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DOI 10.14746/ssp.2016.3.2
Magdalena Musiał-Karg
Adam Mickiewicz University in Poznań
The Role of National Referendum in Central and
Eastern European Countries. Selected Experiences1
Abstract: Direct democratic choices have been of great importance in Central and
Eastern European countries since they have marked the key steps on those states’
paths to democracy. Direct democracy – particularly referenda – is arousing increas-
ing interest among politicians and the electorate, which is manifested in the ongoing
public debate on the role of civil participation in decision-making processes, as well
as in the increase in the number of national referenda held in Europe and worldwide.
Hence, studies on referenda in Central and Eastern Europe seem to be a very interest-
ing and academically important task worthy of further exploration. The main research
aim of this paper is to answer the question of the role of nationwide referenda in the
political practice of Central and Eastern European states, as well as the question of
the future prospects for the use of referenda. More emphasis is placed on referenda
conducted after 1989. On the basis of these research results, referenda are divided
into three categories: independence referenda, so called “deepening” referenda and
accession referenda.
Key words: referendum, direct democracy, Central and Eastern Europe
Introduction
Democratic government and the choices made by citizens in elections
and referendums determine the paths democratic states take in shaping
their policies. Direct democracy as a form of democratic ruling concedes
to all citizens the right to decisive voting on political issues and therefore
comes as close as possible to the principle of political equality (Schiller,
2003). Without any doubt ‘direct’ choices have been of great importance
in Central and Eastern European countries since they have marked the key
1
  This article has been written within the research project: Demokracja
bezpośrednia w Europie Środkowej i Wschodniej po 1989 roku: wymiar formalno-
prawny i praktyczny. Analiza politologiczna (UMO-2014/15/B/HS5/01866) financed
by the National Science Center in Poland.
42	 Magdalena Musiał-Karg	 ŚSP 3 ’16
steps on those states’ paths to democracy. From this perspective, the con-
cept of civil participation in the process of making decisions (Kishna, 2001,
p. 3) related to the state has been a significant element of European history,
which became particularly important in the context of political transition in
Central and Eastern Europe at the turn of the 1980s.
Direct democracy instruments seem to play today an increasingly im-
portant role across the globe in involving citizens in the political pro-
cess. The phenomenon of referendum is an important part of the political
processes in many European countries. Many authors point out that in
democratic states the referendum and other direct instruments should not
be thrown away since they are crucial devices of citizens’ government.
The issue of direct democracy and its institutions has been drawing the
attention of researchers worldwide for a long time, whereas recent years
clearly evidence an increased interest in direct forms of democracy in
Europe. Whether in Western Europe, where democracy has long been
well established, or in the states of the former Soviet bloc, direct democ-
racy supplements representative governance (Linder, 1996, p. 26; Barber,
1984, pp. 179–180) as evidenced by numerous referenda held on varied
occasions in the west, center and east of Europe. Observers who repre-
sent such entities as the Initiative and Referendum Institute – Europe,
Democracy International, IDEA – International Institute for Democracy
and ElectoralAssistance, other NGOs and think tanks agree that out of the
many instruments of direct democracy the importance of referenda has
been on the rise, as evidenced by the large number of referenda conducted
over the last 20–25 years. This is likely to have resulted from the fact that
direct democracy was initially ‘triggered’ by the political transition in
the states of the former Soviet bloc and then reinforced by the process of
European integration, which facilitated more frequent appeals to public
opinion by means of national referenda than before. The referenda held
in Central and Eastern Europe at that time were of particular importance,
as in many cases they were of symbolic significance (independence and
accession to the European Union). This text discusses the experiences of
holding referenda in Central and Eastern Europe. The primary research
goal is to answer the question of the role of national referenda in Central
and Eastern Europe, thereby indicating the similarities and differences
in the political practice of different states in this part of the continent, on
the one hand, and answering the question of the future prospects of this
form of governance. The theoretical aspects of considerations herein are
primarily based on the findings of such foreign scholars as Ian Budge
ŚSP 3 ’16	 The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern...	 43
(1996), Thomas E. Cronin (1989), Lawrence LeDuc (2003), Matt Qvor-
trup (2002) and Markku Suksi (1993).
The empirical part refers mainly to statistics (on the number, time, topic
and results of referenda) which have turned out to be exceptionally helpful
when analyzing the use of state referenda in Central and Eastern Europe,
and allowed me to compare the results of studies. This paper concentrates
on examining the number of popular votes2
held in this part of Europe, de-
termining their character (whether they were voluntary or mandatory) as
well as the topic of each. Referenda held in 24 countries3
in Central and
Eastern Europe from January 1, 1900 to October 31, 2016 are analyzed.4
Approaching the topic in this manner made it possible to examine how the
instrument of the referendum was used in individual countries throughout an
entire century (thereby identifying the states with the greatest experience of
referenda) and determine the periods when referenda were most frequently
used in decision-making processes in different countries. The analysis of the
topics the referenda addressed made it possible to indicate the themes that
are typically subjected to a vote. This paper is not an exhaustive analysis of
how the instrument of the referendum has been used in the part of Europe
concerned, and it intends to make a contribution to further discussion on
how this instrument may be used in the future and how efficient it is.
Referenda in Central and Eastern Europe
The analysis of how referenda are used in practice in Europe in
order to solve different politically and socially significant issues makes
2
  It should be noted that different authors quote different numbers of referenda
held in different countries. These differences are mainly caused by the fact that nu-
merous scholars treat each question asked in a referendum as a separate referendum.
This practice is most popular among Anglo-Saxon scholars. In Polish literature, by
turn, a referendum where voters answer several questions is treated as a single ref-
erendum. This approach is adopted in the present paper – which referenda addressed
several different issues and encompassed several questions is indicated. Nevertheless,
such votes are treated as a single referendum, since they were held simultaneously.
3
  Albania,Belarus,Bulgaria,BosniaandHercegovina,Croatia,Cyprus,CzechRepub-
lic (Czechia), Estonia, Hungary, Kosovo, Latvia, Lithuania, Macedonia, Malta, Moldova,
Montenegro, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey, Ukraine.
4
  Former version of this paper was published in: Musiał-Karg, 2012. This paper is
a reference and continuation (and complement) of considerations on the role of refer-
endum institution in Central Eastern Europe. The research has been updated to 2016.
44	 Magdalena Musiał-Karg	 ŚSP 3 ’16
it possible to conclude that this instrument enjoys considerable inter-
est in the electorate.5
Its popularity may be evidenced by the number
of votes held as well as the high average voter turnout. Both in West-
ern Europe and Central and Eastern Europe an average of more than
60% of voters have taken part in all referenda held since the beginning
of 1900. It should be noted, however, that civil participation in the
election processes in Central and Eastern Europe raises considerable
concerns. The studies of referenda held in what are called ‘young de-
mocracies’ evidence that the highest turnout was recorded when the
matters of regaining independence and accessing the European Union
were being decided. The results of the independence referenda were
quite predictable and there were no concerns about the turnout. Yet the
turnout in later referenda was considerably lower. What’s more due
to the low participation rate some referenda has been invalidated. For
instance, in Hungary in October 2016,6
only 40.4% cast valid ballots
– short of the required 50% threshold, or in Poland in September 2015,7
only 7.8 percent of voters took part in three-question referendum, way
below the 50% threshold.
When analyzing referenda held in Europe, a considerable difference
can be noted as to the time when referenda started to be used in both parts
of the continent. In Western Europe referenda were conducted from the
very beginning of the 20th
century and their number grew considerably af-
5
  For more on this topic see the works by M. Musiał-Karg, E. Zieliński, M. Gal-
lagher, M. Marczewska-Rytko, E. Kużelewska, B. Kaufmann and others.
6
  In February 2016, the Hungarian government decided to hold a national ref-
erendum on the EU mandatory distribution system of refugees among the Mem-
ber States. The government proposed the following referendum question: “Do you
want the European Union to be able to require the resettlement of non-Hungarian
citizens in the country without the Hungarian parliament’s approval?” The question
was approved both by the National Election Committee and – after rejecting four
complaints from opposition parties – the Supreme Court of Hungary. According to
Hungarian regulations, the vote to be valid and binding required the turnout higher
than 50%.
7
  The nationwide referendum consisted of three questions: 1. Are you in favor of
introducing single-member constituencies in elections to the Sejm of the Republic of
Poland? 2. Are you in favor of maintaining the current system of financing political
parties from the state budget? 3. Are you in favor of introducing a general principle
whereby any legal doubts in interpreting tax law would be resolved in favor of taxpay-
ers? All three questions raised problems in relation to an unconstitutional nature of
the first question, lack of precision of the second question, and irrelevance of the third
question. The referendum to be binding required min. 50% turnout.
ŚSP 3 ’16	 The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern...	 45
ter World War II.8
There was not a single referendum held in Central and
Eastern Europe before 1922, and it was rather rare there in later years
as well. Typically, one referendum would be held in only one of those
countries in any given year. It should be noted that voter turnout at that
time was very high, which was most likely the outcome of the political
situation in those countries (e.g. Poland –1946, Romania – 1938, 1941
and 1986, Bulgaria – 1922, 1946 and 1971) or its mandatory character
(e.g. Turkey in 1982, when failing to vote could be punished by the loss
of voting rights for 5 years). The period of political transition turned
out to mark a watershed in referendum practice in Central and Eastern
European states, where representative governance was complemented
with the elements of direct democracy. The most frequent topics put to
the vote at that time concerned regaining independence by the nations
earlier encompassed by the communist bloc. The analysis of the number
of referenda held shows that referenda enjoyed exceptional interest in
this part of Europe in 1992 and 2003, when 8 and 12 referenda were
held respectively.
Despite the experience gathered with respect to referenda during the
first decades of the 20th
century (although this experience was typically
not related to democratic governance), 1989 marked a turning point in the
use of this form of governance in Central and Eastern European states.
As mentioned before, this was the beginning of the political transition
aimed at the implementation of a democratic order in the states that had
been separated from the (democratic) West by the ‘iron curtain.’A total of
86 referenda were held in this part of Europe from January 1989 to Octo-
ber 2016. In terms of topics, over a dozen referenda were held on the issue
of regaining independence. In many countries, these popular votes turned
out to be the most important referenda ever held, since the decisions made
on their basis marked the onset of a democratic transformation. Politi-
cal, social and economic changes were preceded by the adoption of new
constitutions in the respective states, which in many cases were also sub-
jected to referenda. In the 1990s, numerous reforms, for instance priva-
tization-related reforms, were also implemented using this tool of direct
democracy. This clearly demonstrated the fact that nationwide referenda
were assigned an important role in shaping the political system of the new
states – former satellites of the Soviet Union. The increased importance
8
  Centre for Research on Direct Democracy (c2d), http://www.c2d.ch/, October
15, 2016; Musiał-Karg, 2008, p. 186.
46	 Magdalena Musiał-Karg	 ŚSP 3 ’16
of voting was further confirmed in the referenda on accession to the Euro-
pean Union held in 2003 and later, for instance in Croatia – in 2012.
Referenda on regaining independence
There is no doubt that referenda on independence were a significant
form of democracy in the process of political changes in the countries of
the former Soviet bloc. In many of them, referenda on regaining indepen-
dence marked the beginning of political and social transition. It should be
noted here that a vote on independence is about obtaining the legitimate
confirmation of the nation’s desire to change its political status. Although
the results of such votes typically are not binding, after the nation ex-
presses its desire, the government tends to make decisions taking this
opinion into account.
The referenda held in Central and Eastern Europe in the early 1990s
usually concerned the change of the status of associated territories to that
of sovereign states, and adopting the status of a sovereign state by autono-
mous territories. Therefore, it seems justified to claim that the referendum
was a tool applied by societies in the Soviet bloc to express their desire to
change the political system and abandon the socialist tradition.
The first referendum on independence was held in Slovenia on Decem-
ber 23, 1990. This was the first referendum there ever9
(Lukšic, Kurnik,
2001, p. 192). The referendum in Slovenia started a wave of successive
independence votes in Central and Eastern Europe.
Table 1
Referenda on independence in Central and Eastern Europe
State Date Topic Turnout (%) Yes (%) No (%) Result
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Slovenia Dec. 23, 1990 – independence 93.31 95.71   4.29 accepted
Lithuania Feb. 9, 1991 – independence 84.74 93.24   6.76 accepted
Estonia Mar. 3, 1991 – independence 82.96 78.41 21.57 accepted
9
  Igor Lukšic andAndrej Kurnik claim that the first Slovenian experience in terms
of referendum dates back to 1919. This traumatic experience, to quote the authors,
took place after World War I ended, and Slovenians joined the kingdom of Serbs,
Croats and Slovenians. A referendum was held then to determine the border between
Austria and the territories inhabited by both Austrian and Slovenian populations. It
was decided in the referendum that the territory would belong to Austria (Lukšic,
Kurnik, 2012, p. 192).
ŚSP 3 ’16	 The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern...	 47
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Latvia Mar. 3, 1991 – independence 87.56 74.90 25.10 accepted
Ukraine Mar. 17, 1991 – sovereignty of
Ukraine
83.50 83.50 16.50 accepted
Croatia May 19, 1991 – independence
– remaining in
Yugoslavia
84.94
84.94
93.24
  5.50
  6.76
94.50
accepted
rejected
Macedonia Sept. 8, 1991 – independence 71.85 95.09   4.91 accepted
Ukraine Dec. 1, 1991 – independence 84.18 92.26   7.74 accepted
Bosnia and
Herzegovina
Mar. 1, 1992 – independence 62.45 99.69   0.31 accepted
Moldova Mar. 6, 1994 – independence 75.10 95.40   2.00 accepted
Montenegro May 21, 2006 – independence 86.49 55.49 44.51 accepted
Source: Centre for Research on Direct Democracy (c2d), http://www.c2d.ch/, 15.10.2016.
Further referenda on independence were held in February and March
1991 in four Soviet republics. Despite protests by the USSR authori-
ties, independence referenda were held in Lithuania, Estonia and Latvia,
whereas Ukraine held a referendum on sovereignty. In all four instances,
over 80% of voters went to the polls and their definite majority approved
of the proposed changes. Another referendum followed in Ukraine in De-
cember 1991, this time the topic was regaining independence. The same
year, two more votes on the same topic were held in Croatia and Mace-
donia, followed by Bosnia and Herzegovina in March 1992 and Moldova
in March 1994. After this wave of independence referenda, a twelve-year
break followed. Another vote on independence, so far the last, was held
in Montenegro in May 2006, which resulted in Montenegro separating
from Serbia.
The high voter turnout in independence referenda evidenced the high
mobilization of societies in respective countries. Civil participation in all
these referenda ranged from ca. 62% to over 90%. This high turnout was
accompanied by an unambiguous attitude of voters. In ten out of eleven
referenda affirmative answers (“yes”) accounted for over 70% of votes
and over 90% in seven countries. The results of the last vote are an excep-
tion in this series of independence referenda, as 55% of voters voted for
independence.
Another characteristic of these independence referenda was a domino
effect. The referenda were held over a short period of time (one after
another) and therefore the result of a referendum in one country had an
impact on the results of successive votes held in other countries later on.
48	 Magdalena Musiał-Karg	 ŚSP 3 ’16
The experiences gathered in the field of independence referenda con-
stitute a significant contribution to the discussion on the importance of
direct democracy in Central and Eastern Europe. The analysis of inde-
pendence referenda leads to a conclusion that all these referenda were
unanimously answered by the electorate, thereby dramatically changing
the political map of the world, establishing over a dozen new states in
Europe.
Referenda deepening reforms (reforming referenda)
Another category of referenda conducted in Central and Eastern Eu-
ropean states after 1990 can be classified as “deepening” referenda. This
name stresses the fact that the referenda that followed the votes on inde-
pendence held in Central and Eastern Europe aimed to reinforce and de-
epen the changes initiated at the turn of the 1980s. This category encom-
passes referenda on new constitutions, first and foremost, referenda on
political systems, such as that of parliamentary or presidential elections,
and votes on reforms, for instance of privatization or insurance systems.
The majority of “deepening” referenda were held in the 1990s. Ho-
wever, the constitutional referendum held in Serbia in October 2006,
five months after the independence vote in Montenegro, also falls into
this category. Table 2 presents statistics concerning the “deepening” re-
ferenda.
Table 2
Selected “deepening” referenda in Central
and Eastern European states
State Date Topic
Turnout
(%)
Yes
(%)
Result
1 2 3 4 5 6
Hungary Oct. 26,
1989
presidential elections––
dissolution of workers’ militia––
account of the property of the socialist––
party
banning of the socialist party from––
workplaces
58.04 50.07
94.93
95.37
95.14
accepted
accepted
accepted
accepted
Romania Dec. 12,
1991
constitution–– 67.25 79.11 accepted
Lithuania June 14,
1992
unconditional withdrawal of the So-––
viet troops 76.05 92.27 accepted
ŚSP 3 ’16	 The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern...	 49
1 2 3 4 5 6
Estonia June 28,
1992
constitution–– 66.76 92.00 accepted
Lithuania Oct. 25,
1992
constitution–– 75.26 78.23 accepted
Lithuania Aug. 27,
1994
privatization (8 questions)–– 36.89 Ca.
89
invalid
Slovakia Oct. 22,
1994
disclosure of privatization transac-––
tions 19.98 93.64 invalid
Slovenia Dec. 8,
1996
system of parliamentary elections––
(3 proposals):
A. proportionate election
B. German model
C. French model
37.94
14.38
44.52
26.19
all pro-
posals
rejected
Poland Feb. 18,
1996
general property enfranchisement of––
citizens
liabilities to pensioners and public––
sector employees paid from the priva-
tization of public assets
contribution to the common pension––
fund to be made from a portion of pri-
vatized assets
increased National Investment Fund––
share certificates
privatization vouchers in the property––
enfranchisement program
32.40
32.44
32.44
32.44
32.44
94.54
92.89
93.70
21.86
88.30
invalid
Poland Apr. 27,
1997
constitution–– 42.86 52.70 accepted
Slovakia Sept. 26,
1998
refraining from privatizing enterprises––
of strategic importance 44.06 84.30
invalid
Serbia Oct. 29,
2006
constitution–– 55.00 53.00 accepted
Source: Centre for Research on Direct Democracy (c2d), http://www.c2d.ch/, 15.10.2016.
The analysis of this referendum category points to a conclusion that
“deepening” referenda concerned a relatively broad range of issues from
the constitution to political issues (Rytel-Warzocha, 2011, pp. 254–255),
to the withdrawal of Soviet troops, to privatization issues (Gebethner,
2001). The referenda conducted in this period did not produce the domino
effect observable in the case of independence votes.
The most prominent feature of “deepening” referenda was the consid-
erably lower turnout than in the case of independence referenda. Whereas
50	 Magdalena Musiał-Karg	 ŚSP 3 ’16
participation in the latter exceeded even 90%, the latter were character-
ized by lower turnouts, as little as 30–40%, resulting in some referenda
failing to meet the conditions for validity.
Another significant property of “deepening” referenda was that so-
cial support for the proposed changes was considerably lower. The at-
titudes of voters were not as unanimous as in the case of independence
referenda, where in the majority of cases over 90% of the electorate
gave an affirmative answer to the referendum question. In the “deep-
ening” referenda, the supporters of proposed changes ranged from ca.
20% (as in the 1992 referendum in Poland) to over 90% (the 1989 refer-
endum in Hungary, the 1992 referendum in Lithuania and the 1994 one
in Slovakia, and so on).
“Deepening” referenda can be approached as evidence that after the
initial enthusiasm triggered by the onset of political transition, positive
emotions subside and the social commitment to matters of apparently less
symbolic character – goes down.
Referenda on accession to the European Union
The referenda on accession to the European Union held in 2003 (and
in Croatia in 2011), in relation to the greatest enlargement of the EU,
were instrumental in the process of democratic transition in Central and
Eastern Europe.
Joining the European Union was perceived as symbolically joining
the Western democracies, and was among the priorities of foreign poli-
cies of the former members of the Soviet bloc following their political
transformation (Kużelewska, 2006). Joining the EU was therefore tre-
ated as a matter of general significance, not identified with individual
interests but related to the future of all citizens and generations to come.
It should be noted that the accession referenda in respective countries
were distinguished by uniqueness, and their results – by historical irre-
versibility. Therefore, turnout was forecast to be high, and social sup-
port for individual countries joining the Community was expected to be
at a high level as well (Musiał-Karg, 2008, p. 287; Musiał-Karg, 2012,
p. 212).
As concerns the 2003 referenda in the countries expected to join EU
structures in 2004, Cyprus was the only country not planning to vote.
Nine referenda were held from March to September 2003.
ŚSP 3 ’16	 The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern...	 51
Table 3
Accession referenda in Central and Eastern Europe
State Date Topic
Turnout
(%)
Yes
(%)
No
(%)
Result
Malta Mar. 8, 2003 – joining the EU 90.85 53.65 43.65 accepted
Slovenia Mar. 23, 2003 – joining the EU 60.43 89.64 10.36 accepted
Hungary Apr. 12, 2003 – joining the EU 45.63 83.76 16.24 accepted
Lithuania May10–11, 2003 – joining the EU 63.30 89.93 10.07 accepted
Slovakia May 16–17, 2003 – joining the EU 52.15 92.46 6.20 accepted
Poland Jun. 07–08, 2003 – joining the EU 58.85 77.45 22.55 accepted
Czech Republic Jun. 13–14, 2003 – joining the EU 55.21 72.33 23.71 accepted
Estonia Sept. 14, 2003 – joining the EU 64.06 66.83 33.17 accepted
Latvia Sept. 20, 2003 – joining the EU 73.12 67.48 32.52 accepted
Croatia Jan. 22, 2012 – joining the EU 43.51 66.27 33.13 accepted
Source: Kaufmann, 2004, p. 9; Ten referenda on Europe in Europe, 2003; Centre for Re-
search on Direct Democracy (c2d); Musiał-Karg, 2008, pp. 284–294; Musiał-Karg, 2012,
p. 204; Podolak, 2014, p. 294.
The voters in all these referenda unambiguously supported member-
ship of the EU, as over 50% of voters supported accession in every coun-
try, and in countries with a minimum turnout requirement for a referen-
dum to be valid (Lithuania, Slovakia, Poland,10
Latvia11
and Hungary12
)
this condition was fulfilled.
The turnout in all the countries concerned exceeded 50%, but the au-
thorities in many countries were aware that it would be relatively difficult
to achieve the threshold required for a referendum to be valid. In order
to reduce the risk that the turnout might be too low, Lithuania, Poland,
Slovakia and the Czech Republic decided to extend voting time. The ref-
erenda organized in these countries were two days long, in the hope that
an additional election day would boost turnout.13
10
  In Lithuania, Slovakia and Poland a referendum is valid provided that at least
half of eligible citizens cast their vote.
11
  For the referendum to be valid at least ca. 497,000 voters (35.14% of eligible
citizens) had to cast their vote, that is at least half of those who voted in the last par-
liamentary elections (Dziewulski, Otachel, 2003, p. 59).
12
  In conformity with Hungarian law, the result of a referendum is deemed valid
if the number of answers to one of the questions asked in this referendum (“Yes” or
“No”) gets more than 25% of eligible votes.
13
  These concerns turned out to be justified, as evidenced by the referenda. Dur-
ing two day referenda the turnout was expected to exceed 60%, whereas in Slovakia
it was 52.2% and in Poland 58.85%.
52	 Magdalena Musiał-Karg	 ŚSP 3 ’16
All the accession referenda brought a positive result, and on May 1,
2004 eight post-communist countries became EU members. Joining the
states of the Old Union meant for them the total abandonment and sepa-
ration from the former political system, and the symbolic closure of the
period named ‘post-communism.’
After 2003, Croatia was the only new EU member (alongside Bulgaria
and Romania) that decided to carry out a general vote on the issue. The
vote in Croatia was held during a financial crisis, the atmosphere was
filled with fears, and the election turnout was the lowest of all accession
referenda in Central and Eastern Europe.
Concluding these considerations on referenda on accession to the EU,
it can be noted that in their case (as evidenced in 2003) the order of votes
held in candidate countries was essential. Varied degrees of support made
it possible to influence voter preferences by means of the above-men-
tioned domino effect.14
It should be stressed that although the referenda
were extended in several countries, the results after the first voting day
were far from being as enthusiastic as expected (for instance, after the
first day, the turnout in Lithuania was 23% and together with the votes
cast by mail it slightly exceeded 30%; in Poland it was ca. 17%).
Summing up, the accession votes held in 2003 and 2012 were cru-
cial for future member states from Central and Eastern Europe since they
marked a ‘symbolic closure of their relation with the former Soviet bloc’
and were the final step in doing so. Additionally, in the majority of coun-
tries, accession referenda were the first common votes on a strictly ‘Eu-
ropean issue.’
Conclusions
The analysis of the experiences of Eastern and Central European states
leads to a number of conclusions.
Firstly, the instrument of referendum has been relatively frequently
applied to resolve essential political issues – especially over the last two
14
  Malta was somewhat exceptional among the states going to vote in 2003, be-
ing the first country to hold a referendum despite low civil support and the uncertain
results of the vote. Although the referendum was purely advisory in nature, from the
point of view of the remaining countries, its outcome was significant for the results
of the votes to come there. A Maltese “No” would blight the propaganda effect of the
plan of holding ‘cascade’ accession referenda.
ŚSP 3 ’16	 The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern...	 53
or three decades. Matters of independence and the process of European
integration (joining the EU) are such unique and historically irreversible
issues.
Secondly, referenda on such crucial matters (as independence and
joining the EU) typically featured high voter turnout and practically
unanimous attitudes of voters.
Thirdly, national referenda seem to be well established in the political-
legal systems of Central and Eastern Europe, which is evidenced by the
fact that a majority of constitutions directly provide for the procedure of
referendum.
Fourthly, Central and Eastern Europe is a region where referenda
were relatively frequently held over last twenty years. Although this
democratic form of governance was actually born in Western Europe,
it has been extensively applied also in Central and Eastern Europe, as
evidenced by the fact that all states in this region have held a referen-
dum at least once.
Fifthly, although ‘young democracies’ (which a definite majority of
CEE states are) use referenda to resolve essential matters, it is difficult
to talk about a well-established practice of resorting to this instrument,
partly owing to negative experiences dating back to before 1989.
Sixthly, many countries have established turnout thresholds required
for a referendum to be valid.15
Adopting such provisions means that states
face a considerable challenge of ensuring success in referenda, in particu-
lar when the issues put to vote are not of symbolic meaning (when turnout
tends to be low, making a referendum invalid).
The comparison of the different groups of referenda discussed here in
terms of selected features makes it possible to note differences between
various types of voting. The most prominent differentiating factor pertains
to the subject matter of referenda. Whereas voting on independence and
accession to the EU were devoted to a single and precisely formulated is-
sue, the “deepening” referenda addressed a significantly broader range of
issues – from the constitution, to the political system, to the withdrawal
of Soviet troops, to privatization.
15
  Voter turnout at the minimum level of 50% of those eligible to vote is re-
quired in Slovakia, Lithuania, Bulgaria and Romania; when referenda concern the
change to the constitution – in Slovenia and Latvia; and in ordinary referenda in
Poland.
54	 Magdalena Musiał-Karg	 ŚSP 3 ’16
Table 4
Referenda in Central and Eastern Europe – comparison
of selected properties
Independence
referenda
“Deepening” referenda
Accession
referenda
Range of topics One topic:
independence
A broad range of topics One topic: acces-
sion to the EU
Domino effect Present Absent Present
Voter turnout Very high
(ca. 80% on average)
Low or relatively low (ca. 50%
on average) (numerous refe-
renda were invalid)
Relatively high
(ca. 60% on ave-
rage)
Proportion of
‘yes’ answers
Very high
(ca. 87% on average)
Relatively high (ranging from
ca. 38% to over 90%)
(ca. 75% on average)
Very high
(ca. 80% on ave-
rage)
Result All referenda ‘ac-
cepted’
Varied answers, numerous re-
ferenda were invalid
All referenda ‘ac-
cepted’
Source: Own elaboration.
It should be added that, due to the character and significance of the to-
pics of accession and independence referenda, in both types of referenda
the effect of their sequential order was taken advantage of. A high pro-
portion of voters supporting independence and accession to the European
Union was a result, among other things, of the ‘example’ set by earlier
referenda, as well as of the desire of CEE societies to join the democratic
states from Western Europe.
The process of European integration seems to have stimulated the
practice of using referenda in the countries of the former Soviet bloc.
A similar trend could also be observed in Western Europe. On account
of EU membership and progressing integration processes, both groups of
states have begun to resort to referenda to a greater extent than before.
This analysis of the practice of holding referenda in CEE states makes
it possible to identify three, time-related waves of referenda. The first one
took place in the early 1990s, the second fell in the later 1990s, although
this was not as clear-cut as the first one, and the third wave could be seen
starting in 2003.
On account of the topic of referenda, three types can be identified
which overlap with the above-mentioned waves, namely independence
referenda (political system transition, beginning of reforms), “deepening”
referenda – on the constitution, political system, privatization (deepening
and consolidation of changes, further reforms) and accession referenda.
ŚSP 3 ’16	 The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern...	 55
It has recently become clear that the issues related to the European Union
prevailed as the topics of referenda in many states, whether EU members,
or those that are not in the EU yet. This suggests that another reason to hold
national referenda in some CEE states will be related to the issue of joining
the euro zone and adoption of the single European currency.
Summing up, it can be said that the long tradition of holding referenda
in European states evidences the fact that it is a significant instrument
to empower societies and to create and form civil society (although the
experience of CEE states shows that this process may take a long time).
This last function of this instrument of direct democracy seems to be of
particular importance from the point of view of CEE states.
Bibliography
Barber B. (1984), Strong Democracy. Participatory Politics for a New Age, Ber-
kley–London.
Budge I. (1996), The New Challenge of Direct Democracy, Polity Press, Cambridge.
Centre for Research on Direct Democracy (c2d), http://www.c2d.ch/.
Cronin T. E. (1989), Direct Democracy. The Politics of Initiative, Referendum, and
Recall, Cambridge–Massachusetts–London.
Dziewulski R., Otachel B. (2003), Referenda akcesyjne na Litwie, Słowacji, Cze-
chach, Estonii i Łotwie, “Biuletyn Analiz UKIE”, no. 13.
Gebethner S. (2001), Subject Matters of Popular Votes in Eastern and Central Eu-
rope, in: Direct Democracy: The Eastern and Central European Experience,
eds. A. Auer, M. Butzer, Ashgate Publishing Ltd., Aldershot–Burlington–Sin-
gapur–Sydney.
Kaufmann B. (ed.) (2004), Initiative & Referendum Monitor 2004/2005. The IRI Eu-
rope Toolkit for Free and Fair Referenda and Citizens’ Initiatives, Amster-
dam.
Kishna A. (2001), Enhancing Political Participation in Democracies: What is the Role
of Social Capital?, Terry Stanford Institute of Public Policy, Duke, Durham.
Kużelewska E. (2006), Referenda w procesie integracji europejskiej, ASPRA, War-
szawa.
Leduc L. (2003), The Politics of Direct Democracy. Referendums in Global Perspec-
tive, Broadview Press, Toronto.
Linder W. (1996), Demokracja szwajcarska. Rozwiązywanie konfliktów w społeczeń-
stwie wielokulturowym, Rzeszów.
Lukšic I., Kurnik A. (2001), Slovenia, in: Direct Democracy: The Eastern and Cen-
tral European Experience, eds. A. Auer, M. Bützer, Aldershot–Burlington–
Singapur–Sydney.
56	 Magdalena Musiał-Karg	 ŚSP 3 ’16
Musiał-Karg M. (2012), Doświadczenia wykorzystania instytucji referendum w pań-
stwach Europy Środkowej i Wschodniej, in: Stan i perspektywy demokracji
bezpośredniej w Polsce, ed. M. Marczewska-Rytko, UMCS, Lublin.
Musiał-Karg M. (2008), Referenda w państwach europejskich. Teoria, praktyka, per-
spektywy, Wydawnictwo Adam Marszałek, Toruń.
Musiał-Karg M. (2012), Instytucje demokracji bezpośredniej w procesie integracji
europejskiej – od referendum ogólnonarodowego do europejskiej inicjatywy
obywatelskie, “Rocznik Integracji Europejskiej”, no. 6.
Podolak M. (2014), Instytucja referendum w wybranych państwach Europy Środko-
wej i Wschodniej (1989–2012), UMCS, Lublin.
Qvortrup M. (2002), A comparative study of referendums. Government by the people,
New York.
Rachwał M. (2010), Demokracja bezpośrednia w procesie kształtowania się społe-
czeństwa obywatelskiego, Wydawnictwo Sejmowe, Warszawa.
Rytel-Warzocha A. (2011), Referendum ogólnokrajowe w państwach Europy Środko-
wo-Wschodniej, Wydawnictwo Sejmowe.
Schiller Th. (2003), Direct Democracy in Modern Democratic Evolution, paper pre-
sented during International Symposium on Initiatives, Referendums, and Di-
rect Democracy held by The Taiwan Foundation for Democracy (TFD) on
October 12, 2003, http://www.tfd.org.tw/english/subject.php?id=en0602.
Suksi M. (1993), Bringing in the People. A Comparison of Constitutional Forms and
Practices of the Referendum, Martinus Nijhoff, London.
Ten referenda on Europe in Europe. IRI Europe Referendum Monitoring Report, 2003,
IRI Europe, Tartu.
Rola referendum ogólnokrajowego w państwach
Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej. Wybrane doświadczenia
Streszczenie
Podejmowanie decyzji za pośrednictwem form demokracji bezpośredniej ode-
grało w Europie Środowej i Wschodniej istotną rolę – szczególnie w latach 89/90,
bowiem wyznaczało kierunek dalszego rozwoju państw tamtej części kontynen-
tu. Demokracji bezpośredniej – szczególnie w formie referendum – wzbudza coraz
większe zainteresowanie przede wszystkim wśród polityków oraz uprawnionych do
głosowania, co uzewnętrznia się m.in. w toczącej się debacie publicznej nad rolą par-
tycypacji obywateli w procesach decyzyjnych, a także we wzroście liczby referendów
ogólnokrajowych nie tylko w Europie, ale i na świecie. Stąd podjęcie badań nad in-
stytucją referendum w państw wydaje się być przedsięwzięciem interesującym, waż-
nym, aktualnym, a przez to wartym naukowej eksploracji. Głównym zamierzeniem
badawczym niniejszego tekstu jest odpowiedź na pytanie o rolę instytucji referendum
ogólnokrajowego w praktyce politycznej państw Europy Środkowej i Wschodniej
ŚSP 3 ’16	 The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern...	 57
oraz o  perspektywy wykorzystania tej formy sprawowania władzy w przyszłości.
Największa uwaga poświęcona została referendom, które przeprowadzono po 1989 r.
Na tej podstawie dokonano klasyfikacji na referenda: niepodległościowe, pogłębie-
niowe i akcesyjne.
Słowa kluczowe: referendum, demokracja bezpośrednia, Europa Środkowo-
Wschodnia
The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern European Countries. Selected Experiences

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The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern European Countries. Selected Experiences

  • 1. DOI 10.14746/ssp.2016.3.2 Magdalena Musiał-Karg Adam Mickiewicz University in Poznań The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern European Countries. Selected Experiences1 Abstract: Direct democratic choices have been of great importance in Central and Eastern European countries since they have marked the key steps on those states’ paths to democracy. Direct democracy – particularly referenda – is arousing increas- ing interest among politicians and the electorate, which is manifested in the ongoing public debate on the role of civil participation in decision-making processes, as well as in the increase in the number of national referenda held in Europe and worldwide. Hence, studies on referenda in Central and Eastern Europe seem to be a very interest- ing and academically important task worthy of further exploration. The main research aim of this paper is to answer the question of the role of nationwide referenda in the political practice of Central and Eastern European states, as well as the question of the future prospects for the use of referenda. More emphasis is placed on referenda conducted after 1989. On the basis of these research results, referenda are divided into three categories: independence referenda, so called “deepening” referenda and accession referenda. Key words: referendum, direct democracy, Central and Eastern Europe Introduction Democratic government and the choices made by citizens in elections and referendums determine the paths democratic states take in shaping their policies. Direct democracy as a form of democratic ruling concedes to all citizens the right to decisive voting on political issues and therefore comes as close as possible to the principle of political equality (Schiller, 2003). Without any doubt ‘direct’ choices have been of great importance in Central and Eastern European countries since they have marked the key 1   This article has been written within the research project: Demokracja bezpośrednia w Europie Środkowej i Wschodniej po 1989 roku: wymiar formalno- prawny i praktyczny. Analiza politologiczna (UMO-2014/15/B/HS5/01866) financed by the National Science Center in Poland.
  • 2. 42 Magdalena Musiał-Karg ŚSP 3 ’16 steps on those states’ paths to democracy. From this perspective, the con- cept of civil participation in the process of making decisions (Kishna, 2001, p. 3) related to the state has been a significant element of European history, which became particularly important in the context of political transition in Central and Eastern Europe at the turn of the 1980s. Direct democracy instruments seem to play today an increasingly im- portant role across the globe in involving citizens in the political pro- cess. The phenomenon of referendum is an important part of the political processes in many European countries. Many authors point out that in democratic states the referendum and other direct instruments should not be thrown away since they are crucial devices of citizens’ government. The issue of direct democracy and its institutions has been drawing the attention of researchers worldwide for a long time, whereas recent years clearly evidence an increased interest in direct forms of democracy in Europe. Whether in Western Europe, where democracy has long been well established, or in the states of the former Soviet bloc, direct democ- racy supplements representative governance (Linder, 1996, p. 26; Barber, 1984, pp. 179–180) as evidenced by numerous referenda held on varied occasions in the west, center and east of Europe. Observers who repre- sent such entities as the Initiative and Referendum Institute – Europe, Democracy International, IDEA – International Institute for Democracy and ElectoralAssistance, other NGOs and think tanks agree that out of the many instruments of direct democracy the importance of referenda has been on the rise, as evidenced by the large number of referenda conducted over the last 20–25 years. This is likely to have resulted from the fact that direct democracy was initially ‘triggered’ by the political transition in the states of the former Soviet bloc and then reinforced by the process of European integration, which facilitated more frequent appeals to public opinion by means of national referenda than before. The referenda held in Central and Eastern Europe at that time were of particular importance, as in many cases they were of symbolic significance (independence and accession to the European Union). This text discusses the experiences of holding referenda in Central and Eastern Europe. The primary research goal is to answer the question of the role of national referenda in Central and Eastern Europe, thereby indicating the similarities and differences in the political practice of different states in this part of the continent, on the one hand, and answering the question of the future prospects of this form of governance. The theoretical aspects of considerations herein are primarily based on the findings of such foreign scholars as Ian Budge
  • 3. ŚSP 3 ’16 The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern... 43 (1996), Thomas E. Cronin (1989), Lawrence LeDuc (2003), Matt Qvor- trup (2002) and Markku Suksi (1993). The empirical part refers mainly to statistics (on the number, time, topic and results of referenda) which have turned out to be exceptionally helpful when analyzing the use of state referenda in Central and Eastern Europe, and allowed me to compare the results of studies. This paper concentrates on examining the number of popular votes2 held in this part of Europe, de- termining their character (whether they were voluntary or mandatory) as well as the topic of each. Referenda held in 24 countries3 in Central and Eastern Europe from January 1, 1900 to October 31, 2016 are analyzed.4 Approaching the topic in this manner made it possible to examine how the instrument of the referendum was used in individual countries throughout an entire century (thereby identifying the states with the greatest experience of referenda) and determine the periods when referenda were most frequently used in decision-making processes in different countries. The analysis of the topics the referenda addressed made it possible to indicate the themes that are typically subjected to a vote. This paper is not an exhaustive analysis of how the instrument of the referendum has been used in the part of Europe concerned, and it intends to make a contribution to further discussion on how this instrument may be used in the future and how efficient it is. Referenda in Central and Eastern Europe The analysis of how referenda are used in practice in Europe in order to solve different politically and socially significant issues makes 2   It should be noted that different authors quote different numbers of referenda held in different countries. These differences are mainly caused by the fact that nu- merous scholars treat each question asked in a referendum as a separate referendum. This practice is most popular among Anglo-Saxon scholars. In Polish literature, by turn, a referendum where voters answer several questions is treated as a single ref- erendum. This approach is adopted in the present paper – which referenda addressed several different issues and encompassed several questions is indicated. Nevertheless, such votes are treated as a single referendum, since they were held simultaneously. 3   Albania,Belarus,Bulgaria,BosniaandHercegovina,Croatia,Cyprus,CzechRepub- lic (Czechia), Estonia, Hungary, Kosovo, Latvia, Lithuania, Macedonia, Malta, Moldova, Montenegro, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey, Ukraine. 4   Former version of this paper was published in: Musiał-Karg, 2012. This paper is a reference and continuation (and complement) of considerations on the role of refer- endum institution in Central Eastern Europe. The research has been updated to 2016.
  • 4. 44 Magdalena Musiał-Karg ŚSP 3 ’16 it possible to conclude that this instrument enjoys considerable inter- est in the electorate.5 Its popularity may be evidenced by the number of votes held as well as the high average voter turnout. Both in West- ern Europe and Central and Eastern Europe an average of more than 60% of voters have taken part in all referenda held since the beginning of 1900. It should be noted, however, that civil participation in the election processes in Central and Eastern Europe raises considerable concerns. The studies of referenda held in what are called ‘young de- mocracies’ evidence that the highest turnout was recorded when the matters of regaining independence and accessing the European Union were being decided. The results of the independence referenda were quite predictable and there were no concerns about the turnout. Yet the turnout in later referenda was considerably lower. What’s more due to the low participation rate some referenda has been invalidated. For instance, in Hungary in October 2016,6 only 40.4% cast valid ballots – short of the required 50% threshold, or in Poland in September 2015,7 only 7.8 percent of voters took part in three-question referendum, way below the 50% threshold. When analyzing referenda held in Europe, a considerable difference can be noted as to the time when referenda started to be used in both parts of the continent. In Western Europe referenda were conducted from the very beginning of the 20th century and their number grew considerably af- 5   For more on this topic see the works by M. Musiał-Karg, E. Zieliński, M. Gal- lagher, M. Marczewska-Rytko, E. Kużelewska, B. Kaufmann and others. 6   In February 2016, the Hungarian government decided to hold a national ref- erendum on the EU mandatory distribution system of refugees among the Mem- ber States. The government proposed the following referendum question: “Do you want the European Union to be able to require the resettlement of non-Hungarian citizens in the country without the Hungarian parliament’s approval?” The question was approved both by the National Election Committee and – after rejecting four complaints from opposition parties – the Supreme Court of Hungary. According to Hungarian regulations, the vote to be valid and binding required the turnout higher than 50%. 7   The nationwide referendum consisted of three questions: 1. Are you in favor of introducing single-member constituencies in elections to the Sejm of the Republic of Poland? 2. Are you in favor of maintaining the current system of financing political parties from the state budget? 3. Are you in favor of introducing a general principle whereby any legal doubts in interpreting tax law would be resolved in favor of taxpay- ers? All three questions raised problems in relation to an unconstitutional nature of the first question, lack of precision of the second question, and irrelevance of the third question. The referendum to be binding required min. 50% turnout.
  • 5. ŚSP 3 ’16 The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern... 45 ter World War II.8 There was not a single referendum held in Central and Eastern Europe before 1922, and it was rather rare there in later years as well. Typically, one referendum would be held in only one of those countries in any given year. It should be noted that voter turnout at that time was very high, which was most likely the outcome of the political situation in those countries (e.g. Poland –1946, Romania – 1938, 1941 and 1986, Bulgaria – 1922, 1946 and 1971) or its mandatory character (e.g. Turkey in 1982, when failing to vote could be punished by the loss of voting rights for 5 years). The period of political transition turned out to mark a watershed in referendum practice in Central and Eastern European states, where representative governance was complemented with the elements of direct democracy. The most frequent topics put to the vote at that time concerned regaining independence by the nations earlier encompassed by the communist bloc. The analysis of the number of referenda held shows that referenda enjoyed exceptional interest in this part of Europe in 1992 and 2003, when 8 and 12 referenda were held respectively. Despite the experience gathered with respect to referenda during the first decades of the 20th century (although this experience was typically not related to democratic governance), 1989 marked a turning point in the use of this form of governance in Central and Eastern European states. As mentioned before, this was the beginning of the political transition aimed at the implementation of a democratic order in the states that had been separated from the (democratic) West by the ‘iron curtain.’A total of 86 referenda were held in this part of Europe from January 1989 to Octo- ber 2016. In terms of topics, over a dozen referenda were held on the issue of regaining independence. In many countries, these popular votes turned out to be the most important referenda ever held, since the decisions made on their basis marked the onset of a democratic transformation. Politi- cal, social and economic changes were preceded by the adoption of new constitutions in the respective states, which in many cases were also sub- jected to referenda. In the 1990s, numerous reforms, for instance priva- tization-related reforms, were also implemented using this tool of direct democracy. This clearly demonstrated the fact that nationwide referenda were assigned an important role in shaping the political system of the new states – former satellites of the Soviet Union. The increased importance 8   Centre for Research on Direct Democracy (c2d), http://www.c2d.ch/, October 15, 2016; Musiał-Karg, 2008, p. 186.
  • 6. 46 Magdalena Musiał-Karg ŚSP 3 ’16 of voting was further confirmed in the referenda on accession to the Euro- pean Union held in 2003 and later, for instance in Croatia – in 2012. Referenda on regaining independence There is no doubt that referenda on independence were a significant form of democracy in the process of political changes in the countries of the former Soviet bloc. In many of them, referenda on regaining indepen- dence marked the beginning of political and social transition. It should be noted here that a vote on independence is about obtaining the legitimate confirmation of the nation’s desire to change its political status. Although the results of such votes typically are not binding, after the nation ex- presses its desire, the government tends to make decisions taking this opinion into account. The referenda held in Central and Eastern Europe in the early 1990s usually concerned the change of the status of associated territories to that of sovereign states, and adopting the status of a sovereign state by autono- mous territories. Therefore, it seems justified to claim that the referendum was a tool applied by societies in the Soviet bloc to express their desire to change the political system and abandon the socialist tradition. The first referendum on independence was held in Slovenia on Decem- ber 23, 1990. This was the first referendum there ever9 (Lukšic, Kurnik, 2001, p. 192). The referendum in Slovenia started a wave of successive independence votes in Central and Eastern Europe. Table 1 Referenda on independence in Central and Eastern Europe State Date Topic Turnout (%) Yes (%) No (%) Result 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Slovenia Dec. 23, 1990 – independence 93.31 95.71   4.29 accepted Lithuania Feb. 9, 1991 – independence 84.74 93.24   6.76 accepted Estonia Mar. 3, 1991 – independence 82.96 78.41 21.57 accepted 9   Igor Lukšic andAndrej Kurnik claim that the first Slovenian experience in terms of referendum dates back to 1919. This traumatic experience, to quote the authors, took place after World War I ended, and Slovenians joined the kingdom of Serbs, Croats and Slovenians. A referendum was held then to determine the border between Austria and the territories inhabited by both Austrian and Slovenian populations. It was decided in the referendum that the territory would belong to Austria (Lukšic, Kurnik, 2012, p. 192).
  • 7. ŚSP 3 ’16 The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern... 47 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Latvia Mar. 3, 1991 – independence 87.56 74.90 25.10 accepted Ukraine Mar. 17, 1991 – sovereignty of Ukraine 83.50 83.50 16.50 accepted Croatia May 19, 1991 – independence – remaining in Yugoslavia 84.94 84.94 93.24   5.50   6.76 94.50 accepted rejected Macedonia Sept. 8, 1991 – independence 71.85 95.09   4.91 accepted Ukraine Dec. 1, 1991 – independence 84.18 92.26   7.74 accepted Bosnia and Herzegovina Mar. 1, 1992 – independence 62.45 99.69   0.31 accepted Moldova Mar. 6, 1994 – independence 75.10 95.40   2.00 accepted Montenegro May 21, 2006 – independence 86.49 55.49 44.51 accepted Source: Centre for Research on Direct Democracy (c2d), http://www.c2d.ch/, 15.10.2016. Further referenda on independence were held in February and March 1991 in four Soviet republics. Despite protests by the USSR authori- ties, independence referenda were held in Lithuania, Estonia and Latvia, whereas Ukraine held a referendum on sovereignty. In all four instances, over 80% of voters went to the polls and their definite majority approved of the proposed changes. Another referendum followed in Ukraine in De- cember 1991, this time the topic was regaining independence. The same year, two more votes on the same topic were held in Croatia and Mace- donia, followed by Bosnia and Herzegovina in March 1992 and Moldova in March 1994. After this wave of independence referenda, a twelve-year break followed. Another vote on independence, so far the last, was held in Montenegro in May 2006, which resulted in Montenegro separating from Serbia. The high voter turnout in independence referenda evidenced the high mobilization of societies in respective countries. Civil participation in all these referenda ranged from ca. 62% to over 90%. This high turnout was accompanied by an unambiguous attitude of voters. In ten out of eleven referenda affirmative answers (“yes”) accounted for over 70% of votes and over 90% in seven countries. The results of the last vote are an excep- tion in this series of independence referenda, as 55% of voters voted for independence. Another characteristic of these independence referenda was a domino effect. The referenda were held over a short period of time (one after another) and therefore the result of a referendum in one country had an impact on the results of successive votes held in other countries later on.
  • 8. 48 Magdalena Musiał-Karg ŚSP 3 ’16 The experiences gathered in the field of independence referenda con- stitute a significant contribution to the discussion on the importance of direct democracy in Central and Eastern Europe. The analysis of inde- pendence referenda leads to a conclusion that all these referenda were unanimously answered by the electorate, thereby dramatically changing the political map of the world, establishing over a dozen new states in Europe. Referenda deepening reforms (reforming referenda) Another category of referenda conducted in Central and Eastern Eu- ropean states after 1990 can be classified as “deepening” referenda. This name stresses the fact that the referenda that followed the votes on inde- pendence held in Central and Eastern Europe aimed to reinforce and de- epen the changes initiated at the turn of the 1980s. This category encom- passes referenda on new constitutions, first and foremost, referenda on political systems, such as that of parliamentary or presidential elections, and votes on reforms, for instance of privatization or insurance systems. The majority of “deepening” referenda were held in the 1990s. Ho- wever, the constitutional referendum held in Serbia in October 2006, five months after the independence vote in Montenegro, also falls into this category. Table 2 presents statistics concerning the “deepening” re- ferenda. Table 2 Selected “deepening” referenda in Central and Eastern European states State Date Topic Turnout (%) Yes (%) Result 1 2 3 4 5 6 Hungary Oct. 26, 1989 presidential elections–– dissolution of workers’ militia–– account of the property of the socialist–– party banning of the socialist party from–– workplaces 58.04 50.07 94.93 95.37 95.14 accepted accepted accepted accepted Romania Dec. 12, 1991 constitution–– 67.25 79.11 accepted Lithuania June 14, 1992 unconditional withdrawal of the So-–– viet troops 76.05 92.27 accepted
  • 9. ŚSP 3 ’16 The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern... 49 1 2 3 4 5 6 Estonia June 28, 1992 constitution–– 66.76 92.00 accepted Lithuania Oct. 25, 1992 constitution–– 75.26 78.23 accepted Lithuania Aug. 27, 1994 privatization (8 questions)–– 36.89 Ca. 89 invalid Slovakia Oct. 22, 1994 disclosure of privatization transac-–– tions 19.98 93.64 invalid Slovenia Dec. 8, 1996 system of parliamentary elections–– (3 proposals): A. proportionate election B. German model C. French model 37.94 14.38 44.52 26.19 all pro- posals rejected Poland Feb. 18, 1996 general property enfranchisement of–– citizens liabilities to pensioners and public–– sector employees paid from the priva- tization of public assets contribution to the common pension–– fund to be made from a portion of pri- vatized assets increased National Investment Fund–– share certificates privatization vouchers in the property–– enfranchisement program 32.40 32.44 32.44 32.44 32.44 94.54 92.89 93.70 21.86 88.30 invalid Poland Apr. 27, 1997 constitution–– 42.86 52.70 accepted Slovakia Sept. 26, 1998 refraining from privatizing enterprises–– of strategic importance 44.06 84.30 invalid Serbia Oct. 29, 2006 constitution–– 55.00 53.00 accepted Source: Centre for Research on Direct Democracy (c2d), http://www.c2d.ch/, 15.10.2016. The analysis of this referendum category points to a conclusion that “deepening” referenda concerned a relatively broad range of issues from the constitution to political issues (Rytel-Warzocha, 2011, pp. 254–255), to the withdrawal of Soviet troops, to privatization issues (Gebethner, 2001). The referenda conducted in this period did not produce the domino effect observable in the case of independence votes. The most prominent feature of “deepening” referenda was the consid- erably lower turnout than in the case of independence referenda. Whereas
  • 10. 50 Magdalena Musiał-Karg ŚSP 3 ’16 participation in the latter exceeded even 90%, the latter were character- ized by lower turnouts, as little as 30–40%, resulting in some referenda failing to meet the conditions for validity. Another significant property of “deepening” referenda was that so- cial support for the proposed changes was considerably lower. The at- titudes of voters were not as unanimous as in the case of independence referenda, where in the majority of cases over 90% of the electorate gave an affirmative answer to the referendum question. In the “deep- ening” referenda, the supporters of proposed changes ranged from ca. 20% (as in the 1992 referendum in Poland) to over 90% (the 1989 refer- endum in Hungary, the 1992 referendum in Lithuania and the 1994 one in Slovakia, and so on). “Deepening” referenda can be approached as evidence that after the initial enthusiasm triggered by the onset of political transition, positive emotions subside and the social commitment to matters of apparently less symbolic character – goes down. Referenda on accession to the European Union The referenda on accession to the European Union held in 2003 (and in Croatia in 2011), in relation to the greatest enlargement of the EU, were instrumental in the process of democratic transition in Central and Eastern Europe. Joining the European Union was perceived as symbolically joining the Western democracies, and was among the priorities of foreign poli- cies of the former members of the Soviet bloc following their political transformation (Kużelewska, 2006). Joining the EU was therefore tre- ated as a matter of general significance, not identified with individual interests but related to the future of all citizens and generations to come. It should be noted that the accession referenda in respective countries were distinguished by uniqueness, and their results – by historical irre- versibility. Therefore, turnout was forecast to be high, and social sup- port for individual countries joining the Community was expected to be at a high level as well (Musiał-Karg, 2008, p. 287; Musiał-Karg, 2012, p. 212). As concerns the 2003 referenda in the countries expected to join EU structures in 2004, Cyprus was the only country not planning to vote. Nine referenda were held from March to September 2003.
  • 11. ŚSP 3 ’16 The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern... 51 Table 3 Accession referenda in Central and Eastern Europe State Date Topic Turnout (%) Yes (%) No (%) Result Malta Mar. 8, 2003 – joining the EU 90.85 53.65 43.65 accepted Slovenia Mar. 23, 2003 – joining the EU 60.43 89.64 10.36 accepted Hungary Apr. 12, 2003 – joining the EU 45.63 83.76 16.24 accepted Lithuania May10–11, 2003 – joining the EU 63.30 89.93 10.07 accepted Slovakia May 16–17, 2003 – joining the EU 52.15 92.46 6.20 accepted Poland Jun. 07–08, 2003 – joining the EU 58.85 77.45 22.55 accepted Czech Republic Jun. 13–14, 2003 – joining the EU 55.21 72.33 23.71 accepted Estonia Sept. 14, 2003 – joining the EU 64.06 66.83 33.17 accepted Latvia Sept. 20, 2003 – joining the EU 73.12 67.48 32.52 accepted Croatia Jan. 22, 2012 – joining the EU 43.51 66.27 33.13 accepted Source: Kaufmann, 2004, p. 9; Ten referenda on Europe in Europe, 2003; Centre for Re- search on Direct Democracy (c2d); Musiał-Karg, 2008, pp. 284–294; Musiał-Karg, 2012, p. 204; Podolak, 2014, p. 294. The voters in all these referenda unambiguously supported member- ship of the EU, as over 50% of voters supported accession in every coun- try, and in countries with a minimum turnout requirement for a referen- dum to be valid (Lithuania, Slovakia, Poland,10 Latvia11 and Hungary12 ) this condition was fulfilled. The turnout in all the countries concerned exceeded 50%, but the au- thorities in many countries were aware that it would be relatively difficult to achieve the threshold required for a referendum to be valid. In order to reduce the risk that the turnout might be too low, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia and the Czech Republic decided to extend voting time. The ref- erenda organized in these countries were two days long, in the hope that an additional election day would boost turnout.13 10   In Lithuania, Slovakia and Poland a referendum is valid provided that at least half of eligible citizens cast their vote. 11   For the referendum to be valid at least ca. 497,000 voters (35.14% of eligible citizens) had to cast their vote, that is at least half of those who voted in the last par- liamentary elections (Dziewulski, Otachel, 2003, p. 59). 12   In conformity with Hungarian law, the result of a referendum is deemed valid if the number of answers to one of the questions asked in this referendum (“Yes” or “No”) gets more than 25% of eligible votes. 13   These concerns turned out to be justified, as evidenced by the referenda. Dur- ing two day referenda the turnout was expected to exceed 60%, whereas in Slovakia it was 52.2% and in Poland 58.85%.
  • 12. 52 Magdalena Musiał-Karg ŚSP 3 ’16 All the accession referenda brought a positive result, and on May 1, 2004 eight post-communist countries became EU members. Joining the states of the Old Union meant for them the total abandonment and sepa- ration from the former political system, and the symbolic closure of the period named ‘post-communism.’ After 2003, Croatia was the only new EU member (alongside Bulgaria and Romania) that decided to carry out a general vote on the issue. The vote in Croatia was held during a financial crisis, the atmosphere was filled with fears, and the election turnout was the lowest of all accession referenda in Central and Eastern Europe. Concluding these considerations on referenda on accession to the EU, it can be noted that in their case (as evidenced in 2003) the order of votes held in candidate countries was essential. Varied degrees of support made it possible to influence voter preferences by means of the above-men- tioned domino effect.14 It should be stressed that although the referenda were extended in several countries, the results after the first voting day were far from being as enthusiastic as expected (for instance, after the first day, the turnout in Lithuania was 23% and together with the votes cast by mail it slightly exceeded 30%; in Poland it was ca. 17%). Summing up, the accession votes held in 2003 and 2012 were cru- cial for future member states from Central and Eastern Europe since they marked a ‘symbolic closure of their relation with the former Soviet bloc’ and were the final step in doing so. Additionally, in the majority of coun- tries, accession referenda were the first common votes on a strictly ‘Eu- ropean issue.’ Conclusions The analysis of the experiences of Eastern and Central European states leads to a number of conclusions. Firstly, the instrument of referendum has been relatively frequently applied to resolve essential political issues – especially over the last two 14   Malta was somewhat exceptional among the states going to vote in 2003, be- ing the first country to hold a referendum despite low civil support and the uncertain results of the vote. Although the referendum was purely advisory in nature, from the point of view of the remaining countries, its outcome was significant for the results of the votes to come there. A Maltese “No” would blight the propaganda effect of the plan of holding ‘cascade’ accession referenda.
  • 13. ŚSP 3 ’16 The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern... 53 or three decades. Matters of independence and the process of European integration (joining the EU) are such unique and historically irreversible issues. Secondly, referenda on such crucial matters (as independence and joining the EU) typically featured high voter turnout and practically unanimous attitudes of voters. Thirdly, national referenda seem to be well established in the political- legal systems of Central and Eastern Europe, which is evidenced by the fact that a majority of constitutions directly provide for the procedure of referendum. Fourthly, Central and Eastern Europe is a region where referenda were relatively frequently held over last twenty years. Although this democratic form of governance was actually born in Western Europe, it has been extensively applied also in Central and Eastern Europe, as evidenced by the fact that all states in this region have held a referen- dum at least once. Fifthly, although ‘young democracies’ (which a definite majority of CEE states are) use referenda to resolve essential matters, it is difficult to talk about a well-established practice of resorting to this instrument, partly owing to negative experiences dating back to before 1989. Sixthly, many countries have established turnout thresholds required for a referendum to be valid.15 Adopting such provisions means that states face a considerable challenge of ensuring success in referenda, in particu- lar when the issues put to vote are not of symbolic meaning (when turnout tends to be low, making a referendum invalid). The comparison of the different groups of referenda discussed here in terms of selected features makes it possible to note differences between various types of voting. The most prominent differentiating factor pertains to the subject matter of referenda. Whereas voting on independence and accession to the EU were devoted to a single and precisely formulated is- sue, the “deepening” referenda addressed a significantly broader range of issues – from the constitution, to the political system, to the withdrawal of Soviet troops, to privatization. 15   Voter turnout at the minimum level of 50% of those eligible to vote is re- quired in Slovakia, Lithuania, Bulgaria and Romania; when referenda concern the change to the constitution – in Slovenia and Latvia; and in ordinary referenda in Poland.
  • 14. 54 Magdalena Musiał-Karg ŚSP 3 ’16 Table 4 Referenda in Central and Eastern Europe – comparison of selected properties Independence referenda “Deepening” referenda Accession referenda Range of topics One topic: independence A broad range of topics One topic: acces- sion to the EU Domino effect Present Absent Present Voter turnout Very high (ca. 80% on average) Low or relatively low (ca. 50% on average) (numerous refe- renda were invalid) Relatively high (ca. 60% on ave- rage) Proportion of ‘yes’ answers Very high (ca. 87% on average) Relatively high (ranging from ca. 38% to over 90%) (ca. 75% on average) Very high (ca. 80% on ave- rage) Result All referenda ‘ac- cepted’ Varied answers, numerous re- ferenda were invalid All referenda ‘ac- cepted’ Source: Own elaboration. It should be added that, due to the character and significance of the to- pics of accession and independence referenda, in both types of referenda the effect of their sequential order was taken advantage of. A high pro- portion of voters supporting independence and accession to the European Union was a result, among other things, of the ‘example’ set by earlier referenda, as well as of the desire of CEE societies to join the democratic states from Western Europe. The process of European integration seems to have stimulated the practice of using referenda in the countries of the former Soviet bloc. A similar trend could also be observed in Western Europe. On account of EU membership and progressing integration processes, both groups of states have begun to resort to referenda to a greater extent than before. This analysis of the practice of holding referenda in CEE states makes it possible to identify three, time-related waves of referenda. The first one took place in the early 1990s, the second fell in the later 1990s, although this was not as clear-cut as the first one, and the third wave could be seen starting in 2003. On account of the topic of referenda, three types can be identified which overlap with the above-mentioned waves, namely independence referenda (political system transition, beginning of reforms), “deepening” referenda – on the constitution, political system, privatization (deepening and consolidation of changes, further reforms) and accession referenda.
  • 15. ŚSP 3 ’16 The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern... 55 It has recently become clear that the issues related to the European Union prevailed as the topics of referenda in many states, whether EU members, or those that are not in the EU yet. This suggests that another reason to hold national referenda in some CEE states will be related to the issue of joining the euro zone and adoption of the single European currency. Summing up, it can be said that the long tradition of holding referenda in European states evidences the fact that it is a significant instrument to empower societies and to create and form civil society (although the experience of CEE states shows that this process may take a long time). This last function of this instrument of direct democracy seems to be of particular importance from the point of view of CEE states. Bibliography Barber B. (1984), Strong Democracy. Participatory Politics for a New Age, Ber- kley–London. Budge I. (1996), The New Challenge of Direct Democracy, Polity Press, Cambridge. Centre for Research on Direct Democracy (c2d), http://www.c2d.ch/. Cronin T. E. (1989), Direct Democracy. The Politics of Initiative, Referendum, and Recall, Cambridge–Massachusetts–London. Dziewulski R., Otachel B. (2003), Referenda akcesyjne na Litwie, Słowacji, Cze- chach, Estonii i Łotwie, “Biuletyn Analiz UKIE”, no. 13. Gebethner S. (2001), Subject Matters of Popular Votes in Eastern and Central Eu- rope, in: Direct Democracy: The Eastern and Central European Experience, eds. A. Auer, M. Butzer, Ashgate Publishing Ltd., Aldershot–Burlington–Sin- gapur–Sydney. Kaufmann B. (ed.) (2004), Initiative & Referendum Monitor 2004/2005. The IRI Eu- rope Toolkit for Free and Fair Referenda and Citizens’ Initiatives, Amster- dam. Kishna A. (2001), Enhancing Political Participation in Democracies: What is the Role of Social Capital?, Terry Stanford Institute of Public Policy, Duke, Durham. Kużelewska E. (2006), Referenda w procesie integracji europejskiej, ASPRA, War- szawa. Leduc L. (2003), The Politics of Direct Democracy. Referendums in Global Perspec- tive, Broadview Press, Toronto. Linder W. (1996), Demokracja szwajcarska. Rozwiązywanie konfliktów w społeczeń- stwie wielokulturowym, Rzeszów. Lukšic I., Kurnik A. (2001), Slovenia, in: Direct Democracy: The Eastern and Cen- tral European Experience, eds. A. Auer, M. Bützer, Aldershot–Burlington– Singapur–Sydney.
  • 16. 56 Magdalena Musiał-Karg ŚSP 3 ’16 Musiał-Karg M. (2012), Doświadczenia wykorzystania instytucji referendum w pań- stwach Europy Środkowej i Wschodniej, in: Stan i perspektywy demokracji bezpośredniej w Polsce, ed. M. Marczewska-Rytko, UMCS, Lublin. Musiał-Karg M. (2008), Referenda w państwach europejskich. Teoria, praktyka, per- spektywy, Wydawnictwo Adam Marszałek, Toruń. Musiał-Karg M. (2012), Instytucje demokracji bezpośredniej w procesie integracji europejskiej – od referendum ogólnonarodowego do europejskiej inicjatywy obywatelskie, “Rocznik Integracji Europejskiej”, no. 6. Podolak M. (2014), Instytucja referendum w wybranych państwach Europy Środko- wej i Wschodniej (1989–2012), UMCS, Lublin. Qvortrup M. (2002), A comparative study of referendums. Government by the people, New York. Rachwał M. (2010), Demokracja bezpośrednia w procesie kształtowania się społe- czeństwa obywatelskiego, Wydawnictwo Sejmowe, Warszawa. Rytel-Warzocha A. (2011), Referendum ogólnokrajowe w państwach Europy Środko- wo-Wschodniej, Wydawnictwo Sejmowe. Schiller Th. (2003), Direct Democracy in Modern Democratic Evolution, paper pre- sented during International Symposium on Initiatives, Referendums, and Di- rect Democracy held by The Taiwan Foundation for Democracy (TFD) on October 12, 2003, http://www.tfd.org.tw/english/subject.php?id=en0602. Suksi M. (1993), Bringing in the People. A Comparison of Constitutional Forms and Practices of the Referendum, Martinus Nijhoff, London. Ten referenda on Europe in Europe. IRI Europe Referendum Monitoring Report, 2003, IRI Europe, Tartu. Rola referendum ogólnokrajowego w państwach Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej. Wybrane doświadczenia Streszczenie Podejmowanie decyzji za pośrednictwem form demokracji bezpośredniej ode- grało w Europie Środowej i Wschodniej istotną rolę – szczególnie w latach 89/90, bowiem wyznaczało kierunek dalszego rozwoju państw tamtej części kontynen- tu. Demokracji bezpośredniej – szczególnie w formie referendum – wzbudza coraz większe zainteresowanie przede wszystkim wśród polityków oraz uprawnionych do głosowania, co uzewnętrznia się m.in. w toczącej się debacie publicznej nad rolą par- tycypacji obywateli w procesach decyzyjnych, a także we wzroście liczby referendów ogólnokrajowych nie tylko w Europie, ale i na świecie. Stąd podjęcie badań nad in- stytucją referendum w państw wydaje się być przedsięwzięciem interesującym, waż- nym, aktualnym, a przez to wartym naukowej eksploracji. Głównym zamierzeniem badawczym niniejszego tekstu jest odpowiedź na pytanie o rolę instytucji referendum ogólnokrajowego w praktyce politycznej państw Europy Środkowej i Wschodniej
  • 17. ŚSP 3 ’16 The Role of National Referendum in Central and Eastern... 57 oraz o  perspektywy wykorzystania tej formy sprawowania władzy w przyszłości. Największa uwaga poświęcona została referendom, które przeprowadzono po 1989 r. Na tej podstawie dokonano klasyfikacji na referenda: niepodległościowe, pogłębie- niowe i akcesyjne. Słowa kluczowe: referendum, demokracja bezpośrednia, Europa Środkowo- Wschodnia