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Scarborough Subway Extension SAG Meeting - February 8, 2016

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Scarborough Subway Extension SAG Meeting - February 8, 2016

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Scarborough Subway Extension SAG Meeting - February 8, 2016

  1. 1. Scarborough Subway Extension StakeholderAdvisory Group February8,2016 Transportation Planning Section | City Planning Division
  2. 2. Outline 1. Transit Network Planning 2. Scarborough Subway Extension - progress since June 2015 3. Refined objectives 4. Recommended solution for further study 5. Next Steps 6. Discussion 2
  3. 3. Our CoordinatedApproach • The City, Metrolinx and the TTC are working together on integrated transit planning within Toronto 3 Scarborough Optimized Transit • Rapid transit projects design/ construction underway: − Toronto-York Spadina Subway Extension (TYSSE) − Eglinton Crosstown LRT − Finch West LRT − Sheppard East RT • Rapid transit joint planning underway: − GO RER and SmartTrack • Rapid transit planning underway and being prioritized through the Feeling Congested? evaluation framework: − GO RER and SmartTrack − Scarborough Subway − Relief Line − Waterfront Transit Reset
  4. 4. 4 Our Rapid Transit Network Recommended To Be Built Within the Next 15Years
  5. 5. 5 Our Rapid Transit Network Being Built Within the Next 6Years
  6. 6. Our Rapid Transit Network RecommendedToBeBuiltBetween6and15YearsintheFuture 6
  7. 7. Our Rapid Transit Network 15Years in the Future 7
  8. 8. Scarborough Subway Extension Progress since June 2015 • McCowan corridor emerging as preferred based on – Proximity to SmartTrack – Lawrence East Station location • Further work on station concepts – Sheppard East – Scarborough Centre – Lawrence East – Brimley/Eglinton (Provisional station) • Modelling – Accessibility – Travel demand 8
  9. 9. At the same time… • New rapid transit projects are being planned based on direction from Council and Provincial funding commitments 1. Scarborough Subway Extension 2. SmartTrack 3. Regional Express Rail (RER) 4. Sheppard East LRT • The context of the subway extension has changed significantly based on the introduction of SmartTrack, RER and the change in timing of the Sheppard East LRT • These projects have been developed at different times and must be reviewed together to determine if together they represent the best transit network 9
  10. 10. Scarborough • Largely low density suburban form surrounding Scarborough Centre • Public transit is predominantly local buses 10 37.2k weekday riders Population 625,000 Density 33.3 people/ha Scarborough Centre 17km from downtown Photo source: Talhamujahid at the English language Wikipedia
  11. 11. Existing RapidTransit and 10 Minute Frequent Surface Transit 11 • Predominantly bus based transit • Infrequent north- south routes • Employment areas lack frequent transit service
  12. 12. Daily Ridership on Busiest TTC Surface Routes 12 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 Ridersperweekday Routes Busiest Routes Outside of Scarborough Busiest Routes in Scarborough • 8 surface routes in Scarborough have more than 20 000 daily riders Source: 2012 TTC: Ridership Statistics
  13. 13. Transit and Urban Form • Use of land around the transit line should be planned to make use of the transit capacity offered – Higher capacity & frequent transit can support greater densities by moving more people – Stations should be planned and designed to be integrated with development – Areas around stations should be intensified to accommodate more jobs and people within a 5 minute walk of a station 13
  14. 14. Golden Mile Focus Area Dufferin Focus Area Yonge-Eglinton Midtown in Focus Kennedy Mobility Hub West Side Mall Focus Area Bayview Focus Area Don Mills Focus Area Mount Dennis Mobility Hub Laird Focus Area GOLDEN MILE BAYVIEW LAIRD DON MILLS KENNEDY WEST SIDE MALL DUFFERIN MOUNT DENNIS EglintonAvenue IntensificationAreas & FocusAreas
  15. 15. Existing Travel Patterns forAll Trip Types • 14% of all trips that both begin and end in Scarborough are made using transit – Need to increase access • 6% of all trips that begin in Scarborough end in the downtown. Of those, 66% are made using transit – Fast and frequent connection important 15
  16. 16. Existing Transit Travel Patterns Destinations of all transit trips originating in Scarborough 16 48% Scarborough 23% Downtown 24% Rest of Toronto 5% Outside Toronto
  17. 17. Key Destinations (all trip types) 17 Key destinations for trips originating in Scarborough Daily Trips Financial District (bounded by University-Queen-Yonge-Lake Shore) 12,500 University of Toronto - St George Campus (Traffic Zone 69) 6,000 York University area (Traffic Zone 391) 5,500 Ryerson University area (Traffic Zone 38) 5,000 Yonge-Eglinton Centre 4,000 Pearson International Airport area (Traffic Zone 3709) 2,000 Scarborough (Internal Trip) 692,000 Source: 2011 Transportation Tomorrow Survey Figures Rounded
  18. 18. Ridership • Ridership thresholds are not the primary consideration in choosing technology when extending existing lines – High ridership at the end of a line would mean crowding further along • Don’t plan for maximum ridership at the end of the line – Incremental stations should encourage development and ridership in new areas rather than only respond to existing demand Peak hour (AM) Boardings at Terminal Stations 18 2,250 Downsview Source: 2011 TTC Subway Platform Usage Counts Figures Rounded 7,350 Kipling / Islington 5,850 Kennedy 3,350 Don Mills 12,700 Finch Note: Islington considered secondary terminal station due to Mississauga Transit connection
  19. 19. Local & Regional Transit Priorities • Two overarching priorities for transit planning in Scarborough: – Priority 1 (Regional): Connecting Scarborough Centre to higher order rapid transit to encourage residential and employment growth and intensification. – Priority 2 (Local): Better serve existing transit riders, improve access to transit and improve quality of life across Scarborough. 19
  20. 20. 20 Assumptions 1. GO RER constructed 2. ECLRT constructed 3. SRT removed Existing and Possible Scarborough RapidTransit Projects
  21. 21. Priority 1: Connect Scarborough Centre • Connect Scarborough Centre to higher-order transit network to – Encourage residential and employment growth in the Centre – Improve connections between Scarborough and key destinations across Toronto and beyond • OP: Improving Scarborough Centre’s connectivity is crucial to its success, particularly improving its Regional Gateway function • Building transit is an ambitious investment whose long-term return is private development and economic prosperity • Supports OP, PPS, Growth Plan and other local and Provincial planning policies 21
  22. 22. • Excellent internal and external public transit links are crucial to improving the accessibility and livability of Scarborough Centre. • Scarborough Centre covers a massive area with the potential to become a vibrant urban node. 22 Scarborough Centre compared to Downtown streets Vision for Scarborough Centre Continued
  23. 23. Priority 1: Connecting Scarborough Centre 23 Principle Scarborough Subway RT Replacement Scarborough LRT Sheppard Subway SheppardE LRT Scarborough MalvernLRT Ellesmere BRT McCowanRd BRT Does it connect Scarborough Centre? YES YES YES YES NO NO YES YES Good connectivity to network Fast, frequent service where people want to go Encouraging development and jobs Conclusion Note 1 Note 1 Note 2 Notes 1. Our conclusion that Scarborough Subway performs better than Sheppard Subway due to: • Lower capital costs • Sheppard adds more riders to the overcrowded Yonge Subway line south of Sheppard • A potentially shorter travel time from Scarborough Centre to the downtown • Direct connection to Eglinton Crosstown 2. Ellesmere BRT could be developed by Durham Region Transit in the future • Low-cost link between Scarborough Centre, UTSC, Downtown Pickering and Downtown Oshawa Good Fair Poor
  24. 24. Scarborough Subway Extension • Currently under study – TPAP anticipated in 2016 • Committed funding • Stops at Lawrence E, Scarborough Centre, Sheppard E • Cost: $3.56B* * Escalated costs to the midpoint of construction • Opportunity for fourth station at Eglinton & Brimley for additional cost 24
  25. 25. Optimization of SSE • Introduction of SmartTrack • Reduce length of subway extension by terminating at Scarborough Centre • Remove stations outside of Scarborough Centre, because redevelopment of the Centre is the key objective 25
  26. 26. Priority 2: Improve local transit • Improve transit connections between local destinations, services and amenities to: – Better serve existing transit riders – Attract new transit riders – Improve quality of life for Scarborough residents • OP: improve transit accessibility for neighbourhoods by investing in transit service along the Avenues and major streets – objective to reduce auto dependency and provide choice • Building transit serves local needs and helps people move around their neighbourhoods everyday • Increase connectivity in disadvantaged neighbourhoods • Support for local businesses 26
  27. 27. Priority 2: Improving Local Transit 27 Principle Scarborough Subway RT Replacement Scarborough LRT Sheppard Subway SheppardE LRT Scarborough MalvernLRT Ellesmere BRT McCowanRd BRT SmartTrack Good connectivity to local destinations and the broader network Faster, frequent service to mixed- use growth areas Service to Neighbourhood Improvement Areas (NIA) Supports local jobs and existing urban form Local environment Conclusion Note 1 Notes 1. Scarborough-Malvern LRT performs particularly well due to: • Service to mixed-use Avenues, local destinations and NIAs • Network connections Good Fair Poor
  28. 28. Crosstown East • 12km along Eglinton E, Kingston, Morningside to Sheppard E • EA completed in 2009 (Scarborough-Malvern LRT) 28 • 19 stops: • Avenues - Eglinton E and Kingston • 5 Neighbourhood Improvement Areas • UTSC • 2 GO stations - Eglinton and Guildwood • ECLRT Connection • Could plan future branches to Malvern, Port Union, Highland Creek Village
  29. 29. Optimization of Crosstown East • It may be possible to optimize this project to reduce costs and/or increase benefits – Create connection to Crosstown at Kennedy Station – May not need to extend to Sheppard if MSF could be accommodated elsewhere – Collaborate with University of Toronto master planning process – Stop spacing and service concept should be reviewed • Detailed analysis of opportunities is required – Benefit/cost – Connectivity – Travel demand (ridership) 29
  30. 30. 30 Optimized Network Map
  31. 31. Optimized Network • Potential network includes: – Scarborough Subway Extension (express to Scarborough Centre) – Crosstown East – SmartTrack • Detailed analysis of these opportunities is required – Benefit/cost – Connectivity – Travel demand (ridership) • If optimized to reduce costs and increase benefits, these projects may fit within the existing committed funding envelope • Additional funding may be required to provide rapid transit to the Sheppard East corridor, to have a more complete network and serve northern Scarborough better 31
  32. 32. Comparison of Options Current Proposals for Scarborough Optimized Network Key Destinations • Scarborough Centre • The Scarborough Hospital • Scarborough Centre • University of Toronto – Scarborough and Toronto Pan-Am Aquatic Centre Land Use • Serves employment area at Sheppard East and McCowan • Lawrence/McCowan station outside of designated growth area and extremely constrained • 8km of LRT along Avenues largely designated for mixed-use growth Possible Extensions Subway • Extend north of Sheppard Express Subway • Extend to Sheppard at McCowan and north of Sheppard • Add future stations at Eglinton/Brimley and Lawrence/McCowan LRT • Opportunities for future branches in eastern Scarborough SmartTrack Stations • Opportunity to move Lawrence Station to subway if better development potential or negative impact to SmartTrack operation 32
  33. 33. Comparison of Options – Planning Considerations Measure Current Proposals for Scarborough Optimized Network Connectivity People within 500m of stations 13,943 63,961 How many more people can each Scarborough resident connect to in 45 minutes via transit compared to the base case?* 32,234 (+6.6%) 46,371 (+9.5%) Economic Development Jobs within 500m of stations 22,875 27,737 How many more jobs can each Scarborough resident connect to in 45 minutes via transit compared to the base case?* 11,667 (+6.3%) 19,333 (+10.4%) Hectares of potential redevelopment sites 160 ha 200 ha How many more people can reach Scarborough Centre in 45 minutes via transit compared to the base case?* 155,640 (+20.3%) 172,280 (+22.5%) How many more people can reach the Financial District in 45 minutes via transit compared to the base case?* 26,210 (+2.4%) 35,472 (+3.3%) Educational Opportunities How many more people can reach UTSC in 45 minutes via transit compared to the base case?* 635 (+0.2%) 55,823 (+15.8%) How many more people can reach Centennial College in 45 minutes via transit compared to the base case?* 21,113 (+5.0%) 32,934 (+7.9%) 33 * Base case seeks to convey today’s network. Hence it excludes Eglinton Crosstown, Toronto-York Spadina Subway Extension, Finch West LRT, Hurontario LRT, introduction of new streetcars and incremental improvements to surface transit routes. The SRT is assumed to be replaced by SSE.
  34. 34. Comparison of Options – Neighbourhood Improvement Areas Measure Current Proposals for Scarborough Optimized Network Transit Access in Neighbourhood Improvement Areas NIAs served directly with stations Woburn Eglinton East Kennedy Park Morningside Scarborough Village West Hill Connectivity How many more people can each Scarborough NIA resident connect to in 45 minutes via transit compared to the base case?* 50,555 (+9.9%) 88,886 (+17.4%) Economic development How many more jobs can each Scarborough NIA resident connect to in 45 minutes via transit compared to the base case?* 20,242 (+10.1%) 34,848 (+17.5%) 34 * Base case seeks to convey today’s network. Hence it excludes Eglinton Crosstown, Toronto-York Spadina Subway Extension, Finch West LRT, Hurontario LRT, introduction of new streetcars and incremental improvements to surface transit routes. The SRT is assumed to be replaced by SSE.
  35. 35. 35 Immediate Solution
  36. 36. Council Direction • Recommended solution was reported to Executive Committee for endorsement • On January 28, 2016, direction was given to proceed with more detailed analysis 36
  37. 37. Next Steps Scarborough Subway Extension • Confirm final alignment • Scarborough Centre Station & Bus Terminal design Crosstown East • Full integration with Eglinton Crosstown – Connection at Kennedy Station – Maintenance & Storage Facility • Integration with UTSC • Review of existing approved project including traffic impacts and road cross- sections SmartTrack • Evaluation and phasing of Scarborough stations Sheppard East Corridor • Evaluation of short-term rapid transit options 37 A detailed assessment of costing, ridership and accessibility will be completed for all projects
  38. 38. Decision Points 38 March, 2016 • Update to City’s Executive Committee and City Council April, 2016 • Stakeholder and public consultation on findings of further work June, 2016 • Final recommendations made to City Council Summer, 2016 • Commence TPAP for Scarborough Subway Extension • Commence TPAP Amendment for Crosstown East By the end of 2016 • Complete TPAP for Scarborough Subway Extension • Complete TPAP Amendment for Crosstown East

Editor's Notes

  • (Speaking notes – will only show maps on following pages)
    We are in the midst of optimizing our coordinated transit planning and network expansion in this city.
    Here is the rapid transit system we all know and love
    Now, let’s look the Toronto’s rapid transit system map as it will look in 2021, once the routes that are currently planned and under construction are completed
    And in 2031, once the priority projects we are working on now included:
    And in 2041
    And don’t forget all of the very important surface transit routes that will still carry a lot of transit riders
    This is the urban rapid transit system we are working to achieve. We are about to make this happen. It is a very exciting time!
  • (Speaking notes – will only show maps on following pages)
    We are in the midst of optimizing our coordinated transit planning and network expansion in this city.
    Here is the rapid transit system we all know and love
    Now, let’s look the Toronto’s rapid transit system map as it will look in 2021, once the routes that are currently planned and under construction are completed
    And in 2031, once the priority projects we are working on now included:
    And in 2041
    And don’t forget all of the very important surface transit routes that will still carry a lot of transit riders
    This is the urban rapid transit system we are working to achieve. We are about to make this happen. It is a very exciting time!
  • (Speaking notes – will only show maps on following pages)
    We are in the midst of optimizing our coordinated transit planning and network expansion in this city.
    Here is the rapid transit system we all know and love
    Now, let’s look the Toronto’s rapid transit system map as it will look in 2021, once the routes that are currently planned and under construction are completed
    And in 2031, once the priority projects we are working on now included:
    And in 2041
    And don’t forget all of the very important surface transit routes that will still carry a lot of transit riders
    This is the urban rapid transit system we are working to achieve. We are about to make this happen. It is a very exciting time!
  • (Speaking notes – will only show maps on following pages)
    We are in the midst of optimizing our coordinated transit planning and network expansion in this city.
    Here is the rapid transit system we all know and love
    Now, let’s look the Toronto’s rapid transit system map as it will look in 2021, once the routes that are currently planned and under construction are completed
    And in 2031, once the priority projects we are working on now included:
    And in 2041
    And don’t forget all of the very important surface transit routes that will still carry a lot of transit riders
    This is the urban rapid transit system we are working to achieve. We are about to make this happen. It is a very exciting time!

  • Scarborough LRT does not perform as well as RT replacement due to cost
    SmartSpur performs poorly for level of service due to introduction of transfer OR low frequency
    Ellesmere BRT performs well due to its low cost

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