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The linkages between biodiversity
and the transmission of emerging
infectious diseases
Jean-François Guégan
IRD, UMR MIVEGEC, Montpellier
and programme FutureEarth/OneHealth
On behalf of the BIODIS/CESAB working group
BIODIS / CEBA – Aims and introduction
• Understanding the complex linkages between biodiversity and emerging
infectious disease spillovers and transmission. Wildlife as a source of new
infections and a natural barrier against these infections
• Testing through different host-disease models, field studies and regions,
the generality, or not, of the dilution effect concept
• Understanding what key parameters and traits make an host a good
vessel for disease infection and transmission
• Relaxing some basic assumptions to the theory, seeing the generality of
the model concept.
COS à 40 - 12 septembre 2016
Vanessa Ezenwa, Ass. Professor, Athens Univ., GE (6 months Fulbright Foundation)
Felicia Keesing, Professor, Bard College, NY
Annapaola Rizzoli, Mach Foundation, Italy
Xavier Bailly, INRA, Clermont-Ferrand
Marion Vittecoq, Sansuire Foundation, France
Simon Blanchet, CNRS, France
Gerardo Suzan, UNAM, Mexico
Parviez Hosseini, EcoHealth Alliance, NY
Carlos Zambrana-T, EcoHealth Alliance, NY
Marco Vignuzzi, Pasteur Institute, Paris
Gabriel Garcia, post-doctorant, Mexico (27 candidates)
+ 2 Master students (12 months Fulbright Foundation for M. Goldberg)
Benjamin Roche
James N. Mills
Jean-François Guégan
PhD
Postdoc
BIODIS / CEBA – Group members
Transmission of Lyme disease in the U.S.A.
Peromyscus leucopus
Species richnessin small mammals Species richness in lizards
Numberofdiseasecases
inhuman(/100000)
Numberofdiseasecases
inhuman(/100000)
Transmission by tick vectors,
Ixodes scapularis
Two host reservoirs as main
hosts, Peromyscus leucopus Tamias striatus
but numerous host reservoirs with different competencies
The dilution effect concept in a nutshell
Focus Biodiversité, CNRS (2006)
prevalenceprevalence
© Photo by G. Balança, Cirad
Host reservoir competency
Distributionfrequency
Theoretical distribution of
competencies
LP avian flu HxNy
What we really observe!
Host reservoir competency distribution and disease transmission
Host reservoir competency
Distributionfrequency
Lyme disease (reservoirs)
Host reservoir competency distribution and disease transmission
Host reservoir competency
Distributionfrequency
Theoretical distribution of
competencies
What we really observe!
Host reservoir competency
Distributionfrequency
West Nile virus (vectors)
West Nile virus (birds)
Host reservoir competency distribution and disease transmission
Host reservoir competency
Distributionfrequency
Theoretical distribution of
competencies
What we really observe!
Host reservoir competency
Distributionfrequency
West Nile virus (vectors)
Host reservoir competency distribution and disease transmission
Host reservoir competency
Distributionfrequency
What really exists in local
species communities!
What we accept top be!
Host reservoir competency
Distributionfrequency
B. Roche, A.P. Dobson, P. Rohani, J.F. Guégan (2013) Am Nat
Mathematical modelling in epidemiology
SS II
Si
Si Ii
Ii
µNi
bNj
τi
SS II RR
Sj
Sj Ij
Ij Rj
Rj
τj
Local species richness in vectors
Localglobalcomptence
forhostreservoirs
High proportion of species with
low competencies
West Nile virus transmission in the U.S.A.
High proportion of species with
high and very high
competencies
West Nile virus (Camargue)
West Nile virus (Louisiana)
West Nile virus transmission in the U.S.A.
Local species richness in vectors
Localglobalcomptence
forhostreservoirs
High proportion of species with
low competencies
High proportion of species with
high and very high
competencies
West Nile virus (California)
Species richness in vectors
Speciesrichness
Dilution
Dilution
Amplification
Existence of tradeoffs
between
amplification and
dilution trends
Amplification
Inhostreservoirs
Buruli ulcer and its disease agent, Myc. ulcerans, in tropical regions
Is dilution effect a widespread disease pattern?
Roche et al. (resubmitted)
Ecology
BIODIS / CEBA – Scientific production
Four scientific papers published or in press
PLoS Pathogens, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B., Oikos, Ecology and Evolution
Four scientific papers submitted or in preparation
Ecology, ….
Seven scientific conferences given in international congresses
and 6 communications in front of policy-makers and the public
http://www.malinfemerg.org/
Thank you for your attention!

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Biodiversity Linkages

  • 1. The linkages between biodiversity and the transmission of emerging infectious diseases Jean-François Guégan IRD, UMR MIVEGEC, Montpellier and programme FutureEarth/OneHealth On behalf of the BIODIS/CESAB working group
  • 2. BIODIS / CEBA – Aims and introduction • Understanding the complex linkages between biodiversity and emerging infectious disease spillovers and transmission. Wildlife as a source of new infections and a natural barrier against these infections • Testing through different host-disease models, field studies and regions, the generality, or not, of the dilution effect concept • Understanding what key parameters and traits make an host a good vessel for disease infection and transmission • Relaxing some basic assumptions to the theory, seeing the generality of the model concept.
  • 3. COS à 40 - 12 septembre 2016 Vanessa Ezenwa, Ass. Professor, Athens Univ., GE (6 months Fulbright Foundation) Felicia Keesing, Professor, Bard College, NY Annapaola Rizzoli, Mach Foundation, Italy Xavier Bailly, INRA, Clermont-Ferrand Marion Vittecoq, Sansuire Foundation, France Simon Blanchet, CNRS, France Gerardo Suzan, UNAM, Mexico Parviez Hosseini, EcoHealth Alliance, NY Carlos Zambrana-T, EcoHealth Alliance, NY Marco Vignuzzi, Pasteur Institute, Paris Gabriel Garcia, post-doctorant, Mexico (27 candidates) + 2 Master students (12 months Fulbright Foundation for M. Goldberg) Benjamin Roche James N. Mills Jean-François Guégan PhD Postdoc BIODIS / CEBA – Group members
  • 4. Transmission of Lyme disease in the U.S.A. Peromyscus leucopus Species richnessin small mammals Species richness in lizards Numberofdiseasecases inhuman(/100000) Numberofdiseasecases inhuman(/100000) Transmission by tick vectors, Ixodes scapularis Two host reservoirs as main hosts, Peromyscus leucopus Tamias striatus but numerous host reservoirs with different competencies
  • 5. The dilution effect concept in a nutshell Focus Biodiversité, CNRS (2006) prevalenceprevalence
  • 6. © Photo by G. Balança, Cirad
  • 7. Host reservoir competency Distributionfrequency Theoretical distribution of competencies LP avian flu HxNy What we really observe! Host reservoir competency distribution and disease transmission Host reservoir competency Distributionfrequency
  • 8. Lyme disease (reservoirs) Host reservoir competency distribution and disease transmission Host reservoir competency Distributionfrequency Theoretical distribution of competencies What we really observe! Host reservoir competency Distributionfrequency
  • 9. West Nile virus (vectors) West Nile virus (birds) Host reservoir competency distribution and disease transmission Host reservoir competency Distributionfrequency Theoretical distribution of competencies What we really observe! Host reservoir competency Distributionfrequency
  • 10. West Nile virus (vectors) Host reservoir competency distribution and disease transmission Host reservoir competency Distributionfrequency What really exists in local species communities! What we accept top be! Host reservoir competency Distributionfrequency
  • 11. B. Roche, A.P. Dobson, P. Rohani, J.F. Guégan (2013) Am Nat Mathematical modelling in epidemiology SS II Si Si Ii Ii µNi bNj τi SS II RR Sj Sj Ij Ij Rj Rj τj
  • 12. Local species richness in vectors Localglobalcomptence forhostreservoirs High proportion of species with low competencies West Nile virus transmission in the U.S.A. High proportion of species with high and very high competencies
  • 13. West Nile virus (Camargue) West Nile virus (Louisiana) West Nile virus transmission in the U.S.A. Local species richness in vectors Localglobalcomptence forhostreservoirs High proportion of species with low competencies High proportion of species with high and very high competencies West Nile virus (California)
  • 14. Species richness in vectors Speciesrichness Dilution Dilution Amplification Existence of tradeoffs between amplification and dilution trends Amplification Inhostreservoirs
  • 15. Buruli ulcer and its disease agent, Myc. ulcerans, in tropical regions
  • 16.
  • 17. Is dilution effect a widespread disease pattern? Roche et al. (resubmitted) Ecology
  • 18. BIODIS / CEBA – Scientific production Four scientific papers published or in press PLoS Pathogens, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B., Oikos, Ecology and Evolution Four scientific papers submitted or in preparation Ecology, …. Seven scientific conferences given in international congresses and 6 communications in front of policy-makers and the public
  • 20. Thank you for your attention!