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The History of
Strategy and Its
Future Prospects
The History of Strategy and
Its Future Prospects
Strategy’s light has dimmed since its heydays
of the 1970s and 1980s: A staggering 80% of
executives now think “agility” is at par or more
important for future success than strategy.
What happened to strategy, and what
can be done to make it relevant again
for today’s organizations?
Strategy’s origins are often attributed
to the military.
The truth is that military strategy
was as much about avoiding
wars as winning them.
Sun Tzu
465 BC
Von
Clausewitz
1831
For most of its history, strategy wasn’t
exciting—it was all about exclusivity and
monopolies.
• Land rights
• Mineral rights
• Rents
• Levies
• Tolls
• Guilds
• Taxes
• Patents
• among others
Blockbuster medication
and Big Pharma
To this day, exclusivity makes for some of
the most simple and powerful strategies.
Revolts against Rockefeller's Standard
Oil marked the beginning of a new era
in strategy
The History
of the
Standard Oil
Company
– Ida Tarbell
The end of
monopolies
1904
Around 1900,
Standard
Oil and its
subsidiaries
controlled
90% of North
American
refining
capacity. 90%
However, Standard Oil’s industrial
prowess lived on in the next era of
Scientific Management or ”Taylorism.”
1911
The Principles
of Scientific
Management
– Frederick
Winslow
Taylor
In the late 1960s, strategy became
a proper discipline with concepts,
practitioners, and methodologies.
Outside-in, inside-out, resource-based,
measurement, and change capabilities
were all in place.
Experience
curves and
growth-share
matrix
– Bruce
Henderson
1968 1980
The Core
Competence
of the
Corporation
– Prahalad
and Hamel
1980/1985
The Core
Competence
of the
Corporation
– Prahalad
and Hamel
Competitive
Strategy
and The
Competitive
Advantage
– Michael Porter
1992
The Core
Competence
of the
Corporation
– Prahalad
and Hamel
The Balanced
Scorecard
– Kaplan &
Norton
1996
The Core
Competence
of the
Corporation
– Prahalad
and Hamel
Leading
Change
– John P.
Kotter
The strategy heydays were short-lived:
In 1993, business process reengineering
barged onto the scene…
Reengineering
the Corporation
– Michael M.
Hammer and
James Champy
1993
…closely followed by a flood of strategic
phenomena.
Note: This overview is by no means exhaustive.
Reengineering
the Corporation
– Michael M.
Hammer and
James Champy
1993
1994
Hyper-
competition
– Richard
D'Aveni
1997
The War for
Talent
– Michaels,
Handfield-
Jones, &
Axelrod
2000
1997
Cannibals
with Forks –
The Triple
Bottom Line of
21st Century
Business
Blown
to Bits
– Evans and
Wurster
2001
The Internet
Bubble
– Perkins &
Perkins
2005
The Black
Book of
Outsourcing
How to Manage the
Changes, Challenges
and Opportunities
– Brown&Wilson
2005
The New Age
of Innovation
Driving Co-created
Value Through
Global Networks
– Prahalad
& Krishnan
2005
2006
The Triple
Bottom Line
– Andrew Savitz
& Karl Weber
2005
The Wisdom
of Crowds –
Why the Many
are Smarter
Than the Few
– James
Surowieki
2004
Corporate
Social
Responsibility
Doing the Most Good
for Your Company
The World
Is Flat –
A Brief History of
the Twenty-First
Century
2008
Wikinomics –
How Mass
Collaboration
Changes Everything
– Tapscott
& Williams
2010
The Big
Short –
Inside the D
Machine
– Michae
Lewis
2010
Winning in
Emerging
Markets
– Khanna
& Palepu
2009
Enterprise 2.0
How to Manage
Social Technologies
to Transform Your
Organization
– Andrew
MacAfee
2011
Ground
Winning in
Transforme
Social Tech
– Charlen
& Josh
2007
The Black
Swan
The Impact of the
Highly Improbable
Fragility
2013
Big Dat
A Revolutio
Transform H
Live, Work,
– Mayer-
Book image copyright of Havard Business Press
“It's tough to
identify any big
new strategy
ideas since 1995.”
—Walter Kiechel
There were strategies for everything,
but no one strategy for everything
together.
There are plenty of smart recipes for
dealing with this overload, but none
is a substitute for strategy.
2009
Start With
Why –
How Great Leaders
Inspire Everyone
to Take Action
– Simon Sinek
2012
The
Strategist –
Be the Leader Your
Business Needs
– Cynthia
Montgomery
2011
HBR’s
10 Must
Reads – On
Leadership
– Drucker et al
2009
The
Upside of
Turbulence –
Seizing Opportunity
in an Uncertain
World
– Donald Sull
Authentic
leadership
2001
Profit from
the Core –
Growth Strategy
in an Era of
Turbulence
– Zook and
Allen
2013
Playing
to Win –
A Practical
Approach to
Winning Strategy
– Lafley and
Martin
2005
Blue Ocean
Strategy
– Kim and
Mauborgne
“Slice-the-pie”
approaches
2008
Fast Strategy
– Doz and
Kosonen
Agility
2001
Good to
Great –
Why Some
Companies Make
the Leap... and
Others Don't
– Jim Collins
2003
The Loyalty
Effect and One
Number You
Need to Grow
– Frederick
Reichheld
2002
Lean Six
Sigma –
Combining Six
Sigma Quality with
Lean Production
Speed
– Michael George
2004
The Toyota
Way
– Jeffrey Liker
Independent,
self-sufficient
approaches
Three promising recent lines of strategic
thinking—when combined—hold the key
to reclaiming strategy.
Organizational
inclusion
Portfolio of competitive
opportunities
Future
inspiration
1. Taking future inspiration directly
into strategy formulation
From outside-in
and inside-out
analyses to…
Future-in
strategic
inspiration
Observation: Individual
drivers of change are
relatively simple; it is
their combination that
creates the dynamics.
The Living
Company
– Arie de Geus
1997 2008/2009
Design
Thinking
and Change
by Design
– Tim Brown
Making sure strategy is truly inspired
by the drivers of change most affecting
the company.
Fundamental drivers of change
Competitive impact
Speed of
change
Strategy
formulation
2. Drawing on the organization for better
insights and more achievable results.
From cascading
strategies
down to…
Organizational
inclusion
Insight: Organizational inclusive-
ness eliminates the handover
hurdle between strategy form-
ulation and strategy excecution.
2012
Accelerate!
– John P.
Kotter
Tapping the collective knowledge and
firsthand experience of the organization
using the latest technologies
Strategy
formulation
Organizational Inclusion hits all the
motivational boxes—autonomy, personal
growth, sense of purpose.
“The
puzzle of
motivation”
—Daniel Pink
“What makes
us feel good
about work?”
—Dan Ariely
Implication: If competitive
advantage is transient, then new
competitive opportunities must
be identified at different stages
of the company’s life cycle.
2013
The End of
Competitive
Advantage
– Rita
Gunther
McGrath
3. Adopting a portfolio approach to
competitive advantage.
From single,
linear strategy
to managing…
Portfolio of
competitive
opportunities
A portfolio approach means that strategy
output is no longer a single plan but a
portfolio of strengths managed continually.
Growing Mature Sunset
AdvancedLagging
Competitive life cycle matrix
Life cycle stage
Companyposition
Strategy
formulation
FutureProof marks the start of a new
strategic era where strategy turns
from a plan on paper into a guiding
organzational energy.
1900 1968 1995 Today
Exclusivity
and
monopolies
Scientific
management
Strategy
heydays
Strategic
proliferation
Future
Proof
Organizational
inclusion
Portfolio of competitive
opportunities
Future
inspiration
For more information
about A.T. Kearney’s
FutureProof Strategy,
please visit:
www.thefutureofstrategy.com

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The History of Strategy and Its Future Prospects | A.T. Kearney

  • 1. The History of Strategy and Its Future Prospects
  • 2. The History of Strategy and Its Future Prospects Strategy’s light has dimmed since its heydays of the 1970s and 1980s: A staggering 80% of executives now think “agility” is at par or more important for future success than strategy. What happened to strategy, and what can be done to make it relevant again for today’s organizations?
  • 3. Strategy’s origins are often attributed to the military. The truth is that military strategy was as much about avoiding wars as winning them. Sun Tzu 465 BC Von Clausewitz 1831
  • 4. For most of its history, strategy wasn’t exciting—it was all about exclusivity and monopolies. • Land rights • Mineral rights • Rents • Levies • Tolls • Guilds • Taxes • Patents • among others
  • 5. Blockbuster medication and Big Pharma To this day, exclusivity makes for some of the most simple and powerful strategies.
  • 6. Revolts against Rockefeller's Standard Oil marked the beginning of a new era in strategy The History of the Standard Oil Company – Ida Tarbell The end of monopolies 1904 Around 1900, Standard Oil and its subsidiaries controlled 90% of North American refining capacity. 90%
  • 7. However, Standard Oil’s industrial prowess lived on in the next era of Scientific Management or ”Taylorism.” 1911 The Principles of Scientific Management – Frederick Winslow Taylor
  • 8. In the late 1960s, strategy became a proper discipline with concepts, practitioners, and methodologies. Outside-in, inside-out, resource-based, measurement, and change capabilities were all in place. Experience curves and growth-share matrix – Bruce Henderson 1968 1980 The Core Competence of the Corporation – Prahalad and Hamel 1980/1985 The Core Competence of the Corporation – Prahalad and Hamel Competitive Strategy and The Competitive Advantage – Michael Porter 1992 The Core Competence of the Corporation – Prahalad and Hamel The Balanced Scorecard – Kaplan & Norton 1996 The Core Competence of the Corporation – Prahalad and Hamel Leading Change – John P. Kotter
  • 9. The strategy heydays were short-lived: In 1993, business process reengineering barged onto the scene… Reengineering the Corporation – Michael M. Hammer and James Champy 1993
  • 10. …closely followed by a flood of strategic phenomena. Note: This overview is by no means exhaustive. Reengineering the Corporation – Michael M. Hammer and James Champy 1993 1994 Hyper- competition – Richard D'Aveni 1997 The War for Talent – Michaels, Handfield- Jones, & Axelrod 2000 1997 Cannibals with Forks – The Triple Bottom Line of 21st Century Business Blown to Bits – Evans and Wurster 2001 The Internet Bubble – Perkins & Perkins 2005 The Black Book of Outsourcing How to Manage the Changes, Challenges and Opportunities – Brown&Wilson 2005 The New Age of Innovation Driving Co-created Value Through Global Networks – Prahalad & Krishnan 2005 2006 The Triple Bottom Line – Andrew Savitz & Karl Weber 2005 The Wisdom of Crowds – Why the Many are Smarter Than the Few – James Surowieki 2004 Corporate Social Responsibility Doing the Most Good for Your Company The World Is Flat – A Brief History of the Twenty-First Century 2008 Wikinomics – How Mass Collaboration Changes Everything – Tapscott & Williams 2010 The Big Short – Inside the D Machine – Michae Lewis 2010 Winning in Emerging Markets – Khanna & Palepu 2009 Enterprise 2.0 How to Manage Social Technologies to Transform Your Organization – Andrew MacAfee 2011 Ground Winning in Transforme Social Tech – Charlen & Josh 2007 The Black Swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable Fragility 2013 Big Dat A Revolutio Transform H Live, Work, – Mayer-
  • 11. Book image copyright of Havard Business Press “It's tough to identify any big new strategy ideas since 1995.” —Walter Kiechel There were strategies for everything, but no one strategy for everything together.
  • 12. There are plenty of smart recipes for dealing with this overload, but none is a substitute for strategy. 2009 Start With Why – How Great Leaders Inspire Everyone to Take Action – Simon Sinek 2012 The Strategist – Be the Leader Your Business Needs – Cynthia Montgomery 2011 HBR’s 10 Must Reads – On Leadership – Drucker et al 2009 The Upside of Turbulence – Seizing Opportunity in an Uncertain World – Donald Sull Authentic leadership 2001 Profit from the Core – Growth Strategy in an Era of Turbulence – Zook and Allen 2013 Playing to Win – A Practical Approach to Winning Strategy – Lafley and Martin 2005 Blue Ocean Strategy – Kim and Mauborgne “Slice-the-pie” approaches 2008 Fast Strategy – Doz and Kosonen Agility 2001 Good to Great – Why Some Companies Make the Leap... and Others Don't – Jim Collins 2003 The Loyalty Effect and One Number You Need to Grow – Frederick Reichheld 2002 Lean Six Sigma – Combining Six Sigma Quality with Lean Production Speed – Michael George 2004 The Toyota Way – Jeffrey Liker Independent, self-sufficient approaches
  • 13. Three promising recent lines of strategic thinking—when combined—hold the key to reclaiming strategy. Organizational inclusion Portfolio of competitive opportunities Future inspiration
  • 14. 1. Taking future inspiration directly into strategy formulation From outside-in and inside-out analyses to… Future-in strategic inspiration Observation: Individual drivers of change are relatively simple; it is their combination that creates the dynamics. The Living Company – Arie de Geus 1997 2008/2009 Design Thinking and Change by Design – Tim Brown
  • 15. Making sure strategy is truly inspired by the drivers of change most affecting the company. Fundamental drivers of change Competitive impact Speed of change Strategy formulation
  • 16. 2. Drawing on the organization for better insights and more achievable results. From cascading strategies down to… Organizational inclusion Insight: Organizational inclusive- ness eliminates the handover hurdle between strategy form- ulation and strategy excecution. 2012 Accelerate! – John P. Kotter
  • 17. Tapping the collective knowledge and firsthand experience of the organization using the latest technologies Strategy formulation
  • 18. Organizational Inclusion hits all the motivational boxes—autonomy, personal growth, sense of purpose. “The puzzle of motivation” —Daniel Pink “What makes us feel good about work?” —Dan Ariely
  • 19. Implication: If competitive advantage is transient, then new competitive opportunities must be identified at different stages of the company’s life cycle. 2013 The End of Competitive Advantage – Rita Gunther McGrath 3. Adopting a portfolio approach to competitive advantage. From single, linear strategy to managing… Portfolio of competitive opportunities
  • 20. A portfolio approach means that strategy output is no longer a single plan but a portfolio of strengths managed continually. Growing Mature Sunset AdvancedLagging Competitive life cycle matrix Life cycle stage Companyposition Strategy formulation
  • 21. FutureProof marks the start of a new strategic era where strategy turns from a plan on paper into a guiding organzational energy. 1900 1968 1995 Today Exclusivity and monopolies Scientific management Strategy heydays Strategic proliferation Future Proof Organizational inclusion Portfolio of competitive opportunities Future inspiration
  • 22. For more information about A.T. Kearney’s FutureProof Strategy, please visit: www.thefutureofstrategy.com