Presentation by Elizabeth Cove Delisle, an analyst in CBO's Budget Analysis Division, with Natalie Tawil, an analyst in CBO's Microeconomic Studies Division, to the Council of Large Public Housing Authorities.
In 2014, the federal government provided about $50 billion in housing assistance specifically designated for low-income households. This presentation describes the ways in which the federal government provides housing assistance to low-income households, provides information about the households that receive assistance, and lists some policy options for altering that assistance.
Presentation by Elizabeth Cove Delisle, an analyst in CBO's Budget Analysis Division, with Natalie Tawil, an analyst in CBO's Microeconomic Studies Division, to the Council of Large Public Housing Authorities.
In 2014, the federal government provided about $50 billion in housing assistance specifically designated for low-income households. This presentation describes the ways in which the federal government provides housing assistance to low-income households, provides information about the households that receive assistance, and lists some policy options for altering that assistance.
Presentation by Ben Page, CBO's Fiscal Policy Studies Unit Chief, at the National Tax Association 108th Annual Conference on Taxation.
CBO’s long-term budget projections generally reflect current law and estimates of future economic conditions and demographic trends. Those projections depend on estimates of the future paths of mortality rates, productivity, interest rates, and health care costs, among many other variables. To illustrate some of the uncertainty about long-term budgetary outcomes, CBO constructed alternative projections showing what would happen to the budget if those factors differed from the values used in the extended baseline.
Presentation by James Baumgardner, Ph.D., Deputy Assistant Director Health, Retirement, and Long-Term Analysis Division, CBO, to the 30th International Congress of Actuaries on April 4, 2014
This presentation provides information published in Raising the Excise Tax on Cigarettes: Effects on Health and the Federal Budget (June 2012), www.cbo.gov/publication/43319
Presentation by Wendy Edelberg, CBO’s Assistant Director for Macroeconomic Analysis, at the University of Michigan’s 63rd Annual Economic Outlook Conference.
Under current law, CBO expects economic activity to expand modestly this year, to grow at a more solid pace in 2016 and 2017, and then to moderate in subsequent years.
Presentation by Wendy Edelberg, an Associate Director for Economic Analysis at CBO, at the Australian Treasury Research Institute's conference, Modelling for Public Policy Analysis: Emerging Trends and Future Directions.
If current laws governing federal taxes and spending did not change, the United States would face steadily increasing federal budget deficits and debt over the next 30 years, according to projections by CBO. As a result, CBO estimates, public debt would reach 145 percent of GDP by 2047, higher than any percentage previously recorded in the United States.
Federal tax and spending policies can affect the economy through their impact on federal borrowing, private demand for goods and services, people’s incentives to work and save, and federal investment, as well as through other channels. CBO has devoted significant effort to developing analytical tools that enable it to assess the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policies and how such effects, or “macroeconomic feedback,” would affect the federal budget. CBO analyzes the economic effects of federal fiscal policies in current law as well as significant proposed changes in those policies.
Presentation by Wendy Edelberg, an Associate Director for Economic Analysis at CBO, at the Seminar on Forecasting at George Washington University.
Under current law, CBO projects that economic activity will expand at a modest pace this year and then grow more slowly in subsequent years.
Presentation by Wendy Edelberg, an Associate Director for Economic Analysis at CBO, at the National Bureau of Economic Research conference, Economics of Infrastructure Investment.
Federal investment in physical capital, education, and research and development boosts private-sector productivity gradually, CBO estimates. The overall macroeconomic and budgetary effects of federal investment depend on how that spending is financed.
Presentation to the 2014 Fall Research Conference of the Association of Public Policy and Mangement, by Joyce Manchester, Vermont Legislative Joint Fiscal Office and formerly of CBO, Michael Simpson and Geena Kim, of CBO
Presentation by Robert Shackleton, an analyst for CBO’s Macroeconomic Analysis Division, at the NABE Foundation's 12th Annual Economic Measurement Seminar.
Presentation by Damien Moore, CBO’s Assistant Director for Financial Analysis, at the Research Seminar in Quantitative Economics.
The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) is a government-owned corporation responsible for insuring the benefits of 41 million people who participate in defined benefit pension plans provided by private employers. About 10 million of those participants are covered by plans offered by groups of employers; such plans are insured by PBGC’s multiemployer program. That program has drawn increased scrutiny from policymakers in recent years because of the high likelihood that it will not be able to meet all of its insurance obligations, potentially causing participants to lose insured benefits or putting pressure on the government to provide PBGC with greater federal resources. CBO has projected the claims on PBGC’s multiemployer program—which are likely to be relatively small in the coming decade but are projected to be much larger in the following decade—and has analyzed options for improving the program’s finances.
Presentation by Ben Page, CBO's Fiscal Policy Studies Unit Chief, at the National Tax Association 108th Annual Conference on Taxation.
CBO’s long-term budget projections generally reflect current law and estimates of future economic conditions and demographic trends. Those projections depend on estimates of the future paths of mortality rates, productivity, interest rates, and health care costs, among many other variables. To illustrate some of the uncertainty about long-term budgetary outcomes, CBO constructed alternative projections showing what would happen to the budget if those factors differed from the values used in the extended baseline.
Presentation by James Baumgardner, Ph.D., Deputy Assistant Director Health, Retirement, and Long-Term Analysis Division, CBO, to the 30th International Congress of Actuaries on April 4, 2014
This presentation provides information published in Raising the Excise Tax on Cigarettes: Effects on Health and the Federal Budget (June 2012), www.cbo.gov/publication/43319
Presentation by Wendy Edelberg, CBO’s Assistant Director for Macroeconomic Analysis, at the University of Michigan’s 63rd Annual Economic Outlook Conference.
Under current law, CBO expects economic activity to expand modestly this year, to grow at a more solid pace in 2016 and 2017, and then to moderate in subsequent years.
Presentation by Wendy Edelberg, an Associate Director for Economic Analysis at CBO, at the Australian Treasury Research Institute's conference, Modelling for Public Policy Analysis: Emerging Trends and Future Directions.
If current laws governing federal taxes and spending did not change, the United States would face steadily increasing federal budget deficits and debt over the next 30 years, according to projections by CBO. As a result, CBO estimates, public debt would reach 145 percent of GDP by 2047, higher than any percentage previously recorded in the United States.
Federal tax and spending policies can affect the economy through their impact on federal borrowing, private demand for goods and services, people’s incentives to work and save, and federal investment, as well as through other channels. CBO has devoted significant effort to developing analytical tools that enable it to assess the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policies and how such effects, or “macroeconomic feedback,” would affect the federal budget. CBO analyzes the economic effects of federal fiscal policies in current law as well as significant proposed changes in those policies.
Presentation by Wendy Edelberg, an Associate Director for Economic Analysis at CBO, at the Seminar on Forecasting at George Washington University.
Under current law, CBO projects that economic activity will expand at a modest pace this year and then grow more slowly in subsequent years.
Presentation by Wendy Edelberg, an Associate Director for Economic Analysis at CBO, at the National Bureau of Economic Research conference, Economics of Infrastructure Investment.
Federal investment in physical capital, education, and research and development boosts private-sector productivity gradually, CBO estimates. The overall macroeconomic and budgetary effects of federal investment depend on how that spending is financed.
Presentation to the 2014 Fall Research Conference of the Association of Public Policy and Mangement, by Joyce Manchester, Vermont Legislative Joint Fiscal Office and formerly of CBO, Michael Simpson and Geena Kim, of CBO
Presentation by Robert Shackleton, an analyst for CBO’s Macroeconomic Analysis Division, at the NABE Foundation's 12th Annual Economic Measurement Seminar.
Presentation by Damien Moore, CBO’s Assistant Director for Financial Analysis, at the Research Seminar in Quantitative Economics.
The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) is a government-owned corporation responsible for insuring the benefits of 41 million people who participate in defined benefit pension plans provided by private employers. About 10 million of those participants are covered by plans offered by groups of employers; such plans are insured by PBGC’s multiemployer program. That program has drawn increased scrutiny from policymakers in recent years because of the high likelihood that it will not be able to meet all of its insurance obligations, potentially causing participants to lose insured benefits or putting pressure on the government to provide PBGC with greater federal resources. CBO has projected the claims on PBGC’s multiemployer program—which are likely to be relatively small in the coming decade but are projected to be much larger in the following decade—and has analyzed options for improving the program’s finances.
Presentation by Jeff Werling, Assistant Director, Macroeconomic Analysis Division, for the REALTOR® University Speaker Series.
In fiscal year 2016, for the first time since 2009, the federal budget deficit increased in relation to the nation’s economic output. The Congressional Budget Office projects that over the next decade, if current laws remained generally unchanged, budget deficits would eventually follow an upward trajectory—the result of strong growth in spending for retirement and health care programs targeted to older people and rising interest payments on the government’s debt, accompanied by only modest growth in revenue collections. Those accumulating deficits would drive debt held by the public from its already high level up to its highest percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) since shortly after World War II.
The long-term costs of major health care programs: fiscal implications and pr...OECD Governance
This presentation was made by Jessica Banthin, United States, at the 4th meeting of the Joint DELSA/GOV-SBO Network on Fiscal Sustainability of Health Systems, held in Paris on 16-17 February 2015.
delsa-gov-sbo-health-february-2015
Presentation by Christina Hawley Anthony, Robert Arnold, and Joshua Shakin, CBO Unit Chiefs, at a joint seminar by CBO and the Congressional Research Service.
In CBO’s projections, economic output is expected to grow by 2.3 percent in 2019, supporting strong labor market conditions that feature low unemployment and rising wages. After 2019, economic growth averages 1.8 percent per year, which is less than the historical average.
CBO estimates that the federal budget deficit for 2019 will be $960 billion. Under current law, budget deficits are projected to average $1.2 trillion a year between 2020 and 2029, boosting debt held by the public to 95 percent of GDP in that year—its highest level since just after World War II.
Presentation by Jared Jageler, David Adler, Noelia Duchovny, and Evan Herrnstadt, analysts in CBO’s Microeconomic Studies and Health Analysis Divisions, at the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists Summer Conference.
Presentation by Mark Hadley, CBO's Chief Operating Officer and General Counsel, at the 2nd NABO-OECD Annual Conference of Asian Parliamentary Budget Officials.
Presentation by Daria Pelech, an analyst in CBO’s Health Analysis Division, at the Center for Health Insurance Reform McCourt School of Public Policy, Georgetown University.
This slide deck highlights CBO’s key findings about the outlook for the economy as described in its new report, The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2024 to 2034.
Presentation by CBO analysts Rebecca Heller, Shannon Mok, and James Pearce, and Census Bureau research economist Jonathan Rothbaum at the American Economic Association Annual Meeting, Committee on Economic Statistics.
Presentation by Eric J. Labs, an analyst in CBO’s National Security Division, at the Bank of America 2024 Defense Outlook and Commercial Aerospace Forum.
Presentation by Elizabeth Ash, William Carrington, Rebecca Heller, and Grace Hwang of CBO’s Labor, Income Security, and Long-Term Analysis and Health Analysis divisions to the Children’s Health Group, American Academy of Pediatrics.
Presentation by Molly Dahl, Chief of CBO’s Long-Term Analysis Unit, at a meeting of the National Conference of State Legislatures’ Budget Working Group.
In the President’s 2024 budget request, total military compensation is $551 billion, including veterans' benefits. That amount represents an increase of 134 percent since 1999 after removing the effects of inflation.
how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network for other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, usdt , Ethereum and other currencies And this is done easily with the help from a pi merchant.
What is a pi merchant ?
Since pi is not launched yet in any exchange. The only way you can sell right now is through merchants.
A verified Pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins from miners and resell them to investors looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins on Bitmart crypto exchangeDOT TECH
Yes. Pi network coins can be exchanged but not on bitmart exchange. Because pi network is still in the enclosed mainnet. The only way pioneers are able to trade pi coins is by reselling the pi coins to pi verified merchants.
A verified merchant is someone who buys pi network coins and resell it to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdfpchutichetpong
The U.S. economy is continuing its impressive recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and not slowing down despite re-occurring bumps. The U.S. savings rate reached its highest ever recorded level at 34% in April 2020 and Americans seem ready to spend. The sectors that had been hurt the most by the pandemic specifically reduced consumer spending, like retail, leisure, hospitality, and travel, are now experiencing massive growth in revenue and job openings.
Could this growth lead to a “Roaring Twenties”? As quickly as the U.S. economy contracted, experiencing a 9.1% drop in economic output relative to the business cycle in Q2 2020, the largest in recorded history, it has rebounded beyond expectations. This surprising growth seems to be fueled by the U.S. government’s aggressive fiscal and monetary policies, and an increase in consumer spending as mobility restrictions are lifted. Unemployment rates between June 2020 and June 2021 decreased by 5.2%, while the demand for labor is increasing, coupled with increasing wages to incentivize Americans to rejoin the labor force. Schools and businesses are expected to fully reopen soon. In parallel, vaccination rates across the country and the world continue to rise, with full vaccination rates of 50% and 14.8% respectively.
However, it is not completely smooth sailing from here. According to M Capital Group, the main risks that threaten the continued growth of the U.S. economy are inflation, unsettled trade relations, and another wave of Covid-19 mutations that could shut down the world again. Have we learned from the past year of COVID-19 and adapted our economy accordingly?
“In order for the U.S. economy to continue growing, whether there is another wave or not, the U.S. needs to focus on diversifying supply chains, supporting business investment, and maintaining consumer spending,” says Grace Feeley, a research analyst at M Capital Group.
While the economic indicators are positive, the risks are coming closer to manifesting and threatening such growth. The new variants spreading throughout the world, Delta, Lambda, and Gamma, are vaccine-resistant and muddy the predictions made about the economy and health of the country. These variants bring back the feeling of uncertainty that has wreaked havoc not only on the stock market but the mindset of people around the world. MCG provides unique insight on how to mitigate these risks to possibly ensure a bright economic future.
How to get verified on Coinbase Account?_.docxBuy bitget
t's important to note that buying verified Coinbase accounts is not recommended and may violate Coinbase's terms of service. Instead of searching to "buy verified Coinbase accounts," follow the proper steps to verify your own account to ensure compliance and security.
If you are looking for a pi coin investor. Then look no further because I have the right one he is a pi vendor (he buy and resell to whales in China). I met him on a crypto conference and ever since I and my friends have sold more than 10k pi coins to him And he bought all and still want more. I will drop his telegram handle below just send him a message.
@Pi_vendor_247
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.DOT TECH
There is no set date for when Pi coins will enter the market.
However, the developers are working hard to get them released as soon as possible.
Once they are available, users will be able to exchange other cryptocurrencies for Pi coins on designated exchanges.
But for now the only way to sell your pi coins is through verified pi vendor.
Here is the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins in South Korea profitably.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network coins in South Korea or any other country, by finding a verified pi merchant
What is a verified pi merchant?
Since pi network is not launched yet on any exchange, the only way you can sell pi coins is by selling to a verified pi merchant, and this is because pi network is not launched yet on any exchange and no pre-sale or ico offerings Is done on pi.
Since there is no pre-sale, the only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners. So a pi merchant facilitates these transactions by acting as a bridge for both transactions.
How can i find a pi vendor/merchant?
Well for those who haven't traded with a pi merchant or who don't already have one. I will leave the telegram id of my personal pi merchant who i trade pi with.
Tele gram: @Pi_vendor_247
#pi #sell #nigeria #pinetwork #picoins #sellpi #Nigerian #tradepi #pinetworkcoins #sellmypi
Currently pi network is not tradable on binance or any other exchange because we are still in the enclosed mainnet.
Right now the only way to sell pi coins is by trading with a verified merchant.
What is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone verified by pi network team and allowed to barter pi coins for goods and services.
Since pi network is not doing any pre-sale The only way exchanges like binance/huobi or crypto whales can get pi is by buying from miners. And a merchant stands in between the exchanges and the miners.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant. I and my friends has traded more than 6000pi coins successfully
Tele-gram
@Pi_vendor_247
Empowering the Unbanked: The Vital Role of NBFCs in Promoting Financial Inclu...Vighnesh Shashtri
In India, financial inclusion remains a critical challenge, with a significant portion of the population still unbanked. Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) have emerged as key players in bridging this gap by providing financial services to those often overlooked by traditional banking institutions. This article delves into how NBFCs are fostering financial inclusion and empowering the unbanked.
what is the best method to sell pi coins in 2024DOT TECH
The best way to sell your pi coins safely is trading with an exchange..but since pi is not launched in any exchange, and second option is through a VERIFIED pi merchant.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and pioneers and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive amounts before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade pi coins with.
@Pi_vendor_247
where can I find a legit pi merchant onlineDOT TECH
Yes. This is very easy what you need is a recommendation from someone who has successfully traded pi coins before with a merchant.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold thousands of pi coins before the open mainnet.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with
@Pi_vendor_247
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.DOT TECH
As of my last update, Pi is still in the testing phase and is not tradable on any exchanges.
However, Pi Network has announced plans to launch its Testnet and Mainnet in the future, which may include listing Pi on exchanges.
The current method for selling pi coins involves exchanging them with a pi vendor who purchases pi coins for investment reasons.
If you want to sell your pi coins, reach out to a pi vendor and sell them to anyone looking to sell pi coins from any country around the globe.
Below is the contact information for my personal pi vendor.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...beulahfernandes8
The financial landscape in India has witnessed a significant development with the recent collaboration between Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank.
The launch of the co-branded credit card, the IndusInd Bank Poonawalla Fincorp eLITE RuPay Platinum Credit Card, marks a major milestone for both entities.
This strategic move aims to redefine and elevate the banking experience for customers.
BYD SWOT Analysis and In-Depth Insights 2024.pptxmikemetalprod
Indepth analysis of the BYD 2024
BYD (Build Your Dreams) is a Chinese automaker and battery manufacturer that has snowballed over the past two decades to become a significant player in electric vehicles and global clean energy technology.
This SWOT analysis examines BYD's strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats as it competes in the fast-changing automotive and energy storage industries.
Founded in 1995 and headquartered in Shenzhen, BYD started as a battery company before expanding into automobiles in the early 2000s.
Initially manufacturing gasoline-powered vehicles, BYD focused on plug-in hybrid and fully electric vehicles, leveraging its expertise in battery technology.
Today, BYD is the world’s largest electric vehicle manufacturer, delivering over 1.2 million electric cars globally. The company also produces electric buses, trucks, forklifts, and rail transit.
On the energy side, BYD is a major supplier of rechargeable batteries for cell phones, laptops, electric vehicles, and energy storage systems.
What website can I sell pi coins securely.DOT TECH
Currently there are no website or exchange that allow buying or selling of pi coins..
But you can still easily sell pi coins, by reselling it to exchanges/crypto whales interested in holding thousands of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell to these crypto whales and holders of pi..
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners and pi merchants stands in between the miners and the exchanges.
How can I sell my pi coins?
Selling pi coins is really easy, but first you need to migrate to mainnet wallet before you can do that. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
Tele-gram.
@Pi_vendor_247
The Federal Budget: The Deficit is Down But the Fundamental Challenge Remains
1. Congressional Budget Office
The Federal Budget: The Deficit is Down But
the Fundamental Challenge Remains
Presentation to the Macroeconomic Advisers’ Washington
Policy Seminar
Douglas W. Elmendorf
Director
September 12, 2013
Note: Data in the figures reflect recent revisions by the Bureau of Economic Analysis to
estimates of gross domestic product (GDP) in past years and CBO’s extrapolation of those
revisions to projected future GDP.
2. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
Federal Debt Held by the Public
3. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
Federal Debt Held by the Public
4. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
Federal Debt Held by the Public
5. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
Federal Budget Deficit
6. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
Federal Spending for Major Health Care Programs
7. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
Discretionary Spending
8. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
Net Interest Payments
9. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
Interest Rate on 10-Year Treasury Note
10. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
Spending for Social Security
11. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
Other Mandatory Spending
12. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
Federal Revenues
13. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
Revision to Projected Deficit in 2020
Between January 2011 projection assuming extension of certain
expiring tax provisions and indexing of AMT, and May 2013
projection under current law:
Spending -2.6
Major Health Care Programs -0.6
Discretionary Programs -1.0
Net Interest Payments -1.2
Social Security 0.0
Other Mandatory Programs 0.2
Revenues +0.3
Deficit -2.9
Percent of GDP
14. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
Federal Debt Held by the Public
15. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
The Choices Facing Policymakers
If policymakers wanted to take action to reduce future
budget deficits….
Their key choices would be about:
How much to reduce deficits,
Through what policies, and
With what timing.
16. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
How Much to Reduce Deficits
Economic analysis does not say what the optimal amount of
federal debt is.
To give a sense of how much deficit reduction would be required
to reach an illustrative target (not a recommendation!): Suppose
that policymakers wanted to reduce debt from its current 73
percent of GDP to its 40-year average of 38 percent, and to make
that reduction of 35 percent linearly over 35 years—that is, by 1
percent of GDP per year.
To achieve that goal with policy changes that phased in over time
would require changes that save nearly $2 trillion over the
coming decade.
17. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
What Policies to Use to Reduce Deficits
Context for Policy Choices:
Historical and projected growth of federal spending
relative to the size of the economy can be attributed
almost entirely to growth in spending for a few large
programs—namely, Social Security and the major health
care programs.
18. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
Projected Spending and Revenues Under CBO’s Baseline
Compared with Historical Experience
19. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
Funding for Discretionary Programs
Changes in Discretionary Funding Between 2007 and 2013:
Total 7 percent
Excluding funding for overseas military
operations and in response to hurricanes 12 percent
Excluding funding for overseas military
operations and in response to hurricanes,
adjusted for inflation -1 percent
20. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
Average Federal Tax Rates, by Income Group
21. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
What Timing to Use to Reduce Deficits
Waiting to cut federal spending or increase taxes would lead to a
greater accumulation of debt and would increase the size of the
policy adjustments needed to achieve any chosen debt target.
However, implementing spending cuts or tax increases quickly
would weaken the economic expansion and give people little
time to plan and adjust to the policy changes.
The negative short-term effects of deficit reduction on output
and employment would be especially strong now, because output
is so far below its potential (or maximum sustainable) level that
the Federal Reserve is keeping short-term interest rates near zero
and could not lower them further to offset the impact of changes
in fiscal policy.
22. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
What Timing to Use to Reduce Deficits (Cont.)
Even if policy changes were not implemented for a few
years, however, making decisions about those changes
quickly would give people more time to plan and would
tend to increase output and employment in the next few
years by holding down longer-term interest rates,
reducing uncertainty, and enhancing businesses’ and
consumers’ confidence.
23. C O N G R E S S I O N A L B U D G E T O F F I C E
Conclusion
The federal budget deficit has fallen faster than we
expected. However, relative to the size of the economy,
debt remains historically high and is on an upward
trajectory in the second half of the coming decade.
The fundamental federal budgetary challenge has hardly
been addressed: The largest federal programs are
becoming much more expensive because of the retirement
of the baby boomers and the rising costs of health care, so
we need to cut back on those programs or increase tax
revenue to pay for them.