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The economic impact of the
marine and maritime sector on
the UK in 2011/12
January 2013
Final Report
January 2013
Contents
Executive Summary..................................................................................1
1 Introduction .....................................................................................3
1.1 About economic impact analysis................................................................ 3
1.2 Outline for the report .................................................................................. 2
2 The individual industries’ economic impact..................................3
2.1 Direct contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the
UK economy........................................................................................................ 3
2.1.1 Direct gross value added contribution to GDP .................................. 3
2.1.2 Direct employment............................................................................. 5
2.1.3 Productivity of the marine and maritime sectors................................ 7
2.1.4 Direct tax contribution to the Exchequer............................................ 7
2.2 Indirect contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the
UK economy........................................................................................................ 8
2.2.1 Indirect gross value added................................................................. 9
2.2.2 Indirect employment........................................................................... 9
2.2.3 Indirect tax contribution to the Exchequer ....................................... 10
2.3 Induced contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the
UK economy...................................................................................................... 10
2.3.1 Induced gross value added.............................................................. 11
2.3.2 Induced employment........................................................................ 12
2.3.3 Induced tax contributions to the Exchequer..................................... 12
2.4 Total economic impact of the nine individual industries in the
marine and maritime sector............................................................................... 13
3 Aggregate impacts ........................................................................ 15
3.1 Procedure to remove double counting of supply chain
impacts .............................................................................................................. 15
4 Conclusion..................................................................................... 18
5 Bibliography .................................................................................. 19
6 Appendix: Components of the marine industry,
individual industry results and methodology....................................... 20
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
1
TotalIm
pact
G
DP
C
ontribution
(Total=
35.1
billion)
Em
ploym
ent
(Total=
703,000)
18.9
367,000
7.6
8.6
157,000178,000
D
irect
Indirect
Induced
4.6
2.1
2.4
Tax
R
evenue
(Total=
9.2
billion)
Executive Summary
This study investigates the economic contribution of the marine and maritime
sector to the UK economy. The sector is defined to include nine individual
industries which are: ports; shipping; maritime business services; ship building
and repairs; marine equipment; marine renewable energy servicing; leisure and
small commercial; marine science; and maritime technical consultancy.
The results suggest the marine and maritime sector makes a large
contribution to the UK economy…
...contributing £35.1 billion to UK GDP…
After accounting for some of the nine industries being in each others supply
chains, the marine and maritime sector is estimated to support a gross
valued added contribution to GDP of £35.1 billion in 2011/12. This is 2.3%
of the total output produced by the UK economy in the year.
...it supports 703,000 people in employment….
In 2011/12, the marine and maritime sector supports 703,000 people in
employment in the UK. Therefore, 1 in every 45 jobs in the economy is
dependent or partially dependent on the sector.
…and contributes £9.2 billion for the Exchequer
In total, the sector supported a £9.2 billion tax contribution to HM
Exchequer. This is 2% of all tax receipts.
Figure 1: Summary of the economic contribution of the UK marine and maritime sectors
in 2011/12
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
2
Looking at the individual channels of economic impact
In 2011/12, firms within the sector employed 367,000 people. The largest
employers were shipping (146,000 people), ports (117,000 people) and the
marine sector (95,000 people).
Firms within the sector generated a £18.9 billion gross value added
contribution to GDP. This is 1.2% of the economic activity created in the
UK in the year. It is larger than the aerospace and aviation sector at £18.5
billion.
…whilst generating considerable multiplier impacts.
The marine and maritime sector’s procurement of inputs of goods and
services sourced from UK-based suppliers generates economic activity and
employment. The sector’s purchasing supported an £7.6 billion contribution
to GDP, 157,000 people in employment and £2.1 billion in tax receipts.
The wages paid to staff directly and indirectly employed by the sector are
spent at retail and leisure outlets, which generates GDP and employment in
these locations and in their domestic supply chain. These induced impacts
support a £8.6 billion contribution to GDP, 178,000 jobs and £2.4 billion in
tax payments.
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
3
1 Introduction
This report quantifies the economic contribution of the marine and maritime
sectors to the UK economy in 2011/12. The maritime sector is here defined to
include nine component industries, including:
Ports
Shipping
Maritime business services
Ship building and repairs
Marine equipment
Marine renewable energy servicing
Leisure and small commercial
Marine science
Maritime technical consultancy
The first three categories in the list are considered maritime industries, while the
latter six are marine industries. Greater detail on the activities that make up
these broader categories is available in the Appendix of this report.
1.1 About economic impact analysis
One technique economists use to assess the contribution an industrial sector
makes to a country’s economy is economic impact analysis. A standard
economic impact assessment looks at three channels of impact. These are:
Direct effects – the economic activity created at firms within the sector.
Indirect effects – the economic activity that results from the firms within the
sector’s procurement of inputs of goods and services from their domestic supply
chain.
Induced effects – the economic activity created by those directly and indirectly
employed by the sector spending their wages on goods and services at retail
and leisure outlets.
The results of the economic impact assessment in this report are presented
using three metrics, which are:
1. Gross value added (GVA) contribution to GDP – GDP is the main
indicator of the level of economic activity in the UK economy.
1
The gross
value added contribution to GDP is probably easiest thought of as the
value at which a sector’s output is sold (excluding taxes) minus the cost
of the bought in inputs of goods and services used up in producing it.
2. Employment – the number of people employed. A headcount measure
is used in preference to the number of full-time equivalents (FTE) to
1
GDP is the indicator of economic output used to judge the rate of economic growth or indicate
when the economy enters a recession.
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
2
facilitate comparisons with the Office for National Statistics’ employment
data.
3. Tax revenue – the amount of tax revenue paid as a result of the
activities of the marine and maritime sectors, including corporate tax,
income tax, national insurance contributions, and VAT.
The results of this economic impact study (like most others) are presented on a
gross rather than a net basis. This means no account is taken of what the
resources used up by the sector could alternatively be deployed to do.
1.2 Outline for the report
The economic impact analysis in this report estimates the gross value added
contribution to GDP, employment, and tax contribution to HM Exchequer that are
supported by the marine and maritime sector.
Chapter 2 presents the results of the economic impact analysis on the individual
industries within the marine and maritime sector.
Chapter 3 shows the economic contribution of the marine and maritime sector in
aggregate. It therefore removes the double counting from many of the industries
within the marine and maritime sector being in each other’s supply chains.
Chapter 4 concludes.
The appendix details the definition of the sectors, the results of the individual
industries economic impact studies and the data sources and the methodology
used to construct the estimates for each industry.
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
3
2 The individual industries’ economic
impact
Main points
The firms in the marine and maritime sector are estimated to have made
a £18.9 billion gross value added contribution to GDP in 2011/12. This is
1.2% of the UK’s economic output made during this year.
In 2011/12, the sector is estimated to employ 367,000 people. This is
1.2% of total employment in the UK.
After allowing for multiplier impacts the ports sector supports the largest
contribution to UK GDP, contributing £21.2 billion. It is followed by
shipping (£12.5 billion) and marine (£3.8 billion).
The ranking for employment supported across the nine industries is very
similar to the GDP contribution. The three largest industries remain in the
same order: ports (at 392,000 people); shipping (at 287,000) and marine
(at 95,000).
2.1 Direct contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the
UK economy
The direct economic impact of the marine and maritime sector is comprised of
the gross value added (GVA), employment and tax receipts generated by the
firms within it.
2.1.1 Direct gross value added contribution to GDP
In 2011/12, the marine and maritime sector is estimated to have made a
combined direct gross value added contribution to GDP of £18.9 billion (Chart
2.1). The industries which made the largest direct contribution are ports at £7.9
billion (or 42% of total), shipping at £5.6 billion (or 30%) and marine at £3.8
billion (or 20%).
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
4
Chart 2.1: Direct contribution to GDP in the UK in 2011/12
To give a sense of scale, this is 1.2% of the economic output created within the
UK economy in 2011/12. Put another way £1 in every £80 of GDP created in
the UK in 2011/12 was made within the marine and maritime sector.
An alternative way to gauge the scale of the marine and maritime sector’s
contribution to UK GDP is to compare it with other industries in the UK. In
2011/12, the marine and maritime sector contributed more to GDP than the
aerospace and aviation industry (£18.4 billion)
2
, and less than the radio,
television and telecommunications industries (£31.7 billion)
3
and automotive
manufacture and motor trades (£34.3 billion)
4
in 2011 (Chart 2.2).
2
Aerospace and Aviation industries consist of: Manufacture of aircraft and spacecraft (SIC 30.3);
Maintenance and repair of aircraft and spacecraft (SIC 33.16); Air Transport (SIC 51); and Service
activities incidental to air transport (SIC 52.23).
3
Radio, television and telecommunications consists of: Programming and broadcast activities (SIC
60); Telecommunication (SIC 61).
4
Automotive manufacture and motor trades include: Manufacture of motor vehicles (SIC 29); and
Wholesale, retail, maintenance and repair of motor vehicles (SIC 45).
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Ports
Shipping
Marine
industries
Business
services
£ billion
Source : Oxford Economics
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
5
Chart 2.2: Comparison of the marine and maritime sector’s contribution to
GDP with similarly sized industrial sectors in 2011
2.1.2 Direct employment
In 2011/12, the marine and maritime sector is estimated to employ 367,000
people (Chart 2.3). This is 1.2% of total employment in the UK. The shipping
industry employs the most people (146,000 people, of which 48,200 are UK-
nationals and 97,300 are foreign nationals). Ports (117,000 people) and the
marine industry (96,000 people) rank second and third. Within the marine
industry, the leisure and small commercial sector employs the most (31,000
people).
Chart 2.3: Direct employment in the marine and maritime UK in 2011/12
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Shipping
Ports
Marine
industries
Business
services
000s
Source : Oxford Economics
0 10 20 30 40
Automotive
manufacture and
motor trades
Radio, televison and
telecommunications
Marine & maritime
Aerospace &
aviation
Billion £s
Source : Oxford Economics, ONS
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
6
To provide a sense of context, these figures can be compared to other industries
in the UK economy, such as the aerospace and aviation industry,
telecommunications and automotive and land transport industries (Chart 2.4).
5
The marine and maritime sector employs more people than the aerospace and
aviation industry (221,000 people) and radio, television and telecommunications
industry (251,000). It employs less than the automotive manufacturing and
motor trades sector (654,000)
6
.
Chart 2.4: Industries sustaining similar levels of employment as the marine
and maritime sectors in 2011 in the UK
5
See footnotes 2,3 and 4 for the SIC codes included in each industry.
6
ONS, (2012), ‘Business register employment survey’.
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Automotive
manufacture and
motor trades
Marine and maritime
Radio, televison and
telecommunications
Aerospace &
aviation
000sSource : Oxford Economics, ONS
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
7
2.1.3 Productivity of the marine and maritime sectors
In 2011/12, each person employed in the marine and maritime sector produced
a gross value added contribution to GDP of £51,300. This is greater than the
whole economy average of £48,300 (Chart 2.5).
7
Chart 2.5: Productivity of the marine and maritime sectors relative to the
UK average for 2011/12
2.1.4 Direct tax contribution to the Exchequer
Firms within the marine and maritime sectors pay corporation tax and employers
national insurance contributions. Staff working within the sector pay income tax,
make national insurance contributions and generate VAT and excise duties
revenues by spending their wages.
In 2011/12, the marine and maritime sector contributed an estimated £4.7 billion
to the Exchequer. This is 1.0% of total tax receipts that are expected to be
collected by HM Revenue and Customs in the year.
8
The ports, marine and
shipping industries made the largest contribution to tax receipts at £2.0 billion,
£1.7 billion, and £0.6 billion, respectively (Chart 2.6). Within the marine industry,
the leisure and small commercial industry contributed £0.5 billion.
7
ONS, (2012), 'Quarterly National Accounts, Q3 2012' and ONS, (2012) 'Workforce Jobs Summary'.
UK average productivity for 2011/12 is calculated by dividing UK GDP by average employment over
the period.
8
HMRC, (2012), 'Tax and NICs receipts: statistics table', July.
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Marine &
Maritime
UK average
Source : Oxford Economics
£ 000s
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
8
Chart 2.6: Direct tax contribution to the Exchequer in the marine and
maritime sector in the UK in 2011/12
2.2 Indirect contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the
UK economy
The marine and maritime sector purchases inputs of goods and services from
UK suppliers. This expenditure generates gross value added, employment, and
tax contributions to the Exchequer down the sector’s UK supply chain.
The size of the indirect effects are calculated by multiplying the direct estimate of
each of the nine industries’ gross valued added contribution to GDP by the
closest industry supply linkage multiplier
9
calculated from a manipulation of the
ONS (2011) analytical input-output tables.
10
The employment estimates are
then calculated by dividing the gross value added by labour productivity
estimates for the whole economy.
11
The tax impacts are calculated using
average earnings data
12
for 2011, estimates of corporate profitability
13
and
current tax rates for corporation tax
14
, income tax, national insurance
contributions, and VAT and other indirect taxes
15
.
9
A supply linkage multiplier shows the knock on effects on the economy of the industries within the
marine and maritime sectors purchases of inputs and further purchases.
10
ONS, (2011), ‘Input-output analytical tables, 2005 Edition’.
11
Whole-economy labour productivity is derived by dividing ONS data on gross value added at
market prices by total employment in the UK economy.
12
ONS, (2012), ‘Annual survey of hour and earnings in 2011’.
13
Corporate profitability is calculated by applying the ratio of gross operating surplus to total output
from the nearest industry sector in the ONS (2011) analytical input output tables to each industry’s
total revenue.
14
For all marine and maritime sectors apart from shipping, average effective corporate tax rates are
taken from ONS, (2012), ‘Computation of corporation tax liability’. For shipping, an estimate of
effective tonnage tax rates is applied (see Methodology for more detail).
15
ONS, (2012), ‘The effects of taxes and benefits on household income, 2010/2011’ is used to
calculate VAT and indirect tax payments.
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
Ports
Marine
industries
Shipping
Business
services
£ billion
Source : Oxford Economics
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
9
Many of the nine marine and maritime industries are in each other’s supply
chain. In this section the results are presented for the major four industries
rather than in aggregate, as calculating a total contribution to GVA, employment
and tax receipts using these figures would result in an overestimate. An
aggregate estimate of the total impact of the marine and maritime sector, which
adjusts for potential double counting issues, is presented in Chapter 3.
2.2.1 Indirect gross value added
In 2011/12, the nine industries’ procurement generated a gross value added
contribution to GDP in their domestic supply chain which ranged from £130
million for marine science to £7.8 billion for ports (Chart 2.7).
Chart 2.7: Indirect contribution to GDP in the UK in 2011/12
2.2.2 Indirect employment
Of the four industries shown in Chart 2.8, maritime business services has the
largest employment supply chain multiplier at 3.7. So for every person
employed in the industry 2.7 people are employed in its UK supply chain. This
compares to 0.5 people supported in shipping industry’s supply chain for every
one in the industry itself.
In total, ports procurement supported the most people in employment in 2011/12
at 167,000 people, followed by shipping (80,000) and the marine industries
(68,000).
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Ports
Shipping
Marine
industries
Business
services
£ billion
Source : Oxford Economics
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
10
Chart 2.8: Indirect employment in the UK in 2011/12
2.2.3 Indirect tax contribution to the Exchequer
The marine and maritime industries which supported the most tax receipts
through their expenditure on procurement in 2011/12 were ports (£2.6 billion),
shipping (£1.2 billion) and the marine industries (£0.9 billion).
Chart 2.9: Indirect tax contributions in the UK in 2011/12
2.3 Induced contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the
UK economy
The people directly and indirectly employed by the marine and maritime sector
spend their wages at retail and leisure outlets. This generates economic activity
at those outlets, but also down their domestic supply chains.
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
Ports
Shipping
Marine
industries
Business
services
£ billion
Source : Oxford Economics
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Ports
Shipping
Marine
industries
Business
services
000s
Source : Oxford Economics
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
11
The induced impact for each of the nine industries within the marine and
maritime sector are calculated by applying consumption multipliers
16
sourced
from ONS (2011) analytical input output tables to each industry’s direct GDP
contribution. The employment and tax impacts are calculated analogously to
those for the indirect effects explained in Section 2.3.
2.3.1 Induced gross value added
Spending on consumer goods and services by the direct and indirect employees
of the marine and maritime sector contributes and induced value added
contribution to GDP. The effect is largest for ports (£5.2 billion), shipping (£3.0
billion), and the marine (£2.4 billion) industries (Chart 2.10).
Chart 2.10: Induced gross value added contribution to UK GDP in 2011/12
16
A consumption multiplier shows the impact of the expenditure of those who derive their incomes
from the direct and supply linkage impacts of the industries in the marine and maritime sector.
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
Ports
Shipping
Marine
industries
Business
services
£ billion
Source : Oxford Economics
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
12
2.3.2 Induced employment
Wage-financed consumer spending by those directly and indirectly employed in
the marine and maritime sector supports additional employment in the UK
economy. Spending by staff employed by ports creates the most jobs (108,000
people), followed by shipping (62,000), and marine (50,000) industries (Chart
2.11).
Chart 2.11: Induced employment in the UK in 2011/12
2.3.3 Induced tax contributions to the Exchequer
In 2011/12, the spending of those employed directly in ports, shipping, and
marine − or their supply chains − contributed the most in tax revenues to the
Exchequer. Induced tax receipts from the three sectors is estimated to be £1.7
billion, £1.0 billion, and £0.7 billion, respectively (Chart 2.12).
Chart 2.12: Induced tax contributions in the UK in 2011/12
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
Ports
Shipping
Marine
industries
Business
services
£ billion
Source : Oxford Economics
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Ports
Shipping
Marine
industries
Business
services
000s
Source : Oxford Economics
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
13
2.4 Total economic impact of the nine individual industries in the
marine and maritime sector
Ports are estimated to support the largest contribution to GDP (at £21.2 billion)
of the four major industries (Chart 2.12). The shipping industry (£12.5 billion)
and marine (at £9.5 billion) are second and third.
Chart 2.13: Gross value added contribution to GDP supported by the nine
industries in 2011/12
The ranking for employment supported across the industries is very similar. The
three largest industries remain in the same order: ports (at 392,000 people);
shipping (at 287,000) and marine (at 212,000) (Chart 2.14).
Chart 2.14: Employment supported by the nine industries in 2011/12
All four of the industries support tax receipts worth over a £1 billion in 2011/12
(Chart 2.15). Ports are estimated to support the largest receipts (at £6.2 billion),
followed by marine (£3.3 billion) and shipping (at £2.8 billion).
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Ports
Shipping
Marine
industries
Maritime
business
services
Induced
Indirect
Direct
000s
Source : Oxford Economics
0
5
10
15
20
25
Ports
Shipping
Marine
industries
Maritime
business
services
Induced
Indirect
Direct
£ Billion
Source : Oxford Economics
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
14
Chart 2.15: Tax contribution to the Exchequer supported by the nine
industries in 2011/12
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Ports
Marine
industries
Shipping
Maritime
business
services
Induced
Indirect
Direct
£ Billion
Source : Oxford Economics
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
15
3 Aggregate impacts
Main points
After allowing for ‘double counting’ the marine and maritime sector is
estimated to support a £35.1 billion gross value added contribution to
GDP. This is 2.3% of UK GDP in 2011/12.
In aggregate, the nine industries in the marine and maritime sector are
estimated to support 703,000 people in employment in the UK. As a
result, 1 in every 45 jobs is estimated to depend on the sector.
In 2010/11, the aggregate marine and maritime sector is estimated to
support a £9.2 billion contribution to tax receipts in the UK economy.
In Chapter 2, the economic impact of each of the individual industries within the
marine and maritime sector is estimated. But it is not possible to sum the
contributions of the nine industries to form an aggregate estimate for the whole
sector as many of the industries are in each others’ supply chains. As a result,
summing the nine industries’ contribution would double count and therefore
overstate some the supply chain and wage consumption impacts.
Section 3.1 of this chapter explains the methodology used to remove the double
counting. Section 3.2 presents the estimate of the size of the marine and
maritime sector and puts it in context of the wider UK economy.
3.1 Procedure to remove double counting of supply chain impacts
The ONS
17
produces Input-Output tables which detail the value of each
industry’s purchases of inputs of goods and services from other industries within
the UK and the amount sourced from abroad. To form an estimate of the double
counting, each of the nine industries within the marine and maritime sector is
aligned to the nearest industry in the input-output tables
18
. The share of each of
the nine industries’ inputs that come from other industries in the marine or
maritime sector is then calculated. This percentage is used as the estimate of
double counting. It is then used to scale the supply chain and consumption
multipliers used for each of the nine industries.
The estimate of double counting is likely to be an over estimate as the definition
of the industries in the ONS input-output table is wider than each of the nine
industries in the marine and maritime sector. The approach is therefore
conservative. More of the indirect and induced impacts are removed than would
be the case if we had full information about the extent to which the nine
industries are in each others supply chains.
17
ONS, (2011), 'Input-output analytical tables, 2005 edition'.
18
Further detail is given in the Appendix.
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
16
Table 3.1 shows the results of the procedure to remove the ‘double counting’ so
we can derive an estimate of the aggregate impact of the marine and maritime
sector. The upper half of the table shows the unadjusted estimates of all nine
industries’ impact summed together for each of the three metrics (shown in the
columns) and channels of impact (shown in the rows). The adjusted estimates
are shown in the bottom half of the table.
Looking at the bottom half of Table 3.1, the direct impacts (£18.9 billion gross
value added contribution to GDP, 367,000 employed and £4.7 billion tax
receipts) are unchanged. The adjusted indirect gross value added and
employment aggregates are 46% of the unadjusted total, while the adjusted
induced gross value added and employment aggregates are 75% of the
unadjusted total. Another way to express this is that 54% of the indirect effects
are already included in the direct effects of one of the sectors included in this
study. The total row at the bottom of the table shows the aggregate estimates
for the gross value added contribution to GDP and employment, which are 75%
of the unadjusted total.
Table 3.1: Adjusted economic impact of marine and maritime sectors in
2011/12
Source: Oxford Economics
The results suggest that the marine and maritime sector supports a £35.1 billion
gross value added contribution to GDP. This is 2.3% of the total output of the
whole UK economy. It supports 703,000 people in employment. So that 1 in
every 45 jobs is dependent on the marine and maritime sector. The marine and
maritime sector supports a £9.2 billion contribution to the Exchequer. This is
2.0% of total tax receipts. Chart 3.1 illustrates the adjusted impact – including
direct, indirect, and induced effects – of the marine and maritime sector on the
UK economy as a share of the economy overall.
Unadjusted GVA (£ billion) Employment (000s) Tax (£ billion)
Direct 18.9 367 4.7
Indirect 16.5 341 5.2
Induced 11.5 238 3.6
Total 46.9 946 13.4
Adjusted GVA (£ billion) Employment (000s) Tax (£ billion)
Direct 18.9 367 4.7
Indirect 7.6 157 2.1
Induced 8.6 178 2.4
Total 35.1 703 9.2
Adjusted versus unadjusted economic impacts of the marine and
maritime sectors
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
17
Chart 3.1: The marine and maritime sector’s contribution to the UK
economy in 2011/12
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
GVA Employment Tax receipts
Direct Indirect Induced
% of UK economy total
Source : Oxford Economics
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
18
4 Conclusion
This study measures the contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the
UK economy. The marine and maritime sector is defined to include ports,
shipping, maritime business services, ship building and repairs, marine
equipment, marine renewable energy servicing, leisure and small commercial,
marine science, and maritime technical consultancy. The study begins by
looking at the size of the nine individual industries, the impact they have in
generating economic activity through their procurement of inputs of goods and
services from domestic suppliers and the impact of their direct and indirect staff
spending their wages at retail and leisure outlets.
Of the nine industries, ports make the largest impact on the UK economy,
supporting a £21.2 billion value added contribution to GDP, 392,000 people in
employment and £6.2 billion in tax receipts. It is followed by the shipping
industry which supports £12.5 billion in value added, 287,000 jobs and £2.8
billion in tax receipts. The marine industry ranks third in importance.
As many of the marine and maritime industries are in each others supply chain,
calculating the sector’s aggregate contribution to the UK economy is not simply
a case of summing the individual industries’ impacts. The ONS (2011) input
output tables have been used to estimate the extent of each industry’s
procurement from other industries in the sector. This is a conservative approach
as the industry definitions in the input output tables are wider than those in this
paper.
The results suggest that the marine and maritime sector supports a £35.1 billion
gross value added contribution to GDP. This is 2.3% of the total output of the
whole UK economy. It supports 703,000 people in employment. So that 1 in
every 45 jobs is dependent on the marine and maritime sector. The marine and
maritime sector supports a £9.2 billion contribution to the Exchequer. This is
2.0% of total tax receipts.
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
19
5 Bibliography
British Marine Federation, (2013), ‘UK leisure, superyacht and small commercial
marine industry: Key performance indicators 2011/12’, January.
HMRC, (2011), 'Income tax rates, rate limits and personal allowances for 2011-
12'.
HMRC, (2011), 'Rates and thresholds for employers: 2011-12'.
HMRC, (2012), ‘Corporation tax statistics’.
ONS, (2009), ‘Indexes to the UK standard industrial classification of economic
activities 2007’.
ONS, (2011), ‘Annual survey of hour and earnings in 2011’.
ONS, (2011), 'Input-output analytical tables, 2005 edition'.
ONS, (2012), Annual business survey, November.
ONS, (2012), ‘Business register employment survey’.
ONS, (2012), ‘Computation of corporation tax liability’
ONS, (2012), ‘The effects of taxes and benefits on household Income,
2010/2011’.
Oxford Economics, (2012), ‘The economic impact of the UK ports industry ‘.
Oxford Economics, (2012), ‘The economic impact of the UK shipping industry ‘.
Oxford Economics, (2012), ‘The economic impact of the UK’s maritime business
services sector‘.
Ridout, P, (2012), ‘Annual review of UK marine scientific industries 2012’.
RenewableUK, (2012), ‘Wind energy in the UK: State of the industry report
2012’.
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
20
6 Appendix: Components of the marine
industry, individual industry results and
methodology
6.1 Definition of the marine industries
Unfortunately, the marine sector does not neatly fit into the ONS Standard
Industrial Classification codes. In this study it is therefore defined to include:
Design, manufacture, maintain, convert and dismantle civil and military
ships, leisure craft, superyachts, other vessels (e.g., submarines,
RIBs/PWCs, UUVs/USVs/ROVs) and related equipment/accessories;
Design, manufacture, install, maintain and decommission offshore wind,
wave and tidal energy devices, associated substations and equipment;
Provide related technical services throughout the lifecycle of these products
(e.g., research, design and classification);
Provide supplies to the above;
Marine science equipment and services;
Provide services in marine leisure.
It has been defined to exclude:
Abstraction (e.g., aggregates, fisheries, aquaculture)
Offshore & coastal infrastructure operation and services
(e.g., energy generation & supply)
And non-industrial organisations
o Government (MoD, Royal Navy, DfT, MCA, DEFRA, MMO, etc.)
o Academia & Further Education
The marine sector is defined to comprise six industries
Ship building and repairs
Marine equipment (note that this excludes leisure equipment, which falls within “Leisure and Small
Commercial”)
Marine renewable energy servicing
Leisure and small commercial
Marine science
Maritime technical consultancy
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
21
6.2 Individual industry economic impact summaries
The three tables below show the results of the economic impact studies for the
nine industries. As explained in Chapter 3, these cannot be aggregated to form
a total as some of the industries are in each other’s supply chains. The numbers
have been round to the nearest £100 million or 1000 people. As a result, they
may not sum horizontally.
Table 6.1: Economic contribution of individual maritime and marine
industries to UK GDP in 2011/12
Source: Oxford Economics
Table 6.2: Economic contribution of individual maritime and marine
industries to UK employment in 2011/12
Source: Oxford Economics
Direct Indirect Induced Total
Maritime industries
Ports 7,900 8,100 5,200 21,200
Shipping 5,600 3,900 3,000 12,500
Maritime business services 1,500 1,300 900 3,700
Marine industries
Ship building and repairs 1,100 1,000 700 2,800
Equipment 800 700 500 1,900
Renewable energy 400 400 100 900
Leisure and small commercial 900 800 600 2,300
Marine science 300 100 200 600
Maritime (technical) consultancy 500 300 300 1,100
GVA (£ million)
Direct Indirect Induced Total
Maritime industries
Ports 117,000 167,000 108,000 392,000
Shipping 146,000 80,000 62,000 287,000
Maritime business services 10,000 27,000 18,000 55,000
Marine industries
Ship building and repairs 26,000 20,000 15,000 61,000
Equipment 10,000 13,000 10,000 33,000
Renewable energy 6,000 9,000 2,000 16,000
Leisure and small commercial 31,000 17,000 13,000 60,000
Marine science 15,000 3,000 4,000 21,000
Maritime (technical) consultancy 7,000 6,000 6,000 20,000
Employment
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
22
Table 6.2: Economic contribution of individual maritime and marine
industries to UK tax receipts in 2011/12
Source: Oxford Economics
6.3 Direct contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the
UK economy: GVA and employment
This section describes in greater detail than the main text the methodology
behind the estimation of the marine and maritime sectors’ direct GVA and
employment contributions to the UK economy.
Ports
The estimate for GVA and employment in ports in 2011/12 is taken from Oxford
Economics (2012) study on the economic impact of ports.
19
Shipping
The estimate for GVA and employment of shipping in 2011/12 is taken from
Oxford Economics (2012) study on the economic contribution of shipping.
20
Maritime business services
An estimate for GVA and employment of maritime business services in 2011/12
is taken from Oxford Economics (2012) study on the sector.
21
Ship building and repairs
Data was sourced from the ONS’ Annual Business Survey for turnover, gross
value added, and employment for ship building, boat-building, and repairs (SIC
codes 30.11, 30.12, and 33.15) for 2011. From this, the British Marine
Federation’s (2013) KPI figures for 2011/12 for power boat manufacture, sail
19
Oxford Economics, (2012), ‘The economic impact of the UK ports industry ‘.
20
Oxford Economics, (2012), ‘The economic impact of the UK shipping industry ‘.
21
Oxford Economics, (2012), ‘The economic impact of the UK’s maritime business services sector‘.
Direct Indirect Induced Total
Maritime industries
Ports 2,000 2,600 1,700 6,200
Shipping 600 1,200 1,000 2,800
Maritime business services 400 400 300 1,100
Marine industries
Ship building and repairs 400 300 200 900
Equipment 200 200 100 500
Renewable energy 200 100 - 300
Leisure and small commercial 500 200 200 900
Marine science 400 40 100 500
Maritime (technical) consultancy 100 100 100 300
Tax (£ million)
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
23
boat manufacture, other boat manufacture, boat repairs/services were
subtracted to avoid double counting what is already included in the ‘leisure and
small commercial’ category.
The resulting estimates are for 2011. They are translated into 2011/12 values
using Oxford Economics’ forecast for GVA and employment growth for ships and
rolling stock (encompassing ONS SIC code 30).
Marine equipment
22
BIS provided aggregate data on turnover and employment sourced from the
Interdepartmental Business Register (IDBR) for 35 major equipment
manufacturers and suppliers including Rolls Royce, Babcock Marine,
Hamworthy, Kelvin Hughes, Fender Care, and Cosalt International for 2011.
The resulting estimates are for 2011. They are translated into 2011/12 values
using Oxford Economics forecast for GVA growth for Engineering and Metal
Goods (encompassing ONS Standard Industrial Classification category 25, 27,
and 28).
Marine renewable energy servicing
Estimate for turnover and employment for offshore wind projects in 2011/12
were acquired via RenewableUK
23
. In the absence of data on installation and
maintenance of offshore wind, wave, and tidal, this report uses capital
expenditure in 2011/12 for offshore wind projects in the UK as the closest
estimate of turnover in the offshore renewable energy sector. It is a poor proxy,
so the estimates should be interpreted with caution.
GVA was estimated from turnover using the ratio of GVA to turnover from a
Department for Business Innovation and Skills commissioned study (2011,
unpublished) focusing on the offshore wind renewable energy sector.
Leisure and small commercial
Data on turnover, GVA and employment for 2011/12 are sourced from British
Marine Federation
24
(2013) KPIs in the leisure and small commercial sector
(workboats - excluding fishing boats), which includes manufacturing, distribution
of boats, equipment and engines and consumer/business services.
Marine science
Data on turnover and employment in 2011/12 are sourced from the Society of
Maritime Industries (2012).
25
The gross value added contribution to GDP was
estimated from the turnover figures using the GVA to turnover ratio for 2011
22
Excludes leisure equipment, this falls within leisure and small commercial.
23
RenewableUK (2012), ‘Wind energy in the UK: State of the industry report 2012’, Page 14,17,
October.
24
British Marine Federation, (2013), ‘UK leisure, superyacht and small commercial marine industry:
Key performance indicators 2011/12’, Page 9, January.
25
Ridout, P., (2012), ‘Annual review of UK marine scientific industries 2012’.
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
24
from the ONS (2012) ABS
26
for the category Scientific Research and
Development (SIC code 72).
Maritime technical consultancy
QinetiQ
27
provided an estimate of this industry’s turnover by drawing on data
from 11 large companies and an estimate of 100 smaller companies between
2008/9 and 2011/12. The turnover estimates were projected forward to 2011/12
values using Oxford Economics forecasts for gross output in business services
(encompassing SIC codes 68 to 82).
GVA was estimated from turnover using the GVA to turnover ratio in 2011 using
the ONS (2012) ABS
28
category engineering activities and related technical
consultancy (SIC code 71.12). Employment was then estimated using the ABS
ratio
29
of GVA/employment in 2011 for the same SIC code.
6.4 Direct contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the
UK economy: Taxes
The tax contributions of the marine and maritime sector were calculated as
follows:
Income tax
The estimates of income tax were computed using data on mean gross earnings
for 2011 drawn from the ONS (2012) ASHE dataset for the nearest SIC code.
The prevailing income tax allowances and rates
30
in 2011/12 were applied. The
income tax payable for the average employee in the industry was then multiplied
the total numbers employed to get the aggregate amount of receipts.
For shipping, a number of UK seafarers will not pay income tax because they
will be at sea for 183 or more days a year and will be eligible for the ‘Seafarers’
Earnings Deduction’. Discussions with the Chamber of Shipping suggest that
this might be around half of all UK officers and a much lower (assumed 10%)
proportion of UK ratings. In addition, all non-UK nationals are assumed not pay
UK tax while all shore-based staff are assumed to pay UK income tax.
National Insurance Contributions – employees and employers
Analogously to the estimates of income tax, HMRC (2012) NIC thresholds and
rates
31
were applied to average gross earnings data from ONS ASHE data for
each industry to calculate employee and employer NIC contributions for the
average employee. The aggregate figure was calculated by multiplying the
average amounts paid by the number of employees.
26
ONS, (2012),’Annual business survey’, November.
27
QinetiQ, (2008/9-2011/12).
28
ONS, (2012),’Annual business survey’, November.
29
ONS, (2012),’Annual business survey’, November.
30
HMRC, (2011), 'Income tax rates, rate limits and personal allowances for 2011-12'.
31
HMRC, (2011), 'Rates and thresholds for employers: 2011-12'.
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
25
For shipping, employee and employer NICs were calculated using similar
assumptions to those for income tax, but in addition we assume that the
proportion of officers and ratings whose employers are not liable for NICs in the
UK is slightly higher than those who will benefit from the Seafarers’ Earnings
Deduction (i.e., 60% for UK officers and 20% for UK ratings).
VAT and other indirect taxes
Those earning income due to employment in the marine and maritime sectors or
within their supply chain will pay VAT and other indirect taxes (such as excise
duties). Estimates of indirect taxes paid were calculated using the ONS’ (2012)
publication ‘The Effects of Taxes and Benefits on Household Income,
2010/2011’
32
, which provides estimates of average indirect taxes as a share of
household income for all income groups in 2010/11.
The estimate is made net of the indirect taxes paid by someone receiving the
income provided by Job Seeker’s Allowance.
Corporation tax
The ONS publication ‘Corporation Tax Statistics’ (2012) provides data on
corporate tax liabilities
33
, which are used to estimate tax liabilities as a share of
gross trading profits. This share, approximately 14.5%, is used as the effective
corporate tax rate for all sectors apart from shipping.
For shipping, corporation tax receipts are based on levels of corporation tax paid
by the industry prior to the tonnage tax, scaled to reflect the estimated difference
between actual accruals of tax liabilities for the UK shipping industry through
tonnage tax and what they would otherwise have been under the standard UK
corporation tax regime.
34
Effective tax rates are applied to Oxford Economics’ estimates of gross
operating surplus for each industry. Gross operating surplus is calculated by
applying the ratio of gross operating surplus to compensation of employees in
each industry to the estimated total compensation of employees. This ratio is
calculated using ONS (2011) analytical input-output tables.
35
Total
compensation of employees is calculated as the product of estimated
employment and wages in the relevant sector according to ONS (2011) ASHE
data.
32
ONS, (2012), 'The effects of taxes and benefits on household income, 2010/2011', 26 June.
33
HMRC, (2012), ‘Corporation tax statistics’, Table T11.5.
34
Based on HMRC estimated costs of the principal tax expenditure and structural reliefs, 2011-12,
suggesting that tax liabilities under the tonnage tax regime would be £45 million lower than under the
standard corporation tax regime.
35
ONS, (2011), ‘Input-output analytical tables, 2005 edition’.
The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector
January 2013
26
6.5 Procedure to remove double counting of supply chain impacts
To estimate potential double counting effects, each of the nine industries within
the marine and maritime sector is aligned to the nearest industry available in the
UK input-output tables
36
. Those correlates are as follows, with the marine or
maritime sector on the left and the Input-Output category (or categories) on the
right:
Marine Equipment General purpose machinery (63)
Ship building and repairs, Leisure and small commercial Shipbuilding
and repair (78)
Marine renewable energy servicing Electricity production & distribution
(85)
Ports, Shipping Water transport (95)
Maritime business services Banking and finance (100), Insurance and
pension funds (102), Auxiliary financial services (103), and Legal activities
(109)
Marine science Research and development (108)
Maritime (technical) consultancy Other business services (114)
36
ONS, (2011), ‘Input-output analytical tables, 2005 edition’.
OXFORD
Abbey House, 121 St Aldates
Oxford, OX1 1HB, UK
Tel: +44 1865 268900
LONDON
Broadwall House, 21 Broadwall
London, SE1 9PL, UK
Tel: +44 207 803 1400
BELFAST
Lagan House, Sackville Street
Lisburn, BT27 4AB, UK
Tel: +44 28 9266 0669
NEW YORK
5 Hanover Square, 19th Floor
New York, NY 10004, USA
Tel: +1 (646) 786 1879
PHILADELPHIA
303 Lancaster Avenue, Suite 1b
Wayne PA 19087, USA
Tel: +1 610 995 9600
SINGAPORE
No.1 North Bridge Road
High Street Centre #22-07
Singapore 179094
Tel: +65 6338 1235
PARIS
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75006 Paris, France
Tel: + 33 6 79 900 846
email: mailbox@oxfordeconomics.com
www.oxfordeconomics.com

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The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector on the UK in 2011/12

  • 1. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector on the UK in 2011/12 January 2013 Final Report January 2013
  • 2. Contents Executive Summary..................................................................................1 1 Introduction .....................................................................................3 1.1 About economic impact analysis................................................................ 3 1.2 Outline for the report .................................................................................. 2 2 The individual industries’ economic impact..................................3 2.1 Direct contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the UK economy........................................................................................................ 3 2.1.1 Direct gross value added contribution to GDP .................................. 3 2.1.2 Direct employment............................................................................. 5 2.1.3 Productivity of the marine and maritime sectors................................ 7 2.1.4 Direct tax contribution to the Exchequer............................................ 7 2.2 Indirect contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the UK economy........................................................................................................ 8 2.2.1 Indirect gross value added................................................................. 9 2.2.2 Indirect employment........................................................................... 9 2.2.3 Indirect tax contribution to the Exchequer ....................................... 10 2.3 Induced contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the UK economy...................................................................................................... 10 2.3.1 Induced gross value added.............................................................. 11 2.3.2 Induced employment........................................................................ 12 2.3.3 Induced tax contributions to the Exchequer..................................... 12 2.4 Total economic impact of the nine individual industries in the marine and maritime sector............................................................................... 13 3 Aggregate impacts ........................................................................ 15 3.1 Procedure to remove double counting of supply chain impacts .............................................................................................................. 15 4 Conclusion..................................................................................... 18 5 Bibliography .................................................................................. 19 6 Appendix: Components of the marine industry, individual industry results and methodology....................................... 20
  • 3. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 1 TotalIm pact G DP C ontribution (Total= 35.1 billion) Em ploym ent (Total= 703,000) 18.9 367,000 7.6 8.6 157,000178,000 D irect Indirect Induced 4.6 2.1 2.4 Tax R evenue (Total= 9.2 billion) Executive Summary This study investigates the economic contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the UK economy. The sector is defined to include nine individual industries which are: ports; shipping; maritime business services; ship building and repairs; marine equipment; marine renewable energy servicing; leisure and small commercial; marine science; and maritime technical consultancy. The results suggest the marine and maritime sector makes a large contribution to the UK economy… ...contributing £35.1 billion to UK GDP… After accounting for some of the nine industries being in each others supply chains, the marine and maritime sector is estimated to support a gross valued added contribution to GDP of £35.1 billion in 2011/12. This is 2.3% of the total output produced by the UK economy in the year. ...it supports 703,000 people in employment…. In 2011/12, the marine and maritime sector supports 703,000 people in employment in the UK. Therefore, 1 in every 45 jobs in the economy is dependent or partially dependent on the sector. …and contributes £9.2 billion for the Exchequer In total, the sector supported a £9.2 billion tax contribution to HM Exchequer. This is 2% of all tax receipts. Figure 1: Summary of the economic contribution of the UK marine and maritime sectors in 2011/12
  • 4. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 2 Looking at the individual channels of economic impact In 2011/12, firms within the sector employed 367,000 people. The largest employers were shipping (146,000 people), ports (117,000 people) and the marine sector (95,000 people). Firms within the sector generated a £18.9 billion gross value added contribution to GDP. This is 1.2% of the economic activity created in the UK in the year. It is larger than the aerospace and aviation sector at £18.5 billion. …whilst generating considerable multiplier impacts. The marine and maritime sector’s procurement of inputs of goods and services sourced from UK-based suppliers generates economic activity and employment. The sector’s purchasing supported an £7.6 billion contribution to GDP, 157,000 people in employment and £2.1 billion in tax receipts. The wages paid to staff directly and indirectly employed by the sector are spent at retail and leisure outlets, which generates GDP and employment in these locations and in their domestic supply chain. These induced impacts support a £8.6 billion contribution to GDP, 178,000 jobs and £2.4 billion in tax payments.
  • 5. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 3 1 Introduction This report quantifies the economic contribution of the marine and maritime sectors to the UK economy in 2011/12. The maritime sector is here defined to include nine component industries, including: Ports Shipping Maritime business services Ship building and repairs Marine equipment Marine renewable energy servicing Leisure and small commercial Marine science Maritime technical consultancy The first three categories in the list are considered maritime industries, while the latter six are marine industries. Greater detail on the activities that make up these broader categories is available in the Appendix of this report. 1.1 About economic impact analysis One technique economists use to assess the contribution an industrial sector makes to a country’s economy is economic impact analysis. A standard economic impact assessment looks at three channels of impact. These are: Direct effects – the economic activity created at firms within the sector. Indirect effects – the economic activity that results from the firms within the sector’s procurement of inputs of goods and services from their domestic supply chain. Induced effects – the economic activity created by those directly and indirectly employed by the sector spending their wages on goods and services at retail and leisure outlets. The results of the economic impact assessment in this report are presented using three metrics, which are: 1. Gross value added (GVA) contribution to GDP – GDP is the main indicator of the level of economic activity in the UK economy. 1 The gross value added contribution to GDP is probably easiest thought of as the value at which a sector’s output is sold (excluding taxes) minus the cost of the bought in inputs of goods and services used up in producing it. 2. Employment – the number of people employed. A headcount measure is used in preference to the number of full-time equivalents (FTE) to 1 GDP is the indicator of economic output used to judge the rate of economic growth or indicate when the economy enters a recession.
  • 6. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 2 facilitate comparisons with the Office for National Statistics’ employment data. 3. Tax revenue – the amount of tax revenue paid as a result of the activities of the marine and maritime sectors, including corporate tax, income tax, national insurance contributions, and VAT. The results of this economic impact study (like most others) are presented on a gross rather than a net basis. This means no account is taken of what the resources used up by the sector could alternatively be deployed to do. 1.2 Outline for the report The economic impact analysis in this report estimates the gross value added contribution to GDP, employment, and tax contribution to HM Exchequer that are supported by the marine and maritime sector. Chapter 2 presents the results of the economic impact analysis on the individual industries within the marine and maritime sector. Chapter 3 shows the economic contribution of the marine and maritime sector in aggregate. It therefore removes the double counting from many of the industries within the marine and maritime sector being in each other’s supply chains. Chapter 4 concludes. The appendix details the definition of the sectors, the results of the individual industries economic impact studies and the data sources and the methodology used to construct the estimates for each industry.
  • 7. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 3 2 The individual industries’ economic impact Main points The firms in the marine and maritime sector are estimated to have made a £18.9 billion gross value added contribution to GDP in 2011/12. This is 1.2% of the UK’s economic output made during this year. In 2011/12, the sector is estimated to employ 367,000 people. This is 1.2% of total employment in the UK. After allowing for multiplier impacts the ports sector supports the largest contribution to UK GDP, contributing £21.2 billion. It is followed by shipping (£12.5 billion) and marine (£3.8 billion). The ranking for employment supported across the nine industries is very similar to the GDP contribution. The three largest industries remain in the same order: ports (at 392,000 people); shipping (at 287,000) and marine (at 95,000). 2.1 Direct contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the UK economy The direct economic impact of the marine and maritime sector is comprised of the gross value added (GVA), employment and tax receipts generated by the firms within it. 2.1.1 Direct gross value added contribution to GDP In 2011/12, the marine and maritime sector is estimated to have made a combined direct gross value added contribution to GDP of £18.9 billion (Chart 2.1). The industries which made the largest direct contribution are ports at £7.9 billion (or 42% of total), shipping at £5.6 billion (or 30%) and marine at £3.8 billion (or 20%).
  • 8. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 4 Chart 2.1: Direct contribution to GDP in the UK in 2011/12 To give a sense of scale, this is 1.2% of the economic output created within the UK economy in 2011/12. Put another way £1 in every £80 of GDP created in the UK in 2011/12 was made within the marine and maritime sector. An alternative way to gauge the scale of the marine and maritime sector’s contribution to UK GDP is to compare it with other industries in the UK. In 2011/12, the marine and maritime sector contributed more to GDP than the aerospace and aviation industry (£18.4 billion) 2 , and less than the radio, television and telecommunications industries (£31.7 billion) 3 and automotive manufacture and motor trades (£34.3 billion) 4 in 2011 (Chart 2.2). 2 Aerospace and Aviation industries consist of: Manufacture of aircraft and spacecraft (SIC 30.3); Maintenance and repair of aircraft and spacecraft (SIC 33.16); Air Transport (SIC 51); and Service activities incidental to air transport (SIC 52.23). 3 Radio, television and telecommunications consists of: Programming and broadcast activities (SIC 60); Telecommunication (SIC 61). 4 Automotive manufacture and motor trades include: Manufacture of motor vehicles (SIC 29); and Wholesale, retail, maintenance and repair of motor vehicles (SIC 45). 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Ports Shipping Marine industries Business services £ billion Source : Oxford Economics
  • 9. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 5 Chart 2.2: Comparison of the marine and maritime sector’s contribution to GDP with similarly sized industrial sectors in 2011 2.1.2 Direct employment In 2011/12, the marine and maritime sector is estimated to employ 367,000 people (Chart 2.3). This is 1.2% of total employment in the UK. The shipping industry employs the most people (146,000 people, of which 48,200 are UK- nationals and 97,300 are foreign nationals). Ports (117,000 people) and the marine industry (96,000 people) rank second and third. Within the marine industry, the leisure and small commercial sector employs the most (31,000 people). Chart 2.3: Direct employment in the marine and maritime UK in 2011/12 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Shipping Ports Marine industries Business services 000s Source : Oxford Economics 0 10 20 30 40 Automotive manufacture and motor trades Radio, televison and telecommunications Marine & maritime Aerospace & aviation Billion £s Source : Oxford Economics, ONS
  • 10. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 6 To provide a sense of context, these figures can be compared to other industries in the UK economy, such as the aerospace and aviation industry, telecommunications and automotive and land transport industries (Chart 2.4). 5 The marine and maritime sector employs more people than the aerospace and aviation industry (221,000 people) and radio, television and telecommunications industry (251,000). It employs less than the automotive manufacturing and motor trades sector (654,000) 6 . Chart 2.4: Industries sustaining similar levels of employment as the marine and maritime sectors in 2011 in the UK 5 See footnotes 2,3 and 4 for the SIC codes included in each industry. 6 ONS, (2012), ‘Business register employment survey’. 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Automotive manufacture and motor trades Marine and maritime Radio, televison and telecommunications Aerospace & aviation 000sSource : Oxford Economics, ONS
  • 11. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 7 2.1.3 Productivity of the marine and maritime sectors In 2011/12, each person employed in the marine and maritime sector produced a gross value added contribution to GDP of £51,300. This is greater than the whole economy average of £48,300 (Chart 2.5). 7 Chart 2.5: Productivity of the marine and maritime sectors relative to the UK average for 2011/12 2.1.4 Direct tax contribution to the Exchequer Firms within the marine and maritime sectors pay corporation tax and employers national insurance contributions. Staff working within the sector pay income tax, make national insurance contributions and generate VAT and excise duties revenues by spending their wages. In 2011/12, the marine and maritime sector contributed an estimated £4.7 billion to the Exchequer. This is 1.0% of total tax receipts that are expected to be collected by HM Revenue and Customs in the year. 8 The ports, marine and shipping industries made the largest contribution to tax receipts at £2.0 billion, £1.7 billion, and £0.6 billion, respectively (Chart 2.6). Within the marine industry, the leisure and small commercial industry contributed £0.5 billion. 7 ONS, (2012), 'Quarterly National Accounts, Q3 2012' and ONS, (2012) 'Workforce Jobs Summary'. UK average productivity for 2011/12 is calculated by dividing UK GDP by average employment over the period. 8 HMRC, (2012), 'Tax and NICs receipts: statistics table', July. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Marine & Maritime UK average Source : Oxford Economics £ 000s
  • 12. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 8 Chart 2.6: Direct tax contribution to the Exchequer in the marine and maritime sector in the UK in 2011/12 2.2 Indirect contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the UK economy The marine and maritime sector purchases inputs of goods and services from UK suppliers. This expenditure generates gross value added, employment, and tax contributions to the Exchequer down the sector’s UK supply chain. The size of the indirect effects are calculated by multiplying the direct estimate of each of the nine industries’ gross valued added contribution to GDP by the closest industry supply linkage multiplier 9 calculated from a manipulation of the ONS (2011) analytical input-output tables. 10 The employment estimates are then calculated by dividing the gross value added by labour productivity estimates for the whole economy. 11 The tax impacts are calculated using average earnings data 12 for 2011, estimates of corporate profitability 13 and current tax rates for corporation tax 14 , income tax, national insurance contributions, and VAT and other indirect taxes 15 . 9 A supply linkage multiplier shows the knock on effects on the economy of the industries within the marine and maritime sectors purchases of inputs and further purchases. 10 ONS, (2011), ‘Input-output analytical tables, 2005 Edition’. 11 Whole-economy labour productivity is derived by dividing ONS data on gross value added at market prices by total employment in the UK economy. 12 ONS, (2012), ‘Annual survey of hour and earnings in 2011’. 13 Corporate profitability is calculated by applying the ratio of gross operating surplus to total output from the nearest industry sector in the ONS (2011) analytical input output tables to each industry’s total revenue. 14 For all marine and maritime sectors apart from shipping, average effective corporate tax rates are taken from ONS, (2012), ‘Computation of corporation tax liability’. For shipping, an estimate of effective tonnage tax rates is applied (see Methodology for more detail). 15 ONS, (2012), ‘The effects of taxes and benefits on household income, 2010/2011’ is used to calculate VAT and indirect tax payments. 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 Ports Marine industries Shipping Business services £ billion Source : Oxford Economics
  • 13. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 9 Many of the nine marine and maritime industries are in each other’s supply chain. In this section the results are presented for the major four industries rather than in aggregate, as calculating a total contribution to GVA, employment and tax receipts using these figures would result in an overestimate. An aggregate estimate of the total impact of the marine and maritime sector, which adjusts for potential double counting issues, is presented in Chapter 3. 2.2.1 Indirect gross value added In 2011/12, the nine industries’ procurement generated a gross value added contribution to GDP in their domestic supply chain which ranged from £130 million for marine science to £7.8 billion for ports (Chart 2.7). Chart 2.7: Indirect contribution to GDP in the UK in 2011/12 2.2.2 Indirect employment Of the four industries shown in Chart 2.8, maritime business services has the largest employment supply chain multiplier at 3.7. So for every person employed in the industry 2.7 people are employed in its UK supply chain. This compares to 0.5 people supported in shipping industry’s supply chain for every one in the industry itself. In total, ports procurement supported the most people in employment in 2011/12 at 167,000 people, followed by shipping (80,000) and the marine industries (68,000). 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Ports Shipping Marine industries Business services £ billion Source : Oxford Economics
  • 14. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 10 Chart 2.8: Indirect employment in the UK in 2011/12 2.2.3 Indirect tax contribution to the Exchequer The marine and maritime industries which supported the most tax receipts through their expenditure on procurement in 2011/12 were ports (£2.6 billion), shipping (£1.2 billion) and the marine industries (£0.9 billion). Chart 2.9: Indirect tax contributions in the UK in 2011/12 2.3 Induced contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the UK economy The people directly and indirectly employed by the marine and maritime sector spend their wages at retail and leisure outlets. This generates economic activity at those outlets, but also down their domestic supply chains. 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 Ports Shipping Marine industries Business services £ billion Source : Oxford Economics 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Ports Shipping Marine industries Business services 000s Source : Oxford Economics
  • 15. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 11 The induced impact for each of the nine industries within the marine and maritime sector are calculated by applying consumption multipliers 16 sourced from ONS (2011) analytical input output tables to each industry’s direct GDP contribution. The employment and tax impacts are calculated analogously to those for the indirect effects explained in Section 2.3. 2.3.1 Induced gross value added Spending on consumer goods and services by the direct and indirect employees of the marine and maritime sector contributes and induced value added contribution to GDP. The effect is largest for ports (£5.2 billion), shipping (£3.0 billion), and the marine (£2.4 billion) industries (Chart 2.10). Chart 2.10: Induced gross value added contribution to UK GDP in 2011/12 16 A consumption multiplier shows the impact of the expenditure of those who derive their incomes from the direct and supply linkage impacts of the industries in the marine and maritime sector. 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 Ports Shipping Marine industries Business services £ billion Source : Oxford Economics
  • 16. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 12 2.3.2 Induced employment Wage-financed consumer spending by those directly and indirectly employed in the marine and maritime sector supports additional employment in the UK economy. Spending by staff employed by ports creates the most jobs (108,000 people), followed by shipping (62,000), and marine (50,000) industries (Chart 2.11). Chart 2.11: Induced employment in the UK in 2011/12 2.3.3 Induced tax contributions to the Exchequer In 2011/12, the spending of those employed directly in ports, shipping, and marine − or their supply chains − contributed the most in tax revenues to the Exchequer. Induced tax receipts from the three sectors is estimated to be £1.7 billion, £1.0 billion, and £0.7 billion, respectively (Chart 2.12). Chart 2.12: Induced tax contributions in the UK in 2011/12 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 Ports Shipping Marine industries Business services £ billion Source : Oxford Economics 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Ports Shipping Marine industries Business services 000s Source : Oxford Economics
  • 17. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 13 2.4 Total economic impact of the nine individual industries in the marine and maritime sector Ports are estimated to support the largest contribution to GDP (at £21.2 billion) of the four major industries (Chart 2.12). The shipping industry (£12.5 billion) and marine (at £9.5 billion) are second and third. Chart 2.13: Gross value added contribution to GDP supported by the nine industries in 2011/12 The ranking for employment supported across the industries is very similar. The three largest industries remain in the same order: ports (at 392,000 people); shipping (at 287,000) and marine (at 212,000) (Chart 2.14). Chart 2.14: Employment supported by the nine industries in 2011/12 All four of the industries support tax receipts worth over a £1 billion in 2011/12 (Chart 2.15). Ports are estimated to support the largest receipts (at £6.2 billion), followed by marine (£3.3 billion) and shipping (at £2.8 billion). 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 Ports Shipping Marine industries Maritime business services Induced Indirect Direct 000s Source : Oxford Economics 0 5 10 15 20 25 Ports Shipping Marine industries Maritime business services Induced Indirect Direct £ Billion Source : Oxford Economics
  • 18. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 14 Chart 2.15: Tax contribution to the Exchequer supported by the nine industries in 2011/12 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Ports Marine industries Shipping Maritime business services Induced Indirect Direct £ Billion Source : Oxford Economics
  • 19. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 15 3 Aggregate impacts Main points After allowing for ‘double counting’ the marine and maritime sector is estimated to support a £35.1 billion gross value added contribution to GDP. This is 2.3% of UK GDP in 2011/12. In aggregate, the nine industries in the marine and maritime sector are estimated to support 703,000 people in employment in the UK. As a result, 1 in every 45 jobs is estimated to depend on the sector. In 2010/11, the aggregate marine and maritime sector is estimated to support a £9.2 billion contribution to tax receipts in the UK economy. In Chapter 2, the economic impact of each of the individual industries within the marine and maritime sector is estimated. But it is not possible to sum the contributions of the nine industries to form an aggregate estimate for the whole sector as many of the industries are in each others’ supply chains. As a result, summing the nine industries’ contribution would double count and therefore overstate some the supply chain and wage consumption impacts. Section 3.1 of this chapter explains the methodology used to remove the double counting. Section 3.2 presents the estimate of the size of the marine and maritime sector and puts it in context of the wider UK economy. 3.1 Procedure to remove double counting of supply chain impacts The ONS 17 produces Input-Output tables which detail the value of each industry’s purchases of inputs of goods and services from other industries within the UK and the amount sourced from abroad. To form an estimate of the double counting, each of the nine industries within the marine and maritime sector is aligned to the nearest industry in the input-output tables 18 . The share of each of the nine industries’ inputs that come from other industries in the marine or maritime sector is then calculated. This percentage is used as the estimate of double counting. It is then used to scale the supply chain and consumption multipliers used for each of the nine industries. The estimate of double counting is likely to be an over estimate as the definition of the industries in the ONS input-output table is wider than each of the nine industries in the marine and maritime sector. The approach is therefore conservative. More of the indirect and induced impacts are removed than would be the case if we had full information about the extent to which the nine industries are in each others supply chains. 17 ONS, (2011), 'Input-output analytical tables, 2005 edition'. 18 Further detail is given in the Appendix.
  • 20. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 16 Table 3.1 shows the results of the procedure to remove the ‘double counting’ so we can derive an estimate of the aggregate impact of the marine and maritime sector. The upper half of the table shows the unadjusted estimates of all nine industries’ impact summed together for each of the three metrics (shown in the columns) and channels of impact (shown in the rows). The adjusted estimates are shown in the bottom half of the table. Looking at the bottom half of Table 3.1, the direct impacts (£18.9 billion gross value added contribution to GDP, 367,000 employed and £4.7 billion tax receipts) are unchanged. The adjusted indirect gross value added and employment aggregates are 46% of the unadjusted total, while the adjusted induced gross value added and employment aggregates are 75% of the unadjusted total. Another way to express this is that 54% of the indirect effects are already included in the direct effects of one of the sectors included in this study. The total row at the bottom of the table shows the aggregate estimates for the gross value added contribution to GDP and employment, which are 75% of the unadjusted total. Table 3.1: Adjusted economic impact of marine and maritime sectors in 2011/12 Source: Oxford Economics The results suggest that the marine and maritime sector supports a £35.1 billion gross value added contribution to GDP. This is 2.3% of the total output of the whole UK economy. It supports 703,000 people in employment. So that 1 in every 45 jobs is dependent on the marine and maritime sector. The marine and maritime sector supports a £9.2 billion contribution to the Exchequer. This is 2.0% of total tax receipts. Chart 3.1 illustrates the adjusted impact – including direct, indirect, and induced effects – of the marine and maritime sector on the UK economy as a share of the economy overall. Unadjusted GVA (£ billion) Employment (000s) Tax (£ billion) Direct 18.9 367 4.7 Indirect 16.5 341 5.2 Induced 11.5 238 3.6 Total 46.9 946 13.4 Adjusted GVA (£ billion) Employment (000s) Tax (£ billion) Direct 18.9 367 4.7 Indirect 7.6 157 2.1 Induced 8.6 178 2.4 Total 35.1 703 9.2 Adjusted versus unadjusted economic impacts of the marine and maritime sectors
  • 21. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 17 Chart 3.1: The marine and maritime sector’s contribution to the UK economy in 2011/12 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 GVA Employment Tax receipts Direct Indirect Induced % of UK economy total Source : Oxford Economics
  • 22. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 18 4 Conclusion This study measures the contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the UK economy. The marine and maritime sector is defined to include ports, shipping, maritime business services, ship building and repairs, marine equipment, marine renewable energy servicing, leisure and small commercial, marine science, and maritime technical consultancy. The study begins by looking at the size of the nine individual industries, the impact they have in generating economic activity through their procurement of inputs of goods and services from domestic suppliers and the impact of their direct and indirect staff spending their wages at retail and leisure outlets. Of the nine industries, ports make the largest impact on the UK economy, supporting a £21.2 billion value added contribution to GDP, 392,000 people in employment and £6.2 billion in tax receipts. It is followed by the shipping industry which supports £12.5 billion in value added, 287,000 jobs and £2.8 billion in tax receipts. The marine industry ranks third in importance. As many of the marine and maritime industries are in each others supply chain, calculating the sector’s aggregate contribution to the UK economy is not simply a case of summing the individual industries’ impacts. The ONS (2011) input output tables have been used to estimate the extent of each industry’s procurement from other industries in the sector. This is a conservative approach as the industry definitions in the input output tables are wider than those in this paper. The results suggest that the marine and maritime sector supports a £35.1 billion gross value added contribution to GDP. This is 2.3% of the total output of the whole UK economy. It supports 703,000 people in employment. So that 1 in every 45 jobs is dependent on the marine and maritime sector. The marine and maritime sector supports a £9.2 billion contribution to the Exchequer. This is 2.0% of total tax receipts.
  • 23. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 19 5 Bibliography British Marine Federation, (2013), ‘UK leisure, superyacht and small commercial marine industry: Key performance indicators 2011/12’, January. HMRC, (2011), 'Income tax rates, rate limits and personal allowances for 2011- 12'. HMRC, (2011), 'Rates and thresholds for employers: 2011-12'. HMRC, (2012), ‘Corporation tax statistics’. ONS, (2009), ‘Indexes to the UK standard industrial classification of economic activities 2007’. ONS, (2011), ‘Annual survey of hour and earnings in 2011’. ONS, (2011), 'Input-output analytical tables, 2005 edition'. ONS, (2012), Annual business survey, November. ONS, (2012), ‘Business register employment survey’. ONS, (2012), ‘Computation of corporation tax liability’ ONS, (2012), ‘The effects of taxes and benefits on household Income, 2010/2011’. Oxford Economics, (2012), ‘The economic impact of the UK ports industry ‘. Oxford Economics, (2012), ‘The economic impact of the UK shipping industry ‘. Oxford Economics, (2012), ‘The economic impact of the UK’s maritime business services sector‘. Ridout, P, (2012), ‘Annual review of UK marine scientific industries 2012’. RenewableUK, (2012), ‘Wind energy in the UK: State of the industry report 2012’.
  • 24. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 20 6 Appendix: Components of the marine industry, individual industry results and methodology 6.1 Definition of the marine industries Unfortunately, the marine sector does not neatly fit into the ONS Standard Industrial Classification codes. In this study it is therefore defined to include: Design, manufacture, maintain, convert and dismantle civil and military ships, leisure craft, superyachts, other vessels (e.g., submarines, RIBs/PWCs, UUVs/USVs/ROVs) and related equipment/accessories; Design, manufacture, install, maintain and decommission offshore wind, wave and tidal energy devices, associated substations and equipment; Provide related technical services throughout the lifecycle of these products (e.g., research, design and classification); Provide supplies to the above; Marine science equipment and services; Provide services in marine leisure. It has been defined to exclude: Abstraction (e.g., aggregates, fisheries, aquaculture) Offshore & coastal infrastructure operation and services (e.g., energy generation & supply) And non-industrial organisations o Government (MoD, Royal Navy, DfT, MCA, DEFRA, MMO, etc.) o Academia & Further Education The marine sector is defined to comprise six industries Ship building and repairs Marine equipment (note that this excludes leisure equipment, which falls within “Leisure and Small Commercial”) Marine renewable energy servicing Leisure and small commercial Marine science Maritime technical consultancy
  • 25. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 21 6.2 Individual industry economic impact summaries The three tables below show the results of the economic impact studies for the nine industries. As explained in Chapter 3, these cannot be aggregated to form a total as some of the industries are in each other’s supply chains. The numbers have been round to the nearest £100 million or 1000 people. As a result, they may not sum horizontally. Table 6.1: Economic contribution of individual maritime and marine industries to UK GDP in 2011/12 Source: Oxford Economics Table 6.2: Economic contribution of individual maritime and marine industries to UK employment in 2011/12 Source: Oxford Economics Direct Indirect Induced Total Maritime industries Ports 7,900 8,100 5,200 21,200 Shipping 5,600 3,900 3,000 12,500 Maritime business services 1,500 1,300 900 3,700 Marine industries Ship building and repairs 1,100 1,000 700 2,800 Equipment 800 700 500 1,900 Renewable energy 400 400 100 900 Leisure and small commercial 900 800 600 2,300 Marine science 300 100 200 600 Maritime (technical) consultancy 500 300 300 1,100 GVA (£ million) Direct Indirect Induced Total Maritime industries Ports 117,000 167,000 108,000 392,000 Shipping 146,000 80,000 62,000 287,000 Maritime business services 10,000 27,000 18,000 55,000 Marine industries Ship building and repairs 26,000 20,000 15,000 61,000 Equipment 10,000 13,000 10,000 33,000 Renewable energy 6,000 9,000 2,000 16,000 Leisure and small commercial 31,000 17,000 13,000 60,000 Marine science 15,000 3,000 4,000 21,000 Maritime (technical) consultancy 7,000 6,000 6,000 20,000 Employment
  • 26. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 22 Table 6.2: Economic contribution of individual maritime and marine industries to UK tax receipts in 2011/12 Source: Oxford Economics 6.3 Direct contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the UK economy: GVA and employment This section describes in greater detail than the main text the methodology behind the estimation of the marine and maritime sectors’ direct GVA and employment contributions to the UK economy. Ports The estimate for GVA and employment in ports in 2011/12 is taken from Oxford Economics (2012) study on the economic impact of ports. 19 Shipping The estimate for GVA and employment of shipping in 2011/12 is taken from Oxford Economics (2012) study on the economic contribution of shipping. 20 Maritime business services An estimate for GVA and employment of maritime business services in 2011/12 is taken from Oxford Economics (2012) study on the sector. 21 Ship building and repairs Data was sourced from the ONS’ Annual Business Survey for turnover, gross value added, and employment for ship building, boat-building, and repairs (SIC codes 30.11, 30.12, and 33.15) for 2011. From this, the British Marine Federation’s (2013) KPI figures for 2011/12 for power boat manufacture, sail 19 Oxford Economics, (2012), ‘The economic impact of the UK ports industry ‘. 20 Oxford Economics, (2012), ‘The economic impact of the UK shipping industry ‘. 21 Oxford Economics, (2012), ‘The economic impact of the UK’s maritime business services sector‘. Direct Indirect Induced Total Maritime industries Ports 2,000 2,600 1,700 6,200 Shipping 600 1,200 1,000 2,800 Maritime business services 400 400 300 1,100 Marine industries Ship building and repairs 400 300 200 900 Equipment 200 200 100 500 Renewable energy 200 100 - 300 Leisure and small commercial 500 200 200 900 Marine science 400 40 100 500 Maritime (technical) consultancy 100 100 100 300 Tax (£ million)
  • 27. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 23 boat manufacture, other boat manufacture, boat repairs/services were subtracted to avoid double counting what is already included in the ‘leisure and small commercial’ category. The resulting estimates are for 2011. They are translated into 2011/12 values using Oxford Economics’ forecast for GVA and employment growth for ships and rolling stock (encompassing ONS SIC code 30). Marine equipment 22 BIS provided aggregate data on turnover and employment sourced from the Interdepartmental Business Register (IDBR) for 35 major equipment manufacturers and suppliers including Rolls Royce, Babcock Marine, Hamworthy, Kelvin Hughes, Fender Care, and Cosalt International for 2011. The resulting estimates are for 2011. They are translated into 2011/12 values using Oxford Economics forecast for GVA growth for Engineering and Metal Goods (encompassing ONS Standard Industrial Classification category 25, 27, and 28). Marine renewable energy servicing Estimate for turnover and employment for offshore wind projects in 2011/12 were acquired via RenewableUK 23 . In the absence of data on installation and maintenance of offshore wind, wave, and tidal, this report uses capital expenditure in 2011/12 for offshore wind projects in the UK as the closest estimate of turnover in the offshore renewable energy sector. It is a poor proxy, so the estimates should be interpreted with caution. GVA was estimated from turnover using the ratio of GVA to turnover from a Department for Business Innovation and Skills commissioned study (2011, unpublished) focusing on the offshore wind renewable energy sector. Leisure and small commercial Data on turnover, GVA and employment for 2011/12 are sourced from British Marine Federation 24 (2013) KPIs in the leisure and small commercial sector (workboats - excluding fishing boats), which includes manufacturing, distribution of boats, equipment and engines and consumer/business services. Marine science Data on turnover and employment in 2011/12 are sourced from the Society of Maritime Industries (2012). 25 The gross value added contribution to GDP was estimated from the turnover figures using the GVA to turnover ratio for 2011 22 Excludes leisure equipment, this falls within leisure and small commercial. 23 RenewableUK (2012), ‘Wind energy in the UK: State of the industry report 2012’, Page 14,17, October. 24 British Marine Federation, (2013), ‘UK leisure, superyacht and small commercial marine industry: Key performance indicators 2011/12’, Page 9, January. 25 Ridout, P., (2012), ‘Annual review of UK marine scientific industries 2012’.
  • 28. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 24 from the ONS (2012) ABS 26 for the category Scientific Research and Development (SIC code 72). Maritime technical consultancy QinetiQ 27 provided an estimate of this industry’s turnover by drawing on data from 11 large companies and an estimate of 100 smaller companies between 2008/9 and 2011/12. The turnover estimates were projected forward to 2011/12 values using Oxford Economics forecasts for gross output in business services (encompassing SIC codes 68 to 82). GVA was estimated from turnover using the GVA to turnover ratio in 2011 using the ONS (2012) ABS 28 category engineering activities and related technical consultancy (SIC code 71.12). Employment was then estimated using the ABS ratio 29 of GVA/employment in 2011 for the same SIC code. 6.4 Direct contribution of the marine and maritime sector to the UK economy: Taxes The tax contributions of the marine and maritime sector were calculated as follows: Income tax The estimates of income tax were computed using data on mean gross earnings for 2011 drawn from the ONS (2012) ASHE dataset for the nearest SIC code. The prevailing income tax allowances and rates 30 in 2011/12 were applied. The income tax payable for the average employee in the industry was then multiplied the total numbers employed to get the aggregate amount of receipts. For shipping, a number of UK seafarers will not pay income tax because they will be at sea for 183 or more days a year and will be eligible for the ‘Seafarers’ Earnings Deduction’. Discussions with the Chamber of Shipping suggest that this might be around half of all UK officers and a much lower (assumed 10%) proportion of UK ratings. In addition, all non-UK nationals are assumed not pay UK tax while all shore-based staff are assumed to pay UK income tax. National Insurance Contributions – employees and employers Analogously to the estimates of income tax, HMRC (2012) NIC thresholds and rates 31 were applied to average gross earnings data from ONS ASHE data for each industry to calculate employee and employer NIC contributions for the average employee. The aggregate figure was calculated by multiplying the average amounts paid by the number of employees. 26 ONS, (2012),’Annual business survey’, November. 27 QinetiQ, (2008/9-2011/12). 28 ONS, (2012),’Annual business survey’, November. 29 ONS, (2012),’Annual business survey’, November. 30 HMRC, (2011), 'Income tax rates, rate limits and personal allowances for 2011-12'. 31 HMRC, (2011), 'Rates and thresholds for employers: 2011-12'.
  • 29. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 25 For shipping, employee and employer NICs were calculated using similar assumptions to those for income tax, but in addition we assume that the proportion of officers and ratings whose employers are not liable for NICs in the UK is slightly higher than those who will benefit from the Seafarers’ Earnings Deduction (i.e., 60% for UK officers and 20% for UK ratings). VAT and other indirect taxes Those earning income due to employment in the marine and maritime sectors or within their supply chain will pay VAT and other indirect taxes (such as excise duties). Estimates of indirect taxes paid were calculated using the ONS’ (2012) publication ‘The Effects of Taxes and Benefits on Household Income, 2010/2011’ 32 , which provides estimates of average indirect taxes as a share of household income for all income groups in 2010/11. The estimate is made net of the indirect taxes paid by someone receiving the income provided by Job Seeker’s Allowance. Corporation tax The ONS publication ‘Corporation Tax Statistics’ (2012) provides data on corporate tax liabilities 33 , which are used to estimate tax liabilities as a share of gross trading profits. This share, approximately 14.5%, is used as the effective corporate tax rate for all sectors apart from shipping. For shipping, corporation tax receipts are based on levels of corporation tax paid by the industry prior to the tonnage tax, scaled to reflect the estimated difference between actual accruals of tax liabilities for the UK shipping industry through tonnage tax and what they would otherwise have been under the standard UK corporation tax regime. 34 Effective tax rates are applied to Oxford Economics’ estimates of gross operating surplus for each industry. Gross operating surplus is calculated by applying the ratio of gross operating surplus to compensation of employees in each industry to the estimated total compensation of employees. This ratio is calculated using ONS (2011) analytical input-output tables. 35 Total compensation of employees is calculated as the product of estimated employment and wages in the relevant sector according to ONS (2011) ASHE data. 32 ONS, (2012), 'The effects of taxes and benefits on household income, 2010/2011', 26 June. 33 HMRC, (2012), ‘Corporation tax statistics’, Table T11.5. 34 Based on HMRC estimated costs of the principal tax expenditure and structural reliefs, 2011-12, suggesting that tax liabilities under the tonnage tax regime would be £45 million lower than under the standard corporation tax regime. 35 ONS, (2011), ‘Input-output analytical tables, 2005 edition’.
  • 30. The economic impact of the marine and maritime sector January 2013 26 6.5 Procedure to remove double counting of supply chain impacts To estimate potential double counting effects, each of the nine industries within the marine and maritime sector is aligned to the nearest industry available in the UK input-output tables 36 . Those correlates are as follows, with the marine or maritime sector on the left and the Input-Output category (or categories) on the right: Marine Equipment General purpose machinery (63) Ship building and repairs, Leisure and small commercial Shipbuilding and repair (78) Marine renewable energy servicing Electricity production & distribution (85) Ports, Shipping Water transport (95) Maritime business services Banking and finance (100), Insurance and pension funds (102), Auxiliary financial services (103), and Legal activities (109) Marine science Research and development (108) Maritime (technical) consultancy Other business services (114) 36 ONS, (2011), ‘Input-output analytical tables, 2005 edition’.
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