The document discusses the disruptive effects of emerging technologies like driverless cars. It argues that driverless cars could eliminate over 90% of car accidents by 2040, significantly reducing the need for industries like car insurance, car repairs, traffic police, and more. However, this would also create new demand for technologies needed in driverless cars like sensors and software, potentially creating new skilled jobs. The disruptions from driverless cars could ripple through other related sectors and permanently change the automotive landscape over the coming decades through eliminations, reductions and creations in various areas.

1. The Disruptive Rippling
Effect of Technology
Ali Anani, PhD

2. Technology is disrupting
everything and creating
a new balance between:
MORE is Less &
More is More

3. More is less The sweet spot More is more

4. Not only that the rippling
effect is directly transferred
to other sectors

5. The best approach
is starting by An
example

6. The anticipated
disruptive effect of
driverless cars

7. It is estimated that by 2040 over 75%
of the vehicles on US streets shall be
autonomous or driverless. In August
2012, Google announced that its
driverless cars had made it across
300,000 accident-free miles and
weathered various traffic conditions
http://www.mapsofworld.com/poll/are-self
-driving-cars-safe-infographic-text.html

8. Less accidents<less car
insurance<employees in the insurance
sector>less car shops< again less
employees< less car selling< less car
dealers< again less employees< car valet <
less employees and so on.
For example, says Egil Juliussen, principal analyst for
infotainment and ADAS at IHS Automotive in Chicago,
more than 90 percent of traffic accidents are caused by
human error, and in 2010, traffic accidents in the U.S.
cost more than $300 billion, up from more than $230
billion in 2000. Moreover, Juliussen notes, this cost
increase has occurred even as accident rates in the U.S.
have been falling.
http://www.ce.org/i3/Features/2014/January-February/Driverl
ess-Cars-on-the-Rise.aspx

9. Less accidents< fines< less government
fines< less need for traffic police< again
less employment
According to a 2011 Center for Disease Control and
Prevention (CDC) survey, over 4 million adults in the US
drink and drive each year. Self driving cars promise to
minimize accidents by eliminating the need for human
control

10. The opposite is expected
in the parts of cars
manufacturing using
3D printing

11. More driverless cars> need for radar
sensors, roof sensors, cameras and
software> more need for highly skilled
staff
Over 81% of all road traffic accidents can be avoided by
the efficient use of vehicular communication systems
such as networks that share traffic information with all
vehicles

12. A disruptive innovation is an innovation
that helps create a new market and value
network, and eventually disrupts an
existing market and value network (over a
few years or decades), displacing an
earlier technology.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disruptive_innovation

13. An interesting report on the impact of 3D
printing and its possible disruptions is:
report: 12 disruptive technologies by 2025,
3D printing included.
http://www.3ders.org/articles/20130529-mckinsey-repor
t-12-disruptive-technologies-by-2025-3d-printing-includ
ed.html

14. A condensed View of the Possible
Disruption of Driverless Cars

15. I suggest to coin the
Disruptive Blue Ocean
Strategy

16. So much eliminations and
reductions are expected with
the simultaneity of creating many
new products and processes

17. When eliminations, reductions
and creations taking place
simultaneously they reach
a trippling point where disruption
occurs

18. How many
disruptions
would
follow?