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TERROR ATTACK :
IMPACT ON THE INDIAN
ECONOMY
WHAT IS TERRORISM?
 Terrorism is not new and even though it has been used
since the early times of recorded history, it can be relatively
hard to define terrorism.
 Terrorism is not an ideology like communism or capitalism.
Rather, terrorism is a tactic – a strategy used to achieve a
specific end.
 Terrorism is often used in when a weaker person, or group,
is fighting against a powerful nation-state. The violence is
aimed at creating fear in the targeted population and often
provokes prompt and violent response from the state.
 Terrorism is, in its broadest sense, the use of intentionally
indiscriminate violence (terror) in order to achieve a
political, religious, or ideological aim.
EFFECT OF TERRORISM
 Besides the injuries and deaths immediately
brought about by terrorist attacks, survivors often
suffer from post-traumatic stress disorder, anxiety
and major depression.
 The economy suffers an immediate impact due to
building and infrastructure damage, but it also
suffers long-term effects from trauma to financial
markets, a rise in spending on security and
defense, and the impact on supply chains of
enhanced security at land, sea and air border
crossings.
TERRORISM IN INDIA
 Terrorism in India, according to the Home Ministry, poses a
significant threat to the people of India. Terrorism found in India
includes ethno-nationalist terrorism, religious terrorism, left
wing terrorism and narco terrorism.
 The regions with long term terrorist activities have
been Jammu and Kashmir, east-central and south-central India
(Naxalism) and the Seven Sister States. In August 2008,
National Security Advisor M K Narayanan has said that there
are as many as 800 terrorist cells operating in the country.
 As of 2013, 205 of the country’s 608 districts were affected by
terrorist activity. Terror attacks caused 231 civilian deaths in
2012 in India, compared to 11,098 terror-caused deaths
worldwide, according to the State Department of the United
States; or about 2% of global terror fatalities while it accounts
for 17.5% of global population.
EFFECTS OF TERRORISM ON
INDIAN ECONOMY
 With India facing fourth largest number of
terror attacks across the world in 2013, such
incidents have a significant and long-lasting
negative impact on the economy, according
to Moody's Investors Service.
 "More than 60 per cent of all terror incidents
in 2013 were concentrated in just four
countries: Iraq (24%), Pakistan (19%),
Afghanistan (12%) and India (5.8%)," it said
in a report.
 World in recent past, has witnessed several economies
burning with disaster & crisis.
 Today every nation faces some or the other economic, social
or communal unrest. Further, globalization has enabled the
impact of these tremors to be felt even at remotest part of
the world.
 Many believe that terrorism can't hamper ones economic
activity as it only destroy a small fraction of the stock of
capital of a country.
 However, a broader look at the geo-political & economical
scenario can easily erode this misconception.
 India has been facing the terrorism threat as long as since
1970.
 Over this period of time, terrorism has severely affected
Indian economy.
SHORT-TERM IMPACT
1) Loss of Human Capital
 The human costs have been horrendous. Estimates
are in past 5 years 4000+ were killed in terrorist
attacks. This puts India next to Iraq both in terror
deaths and terror incidents.
 The 26/11 Mumbai attacks itself left 257-300 dead and
700 injured.
2) Investor Behavior
 Frequent attacks on commercial & government
institutions shatter the confidence of the investors
causing heavy investment drainage.
 A heavy impact of this can be observed at the stock
market that keep diving down post any major terrorist
event.
3) Short Term Financial Loss
In short term, the obstacles like loss
suffered due to the diversion of business
away from the city to other locations, lost
earnings of public due to disability and
trauma among survivors etc. drains out the
productivity levels & impact the respective
economy adversely.
For example, the 26/11 attacks halted the
operations in the Taj Hotel for a few
months.
4) Retrenchment effect on Specific Industries
The Jaipur serial blasts, J&K Terrorism &
Mumbai 26/11 attacks did have immediate and
concentrated impacts on a number of industries:
most notably, airlines, aerospace, travel,
tourism, insurance.
For example, hotel occupancy in western India
suffered by a drop of 25% and rates plunged.
These industries suffered concentrated
economic and job losses. Of course, regions or
localities with heavy concentrations of these
industries suffered disproportionately as well.
LONG TERM IMPACT
1) Political Instability
 The assassinations of 2 Ex-PM of India, Mrs. Indira Gandhi, Mr. Rajeev Gandhi
already had jolted Indian politics & economy at large. India had lost 2 of
its strongest pillars which otherwise would have taken Indian politics, business &
industry at unimaginable heights.
 The Political instability at times have also let to erosion of FII's & FDI's.
2) Global Implications
 India has lost millions of business due to terrorists attacks. Terrorists attacks
result in unemployment in these regions, which in turn again triggers riots.
3) Long Term Financial Loss
 The direct economic damage done by terrorist attacks: buildings and
infrastructure destroyed, productive lives ended.
 The structural damages post 26/11 attacks was amounting to total of INR 500
crores, which subsequently took its toll on the insurance industry.
 As all this happens, economic resources will be directed to shoring up security
and diverted away from more productive private sector activity.
CONCLUSION
 Lets not forget that the enemies of our nation have
vowed to bleed India through thousand cuts.
 Even if terrorism represents a small fraction of the
overall economic risk in India, it may have a large
impact on the allocation of productive capital across
the country.
 In any part of the world terrorism is unwanted as it
not only kills the human life but also the
infrastructure, industry ultimately shackling its
overall growth.

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Terror attack - Impact on Indian Economy

  • 1. TERROR ATTACK : IMPACT ON THE INDIAN ECONOMY
  • 2.
  • 3. WHAT IS TERRORISM?  Terrorism is not new and even though it has been used since the early times of recorded history, it can be relatively hard to define terrorism.  Terrorism is not an ideology like communism or capitalism. Rather, terrorism is a tactic – a strategy used to achieve a specific end.  Terrorism is often used in when a weaker person, or group, is fighting against a powerful nation-state. The violence is aimed at creating fear in the targeted population and often provokes prompt and violent response from the state.  Terrorism is, in its broadest sense, the use of intentionally indiscriminate violence (terror) in order to achieve a political, religious, or ideological aim.
  • 4.
  • 5. EFFECT OF TERRORISM  Besides the injuries and deaths immediately brought about by terrorist attacks, survivors often suffer from post-traumatic stress disorder, anxiety and major depression.  The economy suffers an immediate impact due to building and infrastructure damage, but it also suffers long-term effects from trauma to financial markets, a rise in spending on security and defense, and the impact on supply chains of enhanced security at land, sea and air border crossings.
  • 6. TERRORISM IN INDIA  Terrorism in India, according to the Home Ministry, poses a significant threat to the people of India. Terrorism found in India includes ethno-nationalist terrorism, religious terrorism, left wing terrorism and narco terrorism.  The regions with long term terrorist activities have been Jammu and Kashmir, east-central and south-central India (Naxalism) and the Seven Sister States. In August 2008, National Security Advisor M K Narayanan has said that there are as many as 800 terrorist cells operating in the country.  As of 2013, 205 of the country’s 608 districts were affected by terrorist activity. Terror attacks caused 231 civilian deaths in 2012 in India, compared to 11,098 terror-caused deaths worldwide, according to the State Department of the United States; or about 2% of global terror fatalities while it accounts for 17.5% of global population.
  • 7.
  • 8. EFFECTS OF TERRORISM ON INDIAN ECONOMY  With India facing fourth largest number of terror attacks across the world in 2013, such incidents have a significant and long-lasting negative impact on the economy, according to Moody's Investors Service.  "More than 60 per cent of all terror incidents in 2013 were concentrated in just four countries: Iraq (24%), Pakistan (19%), Afghanistan (12%) and India (5.8%)," it said in a report.
  • 9.
  • 10.  World in recent past, has witnessed several economies burning with disaster & crisis.  Today every nation faces some or the other economic, social or communal unrest. Further, globalization has enabled the impact of these tremors to be felt even at remotest part of the world.  Many believe that terrorism can't hamper ones economic activity as it only destroy a small fraction of the stock of capital of a country.  However, a broader look at the geo-political & economical scenario can easily erode this misconception.  India has been facing the terrorism threat as long as since 1970.  Over this period of time, terrorism has severely affected Indian economy.
  • 12. 1) Loss of Human Capital  The human costs have been horrendous. Estimates are in past 5 years 4000+ were killed in terrorist attacks. This puts India next to Iraq both in terror deaths and terror incidents.  The 26/11 Mumbai attacks itself left 257-300 dead and 700 injured. 2) Investor Behavior  Frequent attacks on commercial & government institutions shatter the confidence of the investors causing heavy investment drainage.  A heavy impact of this can be observed at the stock market that keep diving down post any major terrorist event.
  • 13. 3) Short Term Financial Loss In short term, the obstacles like loss suffered due to the diversion of business away from the city to other locations, lost earnings of public due to disability and trauma among survivors etc. drains out the productivity levels & impact the respective economy adversely. For example, the 26/11 attacks halted the operations in the Taj Hotel for a few months.
  • 14. 4) Retrenchment effect on Specific Industries The Jaipur serial blasts, J&K Terrorism & Mumbai 26/11 attacks did have immediate and concentrated impacts on a number of industries: most notably, airlines, aerospace, travel, tourism, insurance. For example, hotel occupancy in western India suffered by a drop of 25% and rates plunged. These industries suffered concentrated economic and job losses. Of course, regions or localities with heavy concentrations of these industries suffered disproportionately as well.
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  • 17. 1) Political Instability  The assassinations of 2 Ex-PM of India, Mrs. Indira Gandhi, Mr. Rajeev Gandhi already had jolted Indian politics & economy at large. India had lost 2 of its strongest pillars which otherwise would have taken Indian politics, business & industry at unimaginable heights.  The Political instability at times have also let to erosion of FII's & FDI's. 2) Global Implications  India has lost millions of business due to terrorists attacks. Terrorists attacks result in unemployment in these regions, which in turn again triggers riots. 3) Long Term Financial Loss  The direct economic damage done by terrorist attacks: buildings and infrastructure destroyed, productive lives ended.  The structural damages post 26/11 attacks was amounting to total of INR 500 crores, which subsequently took its toll on the insurance industry.  As all this happens, economic resources will be directed to shoring up security and diverted away from more productive private sector activity.
  • 18. CONCLUSION  Lets not forget that the enemies of our nation have vowed to bleed India through thousand cuts.  Even if terrorism represents a small fraction of the overall economic risk in India, it may have a large impact on the allocation of productive capital across the country.  In any part of the world terrorism is unwanted as it not only kills the human life but also the infrastructure, industry ultimately shackling its overall growth.