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Transport Options for South
Canberra
Light rail vs. electric buses
Dr Michael de Percy FRSA FCILT MRSN
Story of the Tram
• Burley Griffin and the tram narrative
• Light rail as urban renewal
• Light rail as a superior green technology
• High-density living and housing choice
• Perverse outcomes – Yass, Palmerston
• Infrastructure debt $8bn to $16bn in ‘26
• $1-2m interest expense per day
Why were buses better before?
• Investment in frequency/service model
• Rapid transfers approx. 4 minutes per transfer
• Disproved assumption that people did not like
transfers – no impact if they were fast and reliable
• Moved to a welfare model in the 1990s
• Tram has increased bus travel times in many areas
Transport CBR in June 2022:
• Bus journeys 9,830,134
• Tram journeys 2,403,625
• Subsidy per journey = $6.08, in 2023 $ = $6.51
• Total journeys = 12,233,759
• Therefore, total subsidy = $74,381,255
• But total expenses for Transport CBR = $261,900,000
• Subsidy in 2018 (pre-tram) in 2023 $ = $9.38
• So where did the other $187,518,745 go?
• New reporting measures = % of overall cost, opaque actual cost
Electric Buses
Electric Bus Option
•Adopt a service/frequency model
• Adopt electric buses to reduce emissions
• Option to use Australian-made electric buses
• Potential to develop skills/service/assembly/manufacture in ACT
• Integrate the welfare model into the frequency model
• Redirect investment to frequent suburban routes
• Integrate transfers to BRT, move from timetables to frequency
Questions?
Thank you
Conclusion:
All roads don’t
lead to Civic

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Transport Options for South Canberra: Light Rail versus Buses

  • 1. Transport Options for South Canberra Light rail vs. electric buses Dr Michael de Percy FRSA FCILT MRSN
  • 2. Story of the Tram • Burley Griffin and the tram narrative • Light rail as urban renewal • Light rail as a superior green technology • High-density living and housing choice • Perverse outcomes – Yass, Palmerston • Infrastructure debt $8bn to $16bn in ‘26 • $1-2m interest expense per day
  • 3.
  • 4. Why were buses better before? • Investment in frequency/service model • Rapid transfers approx. 4 minutes per transfer • Disproved assumption that people did not like transfers – no impact if they were fast and reliable • Moved to a welfare model in the 1990s • Tram has increased bus travel times in many areas
  • 5. Transport CBR in June 2022: • Bus journeys 9,830,134 • Tram journeys 2,403,625 • Subsidy per journey = $6.08, in 2023 $ = $6.51 • Total journeys = 12,233,759 • Therefore, total subsidy = $74,381,255 • But total expenses for Transport CBR = $261,900,000 • Subsidy in 2018 (pre-tram) in 2023 $ = $9.38 • So where did the other $187,518,745 go? • New reporting measures = % of overall cost, opaque actual cost
  • 7. Electric Bus Option •Adopt a service/frequency model • Adopt electric buses to reduce emissions • Option to use Australian-made electric buses • Potential to develop skills/service/assembly/manufacture in ACT • Integrate the welfare model into the frequency model • Redirect investment to frequent suburban routes • Integrate transfers to BRT, move from timetables to frequency