now, affordability is declining with median home prices rising 65% in the last decade. High-paying jobs in technology, engineering, healthcare and education are contributing to Austin's status as an attractive place to live and work.
The document is a summary and analysis of data from the 2021 Regional Snapshot report by the Atlanta Regional Commission comparing socioeconomic metrics of the Atlanta metro area to the other largest 100 metro areas in the US. Some key points:
- Atlanta ranked 7th in total jobs in 2020 despite losing 157.5K jobs due to the pandemic, down from 9th in 2019.
- Atlanta ranked 4th in population growth since 2010 and 5th in building permits issued in 2019.
- The metro area ranks more middle of the pack for metrics like income, housing costs, and health insurance rates.
- Atlanta ranks 77th for percentage of white population and 6th for population under age 19, indicating a
Jamestown Latin America Trends + Views Urbanization Trends in Latin AmericaFerhat Guven
Our latest “Trends and Views” piece addresses the concept of urbanization in Latin America,
and its potential impact on the region’s real estate market.
Jamestown Latin America Trends + Views: Urbanization in Latin AmericaFerhat Guven
The document discusses urbanization trends in Latin America and their implications for the housing market. It notes that Latin America is the most urbanized developing region, with over 80% of the population living in cities. Rapid urbanization has been driven by economic opportunities and quality of life factors in cities. However, urbanization has also created challenges around infrastructure, housing shortages, and inequality. The real estate market has grown in response to demand from urban populations but still faces issues around affordability and supply.
Population Estimates, August 2015 SnapshotARCResearch
The Atlanta region population grew by 60,300 people between 2014 and 2015 to a total of 4,332,600 residents in 2015. Gwinnett County had the largest growth over this period, adding 15,700 new residents. While population growth has rebounded since 2010, the annual growth rate remains below historical levels from 1990 to 2010. Residential building permits, a key indicator of future population growth, have also remained well below their 30-year average of 35,000 permits per year. Areas with high concentrations of new residential building permits, especially single family homes, correspond to areas experiencing the greatest population increases per square mile between 2010 and 2015.
The document provides an overview of fiscal and economic factors related to the City of Albany, New York. It discusses that Albany is the capital of New York State and home to many state government offices and properties that are tax exempt. This reduces the city's tax base. The document also notes that Albany has higher than average poverty rates that increase demand for social services. It summarizes population trends, economic indicators like income and unemployment, the city's tax base, revenues, and expenditures.
July Snapshot: Employment Trends & Establishment Growth in Metro Atlanta ARCResearch
This document summarizes employment and business trends in the Atlanta region. Some key findings include:
1) Atlanta ranks 2nd among 12 major metros in relative job growth over the past year, adding jobs at a faster rate than the national average.
2) Several outer suburban counties like Forsyth, Henry, and Paulding have seen the largest increases in employees and business establishments since 2000, experiencing strong population and economic growth.
3) Small businesses, defined as having 0-49 employees, make up around 24% of all businesses in Atlanta and are clustered in exurban areas, though they receive a smaller share of total payroll compared to other major cities.
Williamson County, Texas: Changing Demographics and Implications of GrowthCivic Analytics LLC
Williamson County is growing rapidly due to migration from other areas, especially Travis County. The population is becoming more diverse, with the Hispanic population projected to be over half of new residents in the next 20 years. This presents challenges around education and income inequality but also opportunities if inclusive economic development policies are pursued. Growth represents both challenges and opportunities for Williamson County to leverage as it takes on a more prominent role in the Austin region.
Austin is experiencing rapid population growth, averaging 49% each decade since the 1960s. This growth is fueled mainly by domestic migration, as 61% of new households moving to Austin come from other parts of Texas. Key factors attracting newcomers include a strong economy with 13.9% job growth since 2009, second only to Nashville. While housing costs in Austin remain competitive for now, affordability is declining with median home prices rising 65% in the last decade. High-paying jobs in technology, engineering, healthcare and education are contributing to Austin's status as an attractive place to live and work.
The document is a summary and analysis of data from the 2021 Regional Snapshot report by the Atlanta Regional Commission comparing socioeconomic metrics of the Atlanta metro area to the other largest 100 metro areas in the US. Some key points:
- Atlanta ranked 7th in total jobs in 2020 despite losing 157.5K jobs due to the pandemic, down from 9th in 2019.
- Atlanta ranked 4th in population growth since 2010 and 5th in building permits issued in 2019.
- The metro area ranks more middle of the pack for metrics like income, housing costs, and health insurance rates.
- Atlanta ranks 77th for percentage of white population and 6th for population under age 19, indicating a
The document discusses how work has changed throughout history and current challenges. Prior to the Industrial Revolution, most people worked in small businesses or agriculture. The Industrial Revolution transformed the economy and relationship between capital and labor through large factories. In the 20th century, labor unions gained strength but have since declined from over 30% of workers to around 10% today. New technologies have increased productivity but also disrupted the relationship between capital and labor. The future of work will look very different than today as technologies change the workforce.
China's population growth has slowed dramatically in recent decades due to its very low fertility rate of 1.4 children per woman, well below replacement level. This is causing China's population to rapidly age. Younger populations are declining while older populations are increasing faster than projected. In addition, more Chinese are pursuing higher education, reducing the supply of young workers. As a result, China faces challenges around a declining and aging workforce, as well as fiscal challenges supporting its growing elderly population. This demographic shift will require substantial economic and policy changes for China.
The Transition and Revitalization Commission created a report envisioning Plano's future that addressed major challenges including flattening revenues, changing demographics, being a first-tier suburb, and regional growth. The vision centered on adding density nodes at strategic locations to provide a physical structure for goals like more transportation options, community centers, and sustainable economic conditions. The report recommended identifying areas for density nodes, considering density bonuses, supporting infill, adding community spaces, accepting higher densities and mixed-use in some areas, and enhancing transportation options.
The City has exhausted 93 percent of
its Constitutional Tax Limit, and can
only raise an additional $505,000
through property taxes, limiting its
financial flexibility.
Pop estimates 2018_to_post_online_finalARCResearch
The Atlanta region population grew by 75,800 people from 2017 to 2018, a slower rate than the previous year but still strong. Fulton County saw the largest growth at 17,570 new residents. Building permit levels, while down from the previous two years, are recovering from post-recession lows. Most new residential development is occurring in the northern suburbs, while the city of Atlanta is experiencing increased density through multi-family development.
Economic Growth in Central Texas: The Promise and Reality of Prosperity in ou...Civic Analytics LLC
The document discusses economic growth in Austin, Texas. It finds that Austin has experienced rapid population growth in recent decades, ranking 11th nationally since 2000, primarily due to domestic migration from other parts of Texas and other states. This growth has been fueled by a strong tech sector and job market. However, concerns are raised that not all residents have benefited equally from the economic expansion, and that infrastructure and housing affordability challenges threaten future sustainability unless addressed. The discussion section focuses on improving education levels and workforce training to ensure inclusive economic participation.
This document discusses urbanization trends globally and examines why some countries have undergone rapid urbanization without corresponding increases in GDP per capita. It notes that while cities were historically symbols of wealth and power, many of today's largest megacities have emerged in developing countries without significant economic growth. Maps and data from the UN show urban growth rates over 3% concentrated in Asia and Africa since 1990. The top contributors to projected urban population increases by 2050 will be China, India, Nigeria and other developing nations across a wide range of income levels. This suggests urbanization has become decoupled from national wealth, with potential risks for poor megacities lacking strong institutions.
The document provides a state of the community report for Harlingen, Texas from 2012. It analyzes trends in Harlingen's population, economy, and land use over time. For population, the report examines demographic changes and projects growth among ethnic groups. It finds the Hispanic population will continue slowly growing while the white population may decline. For the economy, it analyzes employment and industry trends. Health care and government are major industries, though manufacturing has declined. Housing costs have risen slightly above inflation. The report suggests ways Harlingen can strengthen its diversity and economy through job training programs and attracting new industries.
Metro Atlanta Cost of Living, 2021 UpdateARCResearch
The document summarizes key findings about the cost of living in Metro Atlanta compared to other major metro areas:
- Metro Atlanta's overall cost of living is slightly above the national average, with a cost of living index score of 101.3. Housing costs are higher in Atlanta than some peer cities, but utility costs are much lower, offsetting the higher housing costs.
- The salaries needed to maintain an equivalent standard of living on a $50,000 salary vary greatly between metro areas. A similar salary in New York would need to be over $120,000, while in Dallas it would need to be just over $53,000.
- Housing, both home prices and rents, are a major
The document summarizes statistics about Austin, Texas that show the city has experienced significant population and job growth over the past decade and a half. However, it also notes that most of the new jobs created require only a high school diploma or less and do not pay enough to afford median rents in Austin. Additionally, there are disparities in educational attainment between racial/ethnic groups that are limiting access to well-paying jobs for many Austin residents. Unless these gaps are addressed, socioeconomic segregation is likely to increase as the cost of living rises.
The document discusses the history and importance of census taking in Canada from its origins in New France to the present day. It summarizes the key events and impacts of eliminating the mandatory long-form census in Canada in 2010. Specifically, it notes that replacing the long-form census with a voluntary survey resulted in lower response rates, less reliable data, and significant negative impacts for policymaking and local governments. The decision has hampered the ability of all levels of government to develop effective policies and plan services.
Housing Affordability in Metro Atlanta: It's ComplicatedARCResearch
The document discusses various ways to measure housing affordability in metro Atlanta. It analyzes data on home prices, sales prices, the housing opportunity index, and the percentage of income spent on housing and transportation costs. While metro Atlanta has relatively affordable home prices, affordability depends on factors like income, transportation costs, and whether households are renters or owners. Maps show that areas with lower incomes and higher poverty rates also tend to have less affordable housing costs as a percentage of income.
2020 Regional Snapshot: 100 Metros Dashboard ARCResearch
The Research & Analytics Group recently launched a new and vastly improved version of its 100 Metros Data Dashboard. This Tableau tool incorporates data from the 2018 American Community Survey 1-year and other federal sources. It enables easy access to interactive rankings of the top 10 major metros, across data in topic areas such as demographics, economics, health, and housing.
This document summarizes and compares the communities of Duquesne, Pennsylvania and East Liberty, Pittsburgh from 2010 to present day. In 2010, both communities struggled with poverty, crime, and the negative effects of urban sprawl. However, since 2010 East Liberty has undergone significant revitalization due to large companies like Google moving in, attracting other businesses, and renovating housing. It has become a thriving urban neighborhood once again. In contrast, Duquesne has seen little new investment or development and remains impoverished. The document argues for faith-based community organizing around policies of regionalism to advocate for revitalization in neglected inner-ring suburbs like Duquesne.
The housing market in metro Atlanta is recovering from the recession, with home prices rising in many counties but still below pre-recession levels overall. Building permit activity has increased since 2012 but remains well below pre-recession levels. The highest home prices and rents are concentrated in northern suburbs like Fulton and Forsyth counties.
2015 was a banner year for the Greater San Marcos region with major new announcements and jobs. What will the next year bring for our region as we work to grow by design rather than by default? Hear from business leaders and industry experts about new developments and opportunities for the most dynamic corridor in the U.S.!
Keynote Speaker: Critically Acclaimed Global Urban Studies Thought-Leader and "America's Uber-Geographer" by the New York Times - Mr. Joel Kotkin
Panel Presentation: "Deal of the Year" - [Project Endurance] Amazon.com, Inc. - Fulfillment Center (video link available here: https://vimeo.com/165896341)
Metro Atlanta's economy is recovering strongly from the pandemic, with job levels now only slightly below pre-pandemic levels. However, inflation is high, driven by increased transportation costs, and wages have not kept pace. The labor market is extremely tight, with many job openings but few job seekers. Housing costs remain high due to low inventory levels and rents are increasing. While most sectors have rebounded, employment in food and accommodation remains well below pre-pandemic levels. Financial insecurity persists for many in the region.
This document summarizes key population data from the 2011 Indian Census regarding urban areas in India. Some of the key points include:
- There are over 377 million people living in urban areas in India, comprising 31.16% of the total population.
- The largest urban areas are the three mega cities of Greater Mumbai, Delhi, and Kolkata, with populations over 10 million each.
- 53 urban areas have populations over 1 million each, known as Million Plus Cities, containing 42.6% of India's urban population.
- Literacy rates are higher in urban versus rural areas of India, though there is still a gap between male and female literacy nationally.
- Wage growth in metro Atlanta has stagnated since 2010, especially in middle-wage jobs. Compared to peer metro areas, growth in middle-wage occupations in metro Atlanta is lagging significantly.
- While wages are down across all categories in metro Atlanta and similar cities, middle-wage occupations have experienced almost no growth since 2010.
- Of the top job postings in metro Atlanta, only 5 of the most in-demand occupations fall within the middle-income band, indicating a majority are high- or low-wage occupations. The largest concentrations of middle-income residents in metro Atlanta are located in the exurban fringe and suburbs, not within the City of Atlanta.
The document discusses different types of urban settlements according to size, shape, function, and location. It describes nucleated, linear, and dispersed settlement shapes. Industrial towns, market towns, ports, and seaside resorts are discussed according to function. Rural settlements are contrasted with urban settlements based on demographics, land usage, population density, transportation, and economic dependencies. Rapid urbanization in developing countries and the growth of megacities are also summarized.
Urbanization is the growth of urban areas due to global population changes. The UN projects that half the world's population will live in urban areas by 2008. Urbanization is closely linked to modernization, industrialization, and sociological changes. It describes both the proportion of people living in urban areas and the rate of increase of urban populations over time. As more people move from rural to urban areas in search of jobs and opportunities, global urban growth is rapid, especially in developing countries and Asia/Africa. This urbanization leads to environmental effects like urban heat islands and increased pollution in cities.
The document discusses how work has changed throughout history and current challenges. Prior to the Industrial Revolution, most people worked in small businesses or agriculture. The Industrial Revolution transformed the economy and relationship between capital and labor through large factories. In the 20th century, labor unions gained strength but have since declined from over 30% of workers to around 10% today. New technologies have increased productivity but also disrupted the relationship between capital and labor. The future of work will look very different than today as technologies change the workforce.
China's population growth has slowed dramatically in recent decades due to its very low fertility rate of 1.4 children per woman, well below replacement level. This is causing China's population to rapidly age. Younger populations are declining while older populations are increasing faster than projected. In addition, more Chinese are pursuing higher education, reducing the supply of young workers. As a result, China faces challenges around a declining and aging workforce, as well as fiscal challenges supporting its growing elderly population. This demographic shift will require substantial economic and policy changes for China.
The Transition and Revitalization Commission created a report envisioning Plano's future that addressed major challenges including flattening revenues, changing demographics, being a first-tier suburb, and regional growth. The vision centered on adding density nodes at strategic locations to provide a physical structure for goals like more transportation options, community centers, and sustainable economic conditions. The report recommended identifying areas for density nodes, considering density bonuses, supporting infill, adding community spaces, accepting higher densities and mixed-use in some areas, and enhancing transportation options.
The City has exhausted 93 percent of
its Constitutional Tax Limit, and can
only raise an additional $505,000
through property taxes, limiting its
financial flexibility.
Pop estimates 2018_to_post_online_finalARCResearch
The Atlanta region population grew by 75,800 people from 2017 to 2018, a slower rate than the previous year but still strong. Fulton County saw the largest growth at 17,570 new residents. Building permit levels, while down from the previous two years, are recovering from post-recession lows. Most new residential development is occurring in the northern suburbs, while the city of Atlanta is experiencing increased density through multi-family development.
Economic Growth in Central Texas: The Promise and Reality of Prosperity in ou...Civic Analytics LLC
The document discusses economic growth in Austin, Texas. It finds that Austin has experienced rapid population growth in recent decades, ranking 11th nationally since 2000, primarily due to domestic migration from other parts of Texas and other states. This growth has been fueled by a strong tech sector and job market. However, concerns are raised that not all residents have benefited equally from the economic expansion, and that infrastructure and housing affordability challenges threaten future sustainability unless addressed. The discussion section focuses on improving education levels and workforce training to ensure inclusive economic participation.
This document discusses urbanization trends globally and examines why some countries have undergone rapid urbanization without corresponding increases in GDP per capita. It notes that while cities were historically symbols of wealth and power, many of today's largest megacities have emerged in developing countries without significant economic growth. Maps and data from the UN show urban growth rates over 3% concentrated in Asia and Africa since 1990. The top contributors to projected urban population increases by 2050 will be China, India, Nigeria and other developing nations across a wide range of income levels. This suggests urbanization has become decoupled from national wealth, with potential risks for poor megacities lacking strong institutions.
The document provides a state of the community report for Harlingen, Texas from 2012. It analyzes trends in Harlingen's population, economy, and land use over time. For population, the report examines demographic changes and projects growth among ethnic groups. It finds the Hispanic population will continue slowly growing while the white population may decline. For the economy, it analyzes employment and industry trends. Health care and government are major industries, though manufacturing has declined. Housing costs have risen slightly above inflation. The report suggests ways Harlingen can strengthen its diversity and economy through job training programs and attracting new industries.
Metro Atlanta Cost of Living, 2021 UpdateARCResearch
The document summarizes key findings about the cost of living in Metro Atlanta compared to other major metro areas:
- Metro Atlanta's overall cost of living is slightly above the national average, with a cost of living index score of 101.3. Housing costs are higher in Atlanta than some peer cities, but utility costs are much lower, offsetting the higher housing costs.
- The salaries needed to maintain an equivalent standard of living on a $50,000 salary vary greatly between metro areas. A similar salary in New York would need to be over $120,000, while in Dallas it would need to be just over $53,000.
- Housing, both home prices and rents, are a major
The document summarizes statistics about Austin, Texas that show the city has experienced significant population and job growth over the past decade and a half. However, it also notes that most of the new jobs created require only a high school diploma or less and do not pay enough to afford median rents in Austin. Additionally, there are disparities in educational attainment between racial/ethnic groups that are limiting access to well-paying jobs for many Austin residents. Unless these gaps are addressed, socioeconomic segregation is likely to increase as the cost of living rises.
The document discusses the history and importance of census taking in Canada from its origins in New France to the present day. It summarizes the key events and impacts of eliminating the mandatory long-form census in Canada in 2010. Specifically, it notes that replacing the long-form census with a voluntary survey resulted in lower response rates, less reliable data, and significant negative impacts for policymaking and local governments. The decision has hampered the ability of all levels of government to develop effective policies and plan services.
Housing Affordability in Metro Atlanta: It's ComplicatedARCResearch
The document discusses various ways to measure housing affordability in metro Atlanta. It analyzes data on home prices, sales prices, the housing opportunity index, and the percentage of income spent on housing and transportation costs. While metro Atlanta has relatively affordable home prices, affordability depends on factors like income, transportation costs, and whether households are renters or owners. Maps show that areas with lower incomes and higher poverty rates also tend to have less affordable housing costs as a percentage of income.
2020 Regional Snapshot: 100 Metros Dashboard ARCResearch
The Research & Analytics Group recently launched a new and vastly improved version of its 100 Metros Data Dashboard. This Tableau tool incorporates data from the 2018 American Community Survey 1-year and other federal sources. It enables easy access to interactive rankings of the top 10 major metros, across data in topic areas such as demographics, economics, health, and housing.
This document summarizes and compares the communities of Duquesne, Pennsylvania and East Liberty, Pittsburgh from 2010 to present day. In 2010, both communities struggled with poverty, crime, and the negative effects of urban sprawl. However, since 2010 East Liberty has undergone significant revitalization due to large companies like Google moving in, attracting other businesses, and renovating housing. It has become a thriving urban neighborhood once again. In contrast, Duquesne has seen little new investment or development and remains impoverished. The document argues for faith-based community organizing around policies of regionalism to advocate for revitalization in neglected inner-ring suburbs like Duquesne.
The housing market in metro Atlanta is recovering from the recession, with home prices rising in many counties but still below pre-recession levels overall. Building permit activity has increased since 2012 but remains well below pre-recession levels. The highest home prices and rents are concentrated in northern suburbs like Fulton and Forsyth counties.
2015 was a banner year for the Greater San Marcos region with major new announcements and jobs. What will the next year bring for our region as we work to grow by design rather than by default? Hear from business leaders and industry experts about new developments and opportunities for the most dynamic corridor in the U.S.!
Keynote Speaker: Critically Acclaimed Global Urban Studies Thought-Leader and "America's Uber-Geographer" by the New York Times - Mr. Joel Kotkin
Panel Presentation: "Deal of the Year" - [Project Endurance] Amazon.com, Inc. - Fulfillment Center (video link available here: https://vimeo.com/165896341)
Metro Atlanta's economy is recovering strongly from the pandemic, with job levels now only slightly below pre-pandemic levels. However, inflation is high, driven by increased transportation costs, and wages have not kept pace. The labor market is extremely tight, with many job openings but few job seekers. Housing costs remain high due to low inventory levels and rents are increasing. While most sectors have rebounded, employment in food and accommodation remains well below pre-pandemic levels. Financial insecurity persists for many in the region.
This document summarizes key population data from the 2011 Indian Census regarding urban areas in India. Some of the key points include:
- There are over 377 million people living in urban areas in India, comprising 31.16% of the total population.
- The largest urban areas are the three mega cities of Greater Mumbai, Delhi, and Kolkata, with populations over 10 million each.
- 53 urban areas have populations over 1 million each, known as Million Plus Cities, containing 42.6% of India's urban population.
- Literacy rates are higher in urban versus rural areas of India, though there is still a gap between male and female literacy nationally.
- Wage growth in metro Atlanta has stagnated since 2010, especially in middle-wage jobs. Compared to peer metro areas, growth in middle-wage occupations in metro Atlanta is lagging significantly.
- While wages are down across all categories in metro Atlanta and similar cities, middle-wage occupations have experienced almost no growth since 2010.
- Of the top job postings in metro Atlanta, only 5 of the most in-demand occupations fall within the middle-income band, indicating a majority are high- or low-wage occupations. The largest concentrations of middle-income residents in metro Atlanta are located in the exurban fringe and suburbs, not within the City of Atlanta.
The document discusses different types of urban settlements according to size, shape, function, and location. It describes nucleated, linear, and dispersed settlement shapes. Industrial towns, market towns, ports, and seaside resorts are discussed according to function. Rural settlements are contrasted with urban settlements based on demographics, land usage, population density, transportation, and economic dependencies. Rapid urbanization in developing countries and the growth of megacities are also summarized.
Urbanization is the growth of urban areas due to global population changes. The UN projects that half the world's population will live in urban areas by 2008. Urbanization is closely linked to modernization, industrialization, and sociological changes. It describes both the proportion of people living in urban areas and the rate of increase of urban populations over time. As more people move from rural to urban areas in search of jobs and opportunities, global urban growth is rapid, especially in developing countries and Asia/Africa. This urbanization leads to environmental effects like urban heat islands and increased pollution in cities.
141C H A P T E R S I X!Curing the Rust BeltNeo.docxmoggdede
141
C H A P T E R S I X
!
Curing the Rust Belt?
Neoliberal Health Care, Class,
and Race in Mansfield, Ohio
Alison D. Goebel
In 1966, the Mansfield City Directory boasted that this small north cen-
tral Ohio city had the second highest average family income in the state.1
Though smaller than the state capital, Columbus, and the major industrial
cities of Cleveland, Cincinnati, Akron, Canton, Toledo, and Youngstown,
Mansfielders enjoyed all the benefits of big city living. By 1970, unemploy-
ment was at 4.4 percent and over 40 percent of Mansfield’s 55,000 working
residents labored in manufacturing. Another 25 percent were employed in
the banking, real estate, educational, and health professions that developed
alongside the factories, and close to 35 percent worked in the retail and
service industries that served Mansfield’s blue and white collared workers.2
Mansfield’s high income levels sustained numerous department stores, three
regional train lines, jazz clubs, bars, restaurants, four movie theaters, rigorous
public schools, competitive youth athletic programs, and solid rates of new
housing development. Located halfway between Columbus, and Cleveland,
Mansfield seemed to be the perfect alternative to the volatility of large post-
war cities and the conformity found within their growing suburbs. Seeing
themselves as a smaller, better paid version of a quintessential metropolis,
such facts of prosperity and success were important for Mansfielders in un-
derstanding themselves and their small city.
Four decades later, residents struggled to reconcile the image of Mansfield as
it once was with what it had become in the new millennium. By 2008, Man-
sfield was among the poorer cities in Ohio with high rates of unemployment,
10_440_Ch06.indd 14110_440_Ch06.indd 141 7/8/10 9:25 AM7/8/10 9:25 AM
142 ! Alison D. Goebel
spiking numbers of housing foreclosures, a shrinking city government budget,
public schools in academic emergency, and an aging population.3 Like many
cities in the industrial midwest, Mansfield has struggled to regain its footing
since the 1980s and 1990s when factory after factory downsized or closed and
thousands of unionized workers were left underemployed and often without
any work. Mansfield’s recent history hews to the standard story told of deindus-
trialization which emphasizes the devastating effects of capital withdrawal, de-
clining community wealth, and a decaying built environment. And rightfully
so; communities throughout the industrial northeast and midwest have been
completely decimated socially and economically by the widespread closure of
factories and continue to be further challenged by the imploding auto industry.
Yet such a rendering of the post-Fordist economy, particularly as experienced
by small cities within the United States and Canada, elides several key de-
velopments. New industries have been sprouting in deindustrializing North
America even as manufactu ...
The document provides a partial plan update for the City of Jackson from 2010 to 2014. It includes sections on demographics, quality community objectives, areas requiring special attention, issues and opportunities, goals and policies, and an implementation program. Key points include a decreasing population projection from 3,835 in 2010 to 3,636 in 2030, an aging population with the largest age group being 65 and over, and industries like manufacturing and construction being major employers but negatively impacted by the recession. The document analyzes trends and makes recommendations to attract residents, boost education levels, and recruit new jobs.
The document provides information on the Hispanic population and market in the Pacific Northwest region of the United States. It discusses:
1) The large and growing Hispanic population in the region, particularly in Washington and Oregon, with over 50% growth in Washington between 2000-2013 and 64% growth in Oregon between 2000-2010.
2) Spending power and retail spending of Hispanics in key metropolitan areas of the region, with Hispanic retail spending reaching hundreds of millions of dollars annually in Seattle, Portland, and Yakima.
3) The diverse acculturation levels of Hispanics in the region and considerations for businesses in marketing and communicating cross-culturally to the Hispanic population.
1. The document discusses trends in downtown populations and households in major U.S. cities between 1970-2008, finding that while overall U.S. population growth is slowing, some downtowns are growing faster than their cities through redevelopment and annexation.
2. Cities are categorized in 2005 based on their downtown's development as fully developed, emerging, on the edge of takeoff, slow-growing, or declining, and revisited in 2008 to see how they changed.
3. Case studies of downtown populations and households in Charlotte, Cincinnati, and Orlando between 1970-2008 show examples of growth through new development and investments.
Urban planning and management in cities is affected by a country's level of economic development. In less developed countries, rapid urbanization strains infrastructure and services, requiring intervention. Examples show more developed countries better able to plan urban growth. France implemented the Schema Directeur plan between 1970-2000 to develop new towns around Paris and improve transport. While somewhat successful, problems remain like unemployment and vacant land. Mumbai grew rapidly from 2.9 to 24.3 million from 1950-2010 due to rural migration. Russia transitioned in the 1990s from a centrally planned to market economy after communism, facing difficulties. Under Stalin, five-year plans directed the Soviet economy but modifications were needed between 1953-1987.
Does Anyone Care about the Poor The Role of Redistributi.docxpoulterbarbara
Does Anyone Care about the Poor? The Role of Redistribution in Mayoral Policy Agendas
Author(s): J. Wesley Leckrone, Michelle Atherton, Nicole Crossey, Andrea Stickley and
Meghan E. Rubado
Source: State & Local Government Review, Vol. 47, No. 4, Special Issue: Economic
Polarization and Challenges to Subnational Governments (December 2015), pp. 240-254
Published by: Sage Publications, Inc.
Stable URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/24640422
Accessed: 10-06-2020 16:15 UTC
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Article
Does Anyone Care about
the Poor? The Role of
Redistribution in Mayoral
Policy Agendas
State and Local Government Review
2015, Vol. 47(4) 240-254
) The Author(s) 2016
rvepnncs ana permission:
sagepub.com/journalsPermissions.nav
DOI: 10.1177/0160323X15624473
slgr.sagepub.com
(ISAGE
J. Wesley Leckrone1, Michelle Atherton2,
Nicole Crossey1, Andrea Stickley3,
and Meghan E. Rubado4
Abstract
Income inequality is widening in the United States, particularly in large cities. This study analyzes
whether mayors address this issue through redistributive policies or economic development. State
of the City addresses from 45 of the 50 largest cities were examined using the Policy Agendas
framework. The findings show that mayors favor economic development over redistribution. There
is no evidence that demographic characteristics of cities affect a mayor's attention to social welfare
programs. Mayors focusing on economic development come from poorer and more conservative
cities. A large negative effect is found on economic development attention for segregated and highly
nonwhite cities.
Keywords
income inequality, State of the City speeches, city policy agendas, mayors, poverty
Introduction
The populations of many major cities in the
United States have begun to grow again. This
has been driven primarily by an educated, afflu
ent professional class that likes the diversity
and cultural life of cities (Clark et al. 2002;
Nielsen 2014). Gentrification has demographic
consequences as new arrivals often displace
lower-income groups that have been part of the
city population through the years of decline
(Sturtevant 2014). The income gap between
these groups has the potential to lead to policy
conflict. However, research.
Does Anyone Care about the Poor The Role of Redistributihirstcruz
Does Anyone Care about the Poor? The Role of Redistribution in Mayoral Policy Agendas
Author(s): J. Wesley Leckrone, Michelle Atherton, Nicole Crossey, Andrea Stickley and
Meghan E. Rubado
Source: State & Local Government Review, Vol. 47, No. 4, Special Issue: Economic
Polarization and Challenges to Subnational Governments (December 2015), pp. 240-254
Published by: Sage Publications, Inc.
Stable URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/24640422
Accessed: 10-06-2020 16:15 UTC
JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide
range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and
facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]
Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at
https://about.jstor.org/terms
Sage Publications, Inc. is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to
State & Local Government Review
This content downloaded from 107.182.72.224 on Wed, 10 Jun 2020 16:15:35 UTC
All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms
Article
Does Anyone Care about
the Poor? The Role of
Redistribution in Mayoral
Policy Agendas
State and Local Government Review
2015, Vol. 47(4) 240-254
) The Author(s) 2016
rvepnncs ana permission:
sagepub.com/journalsPermissions.nav
DOI: 10.1177/0160323X15624473
slgr.sagepub.com
(ISAGE
J. Wesley Leckrone1, Michelle Atherton2,
Nicole Crossey1, Andrea Stickley3,
and Meghan E. Rubado4
Abstract
Income inequality is widening in the United States, particularly in large cities. This study analyzes
whether mayors address this issue through redistributive policies or economic development. State
of the City addresses from 45 of the 50 largest cities were examined using the Policy Agendas
framework. The findings show that mayors favor economic development over redistribution. There
is no evidence that demographic characteristics of cities affect a mayor's attention to social welfare
programs. Mayors focusing on economic development come from poorer and more conservative
cities. A large negative effect is found on economic development attention for segregated and highly
nonwhite cities.
Keywords
income inequality, State of the City speeches, city policy agendas, mayors, poverty
Introduction
The populations of many major cities in the
United States have begun to grow again. This
has been driven primarily by an educated, afflu
ent professional class that likes the diversity
and cultural life of cities (Clark et al. 2002;
Nielsen 2014). Gentrification has demographic
consequences as new arrivals often displace
lower-income groups that have been part of the
city population through the years of decline
(Sturtevant 2014). The income gap between
these groups has the potential to lead to policy
conflict. However, research ...
C H A P T E R9METROPOLITAN PROBLEMSRacism, Poverty, Crime, H.docxhumphrieskalyn
C H A P T E R
9
METROPOLITAN PROBLEMS
Racism, Poverty, Crime, Housing, and Fiscal Crisis
ntil recently, urban problems were city problems. That is no longer the case as the
issues once associated with the large, compact settlement form have spread out, like
the metropolitan population and its economic activities, to characterize the entire urban
region. In the late 1960s and 1970s, especially during President Johnson’s Great
Society, urban problems were defined almost exclusively as those involving racial segregation,
poverty, violent crime, and drugs. Now, in the first decade of the twenty-first
century, poverty, unemployment, foreclosures, and homelessness, as well as the severe
economic recession itself, are particular issues of concern. As the attention of the federal
government in Washington, D.C., focuses on the major issues of the economy
and health care, the nation’s state governments seem to be ignored. Consequently,
adding to our other urban ills, we currently face more intense fiscal crises and their
impact on local public services and infrastructure.
Was there ever a baseline in America against which the problems of today can be
measured? As in the other industrialized capitalist countries of Europe, the quality of
urban life with the advent of capitalism in the 1800s was severe for all but the
wealthy. Early photographic images of American cities at the turn of the last century
feature overcrowding: immense traffic jams of primitive Model-T automobiles mixed
in with horse-drawn carts, tenements teeming with immigrants, and crowds of children
swarming across city streets. Until after World War II, city life in the United
States was plagued by frequent public health crises such as cholera outbreaks, high infant
mortality rates, alcoholism, domestic violence, street gang activity, and crime. For
much of our history, then, city life has been virtually synonymous with social problems.
Yet we know now that these same problems—crime, disease, family breakup—
are experienced everywhere.
The sociologists of the early Chicago School, in the 1920s and 1930s, believed that
the move to the city was accompanied by social disorganization. While subsequent research
showed that this perception was inaccurate, people in the United States still
rank small and middle-size cities or suburbs as providing the highest quality of life and
209
U
remain overwhelmingly interested in living in suburbs, especially for couples with
small children. The negative perception of the large city provides the basis for varying
mental images of place. Yet we have also seen that there are many positive aspects of urban
living and that the early belief in the loss of community among migrants to the
city was unfounded.
In previous chapters, we have tried to show that problems that appear to afflict
individuals are caused in part by factors that we cannot readily see. Consequently, an
explanation for the social disorganization often viewed in an individual’s fate lies in
t ...
What cities make the best destinations for career-oriented professionals? How do locations stack up against each other?
Find out in the Career city index.
Rural settlements are influenced by three main factors:
1) Access to water supply, as a reliable source was essential for daily life. Settlements were located near water sources like rivers or aquifers.
2) Relief of the land, as flat land was easier to build on than steep slopes.
3) Avoidance of flood plains, with settlements built on higher river terraces above flood levels.
Urban populations grew rapidly in LEDCs from 1980-2020 due to natural increase and rural-urban migration. Natural increase was fueled by improved healthcare and sanitation. Migration occurred as people moved from rural poverty to opportunities in cities. In MEDCs, urban populations stagnated as people moved from
Due Thurs. 4-30-15 4pmPlease answer in 1 ½ two 2 paragraphs, be very.docxjacksnathalie
Due Thurs. 4-30-15 4pmPlease answer in 1 ½ two 2 paragraphs, be very detailed."Growing Cities" Please respond to the following:Based on the Webtext materials and article below, address the following:
Examine the main reasons why people are attracted to urban areas in the developing world, the problems they encounter once they arrive and the key issues that make this rural to urban migration such a difficult problem for governments to deal with.
A Report by the UN Population Fund
By Lisa Schlein and Joe De Capua
June 28, 2007
For humanity’s sake, developing world must prepare for soaring urbanization. In 2008, the world reaches an invisible but momentous milestone: for the first time in history, more than half its human population, 3.3 billion people, will be living in urban areas. By 2030, this is expected to swell to almost five billion. Many of the new urbanites will be poor. Their future, the future of cities in developing countries throughout the world, the future of humanity itself, all depend very much on decisions made now in preparation for this growth.
While the world’s urban population grew very rapidly (from 220 million to 2.8 billion) over the 20th century, the next few decades will see an unprecedented scale of urban growth in the developing world. This will be particularly notable in Africa and Asia where the urban population will double between 2000 and 2030: that is, the accumulated urban growth of these two regions during the whole span of history will be duplicated in a single generation. By 2030, the towns and cities of the developing world will make up 81 percent of our urban humanity.
The United Nation Population Fund, UN agency, says in a new report that humanity will have to undergo a “revolution in thinking” to deal with a doubling of urban populations in Africa and Asia. The UN continues to say that the number of people in African and Asian cities will grow by 1.7 billion by the year 2030. And worldwide, the number of city dwellers will reach five billion or 60 per cent of the world’s population. The report ‘State of the World Population 2007: Unleashing the Potential of Urban Growth’ says globally, all future population growth will take place in cities, nearly all of it in Africa, Asia and Latin America. “What’s more, the growth marks “a decisive shift from rural to urban growth, changing a balance that has lasted for millennia.”
The United Nations also warns that a doubling of urban populations in Africa and Asia by 2030 will have harmful consequences if governments do not prepare now for the coming growth. In this year's State of World Population report, the UN Population Fund says this unprecedented wave of urbanization offers potential opportunities or dismal failures. The report explains that next year, for the first time in history, more than half the world's population will be living in cities. It says that by 2030 almost five billion people will be urban dwellers. It says the populations in Af ...
The Problem of Urbanization Without Economic Growth - Bloomberg.pdfBiniyamBekele6
The document discusses a study that examined the relationship between urbanization and economic growth over the past 500 years. The study found:
1) Urbanization without accompanying economic growth has occurred periodically throughout history, not just in modern developing world cities.
2) In 1500, urbanization and growth had a weak connection, but by 1950 the relationship was stronger, led by advanced nations. Now poor countries are urbanizing rapidly.
3) In the past, mega-cities were evenly split between rich and poor nations, but since 1950 most mega-cities have been in developing world countries experiencing urbanization without commensurate growth.
Urbanization is increasing worldwide as more people migrate to cities. Rapid urbanization can outpace infrastructure development, leading to issues like inadequate housing and services. While urbanization brings economic and social benefits, it also causes environmental problems through land use changes, habitat loss, and pollution. Effective planning is needed to manage urban growth and development to reduce negative impacts on surrounding ecosystems.
The document provides an executive summary of a report on equity in the Metro Boston region. Some key findings from the report include:
- The Metro Boston region is becoming more racially and ethnically diverse, with the population aging and more residents being foreign-born.
- The region remains highly segregated, with over 60% of black/African American residents and roughly 60% of Latino residents needing to move to achieve complete integration with whites.
- Income inequality is high and growing in Metro Boston, with the richest fifth earning over 10 times the income of the poorest fifth. Black and Latino households also earn less than white households.
This document discusses transit-oriented development (TOD) in Los Angeles County. It finds that while TOD aims to address issues like congestion and sustainability, investments in transit have not been matched by investments in affordable housing. Communities near existing transit lines have lower incomes and higher poverty compared to the county overall, putting them at risk of displacement without affordability protections. The document recommends that Los Angeles County pursue policies to allow low- and middle-income residents to benefit from TOD, such as consistent mixed-use zoning, dedicating funding from sources like Measure R2 for affordable housing and homeownership programs, and identifying and protecting existing affordable housing near transit.
Between 1990 and 2010, Boston's foreign-born population grew from 114,597 to 167,311, now accounting for 26.7% of the city's population. Half of East Boston's residents are foreign-born, the highest rate of any neighborhood, while the North End has the lowest at under 11%. The top countries of origin for Boston's foreign-born residents are the Dominican Republic, China, and Haiti. Immigrants contribute economically through their spending, small businesses, and employment across various industries like healthcare and food services.
1. Ten Years Later:
Trends in Urban Redevelopment
by Aaron Beitman
Introduction
Massachusetts, like many other Eastern seaboard and Rust Belt states, has a
number of older cities that face serious challenges. These include significant
infrastructure degradation, higher structural costs of doing business, and
difficulties adapting to major shifts in the U.S. and global economies. As a
result, the hollowing out of municipal industrial and commercial bases and
the subsequent flight of the middle class have undermined the vitality and
functional purpose of these cities. In working to address these issues, local
officials have engaged the private sector as well as state and federal partners
to find solutions.
At the same time, Massachusetts is home to some of the most dynamic cities in
the U.S. Cambridge and Boston feature tremendous educational institutions,
healthy labor markets, innovative companies, and rapidly growing
populations. Smaller municipalities such as Waltham, Lexington, Somerville,
and Burlington are also developing quickly.
For Massachusetts’ struggling municipalities, characterized by continued
economic decline, weakened public institutions and population loss, the story
could hardly be different. During the 19th
and early 20th
centuries, the industrial
successes of these cities helped drive the U.S. economy. Since the mid-20th
century, however, they have had a reversal of fortune. Factories have closed
in large numbers, while commercial and financial institutions have packed up
and left town. In the wake of industrial decline, these cities have struggled to
reinvent themselves, even as surrounding communities have thrived,
attracting new businesses, cultivating local business opportunities, improving
educational outcomes, and maintaining safe neighborhoods. In these
struggling cities, we have observed a sclerosis of the political class,
deterioration of critical public services such as education, weakened public
order, and unacceptably high crime rates.
This report builds on a previous study by Pioneer Institute, “Rehabbing Urban
Redevelopment,” which in 2006 surveyed the same 14 Massachusetts cities
analyzed here. Pioneer subsequently issued a series of reports on economic
POLICYBRIEF
Center
for Economic
Opportunity
February
2016
Aaron Beitman holds a Ph.D. in political science from the University of
Minnesota and a Master’s degree from Georgetown University.
2. Ten Years Later: Trends in Urban Redevelopment
2
development, financial administration, education,
and public safety in these cities, which are sometimes
referred to as “weak market” or “gateway” cities.
While useful designations, we employ the term
“Middle Cities”1
to denote the functional “limbo,”
operational size and characteristics of the 14 cities
featured in this report.
The cities in our sample, after seismic shifts in
transportation and the economy, no longer have
a clear functional purpose, variously serving as
points of entry for immigrants, lower cost bedroom
communities, central loci for social services, and as
hubs for remaining industries. They are distant from
the realities of the thriving metropolitan area around
the capital and often lack political clout because
of Boston’s traditional power and the burgeoning
strength of suburban voters.
Employing the same methodology used in our first
paper, we define Middle Cities according to three
objective factors—population, income per capita,
and equalized valuation (i.e., “EQV,” a measure of
property value) per capita. We have allowed certain
exceptions based on two slightly more subjective
measures—geographical distribution and separation
from the Boston economy. We analyzed those cities
with populations greater than 40,000, income per
capita of less than $25,000, and EQV per capita
of less than $83,000. For the sake of geographical
distribution, we include Fitchburg and Pittsfield,
although the former is just above the population
cutoff and the latter has a higher per capita income
than our threshold.
Finally, the use of the term Middle Cities is meant
to distinguish our focus from that of the 26 state-
designated “gateway cities.” This paper focuses on
population, income, crime, education performance,
and fiscal health trends across the 14 cities. With “Ten
Years Later,” we hope to provide a report card on how
the Middle Cities are faring a decade after our last
analysis. In addition, our aim is to inform the current
policy discourse on redevelopment strategies in these
important cities so as to identify municipalities and
policy approaches that may serve as models for all
Middle Cities.
Population Growth and Stagnation
Since 1970, the total population of the Middle Cities
has not changed significantly. In 1970, there were
1.17 million residents in the 14 cities—in 2013, this
number was roughly the same. That said, there have
been large changes in the demographic make-up of
these communities. The immigrant populations in the
Middle Cities, for instance, have grown dramatically,
with a large influx of southeast Asians and Spanish-
and Portuguese-speaking immigrants. The case
of Springfield helps illustrate this shift: in 1960,
more than 90 percent of Springfield’s population
was white—in 2010, whites accounted for just 36.7
percent of the city’s population.2,3
As Figure 1 shows, the populations of Lawrence,
Leominster, Lowell, and Taunton have grown
significantly.” Lynn lost many residents in the 1970s,
but from 1970 to 2013 there has been little absolute
change in population in the city. Half the cities in the
sample have lost population over the last 40 years,
including Chicopee, Holyoke, Springfield, Pittsfield,
Fall River, New Bedford, and Fitchburg.4
Municipality 2013 % Change 1970-2013
Brockton 94,089 5.7%
Chicopee 55,717 -16.4%
Fall River 88,697 -8.5%
Fitchburg 40,383 -6.8%
Holyoke 40,249 -19.7%
Lawrence 77,657 16.1%
Leominster 41,002 24.5%
Lowell 108,861 15.5%
Lynn 91,589 1.4%
New Bedford 95,078 -6.6%
Pittsfield 44,057 -22.7%
Springfield 153,703 -6.2%
Taunton 56,069 28.1%
Worcester 182,544 3.4%
Middle Cities Total 1,169,695 -0.3%
State Total 6,692,824 17.6%
Figure 1. Middle City Populations
3. Pioneer Institute for Public Policy Research
3
A Diminished Middle Class
The Middle Cities’ economic downturn was linked
directly to the departure of manufacturing and other
vital industries, which in turn brought about the
precipitous decline of other key institutions. Unlike
municipalities in which the loss of businesses and
jobs was followed by an economic renaissance of
new small business creation, the Middle Cities have
by-and-large remained stagnant.
The flight of the middle class from the Middle Cities
and similar municipalities can be best described as a
brain drain and a loss of access to capital. Passage
of the 1977 Community Reinvestment Act (CRA)
and a series of bank mergers in the 1990s has made
capital available for municipal reinvestment, but
middle class decline has proved to be a major barrier
to revitalization in the Middle Cities.
Figure 2 shows the unemployment levels for these
cities in 1990, 2000, 2010, and 2015. In each of these
years,all14citieshavehigherlevelsofunemployment
than the state average. The trend towards higher
unemployment levels across all Middle Cities—
as well as the increase in the state average—most
likely reflects the impact of the 2007-08 financial
crisis. According to the Mosakowski Institute for
Public Enterprise, Massachusetts lost approximately
153,000 jobs from 2007-2010. Residents in the
bottom 30 percent of the income distribution were
disproportionately affected by job loss at this time.5
In order to depict poverty levels in the Middle Cities,
Figure 3A presents each Middle City’s per capita
income (PCI) relative to state average PCI. While
PCI varies across the Middle Cities, as a whole they
have a much higher concentration of poverty. In
2011, PCI in the Middle Cities was between $11,000
and $23,000, or 31% to 66% lower than the state
average.6
The Middle Cities’ average PCI has historically been
significantly lower than the state average. This trend
hasonlyworsenedovertheyears,asthecities’average
PCI has continued to decline relatively. Figure 3B
shows that the Middle Cities’average PCI stood at 82
percent of the state average in 1979, but declined to
74 percent in 1989 and further to 68 percent in 1999.
As of 2009, the Middle Cities’ average PCI was 53%
of the state average.
Municipality 1990 2000 2010 2015
Lawrence 11.4% 6.4% 17.2% 8.8%
Springfield 7.6% 4.4% 13.1% 8.8%
Holyoke 8.3% 4.2% 11.4% 7.9%
New Bedford 12.0% 6.5% 13.7% 7.8%
Fall River 12.3% 5.0% 13.0% 7.4%
Brockton 9.0% 3.6% 11.0% 6.6%
Fitchburg 8.9% 4.0% 11.9% 6.2%
Chicopee 6.7% 3.3% 9.7% 6.0%
Lowell 8.2% 3.3% 10.7% 5.8%
Taunton 8.0% 3.2% 9.2% 5.6%
Worcester 7.3% 3.3% 9.8% 5.6%
Leominster 7.2% 3.2% 10.5% 5.5%
Lynn 7.5% 3.4% 9.5% 5.1%
Pittsfield 6.7% 3.6% 8.6% 4.9%
State Average 6.0% 2.6% 7.8% 4.2%
Figure 2. Middle City Unemployment,
Percentage of Overall Workforce
4. Ten Years Later: Trends in Urban Redevelopment
4
Figure 4 shows that in the Middle Cities, median
household income is significantly lower than the state
average. Average median household income between
2009 and 2013 in Massachusetts was $66,866. In
most of the Middle Cities, average median household
incomes from 2009-2013 were between $30,000 and
$50,000. During the same period, average median
household incomes for the Middle Cities stood
between 12 and 53 percent below the state average.7
Figure 5 shows changes in the equalized (property)
valuation (EQV) in Middle Cities from 1992 to
2012. EQV levels, developed by the Massachusetts
Department of Revenue, capture the value of a
community’s property assets which in turn is used
to estimate property tax revenues, the key source of
local public funds in Massachusetts. EQV changes
reflect community growth and are therefore indirectly
linked to a number of factors, including improved
schools, safer streets, and increased employment,
among others.8
Figure 3A. Per Capita Income (PCI), 2011, in the Middle Cities
Figure 3B. Per Capita Income, 2009, in the Middle Cities, Average vs. State Average
5. Pioneer Institute for Public Policy Research
5
From 1992 to 2012, the state’s EQV grew at a rate of
7.92%, while the Middle Cities’EQV grew at 2.66%,
less than half of the state’s rate. Most notably, the
Middle Cities in western Massachusetts (as well as
Lawrence) grew at dramatically slower rates than
the average—2.4 percent or lower for Chicopee,
Holyoke, Springfield, and Pittsfield. The decline of
the Middle Cities is illustrated in the startling statistic
embedded in Figure 5: in aggregate, the Middle
Cities shed over $7 billion dollars in property value
from 1992 to 1998 and nearly $17 billion in property
value from 2008 to 2012. Only significant rebounds
between 2002 and 2008 provide growth over the
time series.
Figure 4. Middle City Average Median Household Income, 2009-2013
1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 Annual Growth Rate
Brockton 3.56 2.81 3.33 6.00 8.63 5.99 2.64%
Chicopee 2.31 2.01 2.09 2.67 3.89 3.74 2.40%
Fall River 2.91 2.81 2.87 4.34 7.21 5.71 3.43%
Fitchburg 1.42 1.18 1.27 2.04 3.09 2.33 2.51%
Holyoke 1.54 1.12 1.45 1.69 2.36 2.17 1.73%
Lawrence 2.04 1.12 1.45 2.88 4.17 3.05 2.03%
Leominster 1.90 1.71 1.95 3.06 4.34 3.46 3.04%
Lowell 3.82 2.64 3.13 5.83 8.19 6.53 2.72%
Lynn 3.21 2.45 3.00 5.89 7.61 5.73 2.94%
New Bedford 3.10 2.95 2.83 4.69 7.14 5.82 3.20%
Pittsfield 2.37 1.98 2.05 2.55 3.77 3.57 2.07%
Springfield 5.32 4.10 4.26 5.78 8.48 7.23 1.55%
Taunton 2.14 2.25 2.60 4.54 6.62 4.97 4.30%
Worcester 6.84 5.41 6.01 9.69 13.83 12.71 2.68%
Total 42.48 34.56 38.28 61.67 89.33 72.47 7.92%
Figure 5. Middle Cities Equalized (Property) Valuations: 1992–2012 ($Billions)
Source: MA Department of Revenue, Division of Local Services Municipal Data Bank website
http://www.mass.gov/dor/local-officials/municipal-databank-and-local-aid-unit/data-bank-reports/property-tax-information.html
6. Ten Years Later: Trends in Urban Redevelopment
6
A Lack of Public Order
The Commonwealth’s Middle Cities have crime rates
well above per capita averages for the rest of the
state. The elevated level of crime—whether violent
crimes, property crimes, or arson—is, together with
poor education systems, one of the most significant
hurdles to the reinvention and revitalization of the
Middle Cities as residential and commercial centers.9
Figures 6A and 6B depict crime rates per 1,000
residents in the Middle Cities. Variations across
the Middle Cities suggest that high crime rates are
not givens in these municipalities. For example,
Chicopee’s violent crime rate is about one-third
that of Springfield. Taunton’s property crime rate is
lower than the state average, while Holyoke’s and
Springfield’sarestrikinglyhigh.Inaddition,Taunton’s
violent crime rates are comparatively low (as are the
city’s fire and arson rates, shown in Figure 7). To be
sure, varying levels of crime across the Middle Cities
could be due to different reporting methodologies as
well as differences in law enforcement strategies.
The rates of fires and arsons per 1,000 residents
vary widely across Middle Cities, as do the financial
damage totals caused by fires and arson. Figure
7 shows that Fitchburg (10.2), Worcester (7.9),
Springfield (6.9), and Pittsfield (6.9) have the highest
Figure 6A. Violent Crime Rate/1000
Figure 6B. Middle City Property
Crime Value/1,000
City Fire/1000 Arson/1000
Worcester 4.99 0.18
Springfield 6.88 0.07
Lowell 6.21 0.19
Brockton 4.00 0.27
New Bedford 4.06 0.28
Fall River 5.72 0.39
Lynn 5.34 0.06
Lawrence 5.39 0.33
Taunton 2.97 0.23
Chicopee 4.45 0.31
Pittsfield 6.86 0.56
Leominster 5.32 0.49
Holyoke 6.57 0.25
Fitchburg 10.22 0.17
Figure 7. 2010 Middle City Fire
and Arson Statistics
7. Pioneer Institute for Public Policy Research
7
per capita fire rates. Pittsfield (0.56), Leominster
(0.49), Fall River (0.39), and Lawrence (0.33) have
the highest per capita arson rates. No discernable
pattern in fire and arson rates exists, which might
suggest potential issues with data reporting and
methodology.
Troubled School Systems
It is well-known that students enrolled in the Middle
Cities’ public schools perform considerably worse
than elsewhere in the Commonwealth. Figures 8
and 9 provide an overview of 10th
grade education
achievement on standardized tests in the Middle
Cities.10
While on average in Massachusetts, 91
percent of students perform at an “Advanced” or
“Proficient” level in 10th
Grade English Language
Arts, the 14 Middle Cities perform within a range
of 67 to 89 percent. Statewide, 6 percent of students
“Need Improvement” in 10th
Grade ELA, yet in most
of the Middle Cities nearly one quarter of students
scored in this performance category. While 3 percent
of students statewide are classified as “Failing,” 11 of
the 14 Middle Cities exceed this threshold.
Math scores are even worse. More than 15 percent
of students in the Middle Cities scored “Warning/
Failing”, compared to 8 percent statewide. Across
Massachusetts, 79 percent of students scored
“Advanced” or “Proficient” in the 10th
Grade
Mathematics test—comparatively, less than 65
percent of students in nine of the fourteen Middle
Cities scored “Advanced” or “Proficient.” In some
cities math proficiency is far worse—less than 42
percent in New Bedford, and 47 percent in Springfield
and Lawrence.
Figure 10 shows that high school graduates from the
Middle Cities also attend college at lower rates than
the state average.Although it is encouraging that more
Middle Cities high school graduates attend two-year
colleges/universities than the state average, far fewer
attend a four-year college. In Springfield, Fitchburg,
Fall River and Holyoke, the number of graduates
planning to go to a four-year college is 58 percent or
more below the state average. The aggregate number
of high school seniors entering college is also below
the state average, except for Pittsfield, Lowell, Lynn,
and Fall River. Given the low graduation rates for
two-year colleges (only 14.3 percent graduate within
a three-year window), it is probable that considerably
fewer Middle Cities high school graduates attending
state or community colleges actually obtain some
type of college degree.
As Figure 11 shows, in all but two Middle Cities,
high school dropout rates are higher than the state
Figure 8. 2015 10th Grade ELA MCAS Performance11
8. Ten Years Later: Trends in Urban Redevelopment
8
average. In the 2013-2014 school year, the dropout
rate in every Middle City except Leominster and
Taunton was higher than the state average of 2
percent. Springfield was greater than 7 percent,
Holyoke and Fitchburg were around 6 percent, while
New Bedford and Fall River were around 5 percent.
The dropout rate of all the Middle Cities, taken as
an average, was roughly 4 percent—double the state
average.14
Recently, the Department of Education
(DOE) presented cumulative dropout data covering
all four years of high school rather than the single year
rates presented above. According to the Department
of Education, approximately 3 to 9 percent of
students drop out over the course of high school in
Leominster, Pittsfield, and Taunton; between 10 and
15 percent in Brockton, Chicopee, Fitchburg, Fall
River, Lawrence, Lowell, and Lynn; and between
18 and 21 percent in Holyoke, New Bedford,
and Springfield.
Figure 9. 2015 10th Grade Math MCAS Performance12
Figure 10. 2014 Plan of High School Graduates13
9. Pioneer Institute for Public Policy Research
9
Questionable Municipal Fiscal Health
Municipal fiscal sustainability is a function of good
management and the existence of a residential and
commercial property base sufficient (together with
fees) to maintain the level of core service provision
necessary for a good quality of life. In urban areas,
key services start with public education and public
order. Indicators of municipal fiscal health include
bond ratings and the extent to which long-term
commitments such as health care benefits and
pensions are actually funded.
Figure 12 summarizes the bond ratings for Middle
Cities from 1990 to 2014. Bond ratings, developed
by respected independent rating agencies, are useful
snapshots of a community’s relative fiscal health,
but should be interpreted cautiously. While a strong
rating eases borrowing costs and reflects positively
on a municipality, striving for a higher rating may not
be the best strategy for all cities.
In 2014, 170 of the 227 rated municipalities in
Massachusetts received “Aaa” or “Aa” ratings,
including Boston. According to Moody’s, ratings
in the B range are for investments that “lack
outstanding investment characteristics and, in fact,
have speculative characteristics as well.” Moody’s
notes that ratings in the A range are for investments
where “factors giving security to principal and
interest are considered adequate, but elements
may be present which suggest a susceptibility to
impairment sometime in the future.” Brockton,
Chicopee, Leominster, and Worcester have ratings in
the Aa range, while the others have ratings in the A
range—with the exception of Lawrence, which falls
into the Baa range.
One of the key factors underlying bond ratings
is the sustainability of a community’s debt load.
Figure 13 summarizes a key debt load metric—
the ratio of a community’s total debt to the value
of its property. The numerator takes into account
all the debt obligations facing a community while
the denominator, EQV, captures the value of a
community’s property assets.
It should be noted, however, that it can be a sound
financial strategy for communities, particularly
Middle Cities, to take on debt for major capital
projects. We might then expect Middle Cities’ debt
ratios to be higher than the state average, especially
since there are a number of smaller communities
with minimal infrastructure needs and little or no
debt factored into the state average. We can remove
some of this skew by calculating a “Debtors of
Scale” average, counting only those communities
that have borrowed more than the state average over
the past six years and who have outstanding debt in
Figure 11. High School Dropout Rates, 2013-2014
10. Ten Years Later: Trends in Urban Redevelopment
10
2014. However, this adjusted average is meant for
comparative purposes only, not as an upper threshold
for the Middle Cities.
Examining the ratios produced by the comparison
of debt level to EQV for the Middle Cities offers
several broad conclusions. First, the Middle Cities
have had mixed results as regards debt control
since 2010. While Fall River, Lawrence, Lynn,
and Springfield all reduced their Debt/EQV levels,
Brockton, Chicopee, Holyoke, Leominster, Lowell,
New Bedford, Pittsfield, Taunton, and Worcester all
experienced increased Debt/EQV levels. Fitchburg’s
Debt/EQV levels remained roughly the same over
this period. Second, Middle Cities borrow relative
to their property tax base at a rate of double or
greater than the average city in the Commonwealth,
and significantly exceed the rate of borrowing of
“Debtors of Scale.”
Conclusion
Analyzing the trends described in this paper produces
four key conclusions. First, Taunton and Leominster
are clearly the top performers across indicators. In
these two cities, populations are increasing, per capita
and average median household incomes are closer
to state averages, crime is lower, and educational
outcomes are better. More research should be
devoted to understanding the underpinnings of
the success of these two cities compared to other
Middle Cities. Second, while all Middle Cities have
improved educational performance over time, as
measured by MCAS scores, high school dropout rates
in many Middle Cities greatly exceed state averages.
Employment outcomes for workers who lack a high
school education are significantly worse in the current
skills-driven economy. Third, the population decline
in western Massachusetts should elicit significant
concern. While some degree of population decline is
understandable in the context of structural economic
change, population losses in western Massachusetts
may have important consequences for redevelopment
policy. Finally, per capita income in the Middle Cities
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2014
Brockton BA Ba A3 A2 Aa3 Aa3
Chicopee A A A3 A3 Aa3 Aa3
Fall River BAA1 BAA Baa2 Baa1 A1 A2
Fitchburg BAA1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 A1 A1
Holyoke BAA Baa Baa1 Baa1 A1 A1
Lawrence BA Ba Baa3 Baa2 Baa1 Baa1
Leominster AA Baa1 Baa1 A2 Aa2 Aa2
Lowell BAA BAA A3 A1 A1
Lynn BAA1 Baa1 Baa1 Baa1 A1 A1
New Bedford BAA BAA A1 A1
Pittsfield A A3 Baa2 Baa2 A1 A1
Springfield BAA BAA Baa3 Baa3 A2 A2
Taunton A A A3 A3 A1 A1
Worcester BAA1 BAA1 Baa1 A3 A1 Aa3
Figure 12. Moody’s Bond Ratings, Middle Cities
Source: Massachusetts Department of Revenue Division of Local Services Muncipal Data Bank website, https://
dlsgateway.dor.state.ma.us/DLSReports/DLSReportViewer.aspx?ReportName=Moodys&ReportTitle=Moody%2
7s%20Bond%20Ratings, last accessed 10/22/15. N.B.: Moody’s ratings run in declining order from Aaa to Aa to
A to Baa to Ba to B. In 1997, Moody’s added numbers to its rating system to provide additional guidance—each
letter grade had 1, 2, and 3 added to it, with 1 representing the top third of that letter grade down to 3 representing
the lower third.
11. Pioneer Institute for Public Policy Research
11
has declined significantly as a percentage of the state
average since 1979. Middle Cities current per-capita
income is 53% of the state average. The widening
gap in per capita income between Middle Cities and
more prosperous areas of the state is particularly
noteworthy.
By describing a number of key trends across
Massachusetts’ 14 Middle Cities, this paper provides
input for current debates on urban redevelopment
strategy. While the Middle Cities all continue to
face challenges, each municipality has the potential
for success. Data-driven policy approaches that
acknowledge local conditions will be successful
in advancing urban redevelopment efforts in the
Middle Cities.
Municipality EQV 2010 EQV 2012 EQV 2014 Debt FY10 Debt FY12 Debt FY14
2010 Debt/
EQV
2012 Debt/
EQV
2014 Debt/
EQV
Brockton $6,416.5 $5,986.2 $5,739.7 $248.1 $240.0 $226.9 3.87% 4.01% 3.95%
Chicopee $3,851.5 $3,735.2 $3,825.0 $27.1 $46.0 $69.5 0.70% 1.23% 1.82%
Fall River $6,395.8 $5,710.1 $5,362.8 $293.8 $269.6 $235.1 4.59% 4.72% 4.38%
Fitchburg $2,666.8 $2,327.2 $2,197.1 $85.8 $78.4 $71.2 3.22% 3.37% 3.24%
Holyoke $2,304.0 $2,173.0 $2,109.0 $55.8 $49.1 $86.8 2.42% 2.26% 4.11%
Lawrence $3,241.2 $3,052.9 $3,103.0 $150.7 $132.9 $110.9 4.65% 4.35% 3.57%
Leominster $3,834.4 $3,457.2 $3,260.3 $27.9 $39.7 $55.7 0.73% 1.15% 1.71%
Lowell $6,968.3 $6,529.0 $6,552.6 $211.2 $230.4 $236.7 3.03% 3.53% 3.61%
Lynn $5,961.6 $5,732.7 $5,644.5 $89.1 $76.4 $62.9 1.50% 1.33% 1.11%
New Bedford $6,474.5 $5,818.7 $5,367.0 $230.1 $225.0 $220.3 3.55% 3.87% 4.11%
Pittsfield $3,776.8 $3,573.6 $3,452.1 $56.1 $65.6 $67.8 1.49% 1.84% 1.96%
Springfield $7,856.6 $7,233.4 $7,077.7 $321.3 $286.7 $233.3 4.09% 3.96% 3.30%
Taunton $5,547.5 $4,968.8 $4,620.4 $109.7 $124.5 $128.3 1.98% 2.51% 2.78%
Worcester $11,928.3 $12,173.6 $11,615.9 $603.8 $592.9 $608.2 5.06% 4.87% 5.24%
Middle Cities
Total
$65,295.3 $60,299.0 $58,311.2 $2,510.4 $2,457.1 $2,413.6 3.84% 4.07% 4.14%
State Average $2,843.2 $2,847.5 $2,786.4 $35.9 $35.9 $37.9 1.26% 1.26% 1.36%
State Ave.
(Debtors
of Scale)
$6,473.0 6,217.1 $6,091.4 $89.5 $93.6 $96.3 1.38% 1.51% 1.58%
Figure 13. Total Debt to Total Value of a Community’s Property (EQV), 2010, 2012, 2014 ($Millions)
Source: MA Department of Revenue Division of Local Services Municipal Data Bank website, multiple webpages.
N.B.: Debtors of Scale is defined as those communities that have outstanding debt in 2014 and have borrowed in excess of the state average for 2010, 2012, and
2014. This measure is designed to weed out many of the smaller communities that carry little or no debt.
12. Ten Years Later: Trends in Urban Redevelopment
12
Endnotes
1. “Weak market” focuses too strongly on a city’s current economic condition. “Gateway” focuses on one
important city function—preparing immigrants for moving up socially and economically—but does not
adequately describe the loss of functional purpose, the leadership void, or regional market differences between
the Middle Cities and cities in Greater Boston.
2. Kodryzycki, Y, Munoz, Ana, “Reinvigorating Springfield’s Economy: Lessons from Resurgent Cities,” Boston
Federal Reserve, October 2009. Page 9. Available at:
https://www.bostonfed.org/economic/ppdp/2009/ppdp0906.pdf
3. U.S. Census Bureau: State and County QuickFacts, Springfield, Massachusetts. Data derived from Population
Estimates, American Community Survey, Census of Population and Housing, County Business Patterns,
Economic Census, Survey of Business Owners, Building Permits, Census of Governments. Last revised 12.2.15
Available at: http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/25/2567000.html
4. MA Department of Revenue, Division of Local Services. Available online: http://www.mass.gov/dor/local-
officials/municipal-databank-and-local-aid-unit/data-bank-reports/socioeconomic.html. Accessed 10.15.2015
5. “The Great Recession and its Impact on Families,” Mosakowski Institute for Public Enterprise, Clark
University, March 2010. Page 4. Available at:
https://www.clarku.edu/faculty/dhines/_Family_Impact_Report.pdf
6. MA Department of Revenue, Division of Local Services. Available online: http://www.mass.gov/dor/local-
officials/municipal-databank-and-local-aid-unit/data-bank-reports/socioeconomic.html. Accessed 10.8152015
7. MA Department of Revenue, Division of Local Services. Available online: http://www.mass.gov/dor/local-
officials/municipal-databank-and-local-aid-unit/data-bank-reports/socioeconomic.html. Accessed 10.15.15MA
Department of Revenue, Division of Local Services. Available online:
http://www.dls.state.ma.us/mdmstuf/socio.htm. Accessed 06.19.2006
8. The standard figure for the property value in a community is the “Equalized Valuation,” produced by the
Massachusetts Department of Revenue and defined as “an estimate of fair cash value of all taxable property in
each city and town as of January 1…[and]… a measure of the relative property wealth in each municipality.”
9. Federal Bureau of Investigation, Uniform Crime Reports. Available online: https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/
ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2010/crime-in-the-u.s.-2010/tables/table-8/10tbl08ma.xls. Accessed 10.15.2015
10. MA Department of Education. Enrollment data is October 1, 2015. Available online:
http://profiles.doe.mass.edu/state_report/mcas.aspx. Accessed 10.20.2015
11. MA Department of Education. Available online: http://profiles.doe.mass.edu/state_report/mcas.aspx. Accessed
10.20.2015
12. MA Department of Education. Available online: http://profiles.doe.mass.edu/state_report/mcas.aspx. Accessed
10.20.2015
13. MA Department of Education. Available online:
http://profiles.doe.mass.edu/state_report/plansofhsgrads.aspx. Accessed 10.20.2015
14. MA Department of Education. Available online:
http://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/reports/dropout/2013-2014/. Accessed 10.20.2015
13. Pioneer Institute for Public Policy Research
13
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