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The new agrarian change?
1. Liz Deakin, Mrigesh Kshtryia, Frédéric Baudron, Terry Sunderland
Association for Tropical Biology Conference – Honolulu, 14th July 2015
The New Agrarian Change?
Exploring the dynamic interplay between forest conservation, food
security and commodity production in tropical forest landscapes
3. Natural vegetation ‘Secondary’ vegetation Agricultural land
Agrarian change in tropical landscapes
Agricultural modification
Treecover
Photo credits: CIFOR
4. Land sharing
Photo credits: CIFOR
Agrarian change in tropical landscapes
Treecover
Natural
vegetation
‘Secondary’
vegetation
Agricultural
land
Land sparing
5. Land sparing & land sharing
Vs.
Food productionBiodiversity conservation
Photo credits: CIFOR
• Many opinions, responses and discussion on the land sharing / land sparing
debate (e.g. Green et al. 2005, Fischer et al. 2011, Ziegler et al. 2011, Phalan et al. 2011, 2014,
Clough et al. 2011, Ewers 2009, Baudron et al. 2014, Perfecto & Vandermeer 2010 and others)
• Full complexities of multi-functional landscapes not considered by only looking
at trade offs between biodiversity conservation and agricultural yields
6. Land sparing & land sharing: moving forward
Agriculture – Biodiversity Nexus
• Land use strategies aimed at balancing agriculture and biodiversity
conservation must also consider socio-economic constraints and trade-
offs, as well as trade offs with biodiversity conservation
(Grau et al. 2013, Fischer et al. 2014, Lee et al. 2014)
• More food production does not automatically lead to better food
security and better livelihoods for rural communities
?
Photo credits: CIFOR
7. Addressing the agriculture-biodiversity nexus
Food security
Ecosystem services
Nutrition
Sustainable livelihoods
Access to markets
Poverty alleviation
Wild food &
products
Project Aim:
Advance our
understanding of
agricultural landscapes as
socio-ecological systems
?
Photo credits: CIFOR
8. Food security
Ecosystem services
Nutrition
Sustainable livelihoods
Access to markets
Poverty alleviation
Wild food &
products
What effect does agrarian change have
on social AND ecological responses in
tropical forest landscapes?
Underlying drivers behind land use
change?
Community perceptions of land use
change?
Project Aim:
Advance our
understanding of
agricultural landscapes as
socio-ecological systems
?
Photo credits: CIFOR
Addressing the agriculture-biodiversity nexus
10. FOREST (CONTROL) ZONE 1 ZONE 3ZONE 2
Agricultural modification (simplification and intensification of commodities)
Treecover
Experimental Design
A landscape-level approach, with a nested 3-level hierarchical design:
1. A landscape exhibiting changing land use practices and agrarian change
2. Three land use ‘zones’ in each landscape, a gradient of agricultural modification
3. Villages or settlements within each zone
1
2
3
11. Photo credits: CIFOR
Experimental Design
FOREST (CONTROL) ZONE 1 ZONE 3ZONE 2
Agricultural modification (simplification and intensification of commodities)
Treecover
Subsistence farming,
high dependency on
forest products
A landscape-level approach, with a nested 3-level hierarchical design:
1. A landscape exhibiting changing land use practices and agrarian change
2. Three land use ‘zones’ in each landscape, a gradient of agricultural modification
3. Villages or settlements within each zone
1
2
3
12. Photo credits: CIFOR
Experimental Design
FOREST (CONTROL) ZONE 1 ZONE 3ZONE 2
Agricultural modification (simplification and intensification of commodities)
Treecover
E.g. Subsistence farming, high
dependency on forest resources
E.g. Rubber agroforestry
system
Subsistence farming,
high dependency on
forest products
Extensive coffee
agroforesty
A landscape-level approach, with a nested 3-level hierarchical design:
1. A landscape exhibiting changing land use practices and agrarian change
2. Three land use ‘zones’ in each landscape, a gradient of agricultural modification
3. Villages or settlements within each zone
1
2
3
13. A landscape-level approach, with a nested 3-level hierarchical design:
1. A landscape exhibiting changing land use practices and agrarian change
2. Three land use ‘zones’ in each landscape, a gradient of agricultural modification
3. Villages or settlements within each zone
Experimental Design
FOREST (CONTROL) ZONE 1 ZONE 3ZONE 2
Agricultural modification (simplification and intensification of commodities)
Treecover
E.g. Subsistence farming, high
dependency on forest resources
E.g. Rubber agroforestry
system E.g. Oil palm
monoculture
Subsistence farming,
high dependency on
forest products
Extensive coffee
agroforesty
Intensive oil palm
monoculture
1
2
3
14. Field Methods
In each zone the following methods were used:
Household
Surveys
Focus Group
Discussions
Key Informant
Interviews
Farm
Productivity
Surveys
Biodiversity
Surveys
Yield
measurements
Farm inputs (e.g.
fertilizer, labour)
Production
targets
Resource flow
mapping
Wealth
ranking
Food / cash
calendars
Nutrition
assessments
Ecosystem
service mapping
Community
perceptions
Tree plots
Bird point
counts
Invertebrate
trapping
METHODS
BiodiversityRelative poverty
Nutrition
Food securityEcosystem
services
Livelihoods
Agricultural
production
RESPONSES
15. Study site: Kapuas Hulu, Kalimantan, Indonesia
Primary forest
Rubber agroforestry
Oil palm plantation
Oil palm concession
16. Study site: Kapuas Hulu, Kalimantan, Indonesia
Primary forest
Rubber agroforestry
Oil palm plantation
Oil palm concession
17. Study site: Kapuas Hulu, Kalimantan, Indonesia
Primary forest
Rubber agroforestry
Oil palm plantation
Oil palm concession
18. Study site: Kapuas Hulu, Kalimantan, Indonesia
Primary forest
Rubber agroforestry
Oil palm plantation
Oil palm concession
19. Study site: Kapuas Hulu, Kalimantan, Indonesia
Primary forest
Rubber agroforestry
Oil palm plantation
Oil palm concession
Photo credits: Dominic Rowland
20. Food security
Ecosystem services
Nutrition
Sustainable livelihoods
Access to markets
Poverty alleviation
Wild food &
products
• A LOT OF DATA ANALYSIS!
• Provide empirical evidence to
examine socio-economic trade offs
within land sparing / sharing debate
• Advance our understanding of
agricultural landscapes as socio-
ecological systems
• There is much more to food security
than increasing agricultural
production…..
?
Photo credits: CIFOR
Next steps….
21. Acknowledgements
Co-investigators:
Mrigesh Kshtryia (CIFOR)
Terry Sunderland (CIFOR)
Frédéric Baudron (CIMMYT)
Collaborators, PhD and Masters students:
Sarah Gergel & Ian Eddy (University of British Columbia)
Unai Pasquel & Ignacio Polomo (BC3)
Samson Foli (University of Amsterdam)
Abdoulaye Rabdo (CIFOR Burkina Faso)
Ronju Ahammad (Charles Darwin University)
Dominic Rowland (London School of Tropical Hygiene & Medicine)
Rio Leonald (Bogor Agricultural University)
Stella Asaha (Pan African Institute for Development)
Kondwani Yobe Mumba & Davison Gumbo (CIFOR Zambia)
Jean-Yves Duriaux (CIMMYT Ethiopia)
Funding:
DfID, UK
USAID
Halimun Salak National Park
landscape, Indonesia
Photo credit: CIFOR
This schematic diagram is a simplified way of looking at a mosaic landscape undergoing processes of Agrarian Change, taking into account decreasing forest cover and increasing levels of agricultural modification.
As you move across this gradient of agricultural modification, areas of natural vegetation largely decrease and patches of secondary vegetation and agroforestry systems emerge, as well as patches of agricultural land, and a further transition occurs as result of intensively cultivated agro-commodities, often in the form of agricultural monocultures such as wheat, maize and oil palm.
To date much of the work examining sparing and land sharing strategies has largely focused on looking at the trade offs between biodiversity conservation and food production.
And many opinions, responses and discussion regarding the land sharing land sparing debate have been brought to the table over a number of years now
However, the full complexities of multi-functional landscapes are not been considered by only examining the trade offs between biodiversity conservation and agricultural yields
And the land sharing / land sparing debate needs to move on from solely looking at trade offs between yield and biodiversity
It has recently been recognized that land use strategies aimed at balancing agriculture and biodiversity conservation must also consider socioeconomic constraints and trade-offs, as well as trade offs with biodiversity conservation.
Therefore, addressing the nexus of agricultural production, food security and biodiversity conservation is of high importance and is very timely
There is a real lack of information on human impacts of agrarian change in forested areas, particularly with regards to socio-economic effects of intensification and market integration processes
And its important to recognize that more food production does not automatically lead to better food security and better livelihoods for rural communities
Limitas of the sharing/sparing debate:
More complex than trade-offs between biodiversity and yields
Does not consider other system components, especially sociio-economic elements
Focusses on food crops, although LUC often driven by markets and land tenure
Ignores issues such as patch interactions, microclimatic effects of patches, and source-sink dynamics
In particular, there is a dearth of information on human impacts of contemporary agrarian change in forested areas, particularly with regards to socio-economic effects of intensification and market integration processes.
Grau et al. (2013) and Fischer et al. (2014) have recently highlighted that land use strategies aimed at balancing agriculture and biodiversity conservation must also consider socioeconomic constraints and trade-offs.
So in light of this, the main aim of our study is to advance our understanding of agricultural landscapes as social-ecological systems, and to move the land sharing/land sparing debate forward from solely examining trade-offs between food production and biodiversity
We aim to address this knowledge gap by examining the social dimension to the land sparing/land sharing debate, by considering agricultural production trade-offs with other system components such as food security, nutrition, local livelihoods and poverty levels, AS WELL AS ecological biodiversity and ecosystem service metrics.
So over the last 18 months we’ve set this project up in 6 different countries and have identified landscapes in each country exhibiting both land sharing and land sparing scenarios. The case study countries we will examine are Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Ethiopia, Bangladesh, Indonesia and Zambia
And in each focal country, a focal landscape exhibiting changing land use practices and agrarian change has been identified to conduct the study.
We’ve applied a nested experimental design where in each landscape, there different land use zones have been identified, representing a gradient of agricultural modification and decreasing tree cover and with local communities present in each of these zones.
The suite of land use blocks or zones are representative of changes in land use practice and have a dominant land use. An example gradient of land use may be an area with best available forest cover and dependency on forest products coupled with subsistence agriculture, an agroforestry system (a mix of forest cover and crops), and a monoculture/intensive cash crop system (e.g. wheat or palm oil).