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Update on
OECD Performance Budgeting Survey
2016
Ronnie Downes
Deputy Head, Budgeting and Public Expenditures
OECD
CESEE SBO meeting
Ljubljana, 28-29 June 2016
Performance Budgeting – Simple in Theory…
€ ₩ $
   
…Difficult in Practice
1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5
Pay cut for head of programme/organisation
Programme transferred to other…
Negative consequences for leaders' evaluations
Programme eliminated
More staff assigned to programme/organisation
New leadership brought in
Budget freezes
Budget increases
More training provided to staff assigned
Budget decreases
More intense monitoring in the future
Poor performance made public
No consequences
2007 2011
What happens when performance objectives are not met?
OECD Performance Budgeting Survey 2016
Objectives
• Explores the ‘state of the art’ in three categories:
i. Performance budgeting
ii. Evaluation
iii. Spending Review
• Build upon past surveys (2007, 2011)
– Construct time series data to examine trends
– Drill deeper on key issues raised in past surveys
• Identify key issues for principles in performance
budgeting
OECD Performance Budgeting Survey 2016
Summary
• High response rate
• Strong governance procedures in place
• Spending reviews are the emerging trend
• Budget impacts remain elusive
Part II
Initial findings among OECD countries
The management of Performance Budgeting
is well-developed
Centralised performance frameworks are widespread
17 6 2
3 4 2
Yes (25)
No (9)
Compulsory: line ministries & agencies Compulsory: line ministries only Optional
Decentralised None N/A
The management of Performance Budgeting
is well-developed
More countries have specialised performance units
2016
2011
Yes - oversight & developing procedures
Yes - analysing performance information
Yes - analysing performance information, oversight & developing procedures
No
N/A
Line ministries are involved
Line ministries are involved in key aspects of
performance budgeting in nearly all OECD countries
CBA
Line Ministries
0
25
50
75
100
Establishing
framework/guidelines
ICT system for
performance
Allocating funds based on
perf. info
Setting performance
targets
Generating performance
information
Conducting evaluations
More countries than ever conduct spending reviews
Periodic, comprehensive reviews are the model of choice
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Frequency
Comprehensive
Broad
Narrow
Yet, impacts on budget outcomes lag
Few countries can claim measurable achievement of fiscal and
performance objectives following spending reviews
% of fiscal
objectives met
% of
output/outcome
objectives met
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
%ofobjectivesmet
Number of countries
Part III
What’s next?
Project schedule
OECD Performance & Results Network
Phase 1
OECD survey design
Phase 2
Survey administration
Phase 3
Data verification
Phase 4
Analysis
Phase 5
Draft report to network
Phase 6
Publish report
January 2016 March 2016 Spring 2016
Complete Complete Near completion
Summer 2016 Fall 2016 2017
Ongoing
Related projects
• Review of EU “Budget Focused on Results”
– Interesting aspects of EU practice on performance
• other country-specific Budget Reviews
– Sweden
– Chile
– non-OECD countries
Will this work help us move towards “Guiding
Principles of Performance Budgeting”?
a) use ready-made performance data from policy cycle
b) clear programme logic linking inputs, outputs, outcomes
c) seamless link to government-wide strategy and goals
d) avoid information overload – the “vital few” indicators
e) Include national and international benchmarks
f) organisational, managerial accountability for results
– Establish routines of behaviour within organisations
g) audited and auditable performance targets
h) citizen- and CSO-accessible data

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Update on OECD performance budgeting survey 2016 - Ronnie Downes, OECD Secretariat

  • 1. Update on OECD Performance Budgeting Survey 2016 Ronnie Downes Deputy Head, Budgeting and Public Expenditures OECD CESEE SBO meeting Ljubljana, 28-29 June 2016
  • 2. Performance Budgeting – Simple in Theory… € ₩ $    
  • 3. …Difficult in Practice 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 Pay cut for head of programme/organisation Programme transferred to other… Negative consequences for leaders' evaluations Programme eliminated More staff assigned to programme/organisation New leadership brought in Budget freezes Budget increases More training provided to staff assigned Budget decreases More intense monitoring in the future Poor performance made public No consequences 2007 2011 What happens when performance objectives are not met?
  • 4. OECD Performance Budgeting Survey 2016 Objectives • Explores the ‘state of the art’ in three categories: i. Performance budgeting ii. Evaluation iii. Spending Review • Build upon past surveys (2007, 2011) – Construct time series data to examine trends – Drill deeper on key issues raised in past surveys • Identify key issues for principles in performance budgeting
  • 5. OECD Performance Budgeting Survey 2016 Summary • High response rate • Strong governance procedures in place • Spending reviews are the emerging trend • Budget impacts remain elusive
  • 6. Part II Initial findings among OECD countries
  • 7. The management of Performance Budgeting is well-developed Centralised performance frameworks are widespread 17 6 2 3 4 2 Yes (25) No (9) Compulsory: line ministries & agencies Compulsory: line ministries only Optional Decentralised None N/A
  • 8. The management of Performance Budgeting is well-developed More countries have specialised performance units 2016 2011 Yes - oversight & developing procedures Yes - analysing performance information Yes - analysing performance information, oversight & developing procedures No N/A
  • 9. Line ministries are involved Line ministries are involved in key aspects of performance budgeting in nearly all OECD countries CBA Line Ministries 0 25 50 75 100 Establishing framework/guidelines ICT system for performance Allocating funds based on perf. info Setting performance targets Generating performance information Conducting evaluations
  • 10. More countries than ever conduct spending reviews Periodic, comprehensive reviews are the model of choice 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Frequency Comprehensive Broad Narrow
  • 11. Yet, impacts on budget outcomes lag Few countries can claim measurable achievement of fiscal and performance objectives following spending reviews % of fiscal objectives met % of output/outcome objectives met 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 %ofobjectivesmet Number of countries
  • 13. Project schedule OECD Performance & Results Network Phase 1 OECD survey design Phase 2 Survey administration Phase 3 Data verification Phase 4 Analysis Phase 5 Draft report to network Phase 6 Publish report January 2016 March 2016 Spring 2016 Complete Complete Near completion Summer 2016 Fall 2016 2017 Ongoing
  • 14. Related projects • Review of EU “Budget Focused on Results” – Interesting aspects of EU practice on performance • other country-specific Budget Reviews – Sweden – Chile – non-OECD countries
  • 15. Will this work help us move towards “Guiding Principles of Performance Budgeting”? a) use ready-made performance data from policy cycle b) clear programme logic linking inputs, outputs, outcomes c) seamless link to government-wide strategy and goals d) avoid information overload – the “vital few” indicators e) Include national and international benchmarks f) organisational, managerial accountability for results – Establish routines of behaviour within organisations g) audited and auditable performance targets h) citizen- and CSO-accessible data